Brewers Giants picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Milwaukee Brewers (50-42) wrap up their 6-game road trip with the finale of a 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants (47-43) Sunday afternoon. First pitch is at 4:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Giants lead the season series 3-1.

The Brewers won the 1st game of the series and have dropped the last 2. They have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

The Giants picked up the win Saturday 2-1 and seek a series win Sunday. They have won 6 of their last 8 games.

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Brewers at Giants projected starters

LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Logan Webb

Ashby (2-6, 4.37 ERA) makes his 12th start in 18 appearances. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 68 IP.

Has allowed 3 runs in 9 1/3 IP in his last 2 starts.
Allowed 18 runs in 18 2/3 IP in the 4 starts prior to the last 2.
First career game against the Giants.

Webb (8-3, 2.82 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 111 2/3 IP.

Has allowed 1 or fewer runs in 5 of his last 6 starts.
In 2 career starts against the Brewers, he is 0-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in 13 innings.

Brewers at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Brewers +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-175) | Giants -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Brewers 2

Money line

The Brewers have been held to 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games. They have not lost more than 2 in a row since dropping 8 straight from June 3-11.

They have lost 5 of Ashby’s last 6 starts.

The Giants are 11-7 with Webb on the mound this season.

Take the GIANTS (-150).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers managed to cover the spread in Saturday’s game, but they have only covered the spread twice in their last 10 games. They are 24-28 ATS on the road.

The Giants, though, are only 17-30 ATS at home this season. They are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games.

But with Webb on the mound against Ashby, who had a really rough stretch in June, I say take the GIANTS -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

Three of the 4 games between the 2 teams this season as have had 7 or fewer runs.

Nine of the Giants’ last 15 games have had 8 or more total runs.

Three of the Brewers’ last 6 have had 8 or more runs.

I LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

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The Milwaukee Brewers (49-40) open a 4-game road series against the San Francisco Giants (45-42) Thursday. First pitch is 9:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the first meeting between the 2 teams this season. The Brewers won last year’s season series 4-3.

The Brewers split the 1stseries of their road trip, a 2-game set against the Twins. They have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

The Giants won the final 2 games of their home series against the Diamondbacks to pick up a series win. They have won 4 of their last 5 games.

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Brewers at Giants projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Burnes (7-4, 2.20 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 106 1/3 IP.

The Brewers lost his last start 2-1 to the Cubs, although he pitched 7 scoreless innings and struck out 10 batters. He had a no-decision.
He got the victory in his 4 starts prior to that.
Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 12 of his 17 starts this season.

Rodon (8-5, 2.70 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 100 IP.

Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 14 of his 17 starts this season, but the Giants are only 8-9 when he pitches.
Threw a complete game 3-hitter in his last start and picked up the victory in a 3-1 win over the San Diego Padres. He struck out 12.

Brewers at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:22 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Giants -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewer -1.5 (+165) | Giants +1.5 (-205)
Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Brewers at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Giants 3

Money line

The Brewers’ 28 road wins this season are the 2nd-most in the majors. They have won 5 of their last 8 away games.

However, while they are 9-7 in their last 16 games, they have dropped 5 of their last 7.

They are 10-7 when Burnes starts.

The Giants have won 4 of their last 5 games but are only 5-9 in their last 14. Three of their 5 wins in that stretch came against the last-place Arizona Diamondbacks.

Take the BREWERS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

Milwaukee actually has the 3rd-worst ATS record in baseball at 38-51 ATS. They are 23-26 ATS on the road.

The Giants are 15-29 ATS at home, but are 4-0 ATS as a home underdog.

This pitching matchup is bound to lead to a close game, so it is tough to lean towards the Brewers, while it isn’t worth the action to bet the Giants at -205. PASS on the run line unless you are including it in a parlay bet.

Over/Under

Only 2 of Burnes’ last 8 starts have had totals of 6 or fewer runs. Eight of Rodon’s 17 starts have had 6 or fewer runs.

Seventeen of the Brewers’ last 20 games have had 7 runs or more total runs.

Ten of the last 12 for the Giants have also had 7 or more runs.

Take OVER 6.5 (-108).