Tag: Brewers Dodgers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Milwaukee Brewers (52-38) and Los Angeles Dodgers (55-35) wrap up a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

After dropping Friday’s opener 8-5, the Brewers lost 5-3 as -105 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday as the Under (9) hit. Milwaukee has lost 3 straight games.

DH Shohei Ohtani and LF Miguel Vargas each homered in the 8th inning for L.A., which cashed as a -103 underdog. C Will Smith also homered in the 1st inning, becoming the 1st Dodgers player to hit a HR in 4 straight at-bats since Adrián González in 2015.

Brewers at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Dallas Keuchel vs. TBD

Keuchel (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 9 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 win at Colorado Rockies Tuesday
• Brewers are 2-0 in his starts this season
• Never faced Dodgers in regular season before; started 2 games against L.A. in 2017 World Series

L.A. had not yet announced a starter, but LHP Justin Wrobleski is expected to make his MLB debut.

• 2024 stats with Triple-A Oklahoma City: 0-1, 4.35 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 in 2 starts
• Was taken in 11th round of 2021 draft

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Dodgers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline

The BREWERS (+140) should avoid the sweep Sunday with a 23-year-old making his MLB debut for the Dodgers. Milwaukee is 22-15 after a loss this year and hasn’t lost 4 straight games all season.

While Keuchel has finished 5 straight seasons with an ERA over 5.00, he did allow just 2 ER in his last start in Colorado and should get enough run support to pull out the win.

BET BREWERS (+140).

Run line/Against the spread

Milwaukee +1.5 (-140) should hit, but with a starter as unpredictable as Keuchel taking the mound, getting Brewers ML at plus money is the preferred choice over laying -140 on the run line.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 25-19-1 in Dodgers home games this season, and Wrobleski making his MLB debut should lead to a higher-scoring game.

The Dodgers’ 9th-ranked prospect entering the season posted a 4.35 ERA in Triple-A, and Keuchel has given up 4 or more ER in 4 of his last 8 appearances (5 starts) dating back to last season.

BET OVER 9.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (52-36) and Los Angeles Dodgers (53-35) open a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won 5-1 last year

The Brewers split a 4-game series at the Colorado Rockies Monday through Thursday, losing 4-3 as -128 favorites in the finale as the Under (11) easily hit. Milwaukee is 8-3 in its last 11 and hasn’t lost 2 straight since a 3-game skid June 20-22.

The Dodgers are coming off a disappointing series, dropping 2 of 3 home games to the Arizona Diamondbacks. L.A. was outscored 26-13 and wrapped up the series with a 9-3 loss as -109 favorites Thursday with the Over (8.5) cashing.

Brewers at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Civale (2-6, 5.07 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 87 IP with the Tampa Bay Rays.

• Was traded to Milwaukee Wednesday from Tampa Bay
• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 8-1 home defeat to Washington Nationals Saturday
• 2024 road stats: 1-2, 6.10 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.59 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 8 starts
• Never faced Dodgers before

Glasnow (8-5, 3.23 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and MLB-best 11.9 K/9 in 103 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 14-7 win in 11 innings at San Francisco Giants Saturday
• 2024 home stats: 6-3, 3.21 ERA (56 IP, 20 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career vs. Brewers: 0-2, 6.14 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 2.11 WHIP, 11.7 K/9 in 2 starts and 4 relief appearances — last appearance in 2018 and last start in 2017

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:29 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-200) haven’t lost 3 straight since a 5-game skid May 21-26 and should bounce back against Civale and the Brewers. However, it’s hard to beat MLB long term laying -200 on teams, especially with the amount of vig in this line.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Both teams have done well when coming off a loss this season. According to Teamrankings.com, the Dodgers are 19-15 on the run line in this situation, while the Brewers are 19-16. L.A.’s advantage at starting pitcher is too overwhelming in this spot to take the Brewers, though.

Glasnow has been great at bouncing back after poor performances. MLB’s strikeout leader has not given up a run in 2 starts this season when coming off an outing with 5 or more ER allowed.

Civale, on the other hand, has lost at an impressive clip this year considering he was playing for the Rays; Tampa Bay went 1-9 in his last 10 starts.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

Civale has allowed 4 or more ER in 4 of his last 7 road starts, and L.A. (2nd in MLB with 5.03 runs per game) will probably get back on track after scoring just 3 runs against the Diamondbacks Thursday.

The Over is 15-10-3 (60%) when the Brewers are coming off a loss and 24-17-1 (58.5%) when the Dodgers are in the same situation.

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (65-56) and Los Angeles Dodgers (73-46) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-1

Milwaukee had a 4-game win streak snapped in a 6-2 loss Tuesday and then lost Wednesday’s game 7-1. After downing Los Angeles 9-3 on May 8, the Brewers have lost 4 straight to the Dodgers and have been outscored 27-5 along the way.

The Dodgers have been almost perfect this month. Wednesday triumph was the club’s 10th in a row. The Dodgers are 14-1 with a plus-58 run differential since Aug. 1.

Brewers at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Burnes (9-6, 3.60 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 145 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 3 BB, 5 K in a 7-6 win at  Chicago White Sox Friday
• 2023 road stats: 5-3, 3.35 ERA in 80 2/3 IP in 13 starts
• Career vs. Dodgers: 1-2, 8.62 ERA in 18 2/3 IP in 4 starts (2019-22) and has allowed a 1.205 OPS in Chavez Ravine
• Has benefited from a .238 batting average on balls in play
• Has walked 10 batters over his last 17 2/3 IP

Lynn (9-9, 5.88 ERA) is making his 25th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.85 K/9 in 137.2 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-1 home win vs. Colorado Rockies Friday
• 2023 home stats: 4-4, 5.92 ERA in 62 1/3 IP in 11 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Brewers: 5-0, 0.59 ERA in 30 2/3 IP (2015-21)
• Has battled the tough combination of a low ground-ball rate (37.4%) and a high home runs/fly balls rate (20.5%) but over his last 5 starts at Dodger Stadium has held foes to 1 HR or less 4 times

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Brewers at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:48 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Brewers 4

Moneyline

Milwaukee figures to be overrated by their record, and Los Angeles has been the lean in this set. Thursday’s game tilts the pitching toward the Brewers, but L.A. is still the play.

