CANELO ALVAREZ
VS. AVNI YILDIRIM
THE MEXICAN STAR DEFENDS HIS TITLES AGAINST HIS MANDATORY CHALLENGER ON SATURDAY IN MIAMI
- When: Saturday, Feb. 27
- Start time: 7 p.m. ET / 4 p.m. PT (main event later in show)
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
- How to watch: DAZN (download app) and pay-per-view
- Cost: DAZN is $19.99 per month or $99 annually. PPV is $49.99 in U.S. Includes DAZN subscription through the end of April 2021 with purchase.
- Division: Super middleweight (168 pounds)
- Rounds: 12
- At stake: Alvarez’s WBA and WBC titles
- Odds: Alvarez 21-1 (BetMGM)
***
WHY ALVAREZ WILL WIN
Yildirim is taller than Alvarez, as most of his opponents are. And he’s naturally bigger. However, that means next to nothing when you compare their abilities. Alvarez has overwhelming advantages across the board — speed, athleticism, skill, power, ring IQ, durability. The list goes on. Yildirim was stopped in three rounds by Chris Eubank Jr. in 2017, which brings his chin into question. And the gulf in experience is wide: Alvarez, who turned pro at 15, has fought 414 professional rounds, Yildirim 132. Alvarez is better, smarter and tougher than his opponent. Hence the odds: Alvarez is around a 30-1 favorite.
WHY YILDIRIM WILL WIN
Yildirim has faced fighters 168 pounds or bigger his entire career. He might be able to handle Alvarez’s punches, at least for a while. His best bet is to box as well as he can, land punches here and there to prevent Alvarez from finding his rhythm, avoid taking too much punishment and somehow get into the second half of the fight. Then, perhaps, Alvarez will begin to tire and Yildirim can fight more aggressively and win rounds or hurt Alvarez. This scenario is highly unlikely … but possible. Another longshot: Yildirim somehow lands a punch that puts Alvarez away. The Turk is a big, strong guy. Crazier things have happened.
PREDICTION
Alvarez will be Alvarez. He’ll take his time, wait for openings and then pounce when they present themselves. And they will present themselves. Yildirim is a decent boxer with some toughness but he doesn’t have the tools to cope with what Alvarez brings. The Turk will absorb the punches he takes in the early rounds but the more that land, the more they will wear him down. He will have taken too much punishment by the eighth or ninth round, at which time he will take a 10 count or the fight will be stopped by the referee or Yildirim’s corner.
Alvarez KO 9
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