Tag: Cardinals Dodgers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (1-2) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (3-2) in the finale of a 4-game set on Sunday Night Baseball at Dodger Stadium at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-1

The Birds got their 1st win of the season Saturday night, but it took a series of strange circumstances to get it. The 1st rain delay at Dodger Stadium since 2017 took place as a torrential downpour paused things for 35 minutes. The Cards scored 5 in the 7th after a walk, a hit-by-pitch and a catcher’s interference loaded the bases. A sac fly and single plated 2 runs before a balk allowed the go-ahead run in. They’d score 2 more in the frame before closer Ryan Helsley blew it in the 9th by allowing 2 runs. The Cards would win it in the 10th with an RBI groundout.

As you can tell, the loss was rather fluky for the Dodgers, who look to win the series on national TV Sunday night. SS Mookie Betts is on another planet right now after going 3 for 4 with his 4th homer of the young season Saturday. He’s hitting .611 with 4 homers and 10 RBIs. This team is leaps and bounds better than its counterparts right now.

Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Steven Matz vs. RHP Gavin Stone

Matz went 4-7 with a 3.86 ERA in 17 starts and 8 relief appearances last year. He had a 1.33 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 105 innings.

  • 2023 as starter: 4-6, 4.04 ERA (89 IP), 1.37 WHIP, 83 K in 17 starts
  • 2023 road stats: 2-3, 4.56 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.36 WHIP in 9 starts and 3 relief appearances
  • 2023 vs. Dodgers: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 5-0 home loss May 19

Stone went 1-1 over 4 starts and 4 relief appearances last year. He had a 9.00 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 31 innings.

  • 2024 spring training: 3.21 ERA (14 IP), 0.79 WHIP, 13 K
  • 2023 home stats: 0-1, 8.62 ERA (15 2/3 IP), 1.98 WHIP, 11 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Never faced St. Louis before

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Cardinals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Cardinals 3

Moneyline

If you follow the Cardinals to even a moderate degree, you probably know they often struggle against a pitcher they haven’t faced before. Stone has 6 different pitches, and his sinker sits around 94 mph. Look out for OF Teoscar Hernandez in this one as he teed off for 2 home runs off LHP Zack Thompson Friday night. With another lefty in Sunday, he’s licking his chops.

It’s chalky, but take TEOSCAR HERNANDEZ OVER 0.5 TOTAL BASES (-175), and look to the RL.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, and 5 of those were by multiple runs — including the 2 in this series. You’re going to be hard-pressed to find many Dodgers run lines at plus-money this year, and this one is such because of the rather unknown on the bump.

Take advantage with DODGERS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in the last 2, and while I’d rather take it at 8.5, I like it again Sunday night. The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in each game this season, and if they can get 6 or 7, it should be an easy win.

LEAN OVER 9 (-105).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (0-2) and Los Angeles Dodgers (3-1) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game set Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Cardinals have struggled to plate runs, posting just 4 runs on offense, while the pitching has conceded 13 runs. St. Louis definitely hasn’t gotten off on the right foot.

The Dodgers have posted 3 victories in 4 games, scoring at least 5 runs in each outing, including 6.5 runs per game in 2 home dates at Chavez Ravine so far this season. The Over and Under has alternated in each of the 4 outings.

Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Lynn (13-11, 5.73 ERA) made 32 starts in 2023 with the Dodgers. He posted a 1.39 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 183 2/3 innings.

  • 2023 road splits: 7-6, 6.07 ERA (92 IP, 62 ER — 26 HR), 39 BB, 94 K in 16 starts
  • 2023 night game splits: 10-7, 5.40 ERA (133 1/3 IP, 80 ER — 31 HR), 47 BB, 127 K in 23 starts

Yamamoto (0-1, 45.00 ERA) made his major league debut March 21

  • Allowed 5 ER, 4 H, 1 BB with 2 K in just 1 IP vs. Padres in South Korea
  • Yamamoto relies on 4 pitches: Four-Seamer (32.6%), Cutter (25.6%), Curveball (23.3%) and Split-Finger (18.6%)

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Cardinals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Dodgers 6

Moneyline

The CARDINALS (+185) are a solid value for the chance to nearly double up against the rookie Yamamoto. He was crushed by the Padres in his debut in Seoul, and he was mostly a disaster in spring training. Until Yamamoto starts to settle in and show he can pitch effectively in the majors, keep fading the Dodgers when he is on the bump.

