Tag: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays odds predictions pick betting line spread

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (80-78) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-85) conclude a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-4

SS Trevor Story’s 3-run double in the 10th inning led the Blue Jays to a 6-5 win Tuesday. Boston’s 4th straight victory keeps their flickering Wild Card hopes alive. A win on Wednesday would be the Red Sox’s 1st sweep since a July 2-4 takedown of the Miami Marlins

The Blue Jays got out to an early lead behind a 2-run double from DH Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is 2nd in the AL with a .324 batting average. Toronto has lost 5 straight games and 7 of their last 8 and  long been  eliminated from playoff contention.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Richard Fitts vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Fitts (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 4.0 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss against Minnesota Twins Friday
  • Made MLB debut against the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 8
  • First time facing Blue Jays

Gausman (13-11, 3.91 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 175 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-0 win at Texas Rangers Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-6, 5.26 ERA (89 IP, 55 R (52 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 5.40 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 9 R (7 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-185) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+120).

The Red Sox are on a 4-game winning streak and still have a slim chance at the final AL Wild Card spot. Rookie Fitts has been stellar, throwing 15 2/3 innings without allowing an ER, and the Blue Jays will be seeing him for the 1st time, which often benefits the pitcher. Gausman has also struggled against Boston this season, giving up at least 3 ER in both of his previous starts against them. All these factors make a Red Sox moneyline bet a solid choice.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline with those plus odds.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams, indicating a trend that favors low-scoring affairs. Additionally, the Blue Jays have seen the Under cash in 6 of their last 7 games, suggesting their offense has been struggling. With Fitts on the mound for Boston, the Under is 2-0-1 in his first 3 career starts, showcasing his ability to limit scoring opportunities. All signs point to a low-scoring game, making the Under a smart bet.

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (79-78) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-84) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 7-4

The Red Sox won 4-1 as +105 underdogs in the Monday opener as the Under (8) hit. SP Tanner Houck (5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K) recorded his 1st win in 11 starts since the All-Star break. Boston is 3½ games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and has a 0.5% chance to make the playoffs, according to FanGraphs.com.

Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 0-for-4 Monday as his average dropped to .324. Toronto has lost 4 straight games and has already been eliminated from playoff contention.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Bowden Francis

Bello (14-8, 4.49 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2-0 setback at Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • 2024 road stats: 8-4, 4.19 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Toronto: 2-1, 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Toronto: 3-4, 5.58 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 8 starts

Francis (8-5, 3.47 ERA) makes his 13th start and 27th appearance. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 98 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 2-0 setback at Texas Rangers Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-1, 3.80 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 12 appearances (4 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Boston: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2 appearances (1 start)
  • Career vs. Boston: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (9 2/3 IP), 0.31 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 4 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-125) have not lost 5 straight games since a 7-game skid June 17-24. Toronto is a respectable 30-20 on the season as a home favorite, and Bello’s career 5.58 ERA against it bodes well for a Toronto bounceback game.

While Boston is playing to keep its postseason hopes alive, this is still a divisional rivalry and Toronto would love to eliminate the Red Sox.

BET BLUE JAYS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Boston +1.5 (-200) will likely hit, but it’s hard to win long term in MLB betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over has gone 29-21 (58%) in divisional games for the Blue Jays this season. Bello has struggled against Toronto in his career, and Guerrero will likely have a big game after going hitless Monday. In his last outing after a no-hit performance, Guerrero went 3-for-4 with 2 HRs (Sept. 19 at Texas).

BET OVER 8 (+100). I’m also not against playing VLADIMIR GUERRERO JR. OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+120) as a derivative.

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (73-83) welcome the Boston Red Sox (78-78) to Rogers Centre Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 6-4

The Red Sox swept the Minnesota Twins in a Sunday doubleheader, winning 8-1 and then 9-3. Boston did lose the opener of the 3-game series and is just 3-4 over its last 7. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East and a solid 41-37 on the road. They are 73-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Blue Jays, who are 5th in the AL East, were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays on the road, dropping Sunday’s final game of the series 4-3 as a +115 underdog. Toronto lost 2 of 3 to the Texas Rangers in the series prior. It is 1-5 in its last 6 games and 6-12 over its last 18. The Blue Jays are 38-37 at home and 79-77 ATS.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Houck (8-10, 3.21 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 road win over the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-4, 3.08 ERA (79 IP, 27 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 3.94 ERA (32 IP, 14 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 7 appearances (6 starts)

Bassitt (10-13, 4.16 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 166 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 13-8 road loss to the Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-7, 4.58 ERA (96 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 2.21 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+170) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -125)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+100).

