Tag: blitzed podcast

So, Sunday wasn’t the huge payday that Thanksgiving was. I still finished in the green (thanks to a late heroic performance by Tom Brady, James White and Julian Edelman). Now we have reached Week 14. With Week 14, we get a whole new crop of DFS players. All of the redraft league guys who have been knocked out of their league’s playoffs suddenly jump into the waters of DFS, many without a life jacket. Pairing a larger number of wildcard entrants with a larger player pool (no more byes), only makes winning the big jackpots that much harder. The Dominator will still break down the entirety of the main slate, but I behoove you to get your entries into the Primetime-Only slate and the Afternoon-Only slates to continue to thin out some of the variance. As always, I will discuss the Primetime-Only slate below, but feel free to shoot me a message on Twitter @NewClearHarley, for my picks for the Afternoon-Only contests.

The Primetime Slate:

Seattle travels south to Los Angeles to face the Rams in front of a partisan crowd (likely partisan in favor of the Seahawks). The Rams have a solid defense, but they have been known to be susceptible to some mental lapses. Russell Wilson is certainly in play here as the #2 QB on the slate. I can understand the desire to go against the grain and start Jared Goff here, but I have him as the worst option on this slate. The Rams gave up a big statistical game to Chris Carson last time out, but their rushing defense has improved dramatically since than, and Carson has watched his primary ball carrier role reduced to RBBC. Los Angeles is still struggling with pass-catching backs, so Rashaad Penny is a safer play than Carson. That said, either could be used at RB2 or FLEX. Todd Gurley is finally starting to get a Gurley-level workload. This week he faces a run defense that has played well, but still given up a bunch of rushing TDs. Perhaps more important to Gurley’s value here is that Seattle has been a whipping-boy to opposing pass-catching RBs. Gurley has only seven receptions total the last three weeks, but that is seven more receptions than any other Rams’ running back over that period. I feel Todd is in the same boat with Carson and Penny as RB2/FLEX plays. Cooper Kupp always is a threat to score, but his price is usually higher than I’d like to spend, and the MNF WRs are very appealing. Brandin Cooks returned last week, but he was almost as visible as he was the prior weeks he was out. I’m not trusting him until we see better usage. Robert Woods, on the other hand, makes a strong play coming off a 19-target game. If I’m choosing a Rams’ WR this week it is him. Tyler Lockett was actually more incognito than Cooks last week. His 0-0 performance undoubtedly is responsible for knocking several of those newbie DFS’ers out of their redraft leagues. He will be extremely under-owned due to that fail (and the presence of Jalen Ramsey). You can’t trust him in cash games, but consider him as a sneaky play in GPP. Lockett did score in their earlier meeting, but most WR1s have struggled against LA since then (Hollywood Brown being the exception). D.K. (not decaf) Metcalf has been the better WR the last month or so, I feel better about starting him than Lockett. The Rams don’t give up enough through the air to seriously consider Josh Gordon or David Moore as anything more than a deep FLEX play. Will Dissly did damage against the Rams back in Week 5, but since then they have shut down every tight end not named George Kittle or Tyler Eifert. Jacob Hollister will probably be my TE4 on this slate, and not a particularly exciting option. Gerald Everett (or Tyler Higbee if Everett is out) is a great play here since Seattle is almost as incompetent at covering TEs as Arizona. Both teams are playable for defense, but neither is going to be a sure thing. If I choose between them, I probably would go with Seattle. That said, I will probably just roll with Philly on MNF.

I am pumped for Monday Night. Not. The NFC Least battle could produce some fantasy points, but it still forces us to watch two of the most underperforming teams in football. Fortunately, I can just use it as background fodder while @SteveGalloNFL and I record next week’s @BlitzedPodcast. I don’t really want to watch the game. I’ll just look at the box score when it is all done. Carson Wentz should be the QB1 on this slate, and Eli Manning is no worse than option 3. Count me among the many who hopes that Jordan Howard remains out. Miles Sanders by himself makes a solid RB1 or RB2 play. If Howard plays, then they will eat each other’s value and both become FLEX plays. The Eagles have done well against bad RBs, but they have struggled when facing premium RBs (especially through the air). Saquan Barkley is better than his stats suggest, and I will find it hard to fade him here unless it comes down to money. After a recent boost in their play, Philadelphia’s secondary got eaten alive by Davante Parker last week. Golden Tate is slated to return and he and Sterling Shepard are both solid WR2 options. If Tate doesn’t make it back, Darius Slayton is also in consideration at WR3. Meanwhile, the Giants have been rotten at covering everyone. Feel free to unleash Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor and J.J. Arcega-Whiteside. The only thing that will hold this trio back is their drops. I still feel strongly that they combine for 18-260-2, with most of that falling into Jeffery’s lap. He is coming off a 16-target feast, and I cannot imagine him getting fewer than 12 targets here. Dallas Goedert outplayed, out-targeted and out-produced Zach Ertz last week. Tight end is one of the positions that New York isn’t abhorrent as covering, but I still like each to be in consideration here as TE3 level. I’m just probably going to fade them both since they cut into each other’s stats. Evan Engram is slated to return and he instantly becomes TE2 on this slate. He and Eli were clicking earlier this year (and all of last year). Plus, Philly has given up several huge days to the position. Both teams are error-prone, so either defense would be an option. I like Philly a little more than New York, since Eli will be rusty.

The Main Slate:

Aaron Rodgers is the sure thing this week, I’m going to smash this spot as much as possible. Pivots from Rodgers could include Kirk Cousins, Tom Brady, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Sam Darnold. Darnold might be the sneaky play coming off a horrid start last week. I expect his ownership to be low. There are a couple punt options: Ryan Tannehill, Gardner Minshew and Andy Dalton are all in play. Rodgers will run me around 14% on either site. If I pivot to one of the other four, I can get it down to around 12.5% on either site.

Christian McCaffrey finally had his dud week. Don’t expect that to happen back-to-back. His price is still high, but the matchup looks juicy. I will have some exposure to him, especially since I don’t love a lot of the high-priced choices. The only top dollar guy that I will be all over is Leonard Fournette. If I can figure a way to fit it in both would be great. That said, I will probably have to settle for one or the other. Dalvin Cook claims he will play on Sunday. If he doesn’t, then Alexander Mattison becomes a chalk must-start. If Cook plays, he will be a pivot play at best and may still cede some work to the rookie. At that point I would use one of: Derrius Guice, Devonta Freeman or James White at RB2. If you go C-Mac and Fournette expect to spend 31% on FD but 36.6% on DK. This means that this combo is easier to do on FD. Fournette plus one of the cheaper options should cost you only 27% on DK or 23% on FD.

Once again, Davante Adams and D.J. Moore are the top two options. My goal is to have one or the other in every lineup. I could also use: Kenny Golladay, Calvin Ridley or DeVante Parker. If I don’t overspend at RB, I may even use two of them. My other WR2 options are: Zach Pascal, Will Fuller, James Washington, one of the Jets or one of the Titans. I could also use one of them at WR3. Otherwise, there are a lot to consider at WR3. They are headlined by my favorite: Allen Lazard. Just don’t spend more than 10% on whoever you choose at WR3. My favorite pair: Pascal and Adams will run me 27% on DK and 24% on FD. That is as high as I feel comfortable spending this week at WR1 and WR2.

There are four TEs that I love this week: Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Jack Doyle, and Vance McDonald. This feels like a great week for Double-TE. If I don’t pull my FLEX from RB, I will likely just use two of the above four-some. Pairing two of them comes out to just under 22%. So, if you don’t go Double-TE, just make sure that your TE plus your FLEX comes in at less than that figure.

The Colts and Titans are where I will target my defense. Both are dirt cheap on DK and Indy is super cheap on FD. Each will run about 5% on DK and Indy is 6.6% on FD. You can also spend up and get the Vikings versus Detroit or Houston versus Denver if you save elsewhere.

Here are my recommended lineups.

At DK: $6.8K for Aaron Rodgers. $7.8K for Leonard Fournette. $5.5K or less for RB2 (leaning Devonta Freeman). Davante Adams and Zach Pascal for a combined $13.5K. $4.9K for Curtis Samuel. $8.9K total for Vance McDonald and Jack Doyle. $2.6K for the Titans’ defense.

At FD: $7.7K for Tom Brady. $18.5K total for Christian McCaffrey and Fournette. $13.4K total for Curtis Samuel and Julian Edelman. $5.6K or less for WR3 (leaning Allen Lazard or A.J. Brown). $4.9 for Jonnu Smith. $6K or less for FLEX (leaning James White or D. Freeman). $4K for the Colts’ defense.

At Fanball (classic – includes Sun Night): Ryan Tannehill, McCaffrey, Fournette, A.J. Brown, Lazard, Pascal, Jonnu, D. Freeman, and the Colts’ defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Rodgers, Tannehill at SF, McCaffrey, Fournette, A.J. Brown, Lazard, Tyler Higbee or Russell Gage at WR/TE, Jack Doyle, and Derrius Guice.

At Fantasy Draft (includes Sun Night): Tannehill, McCaffrey, Fournette, Lazard, A.J. Brown, McDonald, Freeman, James White, and the Titans’ defense.

Quarterback

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Lamar Jackson	$7,400	$9,000
Patrick Mahomes	$7,000	$8,400
Aaron Rodgers	$6,800	$8,400
Kirk Cousins	$6,700	$8,200
Matt Ryan	$6,600	$7,600
Deshaun Watson	$6,500	$7,700
Jameis Winston	$6,400	$7,700
Baker Mayfield	$6,300	$7,600
Josh Allen	$6,200	$7,800
Jacoby Brissett	$6,100	$7,400
Tom Brady	$6,100	$7,700
Ryan Fitzpatrick	$6,000	$7,400
Sam Darnold	$6,000	$7,700
Devlin Hodges	$5,900	$7,000
Drew Brees	$5,900	$7,700
Kyler Murray	$5,800	$7,500
Ryan Tannehill	$5,800	$7,300
Kyle Allen	$5,700	$7,100
Matthew Stafford	$5,700	$7,500
Jimmy Garoppolo	$5,600	$7,800
Philip Rivers	$5,600	$7,300
Gardner Minshew II	$5,400	$6,600
Andy Dalton	$5,200	$7,000
David Blough	$5,200	$6,900
Drew Lock	$5,100	$6,800
Derek Carr	$5,000	$7,000
Dwayne Haskins Jr.	$4,600	$6,500
Tyrod Taylor	$4,300	$6,400

Weekly strategy – Aaron Rodgers is the safe play here and his price isn’t awful. I also like Sam Darnold, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, Tom Brady and Jacoby Brissett. Tannehill will probably be my highest owned commodity when I don’t use Rodgers. My punt options are Gardner Minshew or Andy Dalton. I hope to do a lot of SuperFlex lineups on Fanball this week, pairing Rodgers with each of these other QBs – and stacking their WRs too.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Aaron Rodgers, Packers vs. WAS ($6800 DK, $8400 FD)
The Redskins have allowed three or more QB scores in half of their games. This included three score games against some so-so signal callers. Aaron Rodgers is an elite QB, and he should have very little trouble moving the ball against this defense. Plus, the hookup with Davante Adams is begging to blow up once again.

Pat Mahomes, Chiefs @ NE ($7000 DK, $8400 FD)
Yes, the Patriots will try to take away one of Pat Mahomes’ weapons, the problem with that is that Mahomes has five or six options to throw it to. We can’t expect a 400-4 type of game here, but anytime Mahomes touches the ball 300-2 is a safe floor.

Tom Brady, Patriots vs. KC ($6100 DK, $7700 FD)
Tom Brady and Pat Mahomes may turn this into a shootout. It is not guaranteed, but if Mahomes comes out throwing, Brady will be forced to. Even if it isn’t a traditional shootout, Brady should complete many passes to Julian Edelman and James White. Making that threesome a great tri-stack.

Kirk Cousins, Vikings vs. DET ($6700 DK, $8200 FD)
This play gets even juicier if Adam Thielen plays. Detroit has been clobbered by every QB not named Dwayne Haskins. Heck, even Mitchell Trubisky has six TDs against them in two starts this year. In their earlier meeting, Cousins threw for 338-4. If Dalvin Cook is limited or misses this game, even more responsibility will fall on Kirk’s shoulders.

Sleepers:

Ryan Tannehill, Titans @ OAK ($5800 DK, $7300 FD)
The only thing that has stopped opposing passing games against Oakland is inclement weather (well that and Ryan Finley’s arm). Half of their opponents have racked up three or more scores from their QBs. Ryan Tannehill has done a decent job of keeping defenses honest while Tennessee gashes them with Derrick Henry. Henry may be limited due to injury this week, which should provide Tannehill even more opportunity to win it with his arm. If Henry ends up out, Tannehill could also vulture some goal line looks from Dion Lewis.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Dolphins @ NYJ ($6000 DK, $7400 FD)
The Jets just lost to a team that was trying to lose out for the top pick. Can they do it twice in a row? Miami’s defense isn’t good either. So, expect both teams to have success moving the ball. Ryan Fitzpatrick has three scores in three of his last five games, including the previous meeting with the Jets. A similar line here is probable.

Running Back

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey	$10,300	$11,000
Dalvin Cook	$9,500	$8,700
Derrick Henry	$8,200	$9,100
Nick Chubb	$8,000	$7,900
Leonard Fournette	$7,800	$7,500
James Conner	$7,500	$7,100
Le’Veon Bell	$7,200	$7,300
Alvin Kamara	$7,000	$7,600
Aaron Jones	$6,700	$7,800
Kareem Hunt	$6,600	$6,400
Josh Jacobs	$6,500	$7,700
Melvin Gordon III	$6,400	$7,300
Austin Ekeler	$6,300	$7,000
Benny Snell Jr.	$6,100	$6,100
Marlon Mack	$6,000	$7,300
Mark Ingram II	$5,900	$7,400
Joe Mixon	$5,800	$6,700
Devin Singletary	$5,700	$6,700
Sony Michel	$5,600	$6,600
James White	$5,500	$6,000
Devonta Freeman	$5,400	$6,000
Phillip Lindsay	$5,300	$6,400
Kenyan Drake	$5,200	$6,100
Tevin Coleman	$5,100	$5,500
Jaylen Samuels	$5,000	$5,500
Derrius Guice	$4,900	$6,300
Jamaal Williams	$4,800	$5,600
Jonathan Williams	$4,700	$5,900
Matt Breida	$4,600	$5,600
Raheem Mostert	$4,600	$6,200
Bo Scarbrough	$4,500	$5,900
Alexander Mattison	$4,500	$5,100
Carlos Hyde	$4,500	$6,000
Damien Williams	$4,500	$6,000
Latavius Murray	$4,500	$5,300
LeSean McCoy	$4,400	$6,100
Ronald Jones II	$4,400	$5,800
Nyheim Hines	$4,300	$5,600
Kalen Ballage	$4,200	$5,300
Peyton Barber	$4,200	$5,700
Darrel Williams	$4,100	$5,500
Patrick Laird	$4,100	$5,500
Adrian Peterson	$4,000	$5,700
Darwin Thompson	$4,000	$5,200
Royce Freeman	$4,000	$5,300
Duke Johnson	$3,900	$5,600
Frank Gore	$3,800	$5,300
Jordan Wilkins	$3,700	$5,500
J.D. McKissic	$3,600	$4,900
Rex Burkhead	$3,400	$5,600
Chris Thompson	$3,300	$5,200
Myles Gaskin	$3,300	$4,800
Kerrith Whyte Jr.	$3,000	$4,900

Weekly strategy – I want to get as much exposure to Christian McCaffrey as I can coming off of his “lesser” day last week. I also want as many shares of Leonard Fournette as I can get. When I can’t afford that pair, I will consider: Devonta Freeman (also a great FLEX play), Melvin Gordon, James White, Derrius Guice and Kareem Hunt. I could also use Adrian Peterson or Duke Johnson as a punt if I need to save money. In addition, if Dalvin Cook sits out this week, Alexander Mattison becomes a chalk-lock at RB2.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers @ ATL ($10300 DK, $11000 FD)
Yes, Christian McCaffrey burned me a little last week. I still cannot completely dodge his slate-breaking potential. Over his last three meetings with Atlanta, C-Mac has failed to score a TD. That said, he does have 37 receptions and 508 total yards over that span. I’ll take ten catches with the chance of a TD every day.

