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Bowl Projections, College Football Playoff Predictions: Week 12

Bowl Projections and College Football Playoff Picks: Week 12. Now things are starting to become more clear with just one more week before the conference championships.

2021 College Football News bowl projections, predictions and possible matchups for the College Football Playoff: Week 12

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CFN 1-130 Rankings | Week 12 scoreboard
Week 13 opening lines | AP | Coaches
College Football Playoff Top 25 Prediction
Big Game Reaction: Utah, OSU, OU, Bama
Bowl Bubble: Who still has a shot?

Bowl Projections: Week 12

Okay, now this gets really, really funky – there probably won’t be enough bowl eligible teams.

As we said last week, this goes off of the Academic Progress Rate, and the latest edition came out last year. So with that in mind – everyone thinks the 2020 list is the right on – here are the potential teams that could be bowl eligible based on their APR if they finish 5-7. In order, it goes …

– Middle Tennessee – if it doesn’t beat Florida Atlantic
– Rutgers (So, if you’re a fan of one of the teams below this, root for Rutgers to beat Maryland this weekend.)
– Cal – if it wins once against UCLA and/or USC
– Texas – if it beats Kansas State
– Florida – if it doesn’t beat Florida State
– Illinois – if it beats Northwestern

Key Bubble Teams Projected In & Out
Need 6 wins to be bowl eligible

Projected In
– Charlotte vs Old Dominion winner
– Florida State at Florida winner
– Maryland at Rutgers winner

Projected Out
– Charlotte at Old Dominion loser
– Florida State at Florida loser
– LSU (5-6: Texas A&M)
– Maryland at Rutgers loser
– San Jose State (5-6: Fresno State)
– South Alabama (5-6: Coastal Carolina)
– USC (4-6: BYU, at Cal)
– Virginia Tech (5-6: at Virginia)

All times Eastern

Bahamas Bowl

Friday, December 17
ESPN, 12:00 pm
Thomas Robinson Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas
Bowl Tie-Ins: Conference USA vs. MAC
Bowl Projection: Old Dominion vs Toledo
Last Year: Canceled

Cure Bowl

Friday, December 17
ESPN2, 6:00 pm
Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
Bowl Tie-Ins: Group of Five vs. Group of Five (or Army)
Bowl Projection: Memphis vs UAB
Last Year: Liberty 37, Coastal Carolina 34

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl

Saturday, December 18
ESPN, 11:00 am
FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
Bowl Tie-Ins: Group of Five vs. Group of Five (or Army)
Bowl Projection: Florida Atlantic vs Appalachian State
Last Year: BYU 49, UCF 23

Cricket Celebration Bowl

Saturday, December 18
ABC, 12:00 pm
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Bowl Tie-Ins: MEAC vs. SWAC
Bowl Projection: South Carolina State vs Jackson State
Last Year: Canceled

New Mexico Bowl

Saturday, December 18
ESPN, 2:15 pm
Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
Bowl Tie-Ins: C-USA vs. Mountain West
Bowl Projection: WKU vs Nevada
Last Year: Hawaii 28, Houston 14

– CFN Rankings of All 130 Teams

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl

Saturday, December 18
ABC, 3:30 pm
Independence Stadium, Shreveport, LA
Bowl Tie-Ins: C-USA vs. BYU
Bowl Projection: UTSA vs BYU
Last Year: Canceled

LendingTree Bowl

Saturday, December 18
ESPN, 5:45 pm
Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, AL
Bowl Tie-Ins: MAC vs. Sun Belt
Bowl Projection: Western Michigan vs Liberty*
*No Sun Belt team projected available
Last Year: Georgia State 39, WKU 21

Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

Saturday, December 18
ABC, 7:30 pm
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Bowl Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac-12
Bowl Projection: San Diego State vs Oregon State
Last Year: Canceled

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

Saturday, December 18
ESPN, 9:15 pm
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Bowl Tie-Ins: C-USA vs. Sun Belt
Bowl Projection: Marshall vs Louisiana
Last Year: Georgia Southern 38, Louisiana Tech 3

