The Atlanta Braves (97-58) and Washington Nationals (53-101) close out a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Atlanta leads 14-4; the Braves are 28-9 over their last 37 games against the Nationals
In a tight series played in Atlanta last week (Monday-Wednesday), the Braves took 2-of-3 games from the Nationals. However, Atlanta has left no room for doubt so far in this set in D.C. The Braves have thus far dealt the Nationals losses by scores of 8-0 and 8-2. Atlanta has scored 24 runs over its last 3 games and 30 over its last 4.
Washington’s offense has slid the other way of late. The Nationals have gone 2-7 while scoring 19 runs in their last 9 games. Washington is just 3-16 since Sept. 6.
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Braves at Nationals projected starters
RHP Jake Odorizzi vs. RHP Josiah Gray
Odorizzi (5-6, 4.61 ERA) has logged a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 97 2/3 IP across 20 starts.
- Allowed 8 runs in his last start and owns a 6.27 ERA over his last 7 turns
- Gets beaten up more than most starters in his 3rd time around the order (.881 OPS allowed career, .984 OPS allowed in 2022), so he is typically held to shorter starts
- Only 1 of his last 8 starts has gone 6 IP
Gray (7-10, 5.17 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 142 2/3 IP.
- Owns a 6.57 ERA at home
- Has yielded 4 ER or more in 4 straight starts
- Has had success against Atlanta, clocking a 2.25 ERA over 16 IP through 2021 and 2022
Braves at Nationals odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-130) | Nationals +1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Nationals 4
Money line
Atlanta has been getting a lot of clutch hits of late and is likely a tad overrated on offense. The Braves are a potential fade team in the near future, but not Wednesday against this Washington club. AVOID.
Run line/Against the spread
With a likable Over, PASS on trying to get by with a Washington plus play.
Over/Under
There is a fade lean to the pitching for a 3rd straight day at Nationals Park.
With the way the Braves have been hitting, they can do much of the heavy lifting here.
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120).
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