Run line/Against the spread

The CARDINALS +1.5 (-110) aren’t a bad play if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you can’t play St. Louis straight up on the moneyline. The Cards have had difficulty scoring runs to date, but they should be able to rack up some offense against the shaky Yamamoto.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the way to go.

Lynn was an absolute disaster last season, as the veteran had tremendous difficulty keeping the ball in the park when he was with the Dodgers. Time will tell if he can get his form back, and limit the home runs.

Yamamoto didn’t last long in his debut, recording just 3 total outs while coughing up 5 runs. With 2 shaky pitchers on the hill, we should see plenty of scoring.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (0-1) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (2-1) for the 2nd game of a 4-game set Friday at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0

The Cardinals dropped their season opener 7-1 Thursday. RHP Miles Mikolas allowed 5 runs on 7 hits and allowed 2 homers in 4 1/3 IP Thursday. The Cards’ offense mustered just 3 hits. Fortunately for 1B Paul Goldschmidt, he shook off an abysmal spring, collecting all 3 of those hits — including a home run. OF Victor Scott II reached on an error and became the 1st Cardinal to steal a bag in his Major League debut in more than 100 years.

The Dodgers were led by 1B Freddie Freeman, who went 2-for-3 Thursday with a homer and 3 RBIs. SS Mookie Betts also homered, walked twice and scored 3 runs. Betts is now 7-for-11 (.636) with 2 homers and 8 RBIs in 3 games this season. The bullpen is in great shape after RHP Tyler Glasnow went 6 innings, allowing a run, and LHP Ryan Yarbrough pitched 3 scoreless frames for the save.

Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Zack Thompson vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Thompson (5-7, 4.48 ERA) made 9 starts and 16 relief appearances in 2023. He had a 1.42 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 66 1/3 innings.

  • 2023 as starter: 3-4, 4.57 ERA (45 1/3 IP), 1.32 WHIP, 46 K in 9 starts
  • 2023 road stats: 2-3, 5.88 ERA (26 IP, 17 ER) in 3 starts and 9 relief appearances
  • 2023 vs. Dodgers: Loss, 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 1 relief appearance, a 6-3 road loss April 30
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (4 IP, 2 ER) in 3 relief appearances

Miller (11-4, 3.76 ERA) made 22 starts in 2023. He had a 1.10 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 124 1/3 innings.

  • 2024 spring training: 2.77 ERA (13 IP), 1.31 WHIP, 9 K
  • 2023 home stats: 5-3, 4.55 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 29 ER) in 10 starts
  • Never faced St. Louis before

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Cardinals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

The Cards find a way to take one in this series, and it will be this one. Thompson looked really good in spring with a 2.25 ERA and 12 K’s in 12 IP. The Dodgers hit just .246 with a .787 OPS against lefties last season vs. .262 with a .798 OPS against righties. Thompson will miss enough bats, and the Cards’ bats will awaken just enough.

Take the CARDINALS +185.

Run line/Against the spread

I like the odds for STL here as well. If their bullpen happens to blow it or they can’t quite make it over the hump, there’s an even-money cookie at the end.

Take the CARDINALS +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

We said Thursday’s total was going to be close, and we nailed it as the Under 9 cashed with a 7-1 final. We’re likely to sweat out another one Friday, but the Cardinals have a good offense that should show up one day later.

