Tag: Brewers Blue Jays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (29-26) close out a 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays (29-27) on Thursday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Brewers evened up the series with a 4-2 victory Wednesday. Milwaukee has won only 2 of its last 6 games and is 1 game ahead of the Pittsburgh Pirates for 1st place in the NL Central.

Blue Jays RHP Alek Manoah‘s struggles continued as he allowed 2 earned runs and struck out only 2 batters over 4 innings in an 89-pitch. Toronto has gone 4-6 in its last 10 contests and is in 4th place in the AL East, 10 games back of the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.

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Brewers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Peralta (5-4, 4.64 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 54 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 5-plus hits and 3-plus ER in each of his last 3 starts
  • Has walked 2-plus batters in 7 of his turns

Gausman (3-3, 3.03 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 68 1/3 IP.

  • Has struck out 7-plus batters in 8 of his first 11 starts
  • His ERA is ballooned due to allowing 7-plus ER in 2 of his first 11 starts despite that he’s surrendered 2 or fewer ER in 8 outings

Brewers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Blue Jays -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Blue Jays (-200) are favored with Gausman on the mound, but taking their moneyline isn’t worth the risk at such steep odds considering how they’ve played lately.

Run line/Against the spread

BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-105) has decent value with Peralta struggling in recent starts for the Brewers. Milwaukee was tied for the 4th-worst wRC+ (82) against right-handed pitching in May.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Despite Peralta’s recent woes, it’s tough to expect 9 or more runs in this matchup. The Brewers are 3-0-1 to the Under in their last 4 interleague games and the Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these squads in Toronto.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (28-26) and Toronto Blue Jays (29-26) will continue their 3-game series with Game 2 Wednesday at Rogers Centre in Toronto. First pitch is at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0

The Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are flirting with the .500 mark with a 1-game lead on the Pittsburgh Pirates in the NL Central. They lost to the Blue Jays 7-2 on Tuesday. Milwaukee has scored the 5th-fewest runs in the majors (216) and C William Contreras leads the team with a .253 batting average.

After losing 7 times in an 8-game stretch, the Blue Jays have righted the ship a bit, winning 3 of their last 4 games. They took 2 of 3 from the Minnesota Twins in their last series. SS Bo Bichette leads the team in batting average (.331), home runs (11) and RBI (38).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Julio Teheran vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Teheran (0-1, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 5 innings.

  • Last start: 5 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K in 1-0 loss Thursday to San Francisco Giants
  • Is 0-1 with a 7.66 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Blue Jays

Manoah (1-5, 5.53 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 53 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: 3 IP, 3 H, 5 R (4 ER), 5 BB, 6 K in 6-3 loss Thursday to Tampa Bay Rays
  • Won only career start vs. Brewers: 6.2 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 3 K

Brewers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Blue Jays -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-140) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

This pick has more to do with Manoah than anything regarding the Blue Jays’ lineup. I don’t doubt that Toronto will plate a handful of runs against Teheran and the Brewers, but I don’t trust Manoah against Milwaukee. He has 1 quality start all season and has walked at least 4 batters in 7 starts this year.

His lack of control and his susceptibility to the long ball should keep the Brewers in this game. Bet BREWERS (+140) to win outright on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

If Teheran can give the Brewers 5 good innings like he did in his 1st start of the season, Milwaukee will have a great chance to win this game. Manoah is struggling badly right now and the Blue Jays have lost each of his last 5 starts, 4 of which were by at least 3 runs.

I like the BREWERS +1.5 (-140) to cover, but I prefer the money line at +140.

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Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 7 of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games and there have been at least 9 runs scored in each of Manoah’s last 5 starts. The Over is 5-4-1 in the Brewers’ last 10 games, so the trend isn’t as glaring as the Blue Jays’, but this should still be a high-scoring game at Rogers Centre.

BET OVER 9.5 (-115).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (28-25) open a 3-game interleague series with the Toronto Blue Jays (28-26) Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 2 of 3 meetings in 2022

The Brewers stopped a 3-game losing skid with a 7-5 victory Sunday against the San Francisco Giants. The 7 runs were the most Milwaukee had scored in 13 games dating back to May 14.

The Blue Jays blanked the Twins 3-0 on Sunday, taking 2 of 3 games from Minnesota at Target Field. The Under has cashed in 2 of the past 3 outings after a 6-0 run to the Over.

Milwaukee has posted a 13-8 record in interleague play, tied with the Tampa Bay Rays for the most interleague victories in the majors. Toronto has a 7-4 record against the National League this season.

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Brewers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Houser (1-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 20 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 4-0 home win vs. the Houston Astros Wednesday
  • 2023 Road splits: 0-0, 1.69 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 2 ER) with a .275 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Kikuchi (5-2, 4.56 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 51 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-3 road loss vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • 2023 Home splits: 2-1, 3.54 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 8 ER – 5 HR) with a .250 OBA in 4 starts

Brewers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-160) are worth a look as moderate favorites in this interleague series opener.

Toronto has won just 3 times in the past 11 games, but they’re 20-9 in the past 29 series openers. The Blue Jays have won 35 of their past 52 interleague games while going 20-6 against the NL in the past 26 at home.

The Brewers haven’t been as dependable in series openers, dropping their past 4. Milwaukee is also 1-4 in the past 5 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher while going 3-9 in its last 12 on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+120) are a solid value on the run line.

Toronto covered the run line in each of its 2 wins over the weekend as a favorite, snapping an 0-8 skid as a favorite on the run line.

The Brewers have dropped 7 of the past 11 games overall, and Milwaukee has won outright just 3 times in the previous 12 away from home.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 9.5 (-115) is worth a look in Game 1 of this interleague series.

The Under is 19-5-2 in the past 26 games for the Brewers following a scheduled day off, while going 5-2 in the past 7 games against left-handed starting pitcher. The Under is 7-2-1 in the past 10 interleague games vs. LHP.

The Over has dominated lately for the Blue Jays, going 7-2 in the past 9 games overall, although the total went low in 2 of 3 games over the weekend.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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