Not to make excuses for some of the NFL’s better teams, but I’m inclined to believe the more surprising results of Week 14 were mere aberrations. Good teams on auto-pilot that struggled to get up for games against not-so-good teams.
The biggest favorite of the week, the Dallas Cowboys needed a game-winning drive in the final seconds of the fourth quarter to beat the 17-point underdog Houston Texans. The next-biggest favorite at 9.5 points, the Kansas City Chiefs allowed the Denver Broncos to climb out of a 27-0 hole before barely edging them out by six.
The Buffalo Bills also failed to cover as nine-point favorites over the New York Jets, though their opponent was at least formidable.
I’m not taking a whole lot from any of these games. The Bills, Chiefs and Cowboys are still some of the best teams in the NFL. But I do expect to see more good teams play down to their competition in the coming weeks. This is just the point in the season where we all know who the bad teams are, the good teams find it harder to get up for those games and the underdogs want to play spoiler.
Does that mean Houston will cover 14 points against Kansas City this coming week? I wouldn’t go that far. But hey, you never know.