Take the OVER 9 (+100).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (0-0) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (1-1) Thursday at Dodger Stadium at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won series 4-3 in 2023

The Cardinals are starting the season off on the wrong foot with a slew of injuries. RHP Sonny Gray (hamstring), OF Dylan Carlson (shoulder), OF Lars Nootbaar (ribs), INF/OF Tommy Edman (wrist) and RHP Keynan Middleton (forearm) will all begin the season on the injured list. They still pack a talented roster with the likes of 3B Nolan Arenado, 1B Paul Goldschmidt and C Willson Contreras. They also have an infusion of youth with OF Jordan Walker, SS Masyn Winn and OF Victor Scott II. They have a brutal schedule to open the season, and that starts here.

The Dodgers split the series in Korea against the San Diego Padres, winning  5-2 and dropping the 2nd game 15-11. SS Mookie Betts is already turning heads by starting the season 6-for-9 (.667) with a HR and a double. The Dodgers are loaded after acquiring DH/RHP Shohei Ohtani and RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the offseason. You’ll be hard-pressed to find a game where they’ll be underdogs this season.

Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Mikolas was 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 201 1/3 IP last season.

  • Had 1 start against LA last year; 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 2 K in a no-decision
  • Was 6-6 with a 4.05 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 5.2 K/9 in 17 road starts last season

Glasnow (0-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 7.2 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 5 IP.

  • Wasn’t sharp in his 1st start vs Padres in Korea, allowing 2 R, 2 H, 4 BB and 3 K in 5 IP
  • Was 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 12.1 K/9 in 4 starts against the NL last year as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays

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Cardinals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100| U: -120)

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Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

The Cards will be lucky to get 1 in this series, but it won’t be this game. Glasnow has the stuff to strike out 10 despite an iffy 1st start overseas.

In fact, since we’re not touching the bloated ML, take TYLER GLASNOW OVER 7.5 STRIKEOUTS (+120) for the nice return.

Run line/Against the spread

These teams met in an early season series at Dodger Stadium last year, and the Dodgers swept it. They won 7-3, 1-0 and 6-3. They are even more loaded this year, and they’ll likely take this one off the hinges.

Take the DODGERS -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

This is the tricky one because it’s going to depend on whether the Cards score 3+ in order to cash an Over. They scored 6 runs in 3 games in an April 2023 series at Chavez Ravine last year, so I would not count on it. The Dodgers already have 2 regular season games under their belts, and the Cardinals enter the season wounded.

LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (10-18) will finish a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (15-13) on Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Cardinals lost 1-0 Saturday to the Dodgers. St. Louis has lost 2 games in a row and 7 of its last 10 contests and is in last place in the NL Central.

The Dodgers have outscored the Cardinals 8-3 in the 1st 2 games of the series. Los Angeles has 2 straight wins and has won 6 of its last 10 games. LA is 1 game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks in the NL West.

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Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Jake Woodford vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Woodford (1-2, 5.47 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 24 2/3 IP.

  • Has surrendered multiple ER in 4 of his 5 starts
  • Has given up at least 1 HR in 4 of his 5 starts and has allowed 7 HR this season (tied for the 8th most among starting pitchers)

Syndergaard (0-3, 6.58 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 26 IP.

  • Has given up at least 2 ER in his last 4 starts
  • Owns a 2-3 record with a 4.10 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 9.9 K/9 in 6 career starts against the Cardinals

Cardinals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-155) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Cardinals 5

Moneyline

DODGERS (-150) is the pick with how these teams have performed recently. Los Angeles is 8-6 at home while St. Louis is 5-10 on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

Even though it’s tough to trust either pitcher on the mound in this matchup, I’ll side with the DODGERS -1.5 (+125) at home. The Cardinals have lost by 2-plus runs in 2 of Woodford’s 5 starts this season.

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Over/Under

OVER 10 (-110) has solid value with the weather favoring batters in Los Angeles on Sunday. The Dodgers have had 10 or more combined runs scored in 5 of their last 8 games, while Syndergaard just surrendered 7 ER in his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates on April 25.

The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings overall.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (10-17) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (14-13) Saturday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead series 1-0. Dodgers won the regular-season series 4-2 in 2022.