Leonard Fournette, Jaguars vs. LAC ($7800 DK, $7500 FD)
The Chargers have allowed seven or more RB receptions in six of their last seven games. This is on top of any ground yardage they are allowing. Leonard Fournette is the only show at RB for the Jaguars. He has also been used extensively in the passing game all season, including the second-most RB receptions since Week 8. Consider Fournette a poor-man’s C-Mac this week.

Melvin Gordon, Chargers @ JAX ($6400 DK, $7300 FD)
Over the last four games, Jacksonville has allowed 818 combo yards and seven scores to opposing RBs. Plus, they just lost one of their top LBs, Myles Jack to IR with a knee injury. Melvin Gordon is still ceding some receptions to Austin Ekeler, but he is once again the bell cow for Los Angeles. I don’t usually stack-back RBs versus each other, but in a showdown slate this could be a fun strategy. Gordon also saves you a few bucks on DK, if you want to get C-Mac into your lineup.

Nick Chubb, Browns vs. CIN ($8000 DK, $7900 FD)
I don’t love Nick Chubb’s prices with Kareem Hunt stealing receptions and some touchdowns. Still, you cannot argue with the matchup. Cincy’s defense against the run has improved as the season has progressed, but that is an improvement from historically bad, to just putrid by this season’s standards. If you need a safe floor, and don’t trust the Jaguars’ offense, you could do worse here. Personally, I’d rather get my exposure by using Hunt at FLEX.

Sleepers:

James White, Patriots vs. KC ($5500 DK, $6000 FD)
Seven times this season, Kansas City allowed six or more RB receptions. This includes two games with double-digit receptions within their last five contests. James White had a huge game last week, so there is always the chance that Bill Belichick ignores him here. I’m not going to take the chance though. His receptions and his goal-line usage, make him a must-start at RB2 or FLEX here.

Devonta Freeman, Falcons vs. CAR ($5400 DK, $6000 FD)
Carolina has only allowed 17 RB scores over their last seven games. Devonta Freeman did nothing last week in his return except show that he was healthy. Plus, that came against a strong New Orleans’ run defense. If you were ever going to play Freeman, this is the week.

Wide Receiver

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Michael Thomas	$         8,300	$        8,600
Tyreek Hill	$         8,100	$        8,300
Davante Adams	$         8,000	$        8,400
Stefon Diggs	$         7,600	$        8,000
Julio Jones	$         7,500	$        7,800
DeAndre Hopkins	$         7,400	$        8,300
Chris Godwin	$         7,300	$        7,900
Mike Evans	$         7,200	$        7,700
Julian Edelman	$         7,100	$        7,600
DJ Moore	$         7,000	$        7,100
DeVante Parker	$         6,900	$        7,200
T.Y. Hilton	$         6,800	$        7,000
Adam Thielen	$         6,700	$        7,300
Calvin Ridley	$         6,700	$        6,900
Kenny Golladay	$         6,700	$        7,400
Keenan Allen	$         6,600	$        6,800
Jarvis Landry	$         6,500	$        7,200
JuJu Smith-Schuster	$         6,500	$        6,800
Courtland Sutton	$         6,400	$        7,300
Odell Beckham Jr.	$         6,300	$        6,800
DJ Chark Jr.	$         6,200	$        6,200
John Brown	$         6,100	$        6,400
James Washington	$         6,000	$        6,700
Tyler Boyd	$         5,900	$        6,300
Emmanuel Sanders	$         5,800	$        5,900
A.J. Green	$         5,700	$        6,600
Deebo Samuel	$         5,600	$        6,000
Will Fuller V	$         5,500	$        6,600
Zach Pascal	$         5,500	$        6,100
Cole Beasley	$         5,400	$        6,100
Marvin Jones Jr.	$         5,400	$        6,400
A.J. Brown	$         5,300	$        5,400
Jamison Crowder	$         5,300	$        6,000
Christian Kirk	$         5,200	$        5,900
Dede Westbrook	$         5,200	$        6,200
Robby Anderson	$         5,100	$        6,400
Terry McLaurin	$         5,100	$        5,600
Mohamed Sanu	$         5,000	$        5,800
Tyrell Williams	$         5,000	$        5,700
Curtis Samuel	$         4,900	$        5,800
Russell Gage	$         4,800	$        5,700
Larry Fitzgerald	$         4,700	$        5,700
Marquise Brown	$         4,700	$        5,500
Sammy Watkins	$         4,600	$        5,600
Mike Williams	$         4,500	$        5,900
Phillip Dorsett II	$         4,400	$        5,400
Diontae Johnson	$         4,300	$        5,100
Allen Lazard	$         4,200	$        5,600
Allen Hurns	$         4,100	$        5,100
Albert Wilson	$         4,000	$        5,000
Auden Tate	$         4,000	$        5,500
Chris Conley	$         4,000	$        5,400
Danny Amendola	$         4,000	$        5,400
N’Keal Harry	$         4,000	$        5,500
Corey Davis	$         3,900	$        5,000
M. Valdes-Scantling	$         3,900	$        4,800
Adam Humphries	$         3,800	$        5,400
Mecole Hardman	$         3,800	$        5,400
Breshad Perriman	$         3,700	$        5,500
Demaryius Thomas	$         3,700	$        5,000
Kelvin Harmon	$         3,700	$        4,800
Kendrick Bourne	$         3,700	$        4,900
Kenny Stills	$         3,700	$        5,000
Olabisi Johnson	$         3,700	$        5,000
Alex Erickson	$         3,500	$        4,700
Jakobi Meyers	$         3,500	$        5,100
Geronimo Allison	$         3,400	$        4,600
Steven Sims Jr.	$         3,400	$        4,900
Willie Snead IV	$         3,400	$        4,600
Zay Jones	$         3,400	$        4,700
Christian Blake	$         3,300	$        5,200
Demarcus Robinson	$         3,300	$        4,500
Isaiah McKenzie	$         3,300	$        4,900
Tim Patrick	$         3,300	$        5,100
Parris Campbell	$         3,200	$        4,800
Jake Kumerow	$         3,000	$        4,700
Laquon Treadwell	$         3,000	$        4,700
Robert Foster	$         3,000	$        4,800

Weekly strategy – I might struggle to fit Davante Adams in a stack with Aaron Rodgers, but at least I can use Allen Lazard in that setup. Adams and D.J. Moore are the top options on the docket. I am still going to try to finagle one onto my roster. If I don’t use Moore, I could also use his understudy, Curtis Samuel. Other WR1s that I like include: Julian Edelman, DeAndre Hopkins and DeVante Parker. At the WR2 position, I will likely target from this list: Zach Pascal, Will Fuller, A.J. Brown, one of the Jets, or maybe one of the Bengals. Samuel and Lazard also come into play at that spot. WR3 could use one of the castoffs from the WR2 group or a deep sleeper like Adam Humphries, Danny Amendola and Russell Gage.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Davante Adams, Packers vs. WAS ($8000 DK, $8400 FD)
Washington’s pass defense versus an Aaron Rodgers’ led offense is not optimal for Redskins’ fans. Rodgers is happy to have Davante Adams back fully healthy. He has targeted Adams double-digit times in each of his games since his return. Plus, they have hooked up for three TDs in the last two weeks. Adams will top 100-1 here, and he has multi-TD potential in this matchup.

D.J. Moore, Panthers @ ATL ($7000 DK, $7100 FD)
Atlanta has allowed some ridiculous games to opposing WRs. D.J. Moore even had his way with them just a couple weeks ago. Since Week 9, Moore is second to only Michael Thomas in WR catches, and he leads all wide receivers in receiving yardage. He has also added three scores over the last two weeks. I like Moore to post another 100-1 here, and his running mate Curtis Samuel will get in on the fun too. If you cannot afford to sneak Moore into your lineup, make sure to use Samuel at WR3.

Julian Edelman, Patriots vs. KC ($7100 DK, $7600 FD)
Whether this game devolves into a shootout shouldn’t deter you from playing Julian Edelman. Edelman has double-digit targets in nine of twelve games and he has six or more receptions nine times this year too. The TDs have been a little tougher to come by, but I could see Edelman haul in close to ten passes here.

DeAndre Hopkins, Texans vs. DEN ($7400 DK, $8300 FD)
This is a sneaky play. Most people will see DeAndre Hopkins getting shadowed by Chris Harris and fade this start. Give me that low ownership. Denver has actually struggled with WR1s recently. Tyreek Hill, John Brown, Keenan Allen and Stefon Diggs have all scored against them recently, and Odell Beckham posted a very nice line with Jarvis Landry stealing the score in their meeting. Differentiation is key in GPPs, this might be just the piece you need.

Sleepers:

Zach Pascal, Colts @ TB ($5500 DK, $6100 FD)
Zach Pascal is the only healthy WR left in Indy. The only other WRs to catch a pass last week were Marcus Johnson and Ashton Dulin. I’m still not sure if either of those people really exists. Tampa is dead last in every metric against opposing WRs. I really doubt that Dulin and Johnson are going to hamper what should be a 10-125-1 game for Pascal. The only thing that could hurt him, is if T.Y. Hilton makes an emergency recovery.

A.J. Brown, Titans @ OAK ($5300 DK, $5400 FD)
If I’m going to risk starting Ryan Tannehill, I have to start his best WR. Oakland is allowing the second-most yards per WR reception and every WR1 except Tyler Boyd has posted huge numbers against them recently. A.J. Brown did pop up on the injury report Thursday, so keep an eye on that as the weekend rolls in. If he plays, he is a must-start. If he is out, bump both Corey Davis and Adam Humphries into A-level spots.

Tight End

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Travis Kelce	$6,200	$7,100
Austin Hooper	$6,000	$6,600
George Kittle	$5,900	$6,700
Darren Waller	$5,800	$6,200
Mark Andrews	$5,600	$6,600
Hunter Henry	$5,100	$6,400
Jack Doyle	$4,600	$6,300
Kyle Rudolph	$4,400	$4,800
Vance McDonald	$4,300	$5,800
Jared Cook	$4,200	$6,500
Ryan Griffin	$4,100	$5,600
Mike Gesicki	$4,000	$5,400
Greg Olsen	$3,800	$4,900
Jimmy Graham	$3,600	$5,500
David Njoku	$3,500	$4,900
Noah Fant	$3,400	$4,800
Irv Smith Jr.	$3,300	$5,300
Jaeden Graham	$3,300	$5,400
Darren Fells	$3,200	$4,700
O.J. Howard	$3,200	$5,400
Jonnu Smith	$3,100	$4,900
Ben Watson	$3,000	$5,200
Dawson Knox	$2,900	$4,500
Jeremy Sprinkle	$2,800	$4,900
Tyler Eifert	$2,800	$4,500
C.J. Uzomah	$2,700	$4,900
Ian Thomas	$2,500	$4,000
Mo Alie-Cox	$2,500	$4,000

Weekly strategy – This is a great week for Double-TE. I love four options up top in Jack Doyle, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry (DK-only) and Vance McDonald. If I can afford it, I will use two of them. I might also throw in a few lineups with Travis Kelce (if I believe New England will try to shut down Tyreek Hill instead). I could also see punting with Jonnu Smith or Ian Thomas. If you want to get real cute consider Jeremy Sprinkle. I won’t but hey YOLO.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Darren Waller, Raiders vs. TEN ($5800 DK, $6200 FD)
Tennessee has struggled against every quality TE they have faced this year. David Njoku, Eric Ebron, Austin Hooper, Hunter Henry, Travis Kelce and Jack Doyle have all embarrassed this defense. Darren Waller is certainly comparable to that group, and he is coming off his third-best game of the year. With no Hunter Renfrow, expect additional targets to continue to come Waller’s direction.

Jack Doyle, Colts @ TB ($4600 DK, $6300 FD)
Jack Doyle is in a similar position to Waller. In the huddle, Jacoby Brissett can look around and Zach Pascal and Jack Doyle may be the only people he recognizes. Tampa has allowed opposing TE groups to top 50 yards nine times this year, and five of those groups have topped 80 yards. Plus, they have given up seven TE scores this season. I already discussed how bad Tampa is against WRs. Well on this offense, Doyle is basically WR2.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs @ NE ($6200 DK, $7100 FD)
Travis Kelce’s outcomes this week depend on whether New England elects to blanket him or Tyreek Hill. My guess is that they attempt to shut down Hill, which should leave some operating room for Kelce, but that is not guaranteed. At this price, and with so many other great options in the same price range, I will probably pass on Kelce. That said, you should do at least one stack with him and Pat Mahomes.

Vance McDonald, Steelers @ ARI ($4300 DK, $5800 FD)
Are you ready to believe in the start your TEs versus Arizona theory yet? I’m flummoxed by how many fantasy analysts on Twitter keep suggesting it is not a thing. At this point, Pittsburgh could suit me up at TE and I would score and top 75 yards against them. McDonald got 3-21 on three targets from Duc k Hodges in his first game back under center. Against this defense, those numbers will be tripled.

Sleepers:

Jonnu Smith, Titans @ OAK ($3100 DK, $4900 FD)
Jonnu Smith has done bupkis the last two weeks. Even third-stringer, Anthony Firkser got more looks last week. That said, we aren’t that far removed from Smith posting solid numbers earlier this year when Delanie Walker was out. Only Arizona has allowed more TE scores this season than Oakland, and seven teams have topped 60 tight end receiving yards against them.

Ian Thomas, Panthers @ ATL ($2500 DK, $4000 FD)
Greg Olsen is likely to miss this game due to a concussion. Last week, Ian Thomas stepped in and caught all four of his targets. He and Olsen combined for seven catches in last week’s game. If those all fall to Thomas (they won’t), he will make a serviceable punt play. Atlanta isn’t horrible at covering the position, but for only $2.5K, this gives you some huge flexibility at other positions.

Since it is Thanksgiving weekend, let me begin today by saying thanks for nothing to the Atlanta Falcons. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones crapped the bed last Sunday. Let me follow that up by saying thanks for everything to Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram for saving my weekend by paying big on the Primetime slate. Perhaps most importantly, however, thanks to my wife, for putting up with me working over the holiday.

The Evening Slate:

Houston hosts New England on Sunday. The Patriots get to pick on a Houston defense that has struggled to stop anyone this season. Tom Brady will absolutely eat here (for the first time in a couple of weeks). He has to be QB1 or QB2 on this slate at worst. Deshaun Watson isn’t a bad play most weeks. This week, I don’t trust him here. He will likely finish with around 200-2, and maybe 40 yards on the ground. This has him ranked fourth at the position. Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson are usable here as FLEX options. New England can definitely be beaten on the ground. The Texans are rotten against the run. They are perhaps even worse against pass-catching backs. Both, James White and Sony Michel are in RB2 consideration. Mohamed Sanu should return for this game and Phillip Dorsett (although still in the concussion protocol) are both in play this week at WR3/FLEX. It goes without saying that Julian Edelman is in consideration at WR1 or WR2. We have to assume that Stephon Gilmore will shadow DeAndre Hopkins. This makes him borderline unplayable. Will Fuller is the better play and I like him to post a couple long receptions and a possible long TD. He makes an ok WR3, if you go cheap elsewhere. I wouldn’t go so far as to consider Kenny Stills or Keke Coutee. New England has been susceptible to TE scoring. I like Darren Fells chances of scoring a short TD here. You cannot count on him for big yardage though. Does New England have a TE? Houston has given up a fair amount of TE scores recently too. That said, I think Rob Gronkowski has a higher likelihood of scoring this week off the field then Ben Watson or Matt LaCosse do on the field. If you need to save bucks, consider one of them, but know that you are probably looking at them splitting 3-30-0. Just pay up and play the Patriots’ defense.

