NBA Cup final: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Bucks and Oklahoma City Thunder meet in the NBA Cup championship game Tuesday. Tip-off from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Bucks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split 1-1 last season

Milwaukee has won 3 games in a row after clinching its spot in the final with a 110-102 win over the Atlanta Hawks at T-Mobile Arena Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. F Giannis Antetokounmpo scored a team-high 32 points and grabbed 14 rebounds while G Damian Lillard added 25 points.

Oklahoma City has won 5 games in a row after defeating the Houston Rockets 111-96 in the semifinals in Las Vegas Saturday as a 5-point favorite. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a game-high 32 points and was 1 of 4 Thunder starters who scored 19 or more.

Bucks vs. Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Thunder -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +4.5 (-105) | Thunder -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bucks at Thunder key injuries

Bucks

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (leg) probable
  • Damian Lillard (calf) probable
  • Khris Middleton (illness) probable

Thunder

  • Chet Holmgren (hip) out
  • Jaylin Williams (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Bucks at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 113, Bucks 106

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Thunder (-200), who have won 9 of their last 10 games and are 20-5 this season, to take down a Bucks team that is 14-11.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER -4.5 (-115).

The Bucks are just 10-14-1 ATS and have failed to cover 3 of their last 5 games. If the Thunder can contain Antetokounmpo and Lillard, the Bucks could be in for a long night.

The Thunder are 16-7-2 ATS and have covered or pushed in 9 of their last 10 games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 216.5 (-110).

This total is low considering the Thunder and Bucks are 9th and 11th, respectively, in offensive efficiency.

The Bucks have hit the Over in 2 of their last 3 games and scored 110 or more points in 7 of their last 10. The Thunder have scored 111 or more in 6 straight.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (40-25) visit Paycom Center Tuesday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-44). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Bucks are coming off a 132-122 home win over the Phoenix Suns, covering as 9-point favorites. The Bucks are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) over their last nine games despite that they’ve covered three of their last four outings.

Milwaukee is 17-13 straight up on the road this season and will enter as heavy favorites against a banged-up Thunder team.

The Thunder have had limited success since the return of G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander despite having several key players injured. Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 33.3 points, 6 rebounds and 6.7 assists over six games since he returned from a 10 game absence.

The Thunder are 3-3 ATS in those 6 games and are 2-2 ATS when given double digits on the spread over that span. They’re 38-22-4 ATS on the season, the second-best covering rate in the NBA.

Bucks at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:07 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bucks -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100) | Thunder +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -13.5 (-107) | Thunder +13.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Bucks at Thunder key injuries

Bucks

  • G Grayson Allen (hip) out
  • G Pat Connaughton (finger) out

Thunder

  • G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
  • C Derrick Favors (back) out
  • G Josh Giddey (hip) out
  • C Isaiah Roby (back) questionable

Bucks at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 123, Thunder 107

Money line

PASS.

The Bucks at -1200 has no value, but with Milwaukee surging and having playoff positioning to play for, I expect them to come out on top. The Bucks are also the far healthier side.

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Against the spread

BET the BUCKS -13.5 (-107).

The Thunder’s key injuries should prove to be too much.

While SGA has been a menace offensively, he’ll be met by G Jrue Holiday, one of the best perimeter defenders in the league with 3 All-Defensive team nominations to his name.

He’s tallied over 37 minutes in three straight games, so there should be a healthy dose of Holiday in this battle. The Thunder don’t have the length needed to stop F Giannis Antetokounmpo who is averaging 29.2 points per game.

The Bucks are also 8-6 ATS this season when spotted double figures, and I expect them to come out strong in this one. Milwaukee is 14-7 ATS this season as a road favorite.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight lean to the Over 230.5 (-107).

The Bucks are 8-2 O/U over their last 10 while the Thunder, who typically have prided themselves on their defense this season, are 6-3-1 O/U. OKC ranks 10th in defensive rating.

The Over is the stronger play here, but considering the defensive potential by both teams, I’d sit this one out.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Milwaukee Bucks (16-10) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-15) Sunday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Below, we analyze the Bucks-Thunder NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Bucks at Thunder: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bucks -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Thunder +475 (bet $100 to win $475)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bucks -11.5 (-110) | Thunder +11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Bucks at Thunder: Key injuries

Bucks

  • PG Jrue Holiday (health and safety protocols) out

Thunder

  • SF Trevor Ariza (personal) out
  • PG Shea Gilgeous-Alexander (knee) out
  • PG George Hill (thumb) out
  • PG Theo Maledon (health and safety protocols) out

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Bucks at Thunder: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bucks 123, Thunder 115

Money line (ML)

The Bucks (-650) should be able to easily push past the Thunder, but there is no value betting Milwaukee straight up. You have to risk six and a half times your potential return.

In other words, you could win this wager 87 percent of the time and still be behind in overall bankroll. AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The THUNDER +11.5 (-110) have covered the spread in each of their past three outings, each as a 9.5-point underdog or greater. They have also covered in five straight as dogs of eight or more points.

The Bucks will get it done straight up, but take OKC on its home hardwood to keep it at least within single digits for another cover.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 227.5 (-110) is the play whenever the Bucks are involved. The Over has connected in three straight for Milwaukee, and it’s 7-1-1 in the Bucks’ past nine games.

OKC hasn’t been nearly as prolific offensively, and combined for a total of just 192 points in its most recent outing against the Denver Nuggets. The Over is still 3-1 in the past four for the Thunder and 5-3 in their past eight overall.

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