Tag: Brewers Red Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (26-25) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (29-21) to Fenway Park Saturday. First pitch in the 2nd game of the 3-game series is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

The Brewers beat the Red Sox 7-2 to kick off the series, covering as underdogs and closing at +117 on the moneyline. Milwaukee, which sits atop the NL Central, is 3-4 straight up over its last 7 games and just 5-6 over its last 11. The Brewers are 28-22 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Red Sox saw their 4-game winning streak snapped with the loss Friday. They had swept the Tampa Bay Rays in the series prior. That win streak piggybacked off a 4-game losing streak. Boston sits 3rd in the AL East and is 23-28 ATS. It is 7-6 over its last 13 games.

Brewers at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Colin Rea vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Rea (3-2, 4.07 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 48 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 9-4 road loss to Houston Astros Sunday
  • 2024 away splits: 1-1, 4.74 ERA (24 IP, 9 ER), 21 H, 4 HR, 6 BB, 17 K in 5 starts
  • Never faced Red Sox before

Pivetta (2-2, 3.04 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 26 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 11-3 road win over St. Louis Cardinals Sunday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-0, 3.18 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 5-4 win in 12 innings vs. Rays May 14
  • Career vs. Brewers: 1-2, 9.19 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.85 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 3 starts

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Brewers at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Brewers +1.5 (-166) | Red Sox -1.5 (+138)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Brewers at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+120).

Boston is the 6th-worst home team in MLB with a 10-14 straight up record at Fenway, and its starting pitcher, Pivetta, has struggled heavily in his career against the Brewers.

Milwaukee is the flip of that and is a strong 17-12 on the road this season. The Brewers are 16-12 following a win as well. They are 4-2 in Rea’s last 6 starts.

Back BREWERS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Brewers as run-line underdogs are just too expensive, and the moneyline offers better value. While the Red Sox are enticing here, their home struggles diminish any value.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (+100).

The Brewers have gone Over in 5 of their last 10 games, but they have been hot offensively for most of the season with a 29-20-1 O/U record. Milwaukee has scored at least 7 in 2 of its last 3.

The Red Sox might be 19-29-3 O/U, but they have gone Over in 5 of their last 8 games, scoring at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5. Back OVER 9.5 (+100).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (28-21) visit the Boston Red Sox (26-24) on Friday for the 1st game in a 3-game series. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 2 of 3 games last season

Milwaukee lost 1-0 to the Miami Marlins on Wednesday while failing to cover as a -125 road favorite. Held to only 4 hits, RHP Freddy Peralta (1 ER in 7 IP) was the tough-luck loser.

Boston has won 4 games in a row after taking down Tampa Bay 8-5 on Wednesday covering as a +131 road underdog while completing the series sweep. RF Wilyer Abreu and C Connor Wong led the way on offense with 2 RBIs each while RHP Brayan Bello allowed 3 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Brewers at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Wilson (2-1, 2.79 ERA) makes his 7th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.72 BB/9 and 7.22 K/9 in 38 2/3 IP.

  • Has given up 2 ER or fewer in each of his 6 starts
  • Has allowed 12 ER and 6 HR while striking out 31 and walking 16

Crawford (2-2, 2.17 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.79 BB/9 and 8.84 K/9 in 58 IP.

  • Red Sox are 3-7 in his last 10 starts
  • Has allowed 2 ER or fewer in all but 2 starts.
  • Has given up 14 ER and 3 HR while striking out 57 and walking 18

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Brewers at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-135).

Boston has won its last 4 games and has scored 5 or more runs in 6 of its last 7 games. It has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 4. Milwaukee has lost 3 of its last 4, all on the road, and has scored 2 or fewer runs in 2 of its last 3 while allowing 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 4.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).

