ESPN SP+ predicts the final score of every Big Ten Week 1 game

ESPN SP+ predicts the final score of every Big Ten Week 1 game

Week 1 of the college football season is finally here. We have two Big Ten football games tonight, one tomorrow and a full slate on Saturday.

The opening week of this season actually sees many critical in-conference matchups, with Wisconsin hosting Penn State, Minnesota hosting Ohio State, Northwestern hosting Michigan State and Iowa hosting Indiana.

The slate of games will tell us a lot about where teams stand after a unique 2020 season.

For the Badgers, that may not be told by the final score. However, we will see what Graham Mertz looks like in year two, how the backfield rotation shakes out and what the defense looks like after returning eight starters.

ESPN’s Bill Connelly used his SP+ metrics to predict every Week 1 game on the college football calendar.

Here are his score predictions for every Big Ten game this weekend:

Wisconsin vs. Penn State preview:

How every former Badger in the NFL performed in Week 7

Week 7 in the NFL was the craziest the season has seen to date, with seven one-possession games and several that came down to the final…

Week 7 in the NFL was the craziest the season has seen to date, with seven one-possession games and several that came down to the final seconds.

We saw former Badger quarterback Russell Wilson on national television, J.J. Watt and the Texans struggle yet again, T.J. Watt and the Steelers improve to 6-0 and Tyler Biadasz continue to start at center for the struggling Dallas Cowboys.

Related: Who is Danny Vanden Boom, the Badgers’ likely Week 2 starter?

Here is how every former Badger in the NFL performed in Week 7:

More former College Wire players — NFL Week 7 Action:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / LSU / Tenn. / UGA // Mich. / Mich St. / Ohio State / Wisc. // Okla. / Texas // ND // USC

Who is Danny Vanden Boom, the Badgers’ likely Week 2 starter?

Reports surfaced yesterday that Wisconsin starting quarterback Graham Mertz tested positive for COVID-19, that after leading the Badgers…

Reports surfaced on Sunday that Wisconsin starting quarterback Graham Mertz tested positive for COVID-19, that after leading the Badgers to a 45-7 victory against the Illinois Fighting Illini on Friday.

The redshirt freshman still needs a PCR test to confirm the diagnosis and the results of that test are not yet known, so he isn’t technically ruled out of Saturday’s contest just yet.

That news was then followed by Jeff Potrykus of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reporting that third-string quarterback Chase Wolf wasn’t at practice on Monday and had also tested positive for COVID-19.

So, what does this mean for the two quarterbacks?

Related: A look at the Big Ten testing protocol that will determine the Graham Mertz situation

Per Big Ten rules they will now miss at least 21 days of football activity, those including games against Nebraska, Purdue and Michigan, and must undergo cardiac testing to ensure that they are safe to return to the field.

Meaning with Jack Coan out with a foot injury, and Mertz and Wolf testing positive for COVID-19, the Badgers could be down to the fourth-string quarterback for the next three weeks of the season.

So, as we outlined before the season in our quarterback depth chart, the next man up at the position is redshirt junior Danny Vanden Boom.

Obviously overlooked in the room with Jack Coan and Mertz, here is everything you need to know about Vanden Boom before his potential start this weekend:

 

Sep 8, 2018; Madison, WI, USA; Wisconsin Badgers quarterback Danny Vanden Boom (15) throws a touchdown pass during the fourth quarter against the New Mexico Lobos at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
  • Hometown: Kimberly, Wisconsin
  • Jersey number: 15
  • Height: 6’5″
  • Recruiting: Three-star recruit, No. 1859 in the nation, No. 68 at the position, No. 12 player from the state of Wisconsin
  • High school accoladesGatorade Wisconsin Player of the Year, first-team all-state by Associated Press and Wisconsin Football Coaches Association, led Kimberly to back-to-back Division 1 state championships and 28-0 record as starting quarterback, unanimous first-team All-Fox Valley Association as a junior and senior, Fox Valley Association Offensive Player of the Year as a senior, helped lead Kimberly to Division 1 state title in baseball as a senior pitcher with a 7-3 record and 1.36 ERA
  • College statistics: 1 game, 1 passing attempt, 3 yards, 1 touchdown, 455.2 pass efficiency rating
  • College accolades: 2018 and 2019 Academic All-Big Ten

Badgers continue their rise in new Amway Coaches Poll

Wisconsin Badger football finally returned to our television screens on Friday night as they started their season with a statement…

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Wisconsin Badger football finally returned to our television screens on Friday night as they started their season with a statement victory, rolling over the Illinois Fighting Illini 45-7.

