The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) and Atlanta Falcons (5-6) will square off for the second time this season Sunday, meeting for a critical matchup as the playoff picture in the NFC begins to take shape. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Buccaneers bounced back nicely after losing two straight games to the Saints and Washington, beating the Colts and Giants in the last two weeks.
They’ve scored a total of 68 points in their last two games and now rank first in scoring and third in total yards – largely due to the MVP-caliber play of QB Tom Brady.
The Falcons have endured a difficult season on both sides of the ball, though they did win their last game by beating the Jaguars, 21-14. It snapped a two-game losing streak in which the Falcons were outscored 68-3 by the Cowboys and Patriots.
Buccaneers at Falcons odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Buccaneers -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Falcons +420 (bet $100 to win $420)
- Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -10.5 (-112) | Falcons +10.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Buccaneers at Falcons key injuries
Buccaneers
- WR Antonio Brown (suspension) out
- FS Mike Edwards (suspension) out
- FS Jordan Whitehead (calf) out
- LB Devin White (quadriceps) questionable
- CB Jamel Dean (shoulder) questionable
- LG Ali Marpet (abdomen) out
Falcons
- DL Jonathan Bullard (ankle) questionable
- P Dustin Colquitt (health and safety protocols) questionable
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Buccaneers at Falcons odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Buccaneers 30, Falcons 21
Money line
The Buccaneers seem to be hitting their stride but they’re also dealing with a few issues, primarily the new absence of Edwards in the secondary. That’ll hurt the defensive backfield, as will Brown’s continued absence and Pierre-Paul’s shoulder injury.
None of that should prevent them from beating the Falcons. However, the Buccaneers (-600) is just too expensive for a road favorite in a divisional contest.
Against the spread
Both the Falcons and Bucs are 5-6 ATS this season and in their first meeting of the year, Tampa Bay won easily, 48-25.
Even with WR Calvin Ridley still out and a serious lack of playmakers on offense, the Falcons should be able to hang with the Buccaneers and keep it within a 10-point game.
Take the FALCONS +10.5 (-108) to cover the spread.
Over/Under
In the last 10 games between the Buccaneers and Falcons, the total has gone Over nine times. And since Brady arrived in 2020, the total has gone over in all three meetings.
As inconsistent as the Falcons offense has been this season, I think they’ll score enough to help keep pace with the Buccaneers and push the total OVER 50.5 (-112).
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