The Baltimore Orioles (58-52) host the Toronto Blue Jays (60-50). Wednesday for the 3rd game of their 4 game series in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Baltimore has won the 1st two games of this series by a combined score of 13-9 and the Orioles are a half-game behind the Tampa Bay Rays for the 3rd and final AL wild card seed.
Toronto is atop the AL wild card standings by 1.5 games but has won just once in the last 5 games.
Season series: The Orioles lead 4-2
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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Berrios is 8-4 with a 5.19 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 118 IP across 22 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Toronto’s 6-5 loss at the Minnesota Twins Friday with 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 1 K.
- 2022 vs. the Orioles: 1 start, a no-decision in Toronto’s 7-6 home win June 15 with 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 8 K.
Kremer is 4-3 with a 3.43 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 57 2/3 IP over 11 starts.
- Last start: Won 1-0 at home Friday vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates with 6 1/3 scoreless IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 2 K.
- 2021 vs. the Blue Jays: 0-1 with an 11.32 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 12 H, 6 HR, 9 BB and 8 K in 3 starts.
Blue Jays at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:04 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Blue Jays -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) | Orioles +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +115 | U: -145)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Blue Jays 3
Money line
LEAN ORIOLES (+125) only because Baltimore’s RL is a better look.
But, Berrios has been terrible on the road this season. He’s 2-4 on the road (vs. 6-0 at home) with a 7.50 ERA (3.23 home ERA) and 1.59 WHIP (1.14 home WHIP) in 11 starts. Also, Baltimore’s bullpen is way better than Toronto’s.
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Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-130) because they are 31-9 RL as home underdogs while the Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) are 15-26 RL as road favorites.
Furthermore, Toronto is 2-5 RL as road favorites when Berrios is on the mound with a minus-39.2% return on investment (ROI) whereas Baltimore is 2-1 RL as home underdogs with Kremer as the starter.
The ORIOLES +1.5 (-130) is my favorite bet in this game.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-145) only because Berrios gets smoked on the road and I’d rather wait for the Blue Jays-Orioles total to dip to 9 or lower with a better payout.
However, Baltimore’s bullpen has been lights out this year, the Orioles are 0-3 O/U in Kremer’s 3 home starts as an underdog and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under while the public is betting the Over, per Pregame.com.
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