Simply put, the Red Sox have been hot while the Blue Jays have been the polar opposite. Boston is 4 games out the last Wild Card spot and has something to play for while the Blue Jays have already been eliminated. The Red Sox are 2-1 in Houck’s last 3 starts and have won 3 of their last 5 games.

Boston has found its offense as well, scoring 17 runs in its last 2 games. The Blue Jays have totaled 5 runs in their last 3 games, so their offense has disappeared. Toronto has lost 3 in a row, but each loss was by 1 run, giving the moneyline value here over the run line.

With all that in mind, back RED SOX (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Red Sox as a run-line favorite, especially against a pitcher of Bassitt’s caliber, are far too risky to take. Similarly, the Blue Jays are too expensive to play as a run-line underdog.

Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-125).

The Blue Jays have gone Under in 5 straight games, scoring just 9 total runs in those games and allowing just 10. Toronto has one of its stronger pitchers starting on the mound as well.

The Red Sox have gone Over in 2 straight, but have gone Under in 3 of their last 5. They have defended at a high level, allowing just 11 runs over their last 5 games. While their offense has been hot over the last 2, they have tallied 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7.

Put it all together and take UNDER 8 (-125).

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (39-35) and Toronto Blue Jays (35-38) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 2-0

Boston has won 4 games in a row after taking down Toronto 4-3 Tuesday to cash as a -130 road favorite. CF Cedanne Rafaela hit a go-ahead RBI single in the 8th inning, 1 of his 3 hits on the night. LF Tyler O’Neill, who homered earlier in the 8th, scored twice as Boston won its 3rd straight series.

The Blue Jays have lost back-to-back games after Tuesday’s setback as +120 home underdogs. Blue Jays 3B Ernie Clement led the way on offense with a 2-run double in the 2nd inning, while LHP Brendon Little allowed 2 ER in the 8th and picked up the loss.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Bello (6-4, 5.00 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 63 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 8-1 home defeat against New York Yankees Friday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-3, 6.00 ERA (24 IP, 16 ER), 1.75 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 5 starts, including 1-1 with 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts last year

Gausman (5-5, 4.08 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 75 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home setback against Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 7-9, 4.44 ERA (131 2/3 IP, 65 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 23 starts and 5 relief appearances, including 0-1 with 10.80 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 10 ER) in 2 starts in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+110).

Boston has won 7 of its last 10 games, including each of its last 4 overall and each of its last 3 on the road. It has won 2 straight against Toronto and allowed 3 runs in each of its last 3 games while scoring 7 or more in 3 of its last 4. Toronto is just 2-4 in its last 6 games and has scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 8.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-105).

Boston has hit the Over in 5 of its last 7 games. It has scored 7 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and 6 or more in 6 of its last 9. It has allowed 3 or more runs in each of its last 10 games.

Toronto has hit the Over in 2 of its last 3 games and has scored 3 or more runs in 8 of its last 10, including 4 straight.

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (37-35) and Toronto Blue Jays (35-36) meet for the opener of a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Boston won 7-6 last season

Boston beat the New York Yankees 9-3 Sunday while covering as a +125 home underdog. The Red Sox led 4-3 and then scored 5 runs in the 7th and 8th innings to put the game away. Boston has won back-to-back games.

Toronto won 7-6 over the Cleveland Guardians Sunday as a -112 home favorite. RHP Jose Berrios picked up the win (6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 1 K). The Guardians have won 2 straight games.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Pivetta (3-4, 3.88 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in an 8-6 win over the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • Career vs. Toronto: 2-4, 5.35 ERA (79 IP, 47 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 15 appearances (13 starts)

Kikuchi (4-5, 3.26 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 77 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 3-0 win in Milwaukee Tuesday
  • Career vs. Boston: 0-2, 6.11 ERA (28 IP, 19 ER), 30 H, 12 BB, 24 K in 7 appearances (5 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

LEAN BLUE JAYS (-130).

Toronto has won back-to-back games and is 3-1 in its last 4 home games while the Red Sox are only 1-2 in their last 3 on the road. The Blue Jays have also won 6 straight vs. Boston.

This is only a lean because Boston has won 4 of its last 5 and is 6-4 in its last 10 games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I fully expect Boston to cover here as a +1.5 (-190) underdog, but this line is far too risky. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under has hit in 2 of Toronto’s last 3 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. For Boston, the Under is 34-32-6 on the season. The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 meetings and is 4-2 in the last 6 games played in Toronto.

