The Denver Broncos (4-10) visit the Los Angeles Rams (4-10) on Christmas as they square off Sunday afternoon in Week 16. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium will be at 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Rams odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Broncos have been one of the NFL’s most disappointing teams this year, ranking 32nd in points scored (218). They’ve wasted a dominant defense, which is 3rd in points allowed (253), getting very poor play out of QB Russell Wilson in his 1st season in Denver. In the last 6 games, the Broncos are just 1-5 with their only win against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 15.
The Rams are currently in the midst of 1 of the worst post-Super Bowl seasons ever, tying the record for the most losses by a defending champion – coincidentally with the 1999 Broncos. QB Matthew Stafford, WR Cooper Kupp and WR Allen Robinson are among the players out for the year, while DT Aaron Donald is unlikely to play due to a high ankle sprain. The result? the 31st-ranked scoring offense in football.
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Broncos at Rams odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Broncos -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Rams +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Broncos -3 (-116) | Rams +3 (-104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)
Broncos at Rams key injuries
Broncos
- OL Calvin Anderson (ankle) questionable
- LB Randy Gregory (knee) questionable
- WR Kendall Hinton (hamstring) out
- RB Latavius Murray (foot) questionable
- OL Dalton Risner (shoulder, back, foot) questionable
- WR Courtland Sutton (hamstring) questionable
- FS K’Waun Williams (wrist, knee) questionable
Rams
- C Brian Allen (calf) out
- DL Marquise Copeland (ankle) out
- DT Aaron Donald (ankle) out
- WR Ben Skowronek (calf) out
- QB John Wolford (neck) out
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Broncos at Rams picks and predictions
Prediction
Broncos 17, Rams 13
Moneyline
This is an evenly matched game between 2 bad teams. The Broncos have the edge at QB with Wilson over the Rams’ Baker Mayfield, but just barely. Defensively, Denver is also marginally better than the Rams.
As poorly as the Broncos have been playing, they have more to work with on their current roster because Los Angeles has more injuries than any team in football. I would LEAN BRONCOS (-170) in this one.
Against the spread
The Broncos are 6-8 ATS this season compared to the Rams’ 4-8-2 ATS record. They’re only laying 3 points against arguably the worst offense in football, which is now without its starting center and another starting receiver.
I like the BRONCOS -3 (-116) to cover the spread and win by at least a field goal because it’s going to be a real challenge for the Rams to score more than 1 TD against this Denver defense.
Over/Under
Not only do the Broncos and Rams rank 32nd and 31st in points scored, but they’re also the 2 best red zone defenses in football. So if/when these teams do reach the red zone, they’ll struggle to turn those possessions into TDs. Therefore, we could get a bunch of field goals.
The Over/Under is only 36.5 points, but I still think it goes UNDER (-111) that number. Combined, the Under is 20-8 in the Rams and Broncos’ 28 games this season.
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