The Cardinals were on the short end of a 7-3 loss in Friday’s series opener as the Over (9) connected. St. Louis has dropped 4 of the past 5 games overall, and is 2-6 on the 10-game road trip.

The Dodgers halted a 2-game mini skid with the 7-3 win over the Cards. The Dodgers are 4-2 across the past 6 games overall, and the Over has connected in 7 in a row for L.A.

The Dodgers have struggled in the pitching department, posting a 4.65 ERA, which is good for just 23rd in the majors. The Cardinals are 22nd in the league with a 4.49 ERA.

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Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Montgomery (2-3, 3.81 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 28 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 1 unearned run with 5 H and 1 BB while posting 6 K across 6 IP in a hard-luck loss last time out in San Francisco Monday
  • Is 1-1 with a 0.00 ERA and .167 opponent batting average (OBA) with 3 BB and 15 K across 13 IP in 2 road starts this season

Kershaw (4-1, 2.32 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.87 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 31 IP.

  • Has lasted at least 6 IP in each of his 5 starts this season, posting 4 quality starts
  • Is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA with a .152 OBA, no walks and 18 K across 13 IP in 2 home outings

Cardinals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Cardinals 1

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-155) are a strong play as moderate favorites with Kershaw on the bump. He has been exceptionally brilliant at home, while the Cardinals (+125) have struggled mightily on the current road trip.

The Cards are 2-5 in the past 7 games overall, while also going 2-5 in the past 7 against NL West teams.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (+135) are a decent a play on the run line, too.

While Los Angeles has been a little bit erratic so far this season, it covered the run line as a favorite in the opener, and it is 3-0 SU/ATS in Kershaw’s past 3 outings on the run line as a favorite, too.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-105) is a strong play in Game 2 of this series.

The Under is an impressive 13-5-1 in the past 19 games on the road for the Cardinals, while going 11-5-2 in the past 18 starts on the road against a left-handed starting pitcher.

The Under has connected in 4 of the past 5 games at home for the Dodgers, while going 5-2-1 in the past 8 in Game 2 of a series, too.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Xday’s Road Team at Home Team odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (10-16) and Los Angeles Dodgers (13-13) meet Friday to open a 3-game series in Chavez Ravine. The opening pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Dodgers took 4 of 6 games last season.

St. Louis is 2-5 so far on its 10-game road trip that has included stops at the Seattle Mariners and San Francisco Giants.

Los Angeles is back at home after a 4-3 road trip with games against the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates. Dodger pitching scuffled over that trip, logging a 6.15 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.

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Cardinals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Dustin May

Flaherty (2-2, 3.29 ERA) is making his 6th start of the season. He has registered a 1.35 WHIP, 6.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 27 1/3 IP.

  • Figures to see a left-leaning L.A. lineup and has struggled against left-handed bats the last two seasons (.844 OPS allowed in 2022, .900 OPS allowed in 2023)
  • Has allowed an aggregate .711 OPS against current Los Angeles bats
  • Coming off a season-high 104 pitches in his last start

May (2-1, 3.07 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP.

  • Threw a season-high 96 pitches in his last outing
  • Has benefited from a .195 batting average on balls in play

Cardinals at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Cardinals +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Dodgers -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-170) | Dodgers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Cardinals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

The Cards figure as better than their record so far, but they have not looked sharp on this west coast road swing. A due-for-regression Flaherty coming off a 104-pitch outing does not make for an opportunity to profit alongside a Redbird recovery. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Analytics work against both starters and betting the total is the strongest play.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over has hit in 6 straight Dodgers’ games.

The lean in this one is fading both starters (both have support numbers not fully behind current earned run averages) and on the St. Louis attack being undervalued.

The Redbirds own a .776 OPS and have averaged 4.50 runs per game. Of the 7 teams right behind them in MLB OPS rankings, 6 are averaging more than 5 runs per contest.

On a breeze-blowing-out night at Dodger Stadium, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

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NL Wild Card Game: St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers NL Wild Card Game odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (90-72) head to Dodger Stadium for their National League Wild Card play-in game against the Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56). First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers won 4-3.