Thanks to the dominant win and a wild first weekend in the Big Ten, the Badgers rose three spots in the new Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports–up from No. 14 to No. 11.

Related: Studs and duds from the Badgers’ 45-7 victory against Illinois

The 1-0 Badgers find themselves as the second-ranked Big Ten team behind only the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes. Other conference foes in the rankings are Michigan at No. 14, Penn State at No. 17 and Indiana at No. 19.

Related: Five stats that defined Wisconsin’s dominant win over Illinois

Paul Chryst and his team will be back in action on Saturday when they face off against the 0-1 Nebraska Cornhuskers.

 

Next…the full rankings

Instant analysis: Graham Mertz shines as Wisconsin rolls over Illinois

Wisconsin Badger and Big Ten football are back with Graham Mertz’s remarkable performance leading the Badgers past the Illinois Fighting…

Wisconsin Badger and Big Ten football are back with Graham Mertz’s remarkable performance leading the Badgers past the Illinois Fighting Illini 45-7.

20/21 passing, 248 yards, 11.8 yards-per-attempt and 5 touchdowns was the final line for Mertz, unbelievable numbers for any quarterback–let alone a redshirt freshman making his first collegiate start.

The Mertz hype is real and it seems like the sky is the limit for him moving forward.

He was obviously the story of the game, but there was more that went on tonight aside from the former four-star breaking records and lighting it up in his first start–those records being tying one with 17 consecutive completions and breaking another with five touchdown passes.

The first thing to note from tonight is Jim Leonhard’s defense shutting out the Fighting Illini thanks to dominant performances from all levels.

The defensive line? Allowed 16 carries for 51 yards and 3.18 yards-per-carry to Illinois running backs including a forced fumble early in the game.

Brandon Peters was effective using his legs, something the team will work on in the future. But Illinois running backs couldn’t find a single hole all night.

The linebackers? Flashed all night and shut down the middle of the field.

The secondary? Only allowed 87 yards to Illinois pass catchers and came away with a late interception.

Those 87 yards included only 3 receptions by Illini leading receiver Josh Imatorbhebhe thanks to a tremendous game by Badger cornerback Rachad Wildgoose.

It was a complete defensive performance that means great things for the team going forward.

The second thing to note is more on the concerning side: the Badgers were mostly inefficient running the ball and needed Mertz to take over in order to move the ball down the field.

The final stat line for the team on the ground was 43 carries for 156 yards, 3.6 yards-per-carry and 1 touchdown. The offense still performed extremely well, but if the team wants to close tight games going forward somebody will need to emerge from the backfield.

If you ask me, tonight pointed towards Garrett Groshek earning that role. But Nakia Watson and Isaac Guerendo are sure to still have significant roles moving forward.

Third, and arguably most importantly, the Mertz–Jake Ferguson connection looks unstoppable.

The two connected 7 times for 72 yards and 3 touchdowns, showing shades of Florida’s Kyle Trask–Kyle Pitts connection.

I thought going into the season he would be the freshman quarterback’s favorite target, but I didn’t see them being that good.

The final thing to note is the coaching.

It’s safe to say that Paul Chryst and his staff were a severe mismatch for Lovie Smith and company, as all throughout the game the Badger staff dialed up perfect play calls that found mismatches and put their players in positions to succeed.

It was an impressive performance overall and starting 1-0 is always the goal. Are there still areas to improve? Absolutely. But Badger fans should be thrilled about the team’s performance tonight and their outlook going forward.

How Wisconsin’s defense will find success against Illinois

Wisconsin football and good defense: words that are seemingly inseparable. Tomorrow the new-look Badger defense will take the field and…

Wisconsin football and good defense: words that are seemingly inseparable.

Tomorrow the new-look Badger defense will take the field and look to build upon their impressive 2019 campaign, though obviously will do so without the services of Zack Baun and Chris Orr.

As I wrote in my five keys to victory, there are two major things the Badger defense must do tomorrow if they want to shut down the Illinois Fighting Illini and help the team come away with a victory.

Related: Players to watch in the Illinois vs. Wisconsin matchup tomorrow

The first: they must hold Illinois to under 3 yards-per-carry.

As Defensive Coordinator Jim Leonhard said this week, “for us it always starts with stopping the run. When we do a good job of stopping the run we can dictate a little bit more, we can be a little more aggressive.”

