Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (9-6) and Philadelphia Phillies (6-9) face each other Sunday in the rubber match of their 3-game series. First pitch is 7 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The season series is tied 1-1.

The Brewers dropped the series opener 4-2 Friday, but bounced back with a 5-3 victory Saturday. They have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Phillies have only 3 wins in their last 11 games. They had won 2 in  a row before Saturday’s loss to the Brewers.

Brewers at Phillies projected starters

LHP Eric Lauer vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Lauer (1-0, 3.48 ERA) makes his third start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3 BB and 10 K in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Went 6 innings in his last outing and got the win, allowing only 1 run on 1 hit and a walk.
  • In 3 career starts against the Phillies, he’s 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA.

Nola (1-2, 5.52 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 4 BB and 16 K in 14 2/3 IP.

  • Had his best outing in last start vs. the Colorado Rockies, going 5 1/3 innings and allowing 2 runs on 6 hits with a walk and 4 Ks.
  • Has career 39-21 record with a 3.18 ERA in Citizens Bank Park.

Brewers at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET

  • Money line (ML): Brewers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-155) | Phillies -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Brewers 4

Money line

The Brewers have lost consecutive games twice already this season. Nola has 8 career starts against the Brewers and is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA.

The Phillies are 4-4 at home this season and at no point have they had a losing record at home this season.

I LEAN PHILLIES (-175).

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Run line/Against the spread

While the Phillies only have 6 wins this season, 5 of them are by at least 2 runs. They are 4-8 ATS as the favorite.

The Brewers are 6-9 ATS on the season. They are underdogs for the third game in a row, all in this series. They are 1-1 ATS as underdogs.

Take PHILLIES -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

One of the games in the series had 8 runs, which would be Over Sunday’s projected total.

The Brewers are averaging 3.53 runs per game, while the Phillies average 4.27.

Seven of the Brewers’ 15 games this season have had at least 8 runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-120).

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