Be aware that the Over is 7-2-1 in Boston’s last 10 games.

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (74-74) and Toronto Blue Jays (81-67) play game 2 of their 3-game series at Rogers Centre Saturday. First pitch is slated for 3:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 7-4

The Red Sox dropped their 8th game in their last 10 with a 3-0 loss as +134 underdogs as the Under (8.5) hit in Friday’s series opener. Boston has been held for less than 3 runs per game over the last 5. Their 3rd straight road loss dropped their away record to 36-36 on the season.

Toronto snapped its 4-game losing streak on Friday night behind a stellar 7-inning shutout performance from SP Jose Berrios. After losing their first 7 head-to-head matchups with the Red Sox, the Blue Jays have now won 4 straight and have outscored Boston 28-8 over this run.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Sale (6-4, 4.88 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11 K/9 in 86 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 R (6 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 13-12 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles on Sept. 9
  • 2023 road stats: 5-3, 4.86 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 25 ER), .249 OBA in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 8-5, 2.93 ERA (107 2/3 IP, 35 ER) in 16 starts and 3 relief appearances — last faced Toronto in 2019

Bassitt (14-8, 3.83 ERA) will make his 31st start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 178 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-4 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Monday
  • 2023 home stats: 7-4, 3.12 ERA (95 1/3 IP, 33 ER), .199 opponent batting average (OBA) in 15 starts
  • 2023 vs. Red Sox: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 13-1 road win Aug. 6
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 1.93 ERA (14 IP, 3 ER) in 2 starts

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Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

PASS.

While I like the Blue Jays (-125) to win this game, I don’t feel confident enough to make this bet. Toronto still has something to play for, while the Red Sox are playing out the string.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I know this is boring to not recommend a bet, but I’m not going to tell you to bet something I don’t believe in myself. I don’t love the Blue Jays enough — like I said in the moneyline section — to bet them to cover the run line. I would not mind taking the Red Sox getting the run and a half but not at -200 odds. Just ignore this bet.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-120).

Bassitt handled this Red Sox lineup earlier this season. He went 7 innings, allowing just 1 ER with 6 K. It’s been a few years for Sale since he last faced the Blue Jays, but in his last start against Toronto in 2019, he struck out 12 over 6 innings, allowing just 2 hits.

I think one ends up being a pitching duel between the starters, and it’ll come down to the bullpens on who gets the victory.

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (74-73) and Toronto Blue Jays (80-67) open a 3-game set Friday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 7-3

The Red Sox are coming off an 8-5 loss as +101 home underdogs vs. the New York Yankees as the Over (10) hit Thursday. Boston has lost 7 of its last 9 games.

The Blue Jays lost 9-2 as -151 home favorites vs. the Texas Rangers as the Over (7.5) cashed Thursday. Toronto has been a favorite of -126 or more in 8 of its last 9 losses and is 1½ games back of the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP José Berríos

Bello (12-8, 3.68 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 142 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 7-3 home victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 7-2, 3.80 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 28 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-2, 6.50 ERA (18 IP, 13 ER) in 4 starts

Berríos (10-10, 3.63 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 171 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-2 home victory vs. Kansas City Royals Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 5-5, 3.39 ERA (77 IP, 29 ER) in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-6, 4.34 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 37 ER) in 13 starts

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Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-140) should bounce back after getting swept in 4 games vs. the Rangers. Toronto has won the last 3 meetings vs. the Red Sox, and Berríos has allowed just 2 ER in back-to-back starts. It’s unlikely that Toronto will lose its 5th straight home game.

BET BLUE JAYS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

The Blue Jays have lost 4 straight and expecting them to win by multiple runs is a tough ask. Boston +1.5 (-175) will probably hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Toronto ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 33-27-4 (55%) this season when the Blue Jays are home favorites, according to TeamRankings.com. Toronto averaged just 2.25 runs per game in its series with Texas and should help the Under hit Friday, especially if Berríos can pick up where he left off last time out.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (42-42) and Toronto Blue Jays (45-39) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 6-0

The Blue Jays lost 7-6 as -162 favorites in the 2nd game of the series on Saturday. SS Bo Bichette was thrown out at home to end the game after missing a late stop sign from 3rd-base coach Luis Rivera. Toronto is 4th in the AL East, 11 games behind the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.

The Red Sox have won back-to-back games after dropping 5 in a row from June 24-29. Boston is 5th in the AL East, 14 games back of the Rays.