RHP Adam Wainwright is St. Louis’ projected starter. Wainwright was 17-7 in the regular season with a 3.05 ERA (206 1/3 IP, 70 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 across 32 starts.

  • Since Sept. 1: 4-0 with a 3.44 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 33 H, 19 BB and 19 K over six starts.
  • Wainwright beat L.A. 5-4 with 8 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 4 K Sept. 9.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 2.63 FIP with a .281 batting average (BA), .293 wOBA, .406 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 15.6 K% and 85.0 mph exit velocity (EV) in 90 PA.

RHP Max Scherzer takes the hill for the Dodgers. Scherzer was 15-4 in the regular season with a 2.46 ERA (179 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 30 starts for L.A. and the Washington Nationals.

  • Since Sept. 1: 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 29 H, 3 BB and 48 K across six starts
  • Scherzer was 2-0 in two regular-season starts against St. Louis over 14 IP with 0 ER, 10 H, 1 BB and 22 K.
  • vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 0.87 FIP with a .166 BA, .182 wOBA, .302 xSLG, 38.0 K% and 87.2 mph EV in 171 PA.

Cardinals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Dodgers -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-117) | Dodgers -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Cardinals 3, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

There’s just too much value in St. Louis’ run line to not take a small stab at the CARDINALS (+180). If the MLB Wild Card play-in was a three- or five-game series instead of a single-game playoff then Dodgers (-230) might be a good bet.

However, St. Louis is the only ball club as hot as L.A. entering the postseason. Wainwright is the perfect type of starter to give the Dodgers’ hitters fits. Or any 2021 lineup for that matter.

“The Show” is full of power pitchers hitting mid-90s on the radar gun and maybe have an offspeed pitch or two in their pitch arsenal. But, Wainwright’s four-seam fastball is the fourth-most used pitch in his arsenal and averages 89.3 mph.

Wainwright’s big 12-6 curveball is his most used pitch at a 34.1% rate, and L.A.’s lineup struggled against curveballs in the regular season.

In fact, there are two Dodgers batters in their projected lineup with a 0 Run Value vs. curveballs and four batters with a negative Run Value vs. curveballs (according to Statcast).

Furthermore, St. Louis’ lineup has been more productive than L.A.’s during its hot streak recently. The Cardinals have a better WAR, wRC+ and wOBA since the beginning of September.

Lastly, the key to St. Louis’ miraculous postseason run over the past few weeks has been the transformation of its bullpen.

For instance, the Cardinals’ relievers had the worst SIERA, xFIP and K-BB% in the majors over the first half of the season. But, since the beginning of September, St. Louis’ bullpen is fifth in WAR and xFIP, ninth in SIERA and eighth in K-BB%. Ranking ahead of L.A.’s bullpen in each of those metrics.

It’s more of a “lean”, but I’ll put a small bet on the CARDINALS (+180) to win this outright and will put heavier bets on St. Louis’ run line and the total.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the CARDINALS -1.5 (-117) heavier than or instead of St. Louis’s money line.

Most of the analysis is matchup-based, but for what it’s worth, the Cardinals have the fourth-best cover rate on the road at 50-31 ATS.

Also, all of St. Louis’ victories over L.A. this season have been by a single-run margin so if the Cardinals steal this outright it’ll probably be a close game. Let’s play it safe and BET 1 unit on the CARDINALS -1.5 (-117).

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) for a half unit because this is a “Pros vs. Joes” scenario in the betting market.

According to Pregame.com, more than 60% of the money wagered is on the Under whereas roughly 55% of the bets placed are on the Over. Typically, in sports gambling, it’s wiser to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

That said, this Cardinals-Dodgers total is low so I would not make a big bet on the UNDER 7.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (30-24) and Los Angeles Dodgers (32-22) tangle Tuesday in the second game of their three-game series at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP John Gant is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 4-3 with a 1.81 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 6.2 BB/9 across 44 2/3 IP over 9 starts. Gant allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 straight starts.

