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The Boston Red Sox (40-36) and Cincinnati Reds (36-39) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 1-0
Boston snapped a 5-game win streak with a 5-2 loss against Cincinnati Friday while failing to cash as a -107 road favorite. LF Jarren Duran and C Connor Wong each hit solo shots, and RHP Kutter Crawford allowed 3 ER in 6 1/3 innings and picked up the loss.
The Reds got back in the win column with Friday’s victory over the Red Sox as -101 home underdogs. DH Jeimer Candelario hit 2 HRs, while LHP Andrew Abbott allowed 2 ER with a season-high 10 K’s in 5 2/3 innings to pick up the win.
Red Sox at Reds projected starters
RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Frankie Montas
Pivetta (4-4, 3.88 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 53 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-3 victory at Toronto Blue Jays Monday
- Career vs. Reds: 1-1, 2.92 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 3 starts and 4 relief appearances, including 0-0 with 0.00 ERA (2 IP) in 2 relief appearances last year
Montas (3-5, 4.62 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 60 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 5-4 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Sunday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 0-2, 2.19 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances — last outing in 2022
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+130) | Reds +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 4, Reds 3
Moneyline
BET RED SOX (-125).
Boston has won 7 of its last 10 games, including 5 of its last 6. While it struggled to score Friday, it now faces Montas, who has been shaky in recent starts. The Red Sox are 3-0 in Pivetta’s last 3 starts, while Cincinnati has lost 4 of its last 6 games overall.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).
The Red Sox have hit the Under in 2 of their last 3 games and held opponents to 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 5. The Reds have hit the Under in 9 of their last 10 games and scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4. They have allowed 2 or fewer runs in each of their last 3 games.
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