Tag: Blue Jays Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Toronto Blue Jays (32-34) and Milwaukee Brewers (39-27) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at American Family Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

The Blue Jays lost 3-1 as +107 underdogs in the series opener Monday as the Under (8.5) hit. Toronto is 4-2 over its last 6 games.

Brewers RHP Colin Rea gave up 1 ER on 3 hits in 7 innings, his longest outing since 2016. Milwaukee has won 3 of its last 4 games.

Blue Jays at Brewers projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Carlos F. Rodriguez

Kikuchi (3-5, 3.48 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-5 home victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
• 2024 road stats: 1-1, 3.72 ERA (29 IP, 12 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 6 starts

Rodriguez makes his MLB debut.

• 2024 stats with Triple-A Nashville: 4-5, 5.17 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 11 starts and 1 relief appearance
• 2024 home stats with Triple-A Nashville: 1-1, 3.38 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 4 starts and 1 relief appearance

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Blue Jays at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Brewers 5

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-120) are 4-1 in their last 5 games after a loss. Expect Toronto to bounce back, while Rodriguez, who has a 5.17 ERA in Triple-A this season, may struggle in his debut.

BET BLUE JAYS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers +1.5 (-165) will likely cover at home, but paying the juice on the 25-cent line isn’t worth it.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games following a loss, and the Over has hit in 3 of Milwaukee’s last 4 outings. With Rodriguez making his MLB debut and the Blue Jays in a good spot to bounce back offensively, BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (32-33) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (38-27) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at American Family Field at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Blue Jays won 2-1 last year

The Blue Jays took 2 of 3 in Oakland, concluding with a 6-4 win in 10 innings Sunday as -130 road favorites — the Over (8) hit. The Jays have underachieved offensively this season. Their 3.95 runs per game rank 25th in the league, according to Teamrankings.com. However, they’ve scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. 3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .320 with just 1 extra-base hit but an astounding 9 RBIs over the last 7 days.

The Brewers went 2-4 on their recent road trip but took 2 of 3 in Detroit. They were blown out 10-2 Sunday as +148 underdogs but were able to get through the game without a ton of mileage on their bullpen. After 4 down seasons, and a myriad of back issues, LF Christian Yelich looks to be rounding back into All-Star form. He’s hitting .324 with 6 homers and 29 RBIs.

Blue Jays at Brewers projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Colin Rea

Berrios (5-4, 2.80 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 80 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-2 home loss to Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
• 4 career starts vs. Brewers: 2-2, 4.57 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 10.4 K/9; numbers skewed by 8 ER in 2 2/3 IP June 26, 2022

Rea (4-2, 3.53 ERA) makes his 11th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 63 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP (entered in 2nd inn.), 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 2-1, 10-inning loss at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
• Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home win vs. Chicago Cubs May 30
• 1 career start vs. Blue Jays in 2016: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 4-2 setback at Toronto
• Home/road splits: 2-1, 3.07 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.13 WHIP in 5 home starts; 2-1, 3.93 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.54 WHIP in 7 road outings (5 starts)

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Blue Jays at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:45 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-210) | Brewers -1.5 (+160)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

Berrios is the X-factor here. He has been solid with a 2.77 ERA (26 IP, 8 ER) over his last 4 starts. Outside of the 8-ER blowup he had in Milwaukee in ’22, he has been very reliable against the Brewers. In his previous start at American Family Field before that debacle, he tossed 6 no-hit innings with 12 K’s in a 2-0 victory for the Minnesota Twins.

The Jays’ bats are awakening, and Rea doesn’t have the pure stuff to keep them at bay.

TAKE BUE JAYS (+100) at even-money.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS since we’re already backing Toronto’s moneyline.

However, I love JOSE BERRIOS OVER 17.5 OUTS (-160). The price isn’t great, but he has went 6+ innings in 5 straight and 6 of 7 starts.

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Over/Under

We’re projecting a push here, and it could go either way depending on what they do with the retractable roof. The forecast calls for 60 degrees with a light 5-mph breeze blowing left to right.

PASS.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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