The Georgia Southern Eagles (6-6) and Buffalo Bulls (6-6) meet in the Camellia Bowl Tuesday afternoon at the Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Ala. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Georgia Southern vs. Buffalo odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Georgia Southern, under the leadership of coach Clay Helton, have an all-time record of 3-1 in bowl games. GSU also has won 6 national championships at the FCS level, last winning in 2000.
Georgia Southern won a wild 51-48 overtime win at home against Appalachian State, a game which essentially was a playoff game for a bowl bid between the 2 Sun Belt teams. That victory snapped a 3-game loss and non-cover skid for GSU.
Georgia Southern won its only game against a MAC team, Ball State, on Sept. 24 at home, topping the Cardinals 34-23 while covering a 9.5-point number.
Buffalo eked out a 23-22 win in the regular-season finale in a rescheduled game Dec. 2, attaining bowl eligibility by the narrowest of margins. Buffalo started the season 6-1-1 ATS in the first 8 games, but ended up 0-4 ATS in the final 4 outings.
Buffalo is 2-3 all-time in 5 bowl appearances, winning the previous 2 under coach Lance Leipold. In 2020, UB won the Camellia Bowl over Marshall.
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Georgia Southern vs. Buffalo odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Georgia Southern -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Buffalo +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread (ATS): Georgia Southern -4 (-110) | Buffalo +4 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
Georgia Southern vs. Buffalo picks and predictions
Prediction
Georgia Southern 38, Buffalo 34
Moneyline
GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-180) is a little on the expensive side, but just under my personal money line limit. It is also an attractive addition to a multi-team parlay.
Buffalo (+155) closed the season on a low note, and barely scraped into a bowl game with an uninspiring win over lowly Akron in the finale. The Bulls have won just once since Oct. 22, and they’re not going to get it done in the bowl either.
Against the spread
GEORGIA SOUTHERN -4 (-110) is worth a small-unit play, but the 3 and a hook isn’t terribly attractive in what could be a close game.
While Buffalo +4 (-110) has struggled down the stretch, it should be able to move the ball on a shaky GSU defense. The Eagles are great passing, ranking 4th in the nation with 327.4 passing yards per game. But GSU allowed 497.7 total yards per game on defense, and 240.3 rushing yards per game, both 129th in the country. And the Eagles yielded 32.3 PPG, so the Bulls could be on parade.
Over/Under
OVER 66.5 (-112) is the way to go, and is the best play on the board.
As mentioned, Georgia Southern’s defense is atrocious, and it doesn’t do one particular thing well. However, the offense is amazing, and can hang in a shootout with anybody.
Buffalo has cashed the Over in 4 of the last 5 games, allowing 27 or more points in 4 of those outings. The offense is good for 23 or more points in each of the last 11 games, too, so this will be a high-scoring affair.
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