Monday night could be fun. Kirk Cousins has historically struggled in primetime, but Seattle’s defense isn’t great. I feel that Cousins and Russell Wilson will get into a bit of a shootout. A lot will depend on whether both teams’ top WRs are good to go. It appears that both Tyler Lockett and Adam Thielen will play. This means that both Cousins and Wilson are playable with Wilson the slight favorite between them. Seattle claims that they will be splitting touches between Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson. This helps neither of them. My money is on Penny getting the first crack following Carson’s fumble troubles last week. Unfortunately for him, Minnesota is hard to run against. I doubt either performs well, and neither will produce the volume to be relied on as anything more than a FLEX. On the other hand, Minnesota’s Dalvin Cook is locked in as the RB1 on this slate. If Lockett plays, he is the clear-cut WR1 on this slate, as Minnesota gets burned regularly by speed WRs. I wouldn’t go too crazy with D.K. Metcalf or Josh Gordon. Each could be a WR3 here, but I feel there are better options in that price range. Adam Thielen will be a decent pivot from Lockett or Edelman. I could see rostering two of them, but I doubt you can afford all three. Stefon Diggs is also in play at WR2, but I feel Thielen is the better option. Neither Olabisi Johnson nor Laquan Treadwell is in play unless Thielen is ruled out. Even then, they would be no better than FLEX plays. Jacob Hollister has a sore foot, but a good matchup. If he can play through the pain, he is the TE2 on this slate. Minnesota has the top TE here in Kyle Rudolph. They also have the #4 TE in Irv Smith. Seattle is awful at covering the position and Minnesota isn’t much better. Either defense could be used to save money, but I still will have more exposure to the Patriots.

The Main Slate:

Quarterback is much juicier this week than last. Pat Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers are the crème de la crème. Sam Darnold, Nick Foles and Carson Wentz are my favorite cheaper pivots. I could see punting with Kyle Allen, Devlin Hodges or Andy Dalton. Mahomes and Rodgers will run me 15% and 13% on DK and 14.5% and 13.5% on FD. Those might end up being a little too high for me. Darnold and Foles will run me only 12.5% on either site. Dalton is the wild card. He could have huge ownership, but at less than 10% of your budget.

Christian McCaffrey’s price doesn’t matter anymore. They could charge you 50% and he still would be worth rostering. I don’t love him to hit 3x, but he is a lock to hit 25 points again. I like both Derrick Henry and Nick Chubb, but don’t love either. I feel Saquan Barkley, at this price, is finally worthy of a roster slot. He will be my favorite RB1. My pivots include: LeVeon Bell, Josh Jacobs and Aaron Jones. RB2 should come down to a choice between Miles Sanders (if Jordan Howard sits) and Jonathan Williams. I’d also consider Ronald Jones or Phillip Lindsay. I could also squeeze one of those four into my FLEX. More likely, I will choose my FLEX from Derrius Guice, Adrian Peterson, Jamaal Williams or Darrel Williams. Keep your RB1 and RB2 to a total of less than 27% (unless you use C-Mac – then you can go up to 31%). If you pull your FLEX from here, don’t spend more than 10% on either site.

If Tyreek Hill plays, you want him in your lineup. Otherwise, your WR1 should be either Davante Adams or D.J. Moore. In fact, I may use a pair of D.J.’s and pair Moore with Chark. There isn’t anyone else I would pivot to up top. My WR2 might also come from this list: Jamison Crowder, Robert Woods, Tyler Boyd, Darius Slayton (if Golden Tate doesn’t play) and Alshon Jeffery (if he plays). WR3 is going to be Curtis Samuel, Robby Anderson (if I don’t use Crowder), or one of the Jaguars. I see three decent punts to consider: Tim Patrick, Allen Lazard and J.J. Arcega-Whiteside. Your top two should run you no more than 28% on DK and 25% on FD. Keep your WR3 at 10% or less. I wouldn’t spend more than 10% on either WR3 or FLEX here.

Travis Kelce and Zach Ertz have blow-up spots this week. I probably cannot afford either of them, unless I spend significantly less at another position. Hunter Henry would make a smart pivot, but won’t save you much money. Both, Evan Engram and Gerald Everett have great matchups, but neither is guaranteed to play due to injuries. If neither goes, Tyler Higbee and Kaden Smith make great bargain basement punt plays. If I don’t pay up or go down that punt tunnel, the regular-priced talent that I like best are: Jack Doyle, Ryan Griffin and Greg Olsen. Doyle, who is my favorite play of the week here, will run me just 6.6% on DK or 8.3%.

The Panthers are pricey and I will probably fade them. I prefer Jacksonville or the Chargers. I could also punt completely and go with: Kansas City, Arizona or the Browns. None of those five will run me more than 6.6% on DK and 7.7% on FD.

Here are my recommended lineups.

At DK: $6.1K for Sam Darnold. $7.4K for Saquan Barkley. $10.5K or less for RB2 and FLEX (leaning two of: Miles Sanders, Jonathan Williams, Ronald Jones or Phillip Lindsay). $13.4K for D.J. Chark and D.J. Moore. $5.6K for Jamison Crowder. $3.3K for Jack Doyle. $3.3K for the Jaguars’ defense.

At FD: $8.6K for Pat Mahomes. $7.6K for Barkley. $13K total for RB2 and FLEX. $13.7K total for the D.J.’s. $6.1K or less for WR3 (leaning: Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel or Tyler Boyd). $7.1K for Travis Kelce. $3.9K for the Chargers’ defense.

At Fanball (classic – includes Sun Night): Darnold, Christian McCaffrey, Barkley, Chark, Samuel, Crowder, Kaden Smith (assuming no Evan Engram), M. Sanders (if no Jordan Howard, otherwise Derrius Guice or Ronald Jones), and the Chargers’ defense.

At Fanball (SuperFlex – includes Sun Night): Mahomes, Andy Dalton at SF, Christian McCaffrey, Barkley, Boyd, Darius Slayton (if no Golden Tate, otherwise Allen Lazard), J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, Kelce, and Guice.

At Fantasy Draft (includes Sun Night): Dalton, McCaffrey, Barkley, Chark, Boyd, Doyle, Aaron Jones, Guice, and the Browns’ defense.

Quarterback

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes	$7,400	$8,600
Lamar Jackson	$7,000	$8,700
Aaron Rodgers	$6,500	$8,100
Kyler Murray	$6,400	$7,700
Jameis Winston	$6,300	$7,600
Baker Mayfield	$6,200	$7,600
Sam Darnold	$6,100	$7,600
Jared Goff	$6,000	$7,900
Jacoby Brissett	$5,900	$7,200
Carson Wentz	$5,800	$7,300
Nick Foles	$5,700	$7,500
Ryan Tannehill	$5,700	$7,300
Daniel Jones	$5,600	$7,400
Jimmy Garoppolo	$5,600	$8,000
Derek Carr	$5,500	$7,200
Kyle Allen	$5,500	$7,200
Philip Rivers	$5,500	$7,300
Ryan Fitzpatrick	$5,400	$7,100
Devlin Hodges	$5,100	$6,800
Mike Glennon	$4,800	$6,000
Andy Dalton	$4,700	$6,000
Dwayne Haskins Jr.	$4,600	$6,500

Weekly strategy – Pat Mahomes is gold against a bad Oakland defense. Aaron Rodgers will also be popular facing the equally bad Giants. Lamar Jackson could be a sneaky play, since he has proven capable of doing well against anyone. He may be under-owned due to the matchup. Sam Darnold at a cheaper price is probably my favorite non-Mahomes play. I also like Carson Wentz, Nick Foles and Ryan Tannehill at this price point. I am also fine with punting the position this week. Kyle Allen, Devlin Hodges and Andy Dalton are all possibilities. Dalton should have high ownership because of his price, but the matchup is sweet.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Pat Mahomes, Chiefs vs. OAK ($7400 DK, $8600 FD)
Back in Week 2, Pat Mahomes lit up this defense for 443-4. This was just the first of six games in which Oakland has allowed three or more total TDs to opposing QBs. It was also the first of three 400-yard passing performances against them. With question marks among their RBs, I expect Kansas City to emphasize the pass even more than normal. This should equate to another 350-3 floor.

Aaron Rodgers, Packers @ NYG ($6500 DK, $8100 FD)
The Giants have given up multiple QB Scores in all but two games. One of those games came against Dwayne Haskins in his first career start. Aaron Rodgers has had an underwhelming season, but this matchup should get him right. His best outings of the year have been against suspect secondaries such as: Philadelphia, the Chiefs and the Raiders. I’d reckon the Giants’ secondary is worse than all three of those teams.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens vs. SF ($7000 DK, $8700 FD)
You cannot love the matchup for Lamar Jackson here. That said, Jackson is approaching Christian McCaffrey’ matchup-proof status. Frankly, even if he does mediocre here, he may approach 3x points. You just never know about him because of his ability to destroy the defense with his legs. One thing working for Jackson is that San Fran has struggled the last few weeks against rushing QBs, including big games from Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray (2x).

Sam Darnold, Jets @ CIN ($6100 DK, $7600 FD)
The Bengals are middle-of-the-pack at best against opposing QBs. They have also given up several QB rushing TDs. Over the last three weeks, Sam Darnold is fifth in passing yards, second in passing scores and he has added two rushing TDs. Another three-pack looks safe here, and this game could turn into a sneaky shootout (assuming Andy Dalton isn’t rusty).

Sleepers:

Nick Foles, Jaguars vs. TB ($5700 DK, $7500 FD)
Tampa Bay just held Atlanta to 326-1 last week. That is one of their BETTER defensive performances of the year. Nick Foles has been just ‘aight since his return, but this week screams blow up for him. With the Bucs shutting down the rushing game, I expect Foles to target D.J. Chark, Dede Westbrook and Chris Conley excessively. Foles-Chark is one of my favorite stacks of the week.

Andy Dalton, Bengals vs. NYJ ($4700 DK, $6000 FD)
As I mentioned above, this game could devolve into a shootout. Neither team is very good at playing defense against the pass, but New York is actually pretty good against the run. Before shutting out the Raiders last week, New York had allowed 12 passing TDs over their prior four contests against: Dwayne Haskins, Daniel Jones, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Gardner Minshew. If they can get it done, Andy Dalton should be able to as well. It all comes down to whether he is rusty, and whether he even cares.

Running Back

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey	$10,500	$11,000
Nick Chubb	$7,800	$8,200
Derrick Henry	$7,600	$8,600
Leonard Fournette	$7,500	$7,600
Saquon Barkley	$7,400	$7,600
James Conner	$7,300	$7,100
Le’Veon Bell	$7,200	$7,300
Josh Jacobs	$6,900	$7,700
Aaron Jones	$6,800	$8,000
Todd Gurley II	$6,500	$7,400
Melvin Gordon III	$6,400	$7,000
Marlon Mack	$6,200	$7,300
Mark Ingram II	$6,000	$7,500
Tevin Coleman	$5,900	$6,100
Joe Mixon	$5,800	$6,500
Austin Ekeler	$5,700	$6,700
Jaylen Samuels	$5,700	$5,500
Kenyan Drake	$5,600	$6,400
Kareem Hunt	$5,500	$5,900
Miles Sanders	$5,400	$5,800
Jonathan Williams	$5,300	$6,800
Malcolm Brown	$5,200	$4,900
Ronald Jones II	$5,100	$6,200
Phillip Lindsay	$5,000	$6,300
Matt Breida	$4,900	$5,900
Damien Williams	$4,800	$6,000
LeSean McCoy	$4,800	$5,800
Benny Snell Jr.	$4,700	$6,100
Jordan Howard	$4,700	$6,500
David Johnson	$4,600	$5,700
Gus Edwards	$4,600	$5,400
Derrius Guice	$4,500	$5,400
Jamaal Williams	$4,500	$5,600
Darrel Williams	$4,400	$5,400
Nyheim Hines	$4,200	$5,500
Royce Freeman	$4,200	$5,300
Kalen Ballage	$4,000	$5,300
Adrian Peterson	$3,900	$5,800
Raheem Mostert	$3,800	$4,800
Chris Thompson	$3,700	$5,200
Jeff Wilson Jr.	$3,600	$5,000
Peyton Barber	$3,500	$5,400
Dion Lewis	$3,400	$4,700
Jordan Wilkins	$3,300	$4,700
Trey Edmunds	$3,300	$4,800
Patrick Laird	$3,200	$4,900
Kerrith Whyte Jr.	$3,100	$5,100
Darwin Thompson	$3,000	$4,500

Weekly strategy – Saquan Barkley is the safest play on the docket. I also like Christian McCaffrey because you cannot put a price on his output. Nick Chubb, Josh Jacobs and Aaron Jones are all in play as pivots, since Barkley hasn’t been nearly as reliable as I wish he would be. RB2 options include: Jonathan Williams, Miles Sanders, Ronald Jones and Phillip Lindsay. I also like the idea of using Derrius Guice or Jamaal Williams if you need to save money. The only other punt plays I might consider are: Adrian Peterson, Nyheim Hines, and Darrel Williams (if both Shady McCoy and Damien Williams are out).

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers vs. WAS ($10500 DK, $11000 FD)
At this point, the price doesn’t matter. Christian McCaffrey at worst approaches 30 DFS points every week. Even against the best defenses, and even against crappy game scripts. If you can afford him, just plug and play. I know I won’t completely ignore him against a bad Washington run defense.

Saquan Barkley, Giants vs. GB ($7400 DK, $7600 FD)
Green Bay gives up running back scores way too often. The team has allowed six RB scores over the last four weeks. They have also allowed significant RB receiving yards every week this year. With Golden Tate likely out, I expect Daniel Jones to target Saquan Barkley even more often here. Coming off of back-to-back duds, Barkley will be lesser owned, making this a great GPP play.

Derrick Henry, Titans @ IND ($7600 DK, $8600 FD)
Whereas Barkley has struggled recently, Derrick Henry has been scorching recently. Over the last three weeks, he leads the league in rushing yards and rushing scores. The Colts rushing defense has been very good this year, allowing only three scores on the ground, and only one since Week 2. It will be hard to fade this beast based on his streak, but just don’t be surprised if this is the start of his slowdown.

LeVeon Bell, Jets @ CIN ($7200 DK, $7300 FD)
Cincinnati has allowed 165 combo yards per game and more than one TD per game to opposing RBs. LeVeon Bell’s schedule has started to improve and so have his stats. This game shapes up as a fourth straight plus performance for Bell. If you don’t trust Barkley, I’d be happy to pivot here. Just don’t expect as high of a ceiling.

Sleepers:

Miles Sanders, Eagles @ MIA ($5400 DK, $5800 FD)
Once again this comes down to whether Jordan Howard plays. Miles Sanders still doesn’t have that one true standout game, but he did top five yards per carry last week. With more of the Eagles’ wide receivers finally healthy, perhaps Sanders will have more room to run. Miami has allowed every team to face them to post well above 100 total yards with their RBs. If Howard is out, Sanders will get that third century game and score here.

Ronald Jones, Buccaneers @ JAX ($5100 DK, $6200 FD)
Ronald Jones continues to split work with Peyton Barber, but he has been the better back all season. Three scores in the last four games suggest that Tampa is finally starting to realize that. Jacksonville has given up more than 250 combo yards per game and five touchdowns to opposing backs over the last three games. Even if Jones splits that, it is printing money for you.