The Brewers have averaged 4.26 runs per game (RPG) while allowing 4.30 RPG. They have been fortunate to go 24-10 in 1-run games.

The Los Angeles offense has registered a high-contact .866 OPS this month (.911 OPS at home).

BACK THE DODGERS (-150).

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers are 33-14 in games decided by 5-plus runs. They do not get embroiled in a lot of close games and that’s especially true of late. But we should look for a bit more return before this run line play supersedes the moneyline wager above.

If Dodgers -1.5 gets to +140 or above, that’s the play. If not, PASS.

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Over/Under

Dodger bats on a roll, Burnes a bit too far over his skis, and Hill having some downside make the OVER 8.5 (-105) worth a partial-unit play.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (65-55) and Los Angeles Dodgers (72-46) meet Wednesday for the middle contest of a 3-game series. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1

Milwaukee had a 4-game win streak snapped in a 6-2 loss in Tuesday’s series lid-lifter. After downing the Dodgers 9-3 on May 8, the Brewers have lost 3 straight to the Dodgers and they’ve been outscored 20-5 along the way.

The Dodgers have been almost perfect in August. L.A.’s Tuesday triumph marked the club’s 9th in a row. The Dodgers are 13-1 with a plus-52 run differential since Aug. 1.

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Brewers at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Wade Miley vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Miley (6-2, 2.90 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 77 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 7-3 home loss to the Colorado Rockies Aug. 8
• 2023 road stats: 4-1, 3.07 ERA in 44 IP across 8 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Dodgers: 1-3, 5.33 ERA in 27 IP (2014-23)
• Has benefited from a .247 batting average on balls in play
• Last pitched against L.A. on May 10 and coughed up 7 ER in 5 IP (allowed 3 HR)

Kershaw (10-4, 2.51 ERA) is making his 18th start of the season. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 100 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 home win vs. Colorado Rockies Thursday
• 2023 Home stats: 4-1, 1.71 ERA in 42 IP across 7 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Brewers: 2-1, 3.04 ERA in 26 2/3 IP (2018-23)
• Last faced Milwaukee May 10 and allowed 1 R in 7 IP (0 BB, 8 K)
• Buoyed by a .265 BABIP and 85.3% left-on-base rate

Brewers at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Brewers +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-115) | Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Brewers 4

Moneyline

It’s tough to find value with a public team like the Dodgers on a 9-game win streak, but the Brewers figure to be overrated by their record and Los Angeles is a lean in this set.

Milwaukee has averaged 4.31 runs per game (RPG) while allowing 4.26 RPG. The Brewers have been fortunate to go 24-10 in 1-run games and there would likely be some value here save for the juice — but that percentage cuts too far into our own.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers are 32-14 in games decided by 5-plus runs. They do not get embroiled in a lot of close games and that’s especially true of late.

Los Angeles has a much better offense. Dodger bats have good high-contact and hard-contact numbers against Miley.

Consider a partial-unit play on LOS ANGELES -1.5 (-105). Go in fully vested if the price improves.

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Over/Under

The Over is 67-45-6 in Dodger games. The mound match-up has some faulty actual-vs.-expected numbers — some luck around the margins — on both sides.

Consider a half-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-105) with full-unit activation at +100 or better.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (65-54) and Los Angeles Dodgers (71-46) open a 3-game set Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-1

The Brewers won 7-3 as -148 favorites at the Chicago White Sox Sunday. Brewers 1B Carlos Santana hit a 3-run HR in the 8th inning as Milwaukee completed a 3-game sweep and won a 4th in a row. The Brewers are in 1st place in the NL Central with a 3½-game lead over the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds.

The Dodgers won 8-3 as -343 home favorites vs. the Colorado Rockies Sunday. The Dodgers have won their last 8 contests and own a 9-game lead over the 2nd-place San Francisco Giants in the NL West.

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Brewers at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Houser (4-3, 4.38 ERA) makes his 15th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 78 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-6 home victory in 10 innings vs. Rockies Wednesday
• 2023 road stats: 2-2, 4.66 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 20 ER) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
• Career vs. Dodgers (regular-season): 0-1, 19.29 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 12-6 road loss Aug. 24, 2022

Miller (6-2, 3.89 ERA) makes his 14th start. The rookie has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 69 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 2-0 victory at Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
• 2023 home stats: 2-2, 5.85 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 21 ER) in 6 starts
• Never faced Brewers before

Brewers at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-225) will probably get their 9th straight win, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when they should win by multiple runs.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers’ last 3 wins have been by 3 or more runs, and the Brewers’ last 3 losses have also been by a minimum of 3 runs. The Dodgers are 48-35 (57.8%) on the run line this season vs. NL teams (per Teamrankings.com), while Milwaukee is just 38-43 (46.9%).

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

The Over is 67-44-6 (60.4%) this season in Dodgers games, MLB’s best Over record according to Teamrankings.com.

Houser struggled in his only career start vs. the Dodgers and now must face them after they scored 8 runs in their last outing.

BET OVER 9 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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