The national champion will be decided when the Gonzaga Bulldogs (26-0) and Baylor Bears (22-2) square off in the final game of the NCAA Tournament on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium, beginning at 9:00 PM ET. Bookmakers expect Gonzaga to win it all, naming the Bulldogs as 4.5-point favorites.
The Bulldogs were led by Drew Timme’s 25 points last time out in a 93-90 win against UCLA on Saturday. They failed to cover the spread as 14.5-point favorites, while the teams scored a combined 183 points to hit the over on the 147 over/under.
Jared Butler led the way for the Bears with a team-high 17 points last time out as they picked up a 78-59 win over Houston and covered the 5-point spread as favorites. The teams combined to hit the over on the 135 point total set for the matchup.
Baylor at Gonzaga: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 11:55 PM ET on April 3, 2021.
- Money line: Baylor +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Gonzaga -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Baylor +4.5 (-110) | Gonzaga -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 160 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Gonzaga: Three things to know
- Timme leads the Bulldogs in points and rebounds. He contributes 19.0 points per game while tacking on 7.2 rebounds.
- The Bulldogs average 91.6 points per game, 26.3 more points than the 65.3 the Bears give up.
- When Gonzaga puts up more than 65.3 points, it is 31-0 overall and 16-0-2 against the spread.
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Baylor: Three things to know
- Butler leads the Bears in scoring, averaging 16.5 points per game. Butler leads the squad with a team-high 2.5 made three-pointers per game.
- The Bears put up an average of 82.8 points per game, 13.6 more points than the 69.2 the Bulldogs give up.
- Baylor has put together a 14-0-1 ATS record and a 24-1 overall record in games where it scores more than 69.2 points.
Baylor at Gonzaga: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Gonzaga 80, Baylor 74
Money line
The model and MGM are in agreement that the Gonzaga Bulldogs are favored.
Against the spread (ATS)
The MGM line for this game has the Bulldogs favored by 4.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (5.6 points).
Over/Under (O/U)
The MGM point total for this matchup is just 5.9 points higher than the model projection.
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