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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) meet the Cleveland Browns (3-7) for a Week 12 battle at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Buccaneers vs. Browns odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Buccaneers have won each of the past 2 outings, and they’re looking for a season-high 3rd-consecutive victory. Tampa Bay is also looking for back-to-back covers for the first time since Weeks 1-2.
Tampa Bay has lost and failed to cover each of its 2 games against AFC opponents this season, splitting the Over and Under in those outings.
The Browns lost 31-23 against the Buffalo Bills at Ford Field in Detroit last week in a game moved due to copious amounts of snow in western New York. Cleveland has won just once in the past 7 games overall, while covering just 2 times in the span.
Cleveland hasn’t faced an NFC team at home this season, and it is 1-1 SU/ATS in 2 games vs. NFC this season.
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Buccaneers at Browns odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Browns +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Against the spread: Buccaneers -3.5 (-102) | Browns +3.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -111 | U: -109)
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Buccaneers at Browns key injuries
Buccaneers
- RB Leonard Fournette (hip) doubtful
- WR Russell Gage Jr. (hamstring) out
- OG Luke Goedeke (foot) out
- NT Vita Vea (foot) questionable
Browns
- CB Greg Newsome II (concussion) out
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Buccaneers at Browns picks and predictions
Prediction
Buccaneers 24, Browns 20
Moneyline
The BUCCANEERS (-170) are a little on the pricey side, but not a bad play if you don’t want to fiddle around laying the points.
There is risk, as Tampa Bay hasn’t won 3 in a row all season. However, the defense is playing tremendous football lately, and the Bucs are well rested as it is coming off a bye.
Tampa Bay has dropped its past 2 road games, including a setback at Carolina as a 13-point favorite. But Cleveland is a poor team, which just seems to find a way to lose, especially in close games.
Against the spread
Play BUCCANEERS -3.5 (-102), but go very lightly. As a favorite of 3 or more points, Tampa Bay is 0-3-1 ATS this season, so there is a lot of risk.
The Browns +3.5 (-118) are 2-2 ATS as an underdog of 3 or more points, including the past 2 outings. It’s really difficult to envision a scenario where the struggling defensive unit, led by embattled defensive coordinator Joe Woods, is able to slow down rested future Hall of Famer Tom Brady and the visiting Bucs.
Over/Under
OVER 42 (-111) is the lean here.
The Over has cashed at a 7-2-1 clip overall for the Browns, including 4-0-1 in 5 home games this season. Cleveland has allowed 30 or more points in each of the past 2 games, and 4 of the past 6 games overall.
The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 games for the Buccaneers, but the Over did hit in the most-recent game against an AFC team.
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