Boston College at Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston College at Duke odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston College Eagles (5-3, 0-0 ACC) and No. 16 Duke Blue Devils (7-2, 0-0) will battle Saturday in Durham. The contest at Cameron Indoor Stadium — the ACC opener for both sides — will begin at 4 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Boston College vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Boston College is coming off an 88-67 loss at Nebraska Wednesday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Eagles allowed the Cornhuskers to shoot 61.5% to clear that bar easily. That game marked the Eagles’ true road debut this season.

The Blue Devils covered a 5-point spread in a hard-fought 81-72 home win over No. 25 Ohio State Wednesday. The Buckeyes shot 47.3% to become just the 2nd foe to break the 45% barrier against a Duke defense that has allowed just 58.7 points per game (27th).

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Boston College at Duke odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Boston College +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Duke -1800 (bet $1,800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Boston College +17.5 (-115) | Duke -17.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boston College at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 70, Boston College 55

Moneyline

Lots of room for error here — and more on our end as bettors than with the book. AVOID.

Against the spread

Boston College hosted Duke last season, and the Eagles kept the Devils from covering a 13.5-point spread in a 72-61 setback on Feb. 12. BC did trail by 20 late in that game, but it also registered a few similar game results against Quadrant 1 opponents.

The Eagles are a slight lean but not worth a partial-unit play unless the price on 17.5 evened out to -110 or better.

PASS.

Over/Under

There is an Under lean to this series as 5 of the last 6 meetings have ended that way, but both of these teams are capable of better shooting nights than they have thus far displayed.

Neither is in the top 250 in effective field-goal percentage. Mix some progression in those numbers with reasonable expectations for a decent amount of turnover/transition ball and some easy put-backs after offensive rebounds for DU, and the OVER 129.5 (-110) has value.

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Boston College vs. Duke odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Boston College Eagles vs. Duke Blue Devils odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The 15th-seeded Boston College Eagles (4-15) face the 10th-seeded Duke Blue Devils (11-11) Tuesday on the opening day of the ACC Tournament. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET at Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, N.C. Below, we analyze the Boston College-Duke college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Boston College finished last in the ACC with a 2-11 conference record. At 9-9, Duke is 10th and will likely miss the NCAA tourney for the first time since the 1994-95 season.

Neither team is ranked in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Tuesday’s winner advances to a second-round matchup Wednesday against the seventh-seeded Louisville Cardinals (13-6) for a 6:30 p.m. ET tip.

Boston College vs. Duke: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Boston College +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Duke -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Boston College +12.5 (-105) | Duke -12.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 152.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Boston College vs. Duke: Three things to know

  1. Duke beat Boston College 83-82 (Jan. 6) in the only regular-season meeting between the two. Sophomore F Wendell Moore Jr. came off the bench and matched a career-high with 25 points for the Blue Devils, who failed to cover as 11.5-point home favorites. BC led by 16 late in the first half, but were outscored 48-39 in the second and came up a point short after the game was tied 75-all with 1:43 to go. All five Eagles starters scored in double figures, led by sophomore F CJ Felder’s career-high 24 points.
  2. The Eagles enter on a 2-game skid and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. They recently dropped an 80-76 decision as 4-point underdogs at Miami Friday. For the season, sophomore G Jay Heath’s 15.1 points per game leads four Eagles in double figures.
  3. Duke suffered an ugly 91-73 loss as a 3-point dog at rival North Carolina Saturday. The Blue Devils never led as they dropped a third consecutive game and finished the regular season without a winning record for the first time since 1994-95. Sophomore F Matthew Hurt leads Duke with 18.7 PPG and 6.2 RPG.

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Boston College vs. Duke: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Duke 84, Boston College 76

Money line (ML)

PASS. Duke’s -1000 price is too chalky, and Boston College’s +650 is not worth betting on for a team that has only won 4 games.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Back BOSTON COLLEGE +12.5 (-105). The Eagles are 3-1 ATS when getting 10 or more points this season. The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS when favored by 7.5 or more points – and 0-5 ATS when favored by double digits.

The line will likely climb before tip-off, so it could be worth waiting on till we get another point or two.

ATS: Boston College 8-10-1 | Duke 7-15

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 152.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Over is 6-0 in the Blue Devils’ last six outings and 9-1 in their last 10.

BC is on a 3-0 Over run and 6-2 O/U in its last eight games. The Eagles also have one of the worst defenses in the country, allowing 79.2 PPG.

O/U records: Boston College 13-6-1 | Duke 14-7-1

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JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
College hoops since Jan. 1 67-58-1 29-32 +3.025
2020-21 College hoops 82-75-1 34-42 -3.7
2021 record (all sports) 85-70-1 40-34 +14.225
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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