Wide Receiver

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Tyreek Hill	$8,900	$8,300
Chris Godwin	$7,700	$8,200
Cooper Kupp	$7,100	$7,800
Davante Adams	$7,000	$8,000
Mike Evans	$6,900	$7,700
DJ Moore	$6,800	$6,800
Odell Beckham Jr.	$6,700	$7,300
DJ Chark Jr.	$6,600	$6,900
Keenan Allen	$6,500	$6,800
Jarvis Landry	$6,400	$7,400
Emmanuel Sanders	$6,300	$6,400
T.Y. Hilton	$6,200	$7,000
A.J. Green	$6,000	$6,600
JuJu Smith-Schuster	$5,900	$6,500
Courtland Sutton	$5,800	$6,600
Golden Tate	$5,800	$6,300
Christian Kirk	$5,700	$6,100
DeVante Parker	$5,700	$6,000
Jamison Crowder	$5,600	$6,300
Terry McLaurin	$5,600	$5,800
Robert Woods	$5,500	$7,100
Tyler Boyd	$5,500	$6,000
Sammy Watkins	$5,400	$6,100
Tyrell Williams	$5,400	$6,200
A.J. Brown	$5,300	$5,300
Darius Slayton	$5,300	$6,300
Marquise Brown	$5,300	$5,600
Brandin Cooks	$5,200	$6,700
Deebo Samuel	$5,200	$5,600
Alshon Jeffery	$5,100	$6,500
Larry Fitzgerald	$5,100	$5,700
Dede Westbrook	$5,000	$5,700
James Washington	$5,000	$6,200
Sterling Shepard	$4,900	$5,900
Curtis Samuel	$4,800	$5,800
Robby Anderson	$4,800	$6,100
Zach Pascal	$4,700	$5,400
Mike Williams	$4,600	$5,700
Chris Conley	$4,500	$6,000
Diontae Johnson	$4,500	$5,300
Nelson Agholor	$4,400	$4,800
Hunter Renfrow	$4,300	$5,500
Mecole Hardman	$4,200	$5,600
Greg Ward	$4,100	$5,300
M. Valdes-Scantling	$4,100	$5,400
Alex Erickson	$4,000	$4,700
Allen Hurns	$4,000	$5,100
Corey Davis	$4,000	$5,200
Albert Wilson	$3,900	$4,700
Adam Humphries	$3,800	$5,300
Auden Tate	$3,800	$5,200
Geronimo Allison	$3,800	$4,900
Josh Reynolds	$3,800	$5,300
Allen Lazard	$3,700	$5,400
Demarcus Robinson	$3,700	$4,600
Paul Richardson Jr.	$3,700	$5,000
Demaryius Thomas	$3,600	$5,200
Chester Rogers	$3,400	$5,200
Jake Kumerow	$3,300	$4,900
JJ Arcega-Whiteside	$3,200	$4,900
Mack Hollins	$3,100	$4,500
Tim Patrick	$3,000	$5,100

Weekly strategy – Tyreek Hill is golden, assuming he plays. It appears he will, so if you can finagle getting his salary into your lineup you should. Personally, I’d rather save a couple bucks and roster two of: D.J. Moore, D.J. Chark and Davante Adams. You must roster at least one of those four. Other possible options at WR2 include: The Rams, the Jets, the Giants, and Tyler Boyd. Curtis Samuel and the other Jaguars are in play at WR3. I could also see taking a chance on Nelson Agholor or J.J. Arcega-Whiteside of the Eagles. If I really need to save some money, I’d consider Allen Lazard or Tim Patrick.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Tyreek Hill, Chiefs vs. OAK ($8900 DK, $8300 FD)
Tyler Boyd is the only WR1 to not post huge numbers against Oakland this season. In his defense, Ryan Finley was throwing the ball in his general direction. Tyreek Hill missed their early meeting, but Demarcus Robinson started for him and posted 6-172-2. I’m not saying that Tyreek will repeat that feat, but if he is truly healthy (and not just a decoy), 130-1 should be a safe floor.

Davante Adams, Packers @ NYG ($7000 DK, $8000 FD)
The Giants have allowed a WR1 to score at least once in four straight games, and seven times on the year. Davante Adams is the most trustworthy receiver that Aaron Rodgers has to throw to. Since returning in Week 9, Adams has nearly three times as many targets as the next WR option on the Pack. This smells like a big Rodgers game. That means it will be a big game for his top receiving threat.

D.J. Chark, Jaguars vs. TB ($6600 DK, $6900 FD)
D.J. Chark is part of my favorite stack with Nick Foles against a team that is strong against the run, but epically bad against the pass. Chark had a quiet game last week, but he has 21 targets since the return of Foles. To contain this Chark, Tampa is gonna need a bigger boat.

D.J. Moore, Panthers vs. WAS ($6800 DK, $6800 FD)
Since Week 9, D.J. Moore leads all WRs in targets and receiving yards. He also ranks second in receptions. He only has two scores over that stretch, but they both came last week. So, he is trending up from a scoring standpoint. Washington has struggled against similar receivers all year. I expect Moore to approach the #1 spot overall this week.

Sleepers:

Tyler Boyd, Bengals vs. NYJ ($5500 DK, $6000 FD)
Andy Dalton is back. While he was gone, Tyler Boyd did reasonable with the refuse he had throwing him the ball. Dalton isn’t great, but at least he is capable. New York slowed down Oakland and Washington the last two weeks, but prior to that they allowed ten WR touchdowns over their prior three games.

Jamison Crowder, Jets @ CIN ($5600 DK, $6300 FD)
Cincinnati has allowed big games to the WR position all season. Including several big games by “possession” WRs. Jamison Crowder is potentially in for a big PPR week, and he might be under-owned due to a poor Week 12. This game will end up being high-scoring, so I want multiple pieces of the Jets’ offense. If I can’t afford to slide Crowder in at WR3, I might use Robby Anderson or Demaryius Thomas. I could also throw Ryan Griffin into my stack here too.

Tight End

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Travis Kelce	$7,200	$7,100
Zach Ertz	$6,700	$6,900
George Kittle	$6,100	$7,000
Hunter Henry	$5,800	$6,600
Mark Andrews	$5,700	$6,500
Darren Waller	$5,500	$6,100
Evan Engram	$5,200	$6,400
Gerald Everett	$4,600	$6,300
Greg Olsen	$4,400	$5,100
Ryan Griffin	$4,300	$5,600
Dallas Goedert	$4,100	$5,200
Jimmy Graham	$3,800	$5,800
Noah Fant	$3,700	$5,100
Mike Gesicki	$3,600	$5,000
David Njoku	$3,500	$4,900
Ross Dwelley	$3,500	$5,300
Vance McDonald	$3,400	$5,000
Jack Doyle	$3,300	$5,000
Jonnu Smith	$3,300	$5,300
Nick O’Leary	$3,200	$4,800
Rhett Ellison	$3,200	$5,000
Cameron Brate	$3,100	$5,000
O.J. Howard	$3,000	$4,800
Kaden Smith	$2,900	$4,000
Tyler Eifert	$2,800	$4,700
Jeremy Sprinkle	$2,700	$4,500
Charles Clay	$2,600	$4,500
Ricky Seals-Jones	$2,600	$4,800
Tyler Higbee	$2,500	$5,500

Weekly strategy – Travis Kelce and Zach Ertz have juicy matchups, but their prices may make it hard to play them. The same goes for Hunter Henry and George Kittle. Gerald Everett gets the Arizona FREE SPACE, but he is also dinged up. If he goes, it would be hard to fade him. If he looks limited or out, I’d easily consider his backup Tyler Higbee. That said, my favorite plays this week are Jack Doyle, Jonnu Smith and Ryan Griffin. If you need to save money, consider rostering Kaden Smith. He may be the last man standing in NY with Evan Engram and Rhett Ellison both on the wrong side of questionable.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. OAK ($7200 DK, $7100 FD)
Oakland has been disinterested in covering TEs recently. Only Arizona has allowed more TE touchdowns this year, and they have given up multiple TE scores in two different games. Some of the shine may leave Travis Kelce this week if Tyreek Hill plays (as expected), but even with Hill on the field Kelce will have little trouble exploiting this mismatch. Back in Week 2 (without Hill on the field), Kelce posted 7-107-1. Expect something similar either way here.

Zach Ertz, Eagles @ MIA ($6700 DK, $6900 FD)
Miami has allowed TE scores in two of their last three games. Meanwhile, Zach Ertz has been forced to haul in 30 of 36 targets over the last three games, since the Eagles had no one else to throw to. With some of the WRs back, Ertz’ target share may dip, but he is still an easy play here (if you can afford him).

Gerald Everett, Rams @ ARI ($4600 DK, $6300 FD)
Gerald Everett is fighting a knee injury. He played through it last week, but his numbers suffered because of it. Fortunately for Everett, he plays the Cardinals this week. Even at 50%, he could top 100 yards against these chumps. Of course, if Everett is downgraded, Tyler Higbee should be a SMASH LOCK in all of your lineups. Even if Everett plays, I still might use Higbee to save cash.

George Kittle, Niners @ BAL ($6100 DK, $7000 FD)
This isn’t a great matchup for George Kittle. That shouldn’t discourage you too much, since he is capable of balling out against any team. If Emmanuel Sanders is limited again this week, Kittle may see even more looks. I’m not going to go crazy to fit him into my lineup, but if I have some space to work with and want exposure to this game, I’ll use him.

Sleepers:

Jack Doyle, Colts vs. TEN ($3300 DK, $5000 FD)
The Titans have given up huge games this year to premium TEs such as: Travis Kelce, Austin Hooper and Hunter Henry. They have also given up decent days to other TEs. Back in Week 2, Jack Doyle and Eric Ebron combined for 5-46-1. Ebron is done for the year, so Doyle will receive a heightened target share. With T.Y. Hilton possibly out as well, Doyle could go off here!

Ryan Griffin, Jets @ CIN ($4300 DK, $5600 FD)
Another portion of my potential Versus-CIN stack is Ryan Griffin. The Bengals have allowed three of their last six opponents to top 85 TE receiving yards. Griffin didn’t have a lot of yards last week, but he did score for the fifth time in his last seven games. At this price, he may be the second-best value on the slate.

The turkey came early this year (this past Sunday), and his name was Julio Jones. What a stinker from both him and Matt Ryan in arguably their easiest matchup of the season. Not the holiday pleasure that I was looking forward to. Fortunately, the afternoon slate and the primetime slate served up a healthier dose of stuffing, taters and pumpkin pie. That helped make up for my Julio induced gastric distress. Now that we have dispensed of our displeasure from this past weekend, it is time to loosen the belt and strap in the feedbag for a Turkey Day feast of fantasy football.

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions:

We get a rematch of last years’ Turkey Day opener as Chicago is traveling north to visit the Lions. Last year Chase Daniel outdueled Matthew Stafford and something called Taquan Mizzell scored a TD for the Bears, while the undead corpse of LeGarrette Blount stumbled over the stripe twice for Detroit. Blount is no longer in the league, and despite seeing proof to the opposite, I still don’t believe that Mizzell actually ever existed. Plus, Stafford is out with a broken back and Chase Daniel has found himself behind Mitch Trubisky (which is similar to being out of football in and of itself).

Trubisky is actually in play for a second straight week, and at his price, he might be a lineup staple for me. David Montgomery has done nothing this year, and not even a sharp matchup excites me to play him. He only posted 60 yards (roughly 3 YPC against Detroit earlier this year). Tarik Cohen actually is a better play with him pass-catching usage surging of late. His price and the lack of RB talent on this slate puts him in the spotlight at RB2 or FLEX. Allen Robinson will likely see a lot of Darius Slay, it didn’t keep him from a solid line a few weeks back. Still considering his price, and other better matchups, I’ll probably fade him. I’m actually more in on Anthony Miller and Taylor Gabriel as WR3/FLEX options as they have seen an uptick in targets the last couple weeks. The TE Plate is so empty for this slate, that Ben Braunecker is almost a possibility (he scored in their earlier meeting). Starting the Bears’ defense at their reduced price on DK is a MUST.

Jeff Driskel should get the start (watch his injury status) for Detroit and he is not in consideration based on the matchup. Driskel looked solid in his first couple of games, but this one is not going to shine his talents. He did post 267-1 in their earlier meeting, but that feels like a ceiling for him. Also, do not even consider David Blough if he starts. In fact, if Blough starts bench all the Lions. Bo Scarbrough looked much more comfortable as the lead back for Detroit than Ty Johnson did in their earlier meeting. I don’t love Scarbrough in this matchup, but he has FLEX appeal based on volume and his price. I could also see using J.D. McKissic at FLEX, since game flow may call for more passing than running. Ty Johnson is the green bean casserole of this slate. Everyone takes a scoop to appease whoever brought them, but no one actually eats a bite of them. Despite a small final line, Driskel did pepper Kenny Golladay, Danny Amendola and Marvin Jones with targets. Golladay got a score, and I like his chances of doing that again. Either Golladay or Jones could be a pivot from the top options at WR1/WR2, but know that they will probably split 150 yards and a single score. Amendola is a more intriguing option at WR3/FLEX. I doubt he scores, but I like him to rack up some receptions. T.J. Hockenson had zero targets last week, and he has disappeared from the game script. At least in Week 10, Hockenson saw some action. Last week, Logan Thomas got involved with a pair of catches, but he is just a guy. Don’t waste your time on any of these TEs. There is also no reason to consider the Lions’ defense, despite the hideous Trubisky chucking the rock for Chicago.

Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys:

Dak Prescott gets a second straight awful matchup. Buffalo has allowed very few QB scores this year. Dak’s best hope this week is with running one in. The DK price might entice you, but don’t overdo it. Ezekiel Elliott, on the other hand, is a stud this week and he must be in your lineup at RB1. He is the safest and best play at the position on the slate. Last week, Amari Cooper got shut down by Stephon Gilmore and now he faces off against an arguably even better, TreDavious White. Just leave Cooper on the bench. The other side of the field is more pass-friendly, so Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb are certainly WR2/WR3 options. However, much like the Lions’ offense, I wouldn’t expect more than one score between them. The Bills are also elite against TEs, so Jason Witten and Blake Jarwin should remain on your bench too. I don’t want to consider the Dallas’ defense here, as I think that Buffalo’s offense can move the ball on them.

Josh Allen is the second-best option at QB this slate. Dallas is middle-of-the-pack against the pass, but they have given up some solid days to rushing QBs. If I pivot from Drew Brees, Allen will be my choice. Devin Singletary has finally put Frank Gore out of his misery as the featured back for Buffalo. Singletary is the third-best RB on the docket, and I like him at RB2 or even at FLEX if I blow my wad on the position. Gore needs to remain out of your lineup unless Singletary hurts himself on the way to the stadium. The Cowboys have given up some solid days to slot receivers, and Cole Beasley has the revenge-game narrative working for him. I will have as many WR3 shares of him as possible. John Brown is also in play with his game-breaking speed. That said, opposing WR1s have not posted huge lines against Dallas all season, so he isn’t my first choice. Dawson Knox has the second-best matchup among TEs on this slate. If you don’t want to pay up for Jared Cook, just roster Knox and count your cash. I don’t mind playing the Buffalo defense here, but they are not my first choice.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons:

We get another rematch from 2018 here. Last year, everyone, not named, Michael Thomas, scored a TD for New Orleans. Meanwhile, Matt Ryan had a huge day throwing the ball, while his team ran the ball like they were all Kalen Ballage.

Drew Brees had a poor Week 10 matchup against Atlanta. He didn’t throw for a ton of yards, and he also didn’t score any passing TDs. Somehow, Michael Thomas and Jared Cook both finished with big stat lines though. I expect this week to go much smoother for Brees, and he is my QB1 on the slate. Alvin Kamara is the RB2 on the slate, but his odd (STUPID) usage last week really leaves me scratching my head. If I am forced to choose between Kamara and Zeke, I will go with Zeke, just in case Sean Payton decides to use more Latavius Murray again here. Speaking of Murray, he makes a decent FLEX option, if you don’t go with Cohen or Singletary. Michael Thomas catches all the passes, making him the easy WR1. Ted Ginn is always in play as a FLEX, I’m not going to dig as far as Tre’Quan Smith though. Jared Cook is the obvious TE1 on this slate. If I cannot afford him, I’ll go with Dawson Knox. That said, the DK price is certainly doable. I could see using the New Orleans’ defense, but I feel better about using the Bears, at least at DK.

