The Boston Red Sox (53-32) and Los Angeles Angels (42-41) swing into a three-game series at Angel Stadium Monday with first pitch at 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Martin Perez is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. Perez is 6-4 with a 4.04 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 through 75 2/3 IP over 16 starts.
The Boston left-hander logged a fine 3.09 ERA through his first 11 starts. He has since allowed 14 ER over 17 1/3 IP in five starts. Perez faced the Angels May 15; he pitched 6 scoreless innings. Current L.A. bats own an aggregate .612 OPS against him.
LHP Jose Suarez is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels. Suarez is making his first start this season after appearing in nine games as a reliever. He is 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 over 27 1/3 IP.
The now-23-year-old made a combined 17 starts in 2019 and 2020. This season, he has logged three outings where he has pitched 4 or more innings while allowing just 1 ER in each of those. That includes his last appearance, June 28 at Yankee Stadium; he went a season-high 5 1/3 frames.
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Red Sox at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Angels +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+120) | Angels +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Angels 6, Red Sox 5
Money line (ML)
The Red Sox arrive in Orange County after a hard-fought 2-1 series win at the Oakland Athletics over the holiday weekend. Boston took 2 of 3 from the Athletics, with all three games decided by 1 run. The Crimson Hose are 9-1 over their last 10 games.
The Angels earned a home sweep (3-0) against the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. The Halos are 6-1 in their last seven games and 17-10 over their last 27.
Peg the ANGELS (+105) as the best play in Monday’s series opener. There is likely some more string left on the fade-Perez spool. Suarez and an Angels bullpen at its best against righty bats is a solid counter.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the added juice with this play.
Over/Under (O/U)
A breeze-out evening, with Perez being more prone to fly balls, with two top-10 offenses and some weekend-weary bullpens (more on the Boston side) makes for some leverage on the OVER 10 (-105).
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