Tag: Blachowicz Adesanya odds picks predictions spread betting line UFC 259

UFC 259: Jan Blachowicz vs. Israel Adesanya odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 259 fight between Jan Blachowicz and Israel Adesanya, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a light heavyweight bout in Saturday’s main event, Jan Blachowicz and Israel Adesanya meet at UFC 259 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the prelims on ESPN/ESPN+  at 8 p.m. and then the main card on pay-per-view at 10 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC 259 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Blachowicz vs. Adesanya: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Blachowicz +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Adesanya -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over +100 | Under -120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +165 | No -200)

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Blachowicz vs. Adesanya: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Blachowicz 27-8 | Adesanya 20-0

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Adesanya (-250) is moving up in weight, looking to steal the strap away from Blachowicz (+195). He weighed in at 200.5 pounds, becoming the lightest for a UFC light heavyweight title fight. The two previous fighters who weighed lower than 202 pounds were each defeated. Still, are you betting against the unbeaten fighter? You shouldn’t.

Adesanya has landed 4.10 significant strikes per minute in his career, and “The Last Stylebender” is a perfect 9-0 since joining the UFC ranks. He has finished in two of his past three outings, both by KO/TKO, against Paulo Costa and Robert Whittaker. He steps up in weight to fight Blachowicz, but many think he’ll continue to mow down the competition.

Betting ADESANYA BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+130) on the 5-way line is the better way to go, rather than taking him straight up on the 2-way line and risking two-and-a-half times your potential return.

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Over/Under (O/U)

We’ll be betting Adesanya for the finish, so obviously you’ll want NO (-200) ON ‘WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?’, or if you want slightly less risk, play UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-155).

In addition, I like to take a two-round block and roll the dice on the winner. Target ADESANYA IN ROUND 3 (+950) and ADESANYA IN ROUND 4 (+1500). Yes, you will lose one end even if he wins between Round 3-4, but you’ll be well ahead. It’s definitely worth the risk, and it’s unlikely he gets the really quick finish as he steps up in weight. It might take him a couple of rounds to feel out Blachowicz before he gets his sea legs and starts pouncing.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC 259? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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