Brandon Figueroa vs. Stephen Fulton odds, picks and prediction: jr. featherweight championship

Breaking down Saturday’s Brandon Figueroa vs. Stephen Fulton jr. featherweight fight, with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

In a 12-round WBO junior featherweight title bout, Brandon Figueroa and Stephen Fulton meet Saturday at Dolby Live at Park MGM in Las Vegas. The fight is expected to start at approximately 6 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Figueroa vs. Fulton odds and lines, with boxing picks and predictions.

Figueroa, a.k.a. “The Heartbreaker”, enters with a 22-0-1 record, including a KO win over Luis Nery, May 15, at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. Before that, he stopped Damian Vazquez via TKO at the Mohegan Sun Casino Sept. 26, 2020. His most recent fight in Vegas was a split-draw against Julio Ceja at the MGM Grand Garden Arena.

For Fulton, he stopped Angelo Leo via unanimous decision Jan. 23 at the Mohegan Sun, and three of his past four fights (all wins) have ended up going the distance. A meeting with Figueroa represents a huge step up in competition and purse earnings.

Figueroa vs. Fulton odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Brandon Figueroa:+220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Stephen Fulton: -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Total Rounds: 10.5 (Over: -410 | Under: +260)
  • Will the fight go the distance? Yes: -260 | No: +180

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Fulton (-340) is a rather moderate favorite with an implied win probability of 77.27%. A $100 bet on the favorite would return of a profit of just $29.41 with a victory as a chalky wager.

Figueroa vs. Fulton tale of the tape

Brandon Figueroa (+220)

Record: 22-0-1 (17 KOs)

Height: 5-foot-8

Reach: 72.5 inches

Stance: Orthodox

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Stephen Fulton (-340)

Record: 19-0-0 (8 KOs)

Height: 5-foot-6.5

Reach: 70.5 inches

Stance: Orthodox

Figueroa vs. Fulton predictions and picks

Fulton (-340) is a rather heavy favorite, but I am just not seeing it. FIGUEROA (+220) represents a much better value, and he has more knockouts to his credit, posting 17 KO/TKOs in his 23 career fights.

Figueroa also steps into the ring with a two-inch reach advantage, looking to keep the favorite at bay. Fulton has had just one KO/TKO win in his past four fights, and if he were to win, it would be by points.

I like Figueroa to win this one, picking and choosing his spot to get close for the knockout blow. As such, UNDER 10.5 ROUNDS (+260) is a huge value, as is NO (+180): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE.

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Luis Nery vs. Brandon Figueroa fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Luis Nery and Brandon Figueroa with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBC junior featherweight title bout Saturday when Luis Nery and Brandon Figueroa meet at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. The undercard is set to begin at 9 p.m. ET, with the Nery-Figueroa fight set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Nery vs. Figueroa odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.

Nery vs. Figueroa: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:00 a.m. ET.

Luis Nery -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Brandon Figueroa +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +2000

Nery has an implied win probability of 71.43% with the -250 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 2/5 or a decimal of 1.4.

Nery vs. Figueroa: Tale of the tape

Luis Nery (-250)

Nery (31-0, 24 KOs) last fought Sept. 26, 2020 at the Mohegan Sun Casino in Uncasville, Conn. with a unanimous-decision victory against Aaron Alameda. It was a rare fight to the distance, as six of his previous eight fights have ended via KO/TKO.

He changed trainers prior to the Nery fight, going with Eddy Reynoso, who made Canelo Alvarez into a superstar. But Nery’s fight was subpar against Alameda, and he has since parted ways with Reynoso after one fight, going back to Ismael Ramirez, his original trainer. He should go back to his roots, and more explosive style, rather than being a tactician.

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Brandon Figueroa (+200)

Figueroa (21-0-1, 16 KOs) heads into the ring with a three-inch height advantage over Nery, and he has almost seven inches more reach. “The Heartbreaker” bounced back from a draw with Julio Ceja Nov. 23, 2019, topping Damien Vazquez Sept. 26, 2020, at the Mohegan Sun Casino on the same card as Nery. He is 8-0-1 across his past nine fights with seven KO/TKO results.

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Nery vs. Figueroa: Odds, predictions and picks

FIGUEROA (+200) is worth a roll of the dice as a rather moderate underdog. I like his height and reach advantage as I think he’ll be able to keep Nery (-250) at arm’s length. More importantly, I don’t like the fact Nery will have a different trainer for the third consecutive fight. While yes, he goes back to Ramirez, who is his comfort blanket, Figueroa has a little more stability in his corner.

I don’t think Figueroa will be able to drop Nery for a KO/TKO win, so avoid that and you can skip the individual round betting, too. Normally I like to take a two- or three-round block, but this one should go the distance. Roll with FIGUEROA ON POINTS (+550) for a small-unit wager.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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