Any Badger fan when asked about what the defense needs to do well would cite the run game, but it’s more than just shutting down the opposing running back. If they can hold the Fighting Illini to under 3 yards-per-carry they will force the issue in the passing game and create turnovers, get their opponent to third-and-long scenarios and get off the field and, overall, allow the Badger offense to dictate the football game.

You don’t need me to tell you this, but the unit did not do that last season when they visited Illinois as they allowed 141 yards on the ground with a clip of 4 yards-per-carry.

This isn’t only about last year’s contest between the two, though, as holding opponents to less than 3 yards-per-carry last season actually had a significant effect on whether the Badgers won each game.

Their record last season when they held their opponent to less than 3 yards-per-carry? 8-1 with the only loss coming against Oregon in the Rose Bowl.

Their record last season when didn’t? 2-3.

It sounds obvious at first, but shutting down the Fighting Illini in the running game will dictate whether the defense is effective.

Related: Breaking down the strangest stat from last year’s loss at Illinois

Now on to major focal point No. 2: taking Illinois wide receiver Josh Imatorbhebhe out of the game.

Last year Imatorbhebhe was the Fighting Illini’s leading receiver with 33 catches for 634 yards and 9 touchdowns, one of those catches being a 29-yard touchdown against the Badgers.

Leonhard returns his entire secondary from last season–a unit that projects to be one of the best the conference has to offer. So, for them to shut down the Illinois passing attack on Friday they must take Imatorbhebhe out of the game.

The wide receiver is a big, physical, point-of-catch, big-playmaking wide receiver with late-round NFL Draft potential. Oh, and he averaged an insane 19.2 yards-per-reception last year.

Leonhard’s secondary has the talent to shut him down but it will need to be done on the field if the defense is going to play a complete game and have success.

 

If the Badger defense comes out on Friday and consistently wins in the trenches against Illinois in addition to shutting down Imatorbhebhe they will have a successful outing. If not? It could become a close game and give Badger fans scary flashbacks to last year’s contest.

Coach Chryst discusses the Badgers’ status with COVID-19 heading into Friday

We are now just two days away from the Wisconsin Badgers’ first game of the 2020 football season. Although the Big Ten is starting this…

We are now just two days away from the Wisconsin Badgers’ first game of the 2020 football season.

Although the Big Ten is starting this weekend, other conferences have played up to five games already after starting their seasons on schedule in early September. Those first five weeks in the ACC, Big 12 and SEC have not been without interruption, though, as several games have already been cancelled due to positive COVID-19 tests and re-scheduled to be played in December.

This will be something to watch with the Big Ten, as due to the conference starting late it now needs to fit in eight games in as many weeks–losing the bye weeks and flexibility it had with its initial conference-only schedule.

Related: Five keys to a Wisconsin victory on Friday.

Head Coach Paul Chryst spoke to the media today before his team’s upcoming game and was asked about where the team is in terms of positive COVID-19 tests and what the conference has done to ensure the safety of its players, coaches and everybody involved.

“I’ve been proud of the way the kids are handling it,” Chryst said. “And you know, it’s a day-to-day thing…So knock on wood right now. And you just hope it stays that way.”

Schools from the SEC and other conferences have been secretive about who has tested positive to not give information to their upcoming opponent. I guess you can say that’s what Chryst achieved with his answer.

The Badger head coach was then asked what the conference has done in terms of protocol since the preseason preparation began a few weeks ago.

“I know one thing that was talked about was continuing to take all of the data and make everything data-driven. Obviously we’re one of many teams…Our first day of testing, even the testing group, it took a little bit. But it’s a great group and they’ve done a nice job. It’s part of your every day and it’s been pretty smooth procedurally. And I know the league has spent a lot of time…I’m probably on a need-to-know basis on a lot of things that are going on, right, but it’s obviously important to everyone and I’m confident that everyone has done their part. From the players’ and coaches’ end of it, it’s one more thing you do but it becomes part of your day…guys are used to it.”

More information will become available as kickoff nears, but this morning there were no significant facts to note from Chryst’s press conference in terms of COVID-19 tests within his team.

Stay tuned in to BadgersWire throughout the week as we preview Friday’s contest against Illinois and get you ready for the team’s 2020 football season.

Wisconsin faces a familiar foe in new USA TODAY bowl projections

After weeks of USA TODAY Sports and other outlets projecting the Wisconsin Badgers to face the Auburn Tigers in their bowl game this…

After weeks of USA TODAY Sports and other outlets projecting the Wisconsin Badgers to face the Auburn Tigers in their bowl game this winter, there is finally a projection change to talk about.