Myrtle Beach Bowl

Monday, December 20
ESPN, 2:30 pm
Brooks Stadium, Conway, SC
Bowl Tie-Ins: Sun Belt vs. AAC or MAC or Group of 5
Bowl Projection: Coastal Carolina vs Kent State
Last Year: Appalachian State 56, North Texas 28

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Tuesday, December 21
ESPN, 3:30 pm
Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Bowl Tie-Ins: MAC vs. Mountain West
Bowl Projection: Eastern Michigan vs Boise State
Last Year: Nevada 38, Tulane 27

Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl

Tuesday, December 21
ESPN, 7:30 pm
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
Bowl Tie-Ins: Group of Five vs. Group of Five (or Army)
Bowl Projection: UTEP vs Utah State
Last Year: Canceled

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Wednesday, December 22
ESPN, 7:30 pm
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Bowl Tie-Ins: Big 12 or C-USA or Pac-12 or Army
Bowl Projection: Middle Tennessee vs Air Force
Last Year: Mississippi State 28, Tulsa 26

Union Home Mortgage Bowl

Thursday, December 23
ESPN, 7:00 pm
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Bowl Tie-Ins: AAC or ACC or Pac-12 or SEC
Bowl Projection: Cal vs Florida
Last Year: Canceled

EasyPost Hawaii Bowl

Friday, December 24
ESPN, 8:00 pm
Clarence TC Ching Complex, Honolulu, HI
Bowl Tie-Ins: American Athletic vs. Mountain West
Bowl Projection: SMU vs Wyoming
Last Year: Canceled

Camellia Bowl

Saturday, December 25
ESPN, 2:30 pm
Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, AL
Bowl Tie-Ins: MAC vs. Sun Belt (or C-USA)
Bowl Projection: Ball State vs Georgia State
Last Year: Memphis 25, Florida Atlantic 10

NEXT: More Bowl Projections: Week 12

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Bowl Bubble: Bowl Eligible Teams, Who’s In, Who’s Out, Week 12

Which college football teams are bowl eligible, which ones are out, and which ones are on the bubble and need a win in the final week?

College football bowl bubble: Which teams are bowl eligible, and which teams need a win or two over the final few weeks to get a bid?

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Bowl Bubble and Eligible Teams: Week 12

By conference, here’s the breakdown of every team that’s already bowl eligible, every team that’s not, and what’s left for the teams that need a win in the final season.

To be eligible, a team has to win six games or more.

Teams that became bowl eligible this weekend
Georgia State, Louisville, Miami, Miami University, Missouri, South Carolina, Tennessee, Toledo, Washington State, Wyoming

Teams that aren’t bowl eligible after this weekend
Buffalo, Illinois, Texas, ULM, Washington

American Athletic Conference Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Cincinnati, East Carolina, Houston, SMU, UCF

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Navy, Temple, Tulane, USF

Bowl Bubble
Memphis (5-6: Tulane)
Tulsa (5-6: at SMU)

ACC Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Boston College, Clemson, Louisville, Miami, North Carolina, NC State, Pitt, Virginia, Wake Forest

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Duke, Georgia Tech

Bowl Bubble
Florida State (5-6: at Florida)
Syracuse (5-6: Pitt)
Virginia Tech (5-6: at Virginia)

Big Ten Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Iowa, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Wisconsin

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Illinois, Indiana, Nebraska, Northwestern

Bowl Bubble
Maryland (5-6: at Rutgers)
Rutgers (5-6: Maryland)

Big 12 Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Kansas

Bowl Bubble
TCU (5-6: at Iowa State)
West Virginia (5-6: at Kansas)

Conference USA Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Marshall, UAB, UTEP, UTSA, WKU

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: FIU, Louisiana Tech, Rice, Southern Miss

Bowl Bubble
Charlotte (5-6: at Old Dominion)
Florida Atlantic (5-6: Middle Tennessee)
Middle Tennessee (5-6: at Florida Atlantic)
North Texas (5-6: UTSA)
Old Dominion (5-6: Charlotte)