LHP David Price is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He is 1-0 with a 3.31 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 over 16 1/3 IP through 2 starts and 9 relief appearances. Price figures to go 2-3 innings in front of a quality L.A. bullpen which is especially effective against right-handed bats.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cardinals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS:  Cardinals +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Cardinals 3

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers won Monday’s opener 9-4. That victory snapped a three-game losing skid, but L.A. is 14-5 dating back to May 11.

The Redbirds got off to a not-wholly-supported fast start to the season and have been a fairly solid fade candidate since mid-May. They are 7-9 over their last 16 games. St. Louis coughed up 5 or more runs in five of its last eight games.

Gant does well to limit hard contact and get ground balls, but he has also benefited from a high 85.0% left-on-base rate and an ultra-low home run/fly ball figure (3.0%).

Price and the L.A. bullpen figure as a solid combo to leverage the Dodgers relievers’ success against right-handed bats (against a Cardinals lineup that swings much more from that side than most teams).

BACK THE DODGERS (-200). Consider a split play with the L.A. side on the run line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BACK THE DODGERS -1.5 (+110). The expected 7 innings from the Dodgers bullpen is a slight knock against the fade of the Cardinals and a likable Over feel.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-115). A significant fade of Gant and the St. Louis bullpen is at play. Plus, a batter’s breeze hurts a more fly-prone Cardinals relief corps.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (30-23) begin a three-game set at Dodger Stadium with the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-22) on Memorial Day. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis had a four-game winning streak snapped Sunday by the Arizona Diamondbacks but won the series 3-1 and is 5-5 over the past 10 games.

L.A. lost the final three games of a four-game series against the San Francisco Giants following a stretch where the Dodgers won 9 of 10 games.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Jack Flaherty makes his 10th start for the Cardinals. Flaherty is 8-1 with a 2.84 ERA (57 IP, 18 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-3, in 3 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 3 K Tuesday at Chicago White Sox.
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1 with a 1.08 ERA (25 IP, 3 ER), 0.68 WHIP, and 13.0 K/9 across 4 starts.
    • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 46 at-bats with a .087/.176/.087 slash line, 21/4 K/BB, 0 HR and 0 RBI.

RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starter for the Dodgers. Bauer is 5-3 with a 2.07 ERA (69 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 over 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-2, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 3 K at Houston Astros Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.50 WHIP and 11.9 K/9 across 2 starts.
    • vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 25 at-bats with a .360/.385/.640 slash line, 7/1 K/BB, 1 HR and 6 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the CARDINALS (+145) FIRST 5 INNINGS because of how well Flaherty has pitched vs. these Dodger hitters, and Bauer’s numbers being not so good in his two appearances against St. Louis.

Bauer’s last start vs. the Cardinals was in August 2019 during his two-season stint with the Cincinnati Reds but it was one of the worst starts of Bauer’s 2019 campaign.

St. Louis’s lineup had the highest hard-hit rate and exit velocity of any of Bauer’s 2019 opponents and Bauer’s 9.46 FIP in that start was the second-highest of his season.

A tiny wager on CARDINALS (+145) FIRST 5 INNINGS is the play because St. Louis’s First 5 Innings run line is a sharper play and neither bullpen can be trusted.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the CARDINALS +0.5 (-110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit for the aforementioned rationale.

Flaherty is a Southern California native, has pitched immaculately in his few outings vs. the Dodgers, and can be trusted to get back on track after taking his first loss of the season in his last start.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 3.5 (-120) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because Bauer has been great at Dodger Stadium and these bullpens are surprisingly terrible given their teams’ records.

In Dodger Stadium, Bauer is 3-0 with 0.90 ERA (20 IP, 2 ER), 0.50 WHIP and 12.6 K/9 in three starts this season.

Also, St. Louis’s bullpen has the worst BB/K rate, SIERA, and xFIP in the major league and L.A.’s bullpen leads the majors in blown saves (14) so, again, we want to keep our wager within the First 5 Innings.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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