The Falcons’ value will be determined by whether or not Marshon Lattimore plays for New Orleans. If he is out this week, then bump up the value of all the Falcons’ passing game weapons. If Lattimore plays, Julio Jones might get shut down. Either way, Matt Ryan is in play at QB3 on the slate. Brian Hill has been an abject failure at RB. Qadree Ollison is clearly the goal line back anyways. Plus, New Orleans is elite against the run. There is always a chance that Devonta Freeman returns as well, but that just further muddies an already ugly situation. As I said above, Julio Jones will be an A+ start if there is no Marshon Lattimore. If Lattimore plays, Julio falls to C-grade at best. Either way, Calvin Ridley is the safer option. Ridley will likely fight with Kenny Golladay and John Brown as my choice at WR2. Russell Gage got a ton of targets last week. He is certainly in play at WR3/FLEX. A healthy Austin Hooper would be the easy TE1 slate on this slate. I doubt he will play. Jaeden Graham will likely get the start, and he has some value as the #3 TE on my board. The Falcons’ defense is improved, but not enough for me to play them here.

Here are my recommended lineups.

At DK: $6.2K for Josh Allen, $13.2K for Ezekiel Elliott and Devin Singletary, $9.1K for Michael Thomas, $6.6K for Calvin Ridley, $4.7K for Cole Beasley, $2.9K for Dawson Knox, $4.7K for Bo Scarbrough at FLEX, and $2.5K for the Bears defense.

At FD: $7.8K for Allen, $16.7K for Zeke and Alvin Kamara, $7.1K for Golladay, Ridley for $6.5K, and Beasley for $5.8K, $4.5K for Knox. $6.6K for Singletary at FLEX, and $5K for the Bears defense.

At Fanball (featuring SuperFlex): Drew Brees, Allen at SF, Kamara, Zeke, Singletary at FLEX, Michael Thomas, Beasley, and Danny Amendola at WR, and Knox.

At Fantasy Draft: Brees, Elliott, Kamara, Thomas, Beasley, Knox, Amendola, Bo Scarbrough, and the Bears’ Defense.

Quarterback

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Drew Brees	$6,800	$8,500
Matt Ryan	$6,400	$7,700
Josh Allen	$6,200	$7,800
Matthew Stafford	$6,000	$7,500
Dak Prescott	$5,700	$8,200
Jeff Driskel	$5,500	$7,000
Mitchell Trubisky	$5,300	$6,800
David Blough	$4,200	$6,000

Weekly strategy – Drew Brees and Josh Allen are the best plays. Matt Ryan is a possible pivot. Avoid Jeff Driskel and Dak Prescott. I can see using Mitch Trubisky as a punt.

Pay to Play:

Drew Brees, Saints @ ATL ($6800 DK, $8500 FD)
Atlanta held Drew Brees to an underwhelming 287-0 in their earlier meeting. This falls below his career average of just over 300 yards per game against the Falcons. In two meetings last year, Brees finished with nine total scores. He won’t get nine here, but three or four is certainly in play as the safest start on the list.

Stay Away:

Jeff Driskel, Lions vs. CHI ($5500 DK, $7000 FD)
First off, Driskel is dinged up. Secondly, Driskel is not very good. Third, Chicago has a stingy defense and a good pass rush. I wouldn’t play Dak Prescott either this week, in case you thought about that angle.

Value Play:

Mitchell Trubisky, Bears @ DET ($5300 DK, $6800 FD)
In four career games against Detroit, Mitchell Trubisky has nine touchdowns and only four turnovers. Compare that to his other 32 career regular season games where he has 38 total TDs and 39 turnovers. Meanwhile, Detroit has allowed three or more passing TDs in four of their last six contests. This included a three-touchdown day for Trubisky in Week 10.

Running Back

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Alvin Kamara	$8,100	$8,300
Ezekiel Elliott	$7,400	$8,400
Devin Singletary	$5,800	$6,600
Latavius Murray	$5,600	$6,200
David Montgomery	$5,400	$5,900
Devonta Freeman	$5,100	$6,200
Tarik Cohen	$5,000	$6,400
Tony Pollard	$4,900	$5,200
Bo Scarbrough	$4,700	$6,100
Brian Hill	$4,400	$5,500
Qadree Ollison	$4,100	$5,800
Frank Gore	$3,900	$5,400
J.D. McKissic	$3,700	$5,200
Ty Johnson	$3,500	$4,900
Kenjon Barner	$3,200	$5,100

Weekly strategy – I’m going to attempt to roster all three of: Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara and Devin Singletary. If I cannot afford all three, Kamara will likely be the odd man out. Tarik Cohen, Bo Scarbrough, J.D. McKissic and Latavius Murray are the only other guys I will consider for the FLEX.

Pay to Play:

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys vs. BUF ($7400 DK, $8400 FD)
It is tough to move the ball through the air against Buffalo. Fortunately for Dallas, it is fairly easy to move the ball on the ground against them. If you ignore the crappy Kalen Ballage performance in Week 11, Buffalo has allowed an average of 5.7 rushing yards per carry to opposing RBs over their other prior four games. Ezekiel Elliott will need to drive this offense to keep Dallas in this one. On a thin slate, he is far-and-away the safest option.

Stay Away:

David Montgomery, Bears @ DET ($5400 DK, $5900 FD)
Despite facing three middling or worse defenses in: Detroit, the Giants and the Rams the last three weeks, David Montgomery averaged a crappy 2.6 YPC. On the year, Montgomery has only topped 70 yards rushing once. This game sniffs of fool’s gold for him.

Value Play:

Tarik Cohen, Bears @ DET ($5000 DK, $6400 FD)
Now that we have stressed how bad David Montgomery has been, let’s consider his running mate, Tarik Cohen, and how well he has performed. He doesn’t have as many touches as Montgomery recently, but he has arguably done more with the ones he has been given. Either way, Cohen is undoubtedly the pass-catching option in this split backfield. This plays nicely into the matchup since Detroit has allowed six different RB groups to record five or more receptions. They also have given up 70+ RB receiving yards six times, and they have allowed seven running back receiving TDs.

Wide Receiver

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Michael Thomas	$9,100	$9,200
Julio Jones	$7,300	$7,800
Allen Robinson II	$6,700	$7,700
Calvin Ridley	$6,600	$6,500
John Brown	$6,300	$6,600
Kenny Golladay	$6,100	$7,100
Amari Cooper	$6,000	$7,900
Michael Gallup	$5,500	$6,800
Marvin Jones Jr.	$5,300	$6,400
Randall Cobb	$5,000	$6,000
Cole Beasley	$4,700	$5,800
Russell Gage	$4,500	$5,400
Taylor Gabriel	$4,300	$5,400
Danny Amendola	$4,100	$5,400
Anthony Miller	$3,900	$5,300
Ted Ginn Jr.	$3,800	$5,200
Tre’Quan Smith	$3,500	$4,500

Weekly strategy – Michael Thomas’ salary is high, but he deserves to be your WR1, if you can fit him under the cap. If not, Kenny Golladay makes a nice pivot. You could also consider Allen Robinson or John Brown. Calvin Ridley should be your WR2. Cole Beasley is my favorite WR3. I also like Danny Amendola, Russell Gage, Taylor Gabriel and Anthony Miller. Any of them could be my FLEX, if I don’t go 3RB.

Pay to Play:

Michael Thomas, Saints @ ATL ($9100 DK, $9200 FD)
The price for Michael Thomas is high, but much like Christian McCaffrey every week, it will be hard to fade him. Even with Brees struggling in their earlier meeting, Thomas hauled in 13 of his 14 targets for 152 yards. This was the fourth time in seven career meetings that Thomas had topped 100 yards against the Falcons. Thursday will run that number to five of eight.

Stay Away:

Amari Cooper, Cowboys vs. BUF ($6000 DK, $7900 FD)
Amari Cooper’s collection of minor injuries haven’t slowed him down, but the tough matchups have finally caught up with him. Stephon Gilmore took him completely out last week, and now he gets to lock horns with the equally tough, Tre’Davious White. The Bills’ secondary has held four different teams under ten total WR receptions. Not by one wide receiver, but by the entire franchise. It has actually been slot receivers who have had the most success against this defense. So, if you need to choose one part of the Cowboys’ passing attack, choose Randall Cobb.

Value Play:

Cole Beasley, Bills @ DAL ($4700 DK, $5800 FD)
Revenge game in play here for Cole Beasley. Plus, Dallas has given up some solid games to opposing slot receivers this year. With the game in Dallas, you know that Buffalo will do everything to get Beasley a TD. Considering that Beasley has scored in four of his last six contests, that touchdown seems like a lock.

Tight End

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Austin Hooper	$5,900	$6,600
Jared Cook	$4,800	$6,700
T.J. Hockenson	$3,400	$4,700
Jason Witten	$3,300	$5,500
Jaeden Graham	$3,100	$4,900
Blake Jarwin	$3,000	$4,800
Dawson Knox	$2,900	$4,500
Logan Thomas	$2,900	$4,700
Ben Braunecker	$2,800	$4,600

Weekly strategy – If Austin Hooper plays, I’d consider him. Otherwise, Jared Cook is as safe as it gets. If I don’t use him, I will likely use Dawson Knox or Jaeden Graham.

Pay to Play:

Jared Cook, Saints @ ATL ($4800 DK, $6700 FD)
The tight ends on this slate are awful. Jared Cook is the only one that is truly safe. Atlanta has allowed every quality TE they have faced to put up a solid line. This included giving up 6-74 to Cook back in Week 10. As the season has progressed, Drew Brees has started to trust Cook more. In fact, he has moved up to option three in this passing offense, behind Michael Thomas and Michael Thomas.

Stay Away:

Jason Witten, Cowboys vs. BUF ($3300 DK, $5500 FD)
Buffalo has allowed only one TE touchdown all season. Plus, they are giving up an average of only 3-33 to the position. Jason Witten struggled with holding onto the ball in the icky weather last week. He won’t have the weather to blame this week, but I still don’t trust him in this spot.

Value Play:

Dawson Knox, Bills @ DAL ($2900 DK, $4500 FD)
Dawson Knox has been hardly reliable this year. That said, this slate is devoid of any talent in a great spot. Knox has the physical tools, if not the opportunity. Plus, Dallas’ secondary has the lack of physical tools necessary to make Knox a nice sleeper. Prior to putting a cap on the Lions and Patriots the last two weeks, the Dallas defense had allowed an average of 6.4-63 to the position, including five TDs.

Well, last week was certainly a fun week. I had a rough start to the day but finished up with a big payday on Fanball. While it certainly wasn’t my biggest payday ever, it always feels remarkable to take down a GPP. But instead of taking down just one GPP, I managed to take down the four largest GPPs on the Fanball Super Flex slate. Incorporating Super Flex into full slate DFS is one of the things that I really enjoy about playing on Fanball. If you want to try your luck in that format, visit fanball.com. As always, you can find my non-Super Flex Fanball lineup below along with my recommended lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and FantasyDraft. Also, remember that next week we will have a bonus Dominator to help you set your Turkey Day lineups.

The Evening Slate:

The NFL flexed Green Bay at the 49ers into SNF. This should be a fun game. Both of these teams have quality offenses, and both have some cracks in their defensive armor. San Francisco has effectively shut down most of the QBs they have faced this year. However, in the last three weeks, they have faced Kyler Murray twice and Russell Wilson. These two have effectively caused San Fran fits with their ability to run the ball. Aaron Rodgers is hardly a running QB, but he is capable of scrambling, and he has his share of short-yardage TDs for his career. Rodgers is likely safe for 250-2 through the air, and he might score one on the ground. Jimmy Garoppolo has arguably the best matchup on this slate, and he didn’t seem to slump last week without George Kittle and with a dinged-up Emmanuel Sanders. I like Jimmy G. to approach 300 yards and throw for three TDs in this spot. The Niners’ run defense left the building five weeks ago. So, both Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams are in play here, although neither is a blow-up play. I obviously lean towards Jones, but I could go with either of them at RB2. RB1 will be Tevin Coleman unless Matt Breida actually suits up. Green Bay is abhorrent against the run. If Breida plays, Jones likely becomes RB1 and Coleman and Breida are still both in play at both RB2 or FLEX. Every WR1 to face Green Bay has had success (especially the speedy ones). Sanders should post solid numbers here, a week further removed from his rib injury. If he was fully healthy, he would be the consensus WR1 here. With the injury, he still is a safe WR2. I am excited to play Deebo Samuel again this week. I have him with another 6-100-1 game and feel he actually has more upside than Sanders. I also like Kendrick Bourne, but would only use him as a FLEX, if I need to save money. Davante Adams is unplayable against this defense. Opposing #1 WRs have done NOTHING since Week 3. The best line over that span was 5-38. Christian Kirk (2x), Cooper Kupp, D.J. Moore, Tyler Lockett, Odell Beckham, and Terry McLaurin have all stunk up the joint against SF. WR2s have fared slightly better against the Niners, so Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Geronimo Allison could be used at FLEX. That said, they have both done nothing recently to suggest they are worth playing here. I feel better about rolling out Allen Lazard at WR3/FLEX. Kittle (if he plays) will abuse this defense. If he doesn’t play, we will see another huge output from Ross Dwelley, since Green Bay is almost as bad at covering TEs as Arizona. Meanwhile, the 49ers have shut down almost every TE they have faced. So, Jimmy Graham is an easy pass here as the worst TE option on this slate. I’ll wait until Monday to choose my defense.

Monday night will be an interesting game. Los Angeles has allowed 45 rushing yards to opposing QBs. That is not per game – that is for the ENTIRE SEASON. Meanwhile, Lamar Jackson has topped that rushing figure in every game except Week 1. In fact, he topped that figure on ONE carry against Cincy two weeks ago. It should be noted that the Rams have faced only one “rushing” QB this year, and that was Russell Wilson. If you take his numbers out of the equation, the Rams have allowed 12 QB rushing yards on 18 carries this year. So, this defense may be tough enough to put a slight muzzle around Jackson’s MVP campaign. Making matters worse, the Rams have allowed zero or one QB score in eight of ten games. So, even the Jackson TDs shouldn’t be presumed here. I expect talent alone to carry Jackson to a pair of TDs, but this may be his worst overall line of the year. The Ravens are equally stingy to opposing QBs. Only one team has scored more than one quarterback TD against this defense and that was back in Week 3. Jared Goff has been on a downward spiral recently and I just cannot trust him to throw for more than 200-1 here. That may be his ceiling this week. The Ravens have been bested by opposing RBs this year. So, Todd Gurley is a possible RB2 option, but I will likely use him as my FLEX. The Rams have been above average against the run, but they can be beaten (especially through the air). Mark Ingram is a capable receiver out of the backfield, so he could also be in RB2/FLEX consideration. That said, he will be much higher owned than Gurley, so I will likely lean towards Todd instead. With Goff shut down, the only WR I would trust here is Cooper Kupp. Slot receivers have fared well against this defense. His ownership could be down this week, following two awful performances. Use this to your advantage as you roll out Kupp at WR1. I’m not going to trust Robert Woods and his “personal situation” or Brandin Cooks fresh off of injury, in what will be a low-scoring contest. If Cooks and Woods are both out, Josh Reynolds might get slight FLEX appeal, otherwise he is firmly on your bench. Opposing WR1s have done zilch against the Rams. So, Marquise Brown has to stay on your bench. There isn’t another WR to trust here either. If there is a passing TD for Jackson here, it will go a TE. The Rams have given up huge games to every decent TE they have faced. I love Mark Andrews and he is the clear TE2 on this slate. Considering, the weak WR corps, I would also consider playing both Andrews and whoever starts for San Francisco. Gerald Everett played sparingly last week due to a wrist injury. This week he faces a team that has been very good against opposing TEs. I’m not counting on much here for him. He is TE3 at best this week. I could see playing either defense here, but Baltimore should be the more popular option. I lean towards the Ravens’ defense as well.

The Main Slate:

Quarterback sucks this week. Matt Ryan is an easy A+ play, but outside of him, it is a black hole. Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston both look good on paper but each feels like a trap. Drew Brees and Derek Carr will likely be my pivot plays from Ryan. I could also consider Sam Darnold or Baker Mayfield if I need to save money (or as my Super Flex play on Fanball). That said, their FD price isn’t much of a discount. Ryan Fitzpatrick on DK is the only punt play that I truly trust. If I want to be really ballsy, I might consider a roster with Dwayne Haskins or Chase Daniel. If I did, I’d have to hyper stack the rest of the lineup with superstars. Ryan, Brees and Carr will run 13% at DK and 14% on FD.