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Independent Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Army, BYU, Liberty, Notre Dame

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: New Mexico State, UConn, UMass

Bowl Bubble: None

MAC Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Kent State, Miami University, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Western Michigan

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Akron, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Ohio

Bowl Bubble
Ball State (5-6: Buffalo)

Mountain West Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Air Force, Boise State, Fresno State, Nevada, San Diego State, Utah State. Wyoming

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Colorado State, Hawaii, New Mexico, UNLV

Bowl Bubble
San Jose State (5-6: Fresno State)

Pac-12 Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Arizona State, Oregon, Oregon State, UCLA, Utah. Washington State

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Arizona, Colorado, Stanford, Washington

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Cal (4-6: at UCLA, USC)
USC (4-6: BYU, at Cal)

SEC Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Missouri, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas A&M

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Vanderbilt

Bowl Bubble
Florida (5-6: Florida State)
LSU (5-6: Texas A&M)

Sun Belt Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina, Louisiana

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Arkansas State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Texas State, ULM

Bowl Bubble
South Alabama (5-6: Coastal Carolina)
Troy (5-6: at Georgia State)

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Bowl Bubble: Bowl Eligible Teams, Who’s Out, Who Needs A Win

Which college football teams are bowl eligible, which ones are out, and which ones are on the bubble and need a win?

College football bowl bubble: Which teams are bowl eligible, and which teams need a win or two over the final few weeks to get a bid?

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Week 11 Roundup
Rankings AP | Coaches | CFN 1-130 Rankings
Week 12 Early Line Predictions | Heisman Race
College Football Playoff Chase, Who’s Alive?
Bowl Projections | Week 11 Scoreboard, Predictions
Big Game Reactions: Baylor, Mich, Ole Miss, more
Coach Hot Seat Top 10 | Bowl Bubble: Who’s In, Out

Bowl Bubble and Eligible Teams: Week 11

By conference, here’s the breakdown of every team that’s already bowl eligible, every team that’s not, and what’s left for the teams that need a win or two.

To be eligible, a team has to win six games or more, but there’s a funky possibility that a few 5-7 teams could make it in based on their Graduation Success Rate if there aren’t enough eligible teams. We’ll get into that more when we need to, but for now …

American Athletic Conference Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Cincinnati, East Carolina, Houston, SMU, UCF

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Navy, Temple, Tulane, USF

Bowl Eligible Bubble: Memphis (5-5: at Houston, Tulane); Tulsa (4-6: Temple, at SMU)

ACC Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Boston College, Clemson, NC State, Pitt, Virginia, Wake Forest

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Duke, Georgia Tech

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Florida State (4-6: at Boston College, at Florida)
Louisville (5-5: at Duke, Kentucky)
Miami (5-5: Virginia Tech, at Duke)
North Carolina; Syracuse (5-5: at NC State, Pitt)
Virginia Tech (5-5: at Miami, at Virginia)

Big Ten Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Iowa, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Wisconsin

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Indiana, Nebraska, Northwestern

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Illinois (4-6: at Iowa, Northwestern)
Maryland (5-5: Michigan, at Rutgers)
Rutgers (5-5: at Penn State, Maryland)

Big 12 Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Kansas

Bowl Eligible Bubble
TCU (4-6: Kansas, at Iowa State)
Texas (4-6: at West Virginia, Kansas State)
West Virginia (4-6: Texas, at Kansas)

Conference USA Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Marshall, UAB, UTEP, UTSA, WKU

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: FIU, Louisiana Tech, Rice, Southern Miss

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Charlotte (5-5: Marshall, at Old Dominion)
Florida Atlantic (5-5: at WKU, Middle Tennessee)
Middle Tennessee (5-5: Old Dominion, at Florida Atlantic)
North Texas (4-6: at FIU, UTSA)
Old Dominion (4-6: at Middle Tennessee, Charlotte)

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Independent Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Army, BYU, Liberty, Notre Dame

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: New Mexico State, UConn, UMass

