See how David Carr of NFL.com thinks new Bucs QB Tom Brady will perform in his first season in Tampa Bay.
The NFL world was shocked when six-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady opted to leave the New England Patriots after 20 seasons and take his talents to Tampa Bay, a franchise that hasn’t been to the postseason since 2007 and hasn’t won a playoff game since Super Bowl XXXVII.
There were signs last year that perhaps Brady’s time in New England was drawing to a close. A struggling offense that failed to find any sort of rhythm, and operated without both Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown, couldn’t get the Patriots back to the Super Bowl. Instead, New England was upset at home by the Tennessee Titans in the divisional round.
Now in Tampa, Brady will command an offense that averaged 28.6 points per game last season and has a bevy of talent on their roster, including Pro Bowl receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, along with tight end and former first-round pick O.J. Howard.
And, given that former Bucs quarterback Jameis Winston had 5,109 passing yards and 33 touchdowns in 2019 (not to mention 30 interceptions), you’d think Brady was in line for a historic season, right?
Well, according to former NFL quarterback and current NFL.com analyst David Carr, Brady may be in for a somewhat tame 2020 season in terms of stats. Carr predicts Brady will finish the year with 4,500 passing yards, 30 touchdowns and 12 interceptions with a 60 percent completion rate. It’s a stat line any QB would likely take in a heartbeat, but when you are the Golden Boy operating in such a high-powered offense, you’d think there’d be more touchdowns to be thrown.
Here is part of Carr’s thinking on Brady’s upcoming season:
“In New England, Brady has been in a system that works from the inside out, with a number of dink-and-dunk throws. In Tampa, Brady has the luxury of throwing to some of the top threats on the perimeter in the league, a group that features Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and tight end O.J. Howard. With Bruce Arians’ ‘no risk it, no biscuit’ policy and Brady’s ability to identify and exploit coverages, I expect to see the veteran drop back around 40 times per game. I can actually see this approach being successful in this situation as long as the G.O.A.T. is protected.”
I’m sure the Bucs don’t care what numbers Brady puts up in 2020 as long as it leads them back to the postseason. One thing that seems certain is that Brady won’t throw 30 interceptions like Winston did. At least, we hope.
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