Both pitchers have demonstrated their abilities to limit runs in their previous outings this season. Both the Brewers and Red Sox have hit the Under in 2 of their last 3 games with the Brewers scoring 2 or fewer runs in 2 of their last 3 and the Red Sox holding opponents to 2 or fewer runs in 2 of their last 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-44) and Boston Red Sox (50-52) close out a 3-game interleague series Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 2-0

The Brewers are looking to sweep this series and have won 7 of their last 8. Milwaukee went into the All-Star break having lost 8 of 11. Since the break, the Brewers are 7-1 with a robust .910 OPS at the plate.

Boston has lost 9 of its last 11. On July 10, the Red Sox were 8 games over .500 (47-39) and in 2nd place in the AL East. Since that date, they are 3-13 with a Boeing 7.33 ERA.

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Brewers at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Josh Winckowski

Ashby (2-8, 4.38 ERA) has appeared in 19 games (13 starts). He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 76 IP.

  • Notched career-highs in innings pitched (7) and pitches (111) in his last start: 7 IP, 5H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 9K vs. Colorado July 25.
  • Owns a 3.63 ERA over his last 4 outings.

Winckowski (3-5, 5.18 ERA) owns a 1.50 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 40 IP across 8 starts.

  • Has coughed up 14 runs — and 5 home runs — over his last 14 IP.
  • Facing a Milwaukee club at its best against right-handed pitching (.757 OPS, 4th MLB).

Brewers at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Red Sox +120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Brewers at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Red Sox 4

Money line

Boston has played a much tougher schedule of late. But with scuffling Winckowski on the bump, it will take plus-money closer to +130 to get to acceptable action leverage. PASS otherwise.

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Run line/Against the spread

Both clubs have played a lot of 1-run games. Boston’s relief corps is in much better shape heading into this series finale.

The Sox are at their best when facing lefty hurlers (.760 OPS).

BACK THE RED SOX +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Both bullpens have better underlying numbers than surface numbers. The same goes for both starters.

There is a lean in principle on the Under 9.5 (-112). But the pricing here seems to be counter to the market by more than a few cents. Hold out for a -107 or better on the 9.5 total.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (55-44) and Boston Red Sox (50-50) clash in a 3-game interleague series which opens Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of teams since 2017. Red Sox lead series 8-7 since 2003.

The Brewers swept a 2-game set from the Minnesota Twins this week and have won 5 of their last 6. This surge comes after Milwaukee had struggled over the latter stages of the 1st half. The Brewers went into the All-Star break having lost 8 of 11.

On July 10, the Red Sox were 8 games over-.500 (47-39) and in 2nd place in the AL East. Since that date, they are 3-11 with a Boeing 7.45 ERA.

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Brewers at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Brandon Woodruff vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Woodruff (8-3, 3.73 ERA) is making his 15th start of the 2022 season. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 3.30 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 532 1/3 career IP.
  • Has home/road splits tilting hard toward turns in Milwaukee: Has a 5.26 ERA, 1.49 WHIP on the road.
  • Has a 2.33 ERA in his last 7 starts.

Bello (0-2, 10.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 2.50 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 12 IP.

  • The 23-year-old rookie made his Major League debut July 6.
  • Walks have been a problem. So too have been balls in play: has coughed up a .478 batting average on such events. Has done well to limit barrels (2.2%) and hard contact (28.3%).

Brewers at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Red Sox +135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (-103) | Red Sox +1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Brewers at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Red Sox 4

Money line

Boston has played a much tougher schedule of late. Its talent would warrant a plus-money underdog play at +140 or better. PASS otherwise.

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Run line/Against the spread

Woodruff’s recent numbers have been buoyed by a 100% home-run avoidance rate. On a warm, wind-out-to-center night at Fenway, and off back-to-back starts with 100-plus pitches, look for some regression.

Both clubs have played a lot of 1-run games.

BACK THE RED SOX +1.5 (-117).

Over/Under

Both bullpens have better underlying numbers than surface numbers. The same goes for both starters.

Boston struggles against right-handed pitching and is off its game to begin with. There is a lean in principle on the Under 9.5 (-135). But rarely is a 25-cent Under going to provide enough value. HOLD OUT FOR A BETTER PRICE.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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