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The Toronto Blue Jays (13-12) and Kansas City Royals (15-10) wrap up a 4-game series at Kauffman Stadium Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Royals lead 2-1
Kansas City, which was a +119 home underdog, won 3-2 in the 3rd game of the series Wednesday and the Under (8.5) hit. Royals RHP Alec Marsh and 4 relievers held the Blue Jays to just 6 hits.
Toronto has lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since a 2-game skid from April 10-12. The Blue Jays have yet to lose 3 consecutive games this season.
Blue Jays at Royals projected starters
RHP Jose Berríos vs. LHP Cole Ragans
Berríos (4-0, 0.85 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-2 victory at San Diego Padres Saturday
- Career vs. Royals: 7-5, 4.72 ERA (124 IP, 65 ER), 1.38 WHIP in 21 starts — went 1-1 vs. them in 2023 (12 2/3 IP, 10 ER)
Ragans (0-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 25 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 1 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 9-7 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Saturday
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 3.18 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 1 H, 6 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 5-2 road loss Sept. 10, 2023
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Blue Jays at Royals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Royals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+165) | Royals +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 3, Royals 2
Moneyline
The BLUE JAYS (-105) are 5-0 in Berríos’ starts and have not lost 3 straight games at any point this season. Berríos has not given up a run in 3 consecutive outings and should shut down the Royals, who have scored 3 or fewer in 4 straight games.
BET BLUE JAYS (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
The Royals will likely cover the run line, but it’s a losing proposition to lay -200 on teams long term.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
The Under has hit in the 1st 3 games of this series and in 4 straight for the Royals. Neither offense has been impressive lately. Kansas City and Toronto are 22nd and 23rd, respectively, in runs over the last 3 games. Having Berríos on the mound for Toronto shouldn’t hurt this bet either.
BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).
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