I may actually be forced to pass on Christian McCaffrey this week. He’ll still get his 20+ points, I just don’t see any route to 3x for him here. Alvin Kamara, on the other hand, is due a blow-up here at $2K less. Nick Chubb and Saquan Barkley are possible pivots, but I’m not 100% sold on either crushing it. If James Conner was playing, he has a good matchup, I just highly doubt he plays. If he is ruled out for this game, Jaylen Samuels suddenly becomes a strong RB2 option. I might use a Conner-less Samuels in that spot, or I may pair Kamara with Derrick Henry (DK only), LeVeon Bell or Joe Mixon. David Montgomery and Phillip Lindsay could also be in RB2 consideration, but I’d rather not be over-invested in either of them. I actually kind of hope that Montgomery doesn’t play, because then I can use Tarik Cohen at FLEX. Another possible FLEX is Derrius Guice, especially if Adrian Peterson ends up missing this game due to injury or healthy scratch. I would also have some FLEX appeal in Ronald Jones and Bo Scarbrough. Kamara paired with Henry, Bell or Mixon would run me no more than 30% on DK and 28% on FD. If you choose a FLEX from here keep them under 10%. When you do use C-Mac, consider pairing him with someone in the $5.5K range.

Mike Evans, Michael Thomas and Odell Beckham are all fair pivot plays from the mortal lock WR1 this week, Julio Jones. My feeling is that my WR2 will be from this list: Jarvis Landry, Jamison Crowder, Tyrell Williams and Davante Parker. I like several options at the WR3/FLEX range including: Hunter Renfrow, James Washington, Robby Anderson, Taylor Gabriel, Russell Gage and even Chris Conley. Jones and Landry (my favorite WR2 option) will run me 29% on DK and 25.5% on FD. I wouldn’t spend more than 10% on either WR3 or FLEX here.

Tight end is not pretty this week. The best play may be Ryan Griffin. I don’t mind Jacob Hollister or Jared Cook as pivots but Griffin is just in a better spot. With O.J. Howard in the permanent doghouse, I may also use Cameron Brate. Punt plays that I don’t hate include: Mike Gesicki, Vance McDonald, Dawson Knox and Jaeden Graham. I wouldn’t consider spending more than 9% here.

The Bills, Saints, and Lions are the safest plays but don’t sleep on the Falcons. None of those four will top 7% on DK and the highest priced one is only 8.3% on FD. The Falcons make a nice cheaper option on FD at just over 7%.

Here are my recommended lineups.

At DK: $6.7K for Matt Ryan. $8.2K for Alvin Kamara. $5.2K for Philip Lindsay. $8K for Julio Jones. $4.8K for Robby Anderson. $4.5K for Hunter Renfrow. $4.2K for Ryan Griffin. $5K or less for FLEX. $3.4K for the Bills’ defense.

At FD: $7.9K for Ryan. $8.3K for Kamara. $7.3K for LeVeon Bell. $15.3K total for Julio and Jarvis Landry. $5.9K for Renfrow at WR3. $5.6K for Griffin. $5.4K or less for FLEX (leaning Robby Anderson or Derrius Guice). $4.3K for the Falcons’ defense.

At Fanball (includes Sun Night): Ryan, Kamara, Derrick Henry, Julio, Renfrow, Allen Lazard, Ross Dwelley (assuming no Kittle, otherwise Cameron Brate), LeVeon, and the Falcons’ defense.

At Fantasy Draft (includes Sun Night): Ryan, Kamara, Saquan Barkley, Julio, Lazard, Dwelley (assuming no Kittle), Henry, David Montgomery (or Guice), and the Steelers’ defense.

Quarterback

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Russell Wilson	$6,800	$8,200
Matt Ryan	$6,700	$7,900
Drew Brees	$6,600	$8,500
Josh Allen	$6,400	$7,800
Matthew Stafford	$6,300	$7,900
Jameis Winston	$6,200	$7,600
Derek Carr	$6,100	$7,400
Dak Prescott	$6,000	$8,100
Tom Brady	$6,000	$7,700
Baker Mayfield	$5,900	$7,500
Sam Darnold	$5,800	$7,400
Daniel Jones	$5,700	$7,500
Carson Wentz	$5,600	$7,300
Jeff Driskel	$5,500	$7,300
Mason Rudolph	$5,500	$6,900
Nick Foles	$5,400	$7,200
Ryan Tannehill	$5,300	$7,100
Kyle Allen	$5,200	$6,600
Mitchell Trubisky	$5,100	$7,000
Chase Daniel	$5,000	$6,000
Ryan Fitzpatrick	$5,000	$7,100
Dwayne Haskins Jr.	$4,900	$6,700
Ryan Finley	$4,700	$6,300
Brandon Allen	$4,600	$6,600

Weekly strategy – Matt Ryan is the obvious play. I will also have some exposure to Drew Brees, Derek Carr, Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield. Darnold is my favorite play from the pivot options. I could also see doing a cheap punt with Mason Rudolph, Ryan Fitzpatrick (DK Only), Dwayne Haskins or Chase Daniel. That said, Haskins and Daniel won’t come into play unless I intend to target a big package including four or more high dollar studs.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Matt Ryan, Falcons vs. TB ($6700 DK, $7900 FD)
Over their last eight games, Tampa Bay has allowed a total of 26 QB scores. In addition, they are allowing 317 passing yards per game during that span. Matt Ryan has topped 300 passing yards in six of his last eight contests against Tampa Bay. This includes throwing for a combined 733-5 in two games last year. I have Ryan on 350-3 here, with 160-2 of that heading to Julio Jones.

Drew Brees, Saints vs. CAR ($6600 DK, $8500 FD)
The Panthers are actually pretty solid at keeping QBs out of the end zone with their passes. That said, they have given up huge passing yardage numbers in four of their last six games. Pairing that, with a surging Drew Brees should equate to a solid performance. Just don’t expect 300-3.

Sam Darnold, Jets vs. OAK ($5800 DK, $7400 FD)
It should stand out pretty clear and obvious how rough this slate is when Sam Darnold is the #3 QB in my rankings. I actually will have a ton of exposure to him as a smart pivot from Matt Ryan. He needs to be stacked with either Jamison Crowder or Robby Anderson, and potentially Ryan Griffin, in what should be a high scoring game. I would not be shocked to see Darnold go for 300-3 in this game.

Derek Carr, Raiders @ NYJ ($6100 DK, $7400 FD)
If Darnold is going to go off, then you have to know that Oakland will have to throw the ball too so that they can keep this one close. The Jets have allowed 12 passing TDs over the last four weeks, so Derek Carr should have some room to work with. I really love stacking him with Hunter Renfrow this week. While you are at it, re-stack the game with Crowder too.

Sleepers:

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Dolphins @ CLE ($5000 DK, $7100 FD)
The Browns have allowed multiple QB scores to every quarterback not named Luke Falk or Mason Rudolph. Meanwhile, Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to defy the years and the talent level of his supporting cast to post meaningful numbers for Miami. With two bad defenses facing off, both QBs could be a sneaky play. I must admit though, I don’t love that FD price.

Mason Rudolph, Steelers @ CIN ($5500 DK, $6900 FD)
Coming off an atrocious Week 11, Mason Rudolph could be a sneaky play here since very few people will trust him enough to start him. Cincy is at best middle-of-the-pack against the pass, but they did allow Rudolph to throw for 229-2 earlier this year. With half of his receiving corps dealing with concussions, Rudolph could look repeatedly to Vance McDonald and James Washington, making each of them a great stack option.

Running Back

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey	$10,500	$10,500
Alvin Kamara	$8,200	$8,300
Nick Chubb	$8,100	$8,200
James Conner	$8,000	$7,100
Saquon Barkley	$7,900	$7,900
Ezekiel Elliott	$7,500	$8,100
Josh Jacobs	$7,400	$8,000
Leonard Fournette	$7,300	$7,000
Jaylen Samuels	$7,200	$6,900
Derrick Henry	$6,900	$8,400
Chris Carson	$6,700	$7,700
Le’Veon Bell	$6,400	$7,300
Latavius Murray	$6,100	$5,400
Joe Mixon	$5,900	$6,700
Kareem Hunt	$5,600	$5,600
David Montgomery	$5,500	$6,600
Devin Singletary	$5,400	$6,300
James White	$5,300	$6,100
Phillip Lindsay	$5,200	$6,300
Devonta Freeman	$5,100	$6,200
Miles Sanders	$5,000	$5,600
Brian Hill	$4,900	$5,500
Jordan Howard	$4,800	$6,100
Ronald Jones II	$4,800	$6,000
Tarik Cohen	$4,800	$5,700
Derrius Guice	$4,700	$5,400
Sony Michel	$4,600	$6,300
Royce Freeman	$4,500	$5,300
J.D. McKissic	$4,400	$5,500
Kalen Ballage	$4,400	$5,500
Adrian Peterson	$4,300	$5,800
Rashaad Penny	$4,300	$4,900
Bo Scarbrough	$4,200	$6,400
Frank Gore	$4,100	$5,400
Trey Edmunds	$3,900	$5,400
Peyton Barber	$3,800	$5,500
Rex Burkhead	$3,700	$5,400
Ty Johnson	$3,700	$4,800

Weekly strategy – Alvin Kamara is super safe since he appears to have his full workload back. I will use him almost exclusively at RB1. If I don’t use him, I may pivot to Saquan Barkley, Nick Chubb, or whoever starts for the Steelers. I could also spend big here and roster two from that list. Most of the time I will pair Kamara with Derrick Henry, LeVeon Bell, Joe Mixon or Phillip Lindsay. Other possibilities I will consider at RB2 include: David Montgomery, Miles Sanders, Tarik Cohen, Derrius Guice, Ronald Jones and Bo Scarbrough. More than likely, I will use one of those players at FLEX. I will have at least one lineup featuring Christian McCaffrey in every tourney, but I know that his price is not easily utilized this week.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Alvin Kamara, Saints vs. CAR ($8200 DK, $8300 FD)
Prior to holding the Brian Hill express in check last week, Carolina had given up 12 RB scores over their prior four games. The Panthers didn’t dramatically improve, Brian Hill just proved to not be the real deal. Alvin Kamara is the real deal, and he finally got in a full game’s complement of touches last week as Latavius Murray moved back to his COP role. If this continues (and I suspect it will) this means Kamara is poised for a huge game.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers @ NO ($10500 DK, $10500 FD)
New Orleans is one of the best teams in the league against the run. Over their last eight games, they are allowing an average of 47 yards per game on the ground to opposing RBs. The potential saving grace for Christian McCaffrey this week is that New Orleans does give up a fair amount of receptions and passing yards to opposing backs. That plays into C-Mac’s strength. I’m not going to completely fade McCaffrey. I’m just not going to be heavily invested.

Nick Chubb, Browns vs. MIA ($8100 DK, $8200 FD)
If Kareem Hunt wasn’t a thing, Nick Chubb would get the top seat this week. Chubb has basically given up passing down duty to Hunt. Fortunately for Chubb, Miami is an equal opportunity suck on defense. They can’t stop opposing backs on the ground or through the air. In a way, this actually makes Hunt a possible sleeper too. Just know that Chubb will get his 125 yards and a score in this one as well.

Saquan Barkley, Giants @ CHI ($7900 DK, $7900 FD)
The Bears’ defense use to be strong against opposing backs. Unfortunately, they have fallen apart since Week 5, struggling against RBs both on the ground and through the air. Saquan Barkley had his bye week to stew over his worst career performance in Week 10. You know that he is chomping at the bit to shed that outing and deliver a performance worthy of his draft status. This may be the cheapest that Barkley will ever be again, use him while you can.

Sleepers:

Phillip Lindsay, Broncos @ BUF ($5200 DK, $6300 FD)
You can’t throw the ball outside against Buffalo, so you might as well run the ball or dump it off to your RBs. Over the last two games, Buffalo has allowed 20 receptions to opposing backs. This includes giving up five receptions to the stone hands of Kalen Ballage. If Ballage can catch five passes against this defense, Lindsay might catch 20 himself.

Derrius Guice, Redskins vs. DET ($4700 DK, $5400 FD)
Derrius Guice is back and he instantly becomes the most electrifying RB that Washington has had on their roster in several years. Yes, Adrian Peterson is still there, but Guice can do so much more at this point in his career than AD can do at this point in his career. Peterson is also battling some nagging injuries, so there is a chance that he misses this game. Heck, he could even end up a healthy scratch if Chris Thompson is cleared too. The Lions have allowed 17 total TDs to opposing backs. This includes at least one in every single game. Guice is a lock to score, but his total yardage will be determined by whether or not Peterson plays. If Adrian sits, Guice could put up 150-2 here.

Wide Receiver

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Michael Thomas	$9,300	$9,200
Julio Jones	$8,000	$8,400
Tyler Lockett	$7,600	$7,400
Mike Evans	$7,300	$8,000
Chris Godwin	$7,200	$7,800
Odell Beckham Jr.	$7,000	$7,000
Julian Edelman	$6,900	$7,500
John Brown	$6,700	$6,500
Amari Cooper	$6,600	$7,700
Kenny Golladay	$6,600	$7,800
Allen Robinson II	$6,500	$7,500
Calvin Ridley	$6,500	$6,700
DJ Chark Jr.	$6,400	$7,000
DJ Moore	$6,400	$6,400
DK Metcalf	$6,300	$6,700
Jarvis Landry	$6,300	$6,900
Courtland Sutton	$6,200	$6,800
Jamison Crowder	$6,200	$6,500
Marvin Jones Jr.	$6,100	$7,200
JuJu Smith-Schuster	$6,000	$6,500
Terry McLaurin	$6,000	$5,800
Michael Gallup	$5,900	$6,800
Tyrell Williams	$5,900	$6,400
Golden Tate	$5,700	$6,400
Mohamed Sanu	$5,500	$5,800
Curtis Samuel	$5,400	$5,700
Darius Slayton	$5,300	$6,300
DeVante Parker	$5,200	$6,000
Diontae Johnson	$5,100	$5,600
James Washington	$5,000	$6,100
Tyler Boyd	$5,000	$5,600
Alshon Jeffery	$4,900	$6,200
Sterling Shepard	$4,900	$6,500
Randall Cobb	$4,800	$6,000
Robby Anderson	$4,800	$5,400
A.J. Brown	$4,700	$5,300
Dede Westbrook	$4,600	$5,300
Hunter Renfrow	$4,500	$5,900
Cole Beasley	$4,400	$5,300
Danny Amendola	$4,400	$5,700
Corey Davis	$4,300	$5,200
Josh Gordon	$4,200	$5,100
Taylor Gabriel	$4,200	$5,600
Auden Tate	$4,100	$5,300
Chris Conley	$4,100	$5,700
Nelson Agholor	$4,100	$4,800
Phillip Dorsett II	$4,100	$5,400
Alex Erickson	$4,000	$4,700
Paul Richardson Jr.	$4,000	$5,000
Ted Ginn Jr.	$4,000	$5,200
Adam Humphries	$3,900	$5,300
Russell Gage	$3,900	$5,300
Demaryius Thomas	$3,800	$5,200
Tim Patrick	$3,000	$5,400

Weekly strategy – Julio Jones is a lock at WR1. The only players I will pivot from him with are Michael Thomas and Odell Beckham. If I could fit two of them in my lineup, I’d be happy to. I know that won’t likely happen, but it would be fun. The best secondary option would be fitting Jarvis Landry or Jamison Crowder in at WR2. There are several other players I like including: the Oakland receivers, Robby Anderson, DeVante Parker, Chris Conley, James Washington, Taylor Gabriel and Russell Gage. Gage will really be an interesting choice if you want to go mega-stack with Ryan-Julio-Falcons’ defense.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Julio Jones, Falcons vs. TB ($8000 DK, $8400 FD)
In 14 career games against Tampa, Julio Jones has averaged 7.3 catches and 121 receiving yards per game. He also has 11 career receiving TDs against this secondary. Now fast forward to the present, this may be the worst secondary that Tampa has ever suited up against Julio. They have been destroyed by every WR1 not named Corey Davis. This includes a ridiculous 27-404-6 allowed to opposing WR1s over their last three games. Julio Jones has one career 250-yard game against this defense. He may repeat that feat this week. This is going to be chalk as hell, but with a floor of 8-130-1, you can’t fade him.