This obviously due to Auburn’s early-season performance, a 2-2 start with a tough road left ahead, and the Badgers still waiting to take the field, variables which have held UW towards the top of the bowl calendar and allowed another team to rise and join them.

Related: Five keys to a Wisconsin victory on Friday

That team is the BYU Cougars, a school that upset the Badgers back in 2018 when Paul Chryst’s team was No. 6 in the nation and had Big Ten Championship aspirations.

This recent USA TODAY projection has the two teams facing off in the Fiesta Bowl, with Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson and Oregon forming the College Football Playoff.

 

Speaking realistically, a Fiesta Bowl appearance would be a success for the 2020 Badgers. No, not because it means they lost the conference championship and their shot at the playoff, but because it would mean that they and the rest of the Big Ten were able to finish their regular season.

We’ve seen cancellations due to COVID-19 all across the college football landscape thus far, and since the Big Ten must play eight games in as many weeks in order to finish on time for the bowl schedule, just finishing the season in full would be something to celebrate.

Oh, and vengeance against BYU would be a pretty good consolation prize.

Wisconsin vs. Illinois: Series history

It is Wisconsin Badger game week and, as we’ll do throughout the season, we are here on Monday to preview Friday’s upcoming…

It is Wisconsin Badger game week and, as we’ll do throughout the season, we are here on Monday to preview Friday’s upcoming contest against the Illinois Fighting Illini.

Up first: the series history between the two schools.

Related: Comments to note from Joe Rudolph and Jim Leonhard’s press conference

The Badgers and fighting Illini first faced off back in 1899 when the Badgers won 23-0. Since then there have been a total of 87 contests between the two schools with the all-time record standing at 42-38-7 in favor of Wisconsin.

Obviously, and this fact won’t be dwelled on, Illinois has a 1-game win streak dating back to last season.

Going through the series here are some numbers to note:

  • The Badgers had a 9-game win streak from 2008-2018 that was snapped last year
  • Illinois’ longest win streak against the Badgers is 6 games from 1987-1992
  • The Badgers’ largest margin of victory in the series is 55-7, Illinois’ is 51-0 and they happened just four years apart in the 1960s
  • Wisconsin boasts more all-time wins, bowl games, bowl record, Heismans, All-Americans, weeks at AP No. 1, first-round draft picks and much more
  • Illinois, though, has more 5 National Championships to the Badgers’ 0 and 15 conference championships to the Badgers’ 14

 

Stay tuned in to BadgersWire throughout the week as we preview the first game on the Badgers’ 2020 schedule.

Why this weird year in college football actually helps the Badgers’ chances

You don’t need me to tell you that this is a weird and challenging year in college football. With limited or no fans at games, contract…

You don’t need me to tell you that this is a weird and challenging year in college football.

With limited or no fans at games, contract tracing protocols, constant COVID-19 testing, altered schedules and more, there is one word to accurately explain the situation: chaos.

During a normal year Camp Randall Stadium would be packed with 80,000 fans and the team would already be through the first quarter of their season.

Related: Three true freshmen who will make an early impact for Wisconsin football

So why, in a chaotic year, are the Badgers actually benefitting from all of this? Because in times of chaos the most buttoned-up and well-prepared people, teams, etc. are the ones that find the most success.

This is obviously about the product on the football field, but it’s also about crisis management and leadership.

You look around the college football landscape thus far and what do you see? Sloppy play, bad clock and game management, blown coverages on defense, bad turnovers and more.

Not that other programs aren’t coached well or have bad leadership, but if there’s one team in the country that brings consistency to the football field, is tremendously-coached, and is fit to deal with chaos more than anybody else it’s the Wisconsin Badgers.

Yes, they have a redshirt freshman in Graham Mertz at quarterback after starter Jack Coan injured his foot. But while teams around them struggle to execute and play under the current circumstances, the Badgers’ consistency and identity will end up playing a huge role in their success.

As Joel Klatt beautifully said last week on The Herd with Colin Cowherd:

“If you’re asking me about which team, fanbase, administration knows themselves better than anybody else in the country, it’s Wisconsin. They know who they are, how they have success, why they have success, and that’s why they do have success year, over year, over year.”

The team and program know exactly who they are, what they need to do to succeed and how to go out on the field and do it.

So while Auburn loses games because of turnovers, UNC gives up 31 points to a bad Florida State team and Oklahoma and Texas look like dumpster fires, it will be Wisconsin, their style of play, their coaching and their identity that deals with the current chaos better than anybody and has one of the more impressive seasons in their program’s history.