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Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Whitlock (4-3, 5.15 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 50 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 11 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 10-1 loss vs. Miami Marlins Tuesday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-1, 0.61 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 15 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 14 K in 1 start and 8 relief appearances

Gausman (7-4, 3.01 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 104 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 12 K in 3-0 loss vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 7-9, 4.48 ERA (126 2/3 IP, 63 ER), 125 H, 20 HR, 32 BB, 133 K in 22 starts and 5 relief appearances

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Blue Jays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-125) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

It’s unlikely that Toronto (-190) will lose to Boston for the 7th straight time this season, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when the Blue Jays should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto is 6-1 in Gausman’s last 7 starts and 5 of its last 6 wins have been by multiple runs.

Whitlock has given up 4 or more earned runs in back-to-back starts and Boston’s last 4 losses have all been by 2 or more runs.

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+105).

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Over/Under

The Under is 4-1 in Boston’s last 5 games and 6-1 in its last 7 on the road vs. teams with a winning record.

The Under has also hit in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 contests and should cash again Sunday with Gausman on the mound for the Blue Jays.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Red Sox at Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (40-42) begin a 3-game series at the Toronto Blue Jays (45-37) on Friday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 4-0

The Red Sox have been at or near the bottom of the AL East for quite some time now. They have lost 5 straight games and 6 of their last 8. The offense is in a slump and Boston hasn’t scored more than 4 runs in the last 8. That includes a 2-0 loss to the Miami Marlins on Thursday when RHP Brayan Bello took a no-hitter into the 8th inning.

The Blue Jays are also treading water in the dominant AL East, where they sit 4th. They have a winning record in interleague games and every in every AL division except their own. They are coming off a 2-1 victory against the San Francisco Giants.

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Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. RHP José Berríos

Paxton (3-1, 3.19 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 42 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 5-4 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Saturday
  • Five of his 6 HRs alllowed are to right-handed batters, despite a .180 batting average against righties

Berríos (8-5, 3.60 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 95 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 7-3 victory against the lowly Oakland Athletics on Saturday
  • Has .921 OPS when there are 0 outs vs. .525 when there is 1 out

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:58 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-165) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

The Blue Jays may be 8 games above .500, but they are 7-17 versus the AL East. On top of that Toronto has lost 6 of their last 7 series openers. I see Boston breaking their 5 game losing streak.

BET RED SOX +120.

Run line/Against the spread

As a home favorite, the Blue Jays are just 12-21 ATS and they’re 13-7 in 1-run games. While that is a great stat line showing their poise under pressure, it is not a great option to pick them ATS. And with the Red Sox +1.5 (-165), it is best to PASS.

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Over/Under

Toronto has hit the Under more often than not this season (41-37-4) and its more glaring after a win (24-17-3). But just like their record, the Blue Jays are a different team when facing a division rival. They have an Over record of 14-9-1 against the AL East.

Boston has the same divisional trend, with an Over record of 14-10. They also have had recent success against righties, going Over in 5 of their last 7 games.

LEAN OVER 9 (+100).

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (75-83) and Toronto Blue Jays (89-69) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 15-3

The Red Sox lost their 8th consecutive game to the Blue Jays Saturday, getting routed 10-0 at Rogers Centre. In his final start of the season, Red Sox RHP Brayan Bello allowed 4 R on a career-high 10 H in 4 IP.

Boston is 23-49 vs. AL East competition.

Blue Jays RF Teoscar Hernández and C Danny Jansen both homered Saturday as Toronto covered the run line for the 2nd consecutive game. SS Bo Bichette finished 4-for-4 in his MLB-leading 56th multi-hit game.

The Blue Jays clinched a playoff spot with the win and have a 1.5-game lead over Seattle for the top spot in the AL wild-card standings. Seattle has 5 games remaining and holds the head-to-head tiebreaker.

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Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Wacha (11-1, 3.06 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 123 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB and 3 K vs. the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
  • 2022 vs. Toronto: 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts

Gausman (12-10, 3.30 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 171 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 7 K vs. the New York Yankees Monday
  • 2022 vs. Boston: 3-0 with a 2.32 ERA (31 IP, 8 ER) in 5 starts

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Blue Jays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

PASS.

Blue Jays (-190) moneyline should hit, but there is better value on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+110).

Nine of the Blue Jays last 10 wins have been by multiple runs. When the Blue Jays win, the games aren’t close.

Toronto has also won 10 of its last 11 games vs. Boston.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-107).

Toronto’s offense has helped the Over hit in its last 3 games, but it should regress toward the mean Sunday. With Wacha and Gausman on the mound, there should be a lot less scoring than the last 2 head-to-head meetings.

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