Michael Thomas, Saints vs. CAR ($9300 DK, $9200 FD)
Michael Thomas has double-digit targets in eight of ten games this year. He has also posted a minimum of 8 catches and 89 yards in all but one game. Of course, in that game, he still scored. The Panthers have allowed more than 240 WR receiving yards in four of their last six games. Thomas is option A, B and C in the Saints’ passing game. So, he could be in for another big game. If I go cheap at RB (and I’m not eager to), I could attempt to roster both Thomas and Julio.

Odell Beckham, Browns vs. MIA ($7000 DK, $7000 FD)
Odell Beckham is finally cheap enough and in a great matchup. Only two WR1s have failed to score at least one TD against the Dolphins’ pass defense. Beckham is finally starting to see a worthy target share. Against a lighter opponent such as this, he should finally hit pay dirt. Jarvis Landry is also a great play here if you can’t afford Beckham.

Mike Evans, Buccaneers @ ATL ($7300 DK, $8000 FD)
Only one WR1 to face Atlanta has not topped 100 yards, scored, or both. Mike Evans is averaging 5.6-86 with eight total TDs, in ten career games against Atlanta. Assuming that Jameis Winston doesn’t get yanked due to his INT issues, Evans should have a safe 7-75-1 floor.

Sleepers:

Jamison Crowder, Jets vs. OAK ($6200 DK, $6500 FD)
This game should be fairly high scoring since both defenses are weak. In that type of situation, I want as much exposure to the game as possible. Both Derek Carr and Sam Darnold make smart pivots from Matt Ryan (if you want to dodge the chalk). This makes both of their WR1s good stacks as well. Jamison Crowder has scored in three straight games, let’s make it four.

Hunter Renfrow, Raiders @ NYJ ($4500 DK, $5900 FD)
All the WRs are in play in this game. I especially like Hunter Renfrow since he is cheaper than Tyrell Williams. It also helps that the Jets have particularly struggled with opposing WR2s. Philip Dorsett (twice), Chris Conley, Preston Williams, Darius Slayton, and Kelvin Harmon have all made mincemeat of this defense. I like Renfrow to post 6-75-1 as a floor here.

Tight End

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Zach Ertz	$6,000	$6,100
Darren Waller	$5,700	$6,200
Evan Engram	$5,200	$6,400
Jared Cook	$4,500	$6,000
Jacob Hollister	$4,300	$5,800
Ryan Griffin	$4,200	$5,600
Greg Olsen	$4,100	$5,100
Noah Fant	$3,900	$5,100
Delanie Walker	$3,800	$5,400
Dallas Goedert	$3,700	$5,200
Cameron Brate	$3,600	$5,400
Jonnu Smith	$3,600	$5,300
Jason Witten	$3,500	$5,300
Vance McDonald	$3,500	$5,300
Mike Gesicki	$3,400	$5,000
T.J. Hockenson	$3,400	$4,900
Jaeden Graham	$3,300	$4,500
O.J. Howard	$3,300	$5,000
Ben Watson	$3,100	$5,300
Tyler Eifert	$3,100	$5,000
Dawson Knox	$3,000	$4,800
Rhett Ellison	$3,000	$5,000
Foster Moreau	$2,800	$4,700
Ben Braunecker	$2,700	$4,500

Weekly strategy – I hate almost all the TEs this week. Ryan Griffin has the greatest upside and crumb bums like Jared Cook and Jacob Hollister are among the top options. I also like Cameron Brate, Vance McDonald, Mike Gesicki, Ben Watson and the ultimate punt, Jaeden Graham. The best thing you can do here is just pray for a score.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Ryan Griffin, Jets vs. OAK ($4200 DK, $5600 FD)
Presenting, your TE1 for the week (weak)…Ryan Griffin? Geesh, this is ugly, right? Actually, the ugly is Oakland’s handling of opposing TEs. Six teams have topped 65 TE receiving yards against them, and they have allowed four TE scores over their last five games.

Jared Cook, Saints vs. CAR ($4500 DK, $6000 FD)
Carolina is beatable by opposing TEs. Both mediocre and quality opposition has posted solid yardage and reception numbers against this defense. Jared Cook is starting to re-gel with Drew Brees, so he is as good a play as anyone this week. I like the DK price a lot more than the FD price, but Cook might still be a little over-owned on an otherwise weak TE slate.

Zach Ertz, Eagles vs. SEA ($6000 DK, $6100 FD)
This isn’t a bad matchup for Zach Ertz. In fact, I think Ertz has a solid floor of 6-60. Seattle can be beaten by opposing TEs. They have especially struggled against solid TEs (Austin Hooper, Gerald Everett and Vance McDonald). You could make the argument that Ertz is better than all three of them.

Jacob Hollister, Seahawks @ PHI ($4300 DK, $5800 FD)
Jacob Hollister could see a slight slide in targets with the returning Ed Dickson. That would be a punk move by Seattle. Hollister has looked very good in relief of the injured Will Dissly, and Dickson is just a grizzled vet that has never balled out when given the extended chance. Since Week 7, Hollister is 11^th among TEs in both targets and receptions. He is also tied for second in TDs scored over that stretch. If Dickson is active, Hollister might have a slightly smaller line. That said, Hollister still should roll up about 5-50, with a chance of a score. That scarily will be top five this week.

Sleepers:

Cameron Brate, Buccaneers @ ATL ($3600 DK, $5400 FD)
With O.J. Howard in the permanent doghouse, Cameron Brate exploded back onto the scene last week. Atlanta has given up big games to similarly skilled TEs recently. I could easily see Brate have a solid game here (think 6-60, maybe a score), but he won’t post another 10-73.

Vance McDonald, Steelers @ CIN ($3500 DK, $5300 FD)
Nearly half of the Steelers’ total targets for the season, may miss this game. If that is the case, Vance McDonald quickly becomes a volume-sleeper here. Mason Rudolph has targeted him seven times in each of the last three games. That number should rise here. The Bengals started the season solid against opposing TEs, but over their last two games, they have allowed 19-237-3 to the position.

Well, last week was crazy. So many absurdist outcomes, despite the small slate of games. Fortunately for my pocketbook, the Primetime slate was one of my biggest winners of the year. Let us hope for more sanity this week or at the very least some strong alcohol to mellow our spirits. Only four teams are on bye, so we have that going for us. Of course, those four teams each have a top ten fantasy running back.

The Evening Slate:

Sunday night, Chicago faces the Rams in a battle of which team has fallen harder this season. Coming into the year, both teams were on a positive trajectory led by a young franchise QB and a bevy of young talent on both sides of the ball. Now we are looking at two teams that will be very lucky to even make the playoffs. Both teams still are very strong against the pass, so I’m going to avoid both Jared Goff and Mitch Trubisky. I’d rank them three and four on this slate. The Bears’ run defense has struggled of late, but so has every part of the Rams’ rushing offense. With better matchups on Monday, I’m not going to overuse Todd Gurley. David Montgomery has a rough spot here as well, so I’ll fade him too. Tarik Cohen is my only thought here (and then only at FLEX). I want no part of Allen Robinson lined up against Jalen Ramsey (despite their familiarity with each other). Anthony Miller and Taylor Gabriel have both been hit or miss this year (mostly miss), so I will pass on them as well. Brandin Cooks’ brain looks like cottage cheese, and he is probably closer to early retirement than playing this week. This means that Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp and Josh Reynolds should see more action. Last week, Cooper Kupp was so missing that milk cartons wouldn’t even show his image. That has to change this week. I don’t love the matchup, but Kupp always has slate-breaking potential, and hopefully, players will be skittish after last week. I may have some exposure to Woods (WR1) and Reynolds (WR3), but if I do choose a Ram, it will likely be Kupp. George Everett was the actual benefactor in Cooks’ absence last week. This week, he may be under-owned with Hunter Henry and Travis Kelce available on MNF. I love him at TE here, and possibly even at FLEX. The Rams are actually pretty atrocious at covering tight ends but do you really trust any of the Bears’ group. If two members of their TE-job squad are announced as out before the game, I may consider the third option for Chicago there, but otherwise no. The Rams’ defense is the best play on this slate, but it is closer than you might think. I have Chicago ranked third behind the Chiefs.

Monday night should be more offense forward. The Chiefs are also in LA, but considering the Chargers’ apathetic fan base, we will likely see more Chiefs jerseys than powder blues in the stands. Both QBs are in play, but Pat Mahomes is the obvious preferred option. At running back, Melvin Gordon is my top option of the week, and Damien Williams is my favorite #2 choice. Austin Ekeler could be used as a FLEX, but he isn’t my first thought there. Keenan Allen and Tyreek Hill should be the top two WR options on this slate. I definitely want Hill in my lineup, but if I also roster Cooper Kupp, If I do go both Hill and Allen, I’ll probably pivot from Kupp to Josh Reynolds to save money. If I go Hill and Kupp, I’ll probably consider Mike Williams as my WR3. Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman and Demarcus Robinson are all in play at FLEX. Obviously, both Travis Kelce and Hunter Henry are great plays. I like Henry’s recent usage a bit more, so he will be my first choice. I wouldn’t be mad if you rostered them both. Heck, on Fanball, I could see rostering both of them and Gerald Everett. The Chiefs’ defense is a sneaky pivot here from the Rams. I also don’t hate the Chargers defense, but still have them ranked fourth on this docket.

The Main Slate:

There are five choices I like this week up top: Lamar Jackson, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Dak Prescott and Josh Allen. Brees might be the best option since owners are likely afraid to play him after he crapped the bed last week. That said, Jackson has a sweet matchup and Brady may have the best matchup of them all. There isn’t much I Like that is cheap here this week. I might have some access to Kyle Allen, Sam Darnold or Derek Carr, but I’m not going to get too crazy. The above five will cost me 13-16% on DK and 13-15% on FD.

Christian McCaffrey doesn’t have as great of a matchup this week, nevertheless, he needs to be considered. That said, I won’t have as much exposure to him as I had last week. The main reason being that Ezekiel Elliott is in a blow-up spot. I also will be all over Josh Jacobs and could go big and buy them both. I will definitely have at least one of these three in all of my lineups. There aren’t many other pivot options of interest to me. Perhaps Devin Singletary, but I’m going to remain concerned that Josh Allen or Frank Gore will steal red zone touches. My preference will be to go cheap at RB2. Brian Hill will be chalky, but the matchup screams play me. If I decide to pivot away from him at RB2, I may go with J.D. McKissic or Raheem Mostert. I could also consider one of them at FLEX (although I am leaning WR this week). Zeke and Jacobs will cost you a combined 32% on DK and 27% on FD. If I go Zeke and Hill, I will only be committed at 28% on DK and 24% on FD. If I do choose C-Mac, I will likely be forced to use one of the cheaper options.

This is the week to avoid the top dollar options at WR. That said, I love both Michael Thomas and Julian Edelman and could see me trying to fit both of them into my lineup. I will have at least one of those two as my WR1. Beyond them, you have to go all the way down to Michael Gallup to find another player I really like this week. Gallup or D.J. Moore might be a pivot from Edelman at WR2 if I cannot afford both Thomas and Julian. My WR3 will likely come from this list: Curtis Samuel, Jamison Crowder, Marquise Brown, Tyler Boyd, Mohamed Sanu, Randall Cobb, Phillip Dorsett and Deebo Samuel. That group, plus Ted Ginn and Demaryius Thomas are FLEX options as well. Thomas and Edelman will run 35% on DK, but only 27% on FD, making them easier to use together there. For DK, I would probably lean Thomas and either Gallup or Moore for $1K less. Don’t spend more than 12% for WR3 and keep your FLEX under 10%.

This TE corps is awful this week. The only sure thing is George Kittle, and he may not play. Jared Cook may end up being the best performer with all the injuries and bad matchups. His DK price is reasonable, but his FD price is high. This week, I will probably go cheap and roll with Jason Witten, Kyle Rudolph (If Adam Thielen doesn’t play), T.J. Hockenson or Ross Dwelley (If Kittle doesn’t play). If I really decide to punt, I might go Tyler Eifert, Luke Stocker or Dawson Knox. If you don’t get Kittle, just keep your spending under 8% here.

The Vikings, Jets and Saints are my three favorite defenses to play this week. None will cost you more than 7% on DK or 8% On FD.

Here are my recommended lineups.

At DK: $6.9K for Drew Brees. $6.9K for Josh Jacobs. $4.8K for Brian Hill. $9.9K for Michael Thomas. $10K total for WR2 and WR3 (leaning D.J. Moore and Deebo Samuel). $3.4K for Ross Dwelley. $4.6K for J.D. McKissic at FLEX. $3.4K for the Vikings’ defense.

At FD: $7.8K for Tom Brady. $8.4K for Ezekiel Elliott. $5.9K for Hill. $16.4K total for Thomas and Julian Edelman. $6K or less for WR3 (leaning Moore). $4.9K for Dwelley. $5.6K for Hollywood Brown at FLEX. $4.7K for the Vikings’ defense.

At Fanball (includes Sun Night): Kyle Allen, Christian McCaffrey, Zeke, Thomas, Curtis Samuel, Deebo Samuel, Dwelley, Hill, and the Jets’ defense.

At Fantasy Draft (includes Sun Night): Lamar Jackson, McCaffrey, Zeke, Moore, Deebo, Dwelley, Hill, McKissic, and the Jets’ defense.

Quarterback

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Lamar Jackson	$7,700	$8,800
Drew Brees	$6,900	$8,300
Deshaun Watson	$6,800	$8,200
Dak Prescott	$6,700	$8,100
Jimmy Garoppolo	$6,700	$8,000
Josh Allen	$6,600	$7,800
Jameis Winston	$6,500	$7,600
Tom Brady	$6,400	$7,800
Kirk Cousins	$6,300	$7,700
Matt Ryan	$6,200	$7,600
Derek Carr	$6,100	$7,400
Kyler Murray	$6,100	$7,600
Matthew Stafford	$6,000	$7,900
Jacoby Brissett	$5,900	$7,500
Sam Darnold	$5,700	$7,300
Nick Foles	$5,600	$7,000
Carson Wentz	$5,400	$7,000
Kyle Allen	$5,300	$7,200
Brian Hoyer	$5,200	$6,500
Ryan Fitzpatrick	$5,100	$7,100
Ryan Finley	$5,000	$6,300
Dwayne Haskins Jr.	$4,800	$6,500
Brandon Allen	$4,700	$6,800
Jeff Driskel	$4,600	$6,700

Weekly strategy – Drew Brees, Tom Brady and Lamar Jackson are my favorite choices this week. Dak Prescott and Josh Allen will be my pivots. I will also have a small amount of exposure to Kyle Allen or Derek Carr (DK only). Allen, in particular, could be a fine punt play if you want to spend like the Yankees elsewhere (i.e. getting Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott and Michael Thomas).

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Lamar Jackson, Ravens vs. HOU ($7700 DK, $8800 FD)
Prior to keeping the Gardner Minshew-led Jaguars out of the end zone, Houston allowed 14 QB touchdowns over their prior four games. Lamar Jackson has been elite all year. Racking up points both on the ground and through the air. His scoring only appreciates in value when he adds on TDs. He has seven of those in just his last two games. Expect 200-2, and 80-1 here in a slate leading game.

Drew Brees, Saints @ TB ($6900 DK, $8300 FD)
Odds are that people will be hesitant to use Drew Brees after last weeks’ fiasco. Hopefully, that will keep his ownership down in GPPs. Tampa Bay has allowed 23 total TDs to opposing QBs since Week3 (seven games). This included a 332-4 to Teddy Bridgewater in Week 5. Brees could easily duplicate that figure.

Tom Brady, Patriots @ PHI ($6400 DK, $7800 FD)
You cannot run against Philadelphia. That said, most Pop Warner teams could throw for 300 yards against them. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick will be anxious to wash away any Super Bowl memories of this matchup. Expect them to throw excessively, early and often. He probably won’t post another 500-yard passing game, but 375-3 is a safe floor.