Bowl Eligible Bubble: None

MAC Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Akron, Bowling Green, Ohio

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Ball State (5-5: Central Michigan, Buffalo)
Buffalo (4-6: Northern Illinois, at Ball State)
Kent State (5-5: at Akron, Miami University)
Miami University (5-5: Bowling Green, at Kent State)
Toledo (5-5: at Ohio, Akron)

Mountain West Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Air Force, Boise State, Fresno State, Nevada, San Diego State, Utah State

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Colorado State, Hawaii, New Mexico, UNLV

Bowl Eligible Bubble: San Jose State (5-6: Fresno State); Wyoming (5-5: at Utah State, Hawaii)

Pac-12 Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Arizona State, Oregon, Oregon State, UCLA, Utah

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Arizona, Colorado, Stanford

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Cal (3-6: at Stanford, at UCLA, USC)
USC (4-5: UCLA, BYU, at Cal)
Washington (4-6: at Colorado, Washington State)
Washington State (5-5: Arizona, at Washington)

SEC Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Texas A&M

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Vanderbilt

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Florida (5-5: at Missouri, Florida State)
LSU (4-6: ULM, Texas A&M)
Missouri (5-5: Florida, at Arkansas)
South Carolina (5-5: Auburn, Clemson)
Tennessee (5-5: South Alabama, Vanderbilt)

Sun Belt Bowl Eligible Teams

Who’s Bowl Eligible: Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina, Louisiana

Who Already Isn’t Bowl Eligible: Arkansas State, Georgia Southern, Texas State

Bowl Eligible Bubble
Georgia State (5-5: Arkansas State, Troy)
South Alabama (5-5: at Tennessee, Coastal Carolina)
Troy (5-5: Appalachian State, at Georgia State)
ULM (4-6: at LSU, Louisiana)

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Bowl Projections, College Football Playoff Predictions: Week 11

Bowl Projections and College Football Playoff Picks: Week 11. Are there going to be enough bowl eligible teams? Who’s going to slip into the three College Football Playoff spots – other than Georgia?

2021 College Football News bowl projections, predictions and possible matchups for the College Football Playoff: Week 11

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CFN 1-130 Rankings | Week 11 scoreboard
Week 12 opening lines | AP | Coaches
College Football Playoff Top 25 Prediction
Big Game Reaction: Michigan, Baylor, more

Bowl Projections: Week 11

Key Bubble Teams Projected In & Out
Need 6 wins to be bowl eligible

Projected In: Charlotte (5-5: Marshall at Old Dominion)
– Missouri (5-5: Florida, at Arkansas)
– Maryland vs Rutgers winner

Projected Out: LSU (4-6: ULM, Texas A&M)
– Old Dominion (4-6: at Middle Tennessee, Charlotte)
– San Jose State (5-6: Fresno State)
– South Alabama (5-5: at Tennessee, Coastal Carolina)
– South Carolina (5-5: Auburn, Clemson)
– Syracuse (5-5: at NC State, Pitt)
– Texas (4-6: at West Virginia, Kansas State)
– USC (4-5: UCLA, BYU, at Cal)
– Virginia Tech (5-5: at Miami, at Virginia)
– Maryland vs Rutgers loser

Before we get going, here’s the crazy call that we think we have right, and begging all forgiveness in the meantime as everyone is checking to make sure.

There probably won’t be enough six-win, bowl eligible teams. With 4-7 Hawaii losing to UNLV yesterday, it probably won’t get to six – it normally needs seven – with Colorado State and at Wyoming to close. So …

It comes down to the top five-win teams among the Graduation Success Rate. Of the teams ranked highest on GSR that should matter for …

– Illinois (4-6: GSR 90, at Illinois, Northwestern)
– South Carolina (5-5: GSR 89, Auburn, Clemson)
– Syracuse (5-5: GSR 88, at NC State, Pitt)

Again, looking into this as we speak – assuming things go back to the way they were before 2020 – but for now we’ll slip in one five-win team into the mix.

All times Eastern