The Atlanta Braves (66-46) and Miami Marlins (50-61) open a 4-game series Friday with 1st pitch from loanDepot park for this NL East matchup set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Braves lead 5-4
The Braves won both games against the Red Sox in their 2-game series Tuesday and Wednesday. That snapped a 3-game losing streak and got them back on track after dropping 5 of 6.
The Marlins won their last game, beating the Phillies 3-0 on Thursday night. However, they haven’t won back-to-back games since July 13-14 and have lost 9 of their last 12 games.
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Braves at Marlins projected starters
RHP Jake Odorizzi vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Odorizzi (4-4, 3.76 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP.
- Has made just 1 start since joining the Braves, allowing 2 ER in 4 2/3 innings against the Mets on Saturday
- In his last 33 innings, he’s allowed 16 ER and has 29 strikeouts
Lopez (7-7, 3.57 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 123 2/3 IP.
- Has lost his last 2 starts, allowing 10 ER on 21 H in in just 7 2/3 IP
- Marlins have won 4 of his last 7 starts and he’s pitched at least 5 innings in 9 of his last 10 starts
Braves at Marlins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Marlins +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+120) | Marlins +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Braves at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Marlins 3
Money line
Even though the Braves sputtered against a really good New York Mets team recently, they got back on track by taking 2 from the Red Sox – and fairly easily by a total score of 17-11. Odorizzi isn’t going to strike out a high number of batters, but he’ll induce enough outs against a bad Marlins lineup.
I like the BRAVES (-145) to win outright and it’s an especially good play in a parlay.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Marlins haven’t scored more than 3 runs since July 29, a stretch of 11 straight games. It shouldn’t be terribly difficult for the Braves to keep their offense in check, and as long as Atlanta’s bats come alive like they did against the Red Sox, they should be able to cover the spread.
Take the BRAVES -1.5 (+120), though maybe only as a half-unit to go with a moneyline bet.
Over/Under
The Over/Under is set fairly low because the Marlins simply have not been putting runs across the plate. In 5 of their 9 meetings this season, there have been at least 8 total runs scored.
I like the OVER 7.5 (+100) with 2 mid-tier starters on the mound, especially with Lopez struggling in his last 2 outings.
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