Dak Prescott, Cowboys @ DET ($6700 DK, $8100 FD)
Detroit has allowed 15 passing TDs over their last five games. This includes nine over their last three games against: Derek Carr, Daniel Jones and Mitchell Trubisky. Dak Prescott is so much more talented than that threesome. If they can throw for three TDs. Dak is guaranteed to throw for three TDs. The only thing that may stunt Prescott’s final line is that Ezekiel Elliott may run for nearly 200 total yards as well.

Sleepers:

Sam Darnold, Jets @ WAS ($5700 DK, $7300 FD)
Washington’s defense has not allowed a ton of points to opposing QBs recently. Those numbers are slightly deceiving though. One of those games was an ugly Thursday meeting with Minnesota. One was a windy contest against San Francisco. Yet another was a battle of who wanted to lose more started against them by Josh Rosen. Prior to their recent “hot streak”, this defense allowed three passing TDs in four of five games to start the year. Sam Darnold isn’t going to blow up here, but 300-2 is certainly a possibility.

Kyle Allen, Panthers vs. ATL ($5300 DK, $7200 FD)
Atlanta allowed Drew Brees to throw for over 300 yards, but somehow managed to keep him out of the end zone. That performance was truly an outlier. Prior to that game, they had allowed multiple QB scores in every game. This included 18 over their prior five games. Kyle Allen has posted serviceable numbers in five of his seven starts. I really love the thought of pairing Allen with either Curtis Samuel or D.J. Moore. This combo would save me enough money to roster Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas and Ezekiel Elliott.

Running Back

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Christian McCaffrey	$10,500	$10,500
Ezekiel Elliott	$9,000	$8,400
Dalvin Cook	$8,900	$8,600
Leonard Fournette	$7,900	$7,200
Alvin Kamara	$7,400	$7,800
Le’Veon Bell	$7,200	$7,400
Josh Jacobs	$6,900	$8,000
Mark Ingram II	$6,600	$7,500
Marlon Mack	$6,400	$7,300
Latavius Murray	$6,200	$5,600
Tevin Coleman	$6,100	$6,700
Devin Singletary	$6,000	$6,500
Devonta Freeman	$5,900	$6,200
Joe Mixon	$5,500	$6,600
James White	$5,400	$6,100
Kenyan Drake	$5,400	$6,300
Phillip Lindsay	$5,300	$6,600
Ronald Jones II	$5,200	$6,400
David Johnson	$5,100	$6,200
Alexander Mattison	$5,000	$4,800
Sony Michel	$4,900	$6,300
Brian Hill	$4,800	$5,900
Royce Freeman	$4,800	$5,800
Derrius Guice	$4,700	$4,700
Jordan Howard	$4,700	$6,100
Carlos Hyde	$4,600	$6,300
J.D. McKissic	$4,600	$5,800
Adrian Peterson	$4,500	$6,300
Gus Edwards	$4,500	$4,800
Frank Gore	$4,400	$5,600
Kalen Ballage	$4,300	$5,300
Nyheim Hines	$4,200	$4,900
Miles Sanders	$4,100	$5,600
Duke Johnson	$4,000	$5,900
Chris Thompson	$3,900	$5,200
Rex Burkhead	$3,800	$4,900
Ty Johnson	$3,800	$5,400
Peyton Barber	$3,600	$5,500
Raheem Mostert	$3,400	$4,600
Darren Sproles	$3,300	$4,600

Weekly strategy – There are three top options this week: Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott and Josh Jacobs. The plan is to use at least one of these three in all of my lineups. The obvious choice is to pair one of them with a cheap volume option such as: J.D. McKissic or Brian Hill. Devin Singletary is the only other back that I will have a lot of exposure to. I’ll consider using both McKissic and Hill (or maybe Raheem Mostert) if I take my FLEX from this position.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers vs. ATL ($10500 DK, $10500 FD)
You know you want to do it. The Saints just recorded 12 running back receptions against this defense. Christian McCaffrey is in a golden spot to put up another 30-point performance. It may not equate to 3X, but it is hard to not love that kind of output.

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys @ DET ($9000 DK, $8400 FD)
Ezekiel Elliott had an off day last week, against a short-handed Vikings’ run defense. Kudos to the Minnesota coaching staff for going out of their way to put a clamp down on Zeke. One of the biggest issues is that Dallas didn’t attempt to get the ball to Zeke in space via the pass. That will change this week. Detroit has allowed five different RB groups to top 70 receiving yards against them. They have also allowed at least one running back score in every game. Zeke should top 150 total yards this week and score twice as the Cowboys roll.

Josh Jacobs, Raiders vs. CIN ($6900 DK, $8000 FD)
Cincinnati has allowed at least one RB score in all but one game this year. They are also allowing a 4.79 yard per carry average. Jacobs has topped 100 total yards in six of nine games. He also has three scores in the last two weeks. I like him to continue his scoring streak and top 100 yards again, but that $8K price on FD is less juicy than his DK price.

LeVeon Bell, Jets @ WAS ($7200 DK, $7400 FD)
LeVeon Bell has not been exciting this year. That said, he has been used often in the passing game. Opposing backs have racked up receptions and receiving yards against Washington all season. In addition, they have allowed opposing backs to top 100 yards in seven of nine games. Bell will haul in six passes and top 100 total yards here with a single score. Not a horrible line, I just wish he was slightly cheaper.

Sleepers:

Brian Hill, Falcons @ CAR ($4800 DK, $5900 FD)
Brian Hill will be a lock as chalk RB du jour this week. Considering the matchup, the lack of sure things this week, and his price, you can’t fade this spot. The only thing you could do is pivot to J.D. McKissic. As for me, I’m gonna eat this one and play the only healthy back on the Falcons as he faces a Carolina defense that has allowed 12 running back scores over the last four games.

J.D. McKissic, Lions vs. DAL ($4600 DK, $5800 FD)
I will have several lineups featuring both J.D. McKissic and Brian Hill paired with one of the big dollar options. McKissic is also a “last man standing”, and after seeing what the Vikings were able to do to this Dallas defense through the air with Dalvin Cook, I expect McKissic to be used heavily in the passing game this week. The Cowboys have allowed an average of 6.7-53 through the air to opposing backs, that is McKissic’s floor here, any rushing yardage is gravy.

Wide Receiver

	DraftKings	FanDuel
Michael Thomas	$9,900	$9,000
DeAndre Hopkins	$8,100	$8,300
Amari Cooper	$7,700	$8,100
Julian Edelman	$7,600	$7,400
Julio Jones	$7,500	$7,800
Mike Evans	$7,400	$8,200
Chris Godwin	$7,300	$8,000
Emmanuel Sanders	$7,200	$6,900
Stefon Diggs	$6,900	$7,300
Adam Thielen	$6,800	$7,000
Kenny Golladay	$6,700	$7,600
T.Y. Hilton	$6,600	$7,300
Michael Gallup	$6,500	$6,700
John Brown	$6,400	$5,900
DJ Chark Jr.	$6,200	$6,000
A.J. Green	$6,100	$6,600
Courtland Sutton	$6,000	$6,600
DJ Moore	$5,900	$6,000
Marvin Jones Jr.	$5,900	$6,600
Will Fuller V	$5,800	$6,300
Zach Pascal	$5,800	$6,200
Christian Kirk	$5,700	$6,200
Jamison Crowder	$5,700	$6,500
Marquise Brown	$5,600	$5,600
Terry McLaurin	$5,600	$5,500
Calvin Ridley	$5,500	$5,500
Tyrell Williams	$5,400	$6,200
Curtis Samuel	$5,300	$6,300
Tyler Boyd	$5,200	$5,900
Mohamed Sanu	$5,100	$5,800
Larry Fitzgerald	$5,000	$5,400
Robby Anderson	$4,900	$5,400
Alshon Jeffery	$4,800	$6,200
Cole Beasley	$4,700	$5,500
DeVante Parker	$4,700	$5,600
Kenny Stills	$4,600	$5,500
Dede Westbrook	$4,500	$5,400
Chris Conley	$4,400	$5,500
Randall Cobb	$4,300	$5,400
Auden Tate	$4,200	$5,300
Danny Amendola	$4,200	$5,400
Phillip Dorsett II	$4,200	$5,300
Olabisi Johnson	$4,100	$5,000
Ted Ginn Jr.	$4,100	$5,200
Chester Rogers	$4,000	$5,200
Deebo Samuel	$4,000	$5,600
Hunter Renfrow	$4,000	$5,700
Nelson Agholor	$4,000	$4,800
Demaryius Thomas	$3,900	$5,200
Willie Snead IV	$3,900	$4,600
Paul Richardson Jr.	$3,800	$5,000
Marquise Goodwin	$3,700	$4,900
DaeSean Hamilton	$3,600	$5,300
Andy Isabella	$3,500	$5,200
Dante Pettis	$3,400	$4,800
Zay Jones	$3,300	$4,800
Jakobi Meyers	$3,200	$4,700
N’Keal Harry	$3,000	$5,000

Weekly strategy – While I would love to have both Michael Thomas and Julian Edelman in my lineup, I would have a very difficult time pulling that off. Amari Cooper and Julio Jones are both potential pivots at a slight savings. WR2 will likely come from this list: John Brown, Jamison Crowder, Randall Cobb, Hollywood Brown, one of the Panthers or one of the Patriots. I may also consider one of them at WR3 if I can afford it. That said, most of my WR3 exposure will be to Deebo Samuel and Demaryius Thomas. I may also use Ted Ginn in that role if I don’t roster Thomas.

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Michael Thomas, Saints @ TB ($9900 DK, $9000 FD)
Tampa has one of the worst passing defenses in modern football history. They have allowed 40-609-6 to opposing WRs the last two games. 15 different WRs have topped 70 yards against this defense this year. One of them was Michael Thomas back in Week 5. In that game, Thomas posted 11-182-2 and that was with Teddy Bridgewater at QB. Considering the matchup, a repeat performance is not out of the question. Thomas has faced Tampa six times in his career. The worst line he has posted was 8-65-0. Over his last three meetings with the Bucs, he has posted 38-460-3.

Julian Edelman, Patriots @ PHI ($7600 DK, $7400 FD)
Since Week 5, Julian Edelman is third in receptions and second in targets. Based on his volume usage, he should be in for another huge game against a defense that has allowed big games to every quality QB they have faced. Edelman should approach ten catches and 100 yards here.

Amari Cooper, Cowboys @ DET ($7700 DK, $8100 FD)
Detroit is starting to phone it in on defense. Meanwhile, Amari Cooper has scored and/or topped 100 yards in seven of nine contests. I don’t love his price compared to Edelman, but if you pivot to Dak Prescott at QB you might as well play his top WR as well.

Julio Jones, Falcons vs. CAR ($7500 DK, $7800 FD)
Julio Jones hasn’t scored since Week 3. Fortunately for his owners, his yardage has remained high. Carolina has allowed 15 or more WR receptions in six games this year. You can never trust Jones to score, but without Austin Hooper on the field, Julio should be targeted more often in the red zone.

Sleepers:

D.J. Moore, Panthers vs. ATL ($5900 DK, $6000 FD)
Atlanta has struggled all season against opposing WRs, but they have particularly been bad since Desmond Trufant was injured. Trufant claims he is going to play this week, but he is not guaranteed. Also, if he does play, he may line up on Curtis Samuel instead of Moore. This game should be higher scoring and that is why I like Kyle Allen as a sleeper. If I roster Allen, I will have one of Moore or Samuel in my lineup as well.

Deebo Samuel, 49ers vs. ARI ($4000 DK, $5600 FD)
Speaking of Samuels, Deebo Samuel has been solid all season, but now with Emmanuel Sanders dinged up he may need to be more than solid. Last week, he stepped up and posted 8-112 on 11 targets. In Week 9, Samuel posted 4-40 against these Cards, but that was with Sanders active. If Sanders isn’t active this weekend, expect Deebo to approach Sanders’ line of 7-112-1 from that earlier game. Even if Sanders plays, I like Samuel as an upside play at this cheap price.

Tight End

	DraftKings	FanDuel
George Kittle	$7,000	$7,500
Mark Andrews	$6,100	$6,900
Darren Waller	$5,500	$6,700
Zach Ertz	$5,000	$6,200
Jared Cook	$4,400	$6,000
Jack Doyle	$4,000	$5,400
Greg Olsen	$3,900	$5,100
Darren Fells	$3,800	$5,100
Jason Witten	$3,700	$5,600
Noah Fant	$3,700	$5,100
Eric Ebron	$3,600	$5,200
Kyle Rudolph	$3,600	$4,500
O.J. Howard	$3,600	$5,300
T.J. Hockenson	$3,600	$5,300
Mike Gesicki	$3,500	$5,100
Ross Dwelley	$3,400	$4,900
Cameron Brate	$3,300	$4,500
Dallas Goedert	$3,200	$5,000
Tyler Eifert	$3,200	$5,000
Irv Smith Jr.	$3,100	$4,700
Dawson Knox	$3,000	$4,500
Luke Stocker	$3,000	$4,000
Ben Watson	$2,900	$4,900

Weekly strategy – It is ugly this week. George Kittle probably won’t play. If he doesn’t, then Ross Dwelley is easy money and mega-chalk. Outside of that, there is a lot to not like here. Mark Andrews and Darren Waller will likely lead the group, but their prices are too high to be over-exposed to. Jared Cook might be my favorite play here, but only if I am not also using Michael Thomas. I’m also not keen on his FD price. If I don’t end up using Dwelley, I will probably go cheap and use Jason Witten, Kyle Rudolph, T.J. Hockenson, Tyler Eifert or Luke Stocker (if he plays).

Your Fantasy Four Pack:

Mark Andrews, Ravens vs. HOU ($6100 DK, $6900 FD)
Mark Andrews is the de facto top option on this slate. I don’t love him, but I do love his QB. I actually feel that Marquise Brown is the stack to play this week here, but considering how slim the TE pickings are, you could do a lot worse. Houston has given up TE scores two of the last three games.

Darren Waller, Raiders vs. CIN ($5500 DK, $6700 FD)
Speaking of Mark Andrews, Cincinnati just got destroyed by him for the second time this year. Strangely enough, Cincy has actually been pretty solid against the other TEs they have faced. Darren Waller is enough of an impact player to expect a solid performance here, just don’t expect Andrews-esque numbers.

Jared Cook, Saints @ TB ($4400 DK, $6000 FD)
Jared Cook may be the safest play on this slate. He has a cheaper price and a favorable matchup. He also was heavily utilized last week in his first game back with Drew Brees under center. Tampa has allowed all but one team to top 50 TE receiving yards this year. They also have allowed five teams to top 80 yards with the position. Plus, they have given up six scores in their last seven contests. 5-65-1 sounds about right for Cook.

T.J. Hockenson, Lions vs. DAL ($3600 DK, $5300 FD)
This should stress how bad it is. T.J. Hockenson has only 19 receptions since Week 1. What he has going for him is 13 targets over the last two weeks, including plenty of looks while playing from behind with Jeff Driskel at the helm last week. Detroit will be playing from behind again here, and Driskel will likely get another start. I would not be surprised to see even more targets headed Hock’s way. Dallas has allowed an average of 6.5-63 to the position. Plus, they have given up four TDs to opposing tight ends over the last four games.

Sleepers:

Kyle Rudolph, Vikings vs. DEN ($3600 DK, $4500 FD)
This all comes down to whether Adam Thielen plays. If Thielen rests one more week, then Kyle Rudolph could easily replicate his red-zone usage from last week. In the four games that Thielen has missed time recently, Rudolph and Irv Smith have combined for 32 catches and 260 yards. The biggest difference between the two though is that Rudy has four scores over this stretch.

Ross Dwelley, 49ers vs. ARI ($3400 DK, $4900 FD)
This play should be chalk if George Kittle cannot go. His price is low, he was used significantly last week, and Arizona doesn’t understand that TE is a pass-catching eligible position on the field.