The Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs play Game 5 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Thursday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Arena. Below, we analyze the Canadiens-Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
The Canadiens posted a 2-1 victory in this venue in Game 1, but they have dropped three straight in the series. The Habs have managed a total of just four goals of support for G Carey Price through four games.
The Maple Leafs dropped the series opener but have outscored the Canadiens 12-4 in the series, with the Under connecting in three of four games.
Canadiens at Maple Leafs: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Canadiens +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Maple Leafs -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Canadiens +1.5 (-130) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 5.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
Canadiens at Maple Leafs: Projected starting goalies
Carey Price (12-7-5, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Jack Campbell (17-3-2, 2.15 GAA, .921 SV%, 2 SO)
Price is 1-3 in this series, but he has a solid 2.58 GAA and .920 SV% in his four starts while allowing 3 or fewer goals in three of the four outings. Unfortunately for Price, the offense has averaged just 1.0 goals per game to support him.
Campbell allowed 2 goals on 30 shots in Game 1 and took the loss in his first-ever playoff start. He hasn’t lost since, rattling off three consecutive victories while allowing 2 total goals. Campbell turned aside all 32 shots he faced in Game 4 in Montreal for his first career playoff shutout.
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Canadiens at Maple Leafs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Maple Leafs 3, Canadiens 2
Money line (ML)
The Maple Leafs (-250) are a little on the expensive side, and you cannot risk two and a half times your potential return, even if it looks impossible to lose. You’re still backing a team that hasn’t won a playoff series since 2004, and a team that hasn’t won the Stanley Cup since 1967.
AVOID.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The CANADIENS +1.5 (-130) are worth a look, as Montreal still hasn’t realized its offensive potential yet, and they have to score eventually, right?
Campbell has been an amazing story, and he has been very good all season but the Habs are making him look like the second coming of Johnny Bower.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 5.5 (-130) is the lean in this one. Price hasn’t been bad, and the Canadiens offense hasn’t been able to solve Campbell.
There’s little reason to believe an offensive shootout is coming. The signs just haven’t been there at any point on either side.
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