St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (28-43) and New York Mets (33-37) close out their 3-game series Sunday in the Big Apple. First pitch at Citi Field is at 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Mets and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Paul Goldschmidt‘s 2-run HR helped the Cardinals snap their 6-game losing streak on Saturday with a 5-3 win against the Mets. Despite the victory, the Cardinals are still 6-14 over the last 20 games. St. Louis can end their series losing streak at 5 with a win on Sunday.

The Mets continue to disappoint New York fans, winning just 3 of their last 13 games. They have allowed over 5 runs per game over that stretch. New York has is 17-14 at home, but only 4-10 against NL Central teams.

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Cardinals at Mets projected starters

LHP Matthew Liberatore vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Liberatore (1-2, 5.14 ERA) will make his 5th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 21 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in a 4-3 home loss vs. San Francisco Giants Monday
  • 2023 away splits: 0-2, 8.00 ERA (9 IP, 8 ER), .308 OBA in 2 starts
  • First start against the Mets

Carrasco (2-3, 5.71 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 41 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 1 K in a 2-1 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates last Sunday
  • Last start vs Cardinals: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in a 10-5 road loss on April 27, 2022
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 6.89 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 12 ER), .279 OBA in 3 starts

Cardinals at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Mets 5

Moneyline

Cardinals (-105) is my lean, but I do not see a clear favorite in this game. The Mets have a record of 8-16 against lefties, but the smart thing to do is stay away from this bet completely. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

My lean is to take the Cardinals -1.5 (+155), but I doubt they will win by multiple runs.

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Over/Under

OVER 9.5 (-105).

We’ve got 2 starting pitchers with ERA over 5 on the season and even worse home and away splits. New York is allowing more than 5 runs per game over their last 13 while the Cardinals are letting their opponents produce more than 6 runs per game over their last 7.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (27-43) and New York Mets (33-36) play game 2 of their 3-game series Saturday in the Big Apple at Citi Field. First pitch is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Mets and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Cardinals have lost 6 in a row and are just 5-15 over the last 20 games. St. Louis has allowed nearly 7 runs per game over this losing streak and has also lost 8 of its last 10 on the road.

Despite winning on Friday 6-1 over the Cardinals, the Mets continue to disappoint, winning just 3 of their last 10 games. New York is 17-13 at home this season, but only 4-9 against the NL Central.

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Cardinals at Mets projected starters

RHP Adam Wainwright vs. RHP Kodai Senga

Wainwright (2-1, 5.79 ERA) will make his 8th start. He has a 1.71 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 2 K in a 4-3 home loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Sunday
  • Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 4-1, 3.67 ERA, 30 H, 11 ER, 11 BB over 27 IP
  • 2023 away splits: 1-0, 6.75 ERA (16 IP, 12 ER), .333 OBA in 3 starts

Senga (6-3, 3.34 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 11 K/9 in 64 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 6 K in a 5-1 road victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates last Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-1, 1.93 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 7 ER), .158 OBA in 6 starts
  • Has never faced the St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mets -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

While the Mets have disappointed this season, I think they win this game easily on Saturday afternoon. While I believe New York wins, the odds are not favorable for the bettor. I will look to the run line on this one.

Run line/Against the spread

BET METS -1.5 (+135).

St. Louis has struggled on the road with a record of 16-23 on the season. Its last two losses have been by 2 or more runs including Friday’s 6-1 defeat vs. the Mets. Adam Wainwright has allowed at least 3 earned runs in his last 4 starts.

I know the Mets will win this game and I’d rather take the plus odds on the run line than pay the juice on the moneyline.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the lean. Kodai Senga has been lights out this season at Citi Field sporting an under 2 ERA. He has allowed more than 2 earned runs just once all season. The question will be how many runs Wainwright allows to this talented Mets lineup.

That’s why I’m not going to fully endorse taking this bet, but I am taking a side and it’s the Under.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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