UFC on ESPN+ 41: Paul Felder vs. Rafael Dos Anjos odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 41 fight between Paul Felder and Rafael Dos Anjos, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In the lightweight main event, Paul Felder and Rafael Dos Anjos meet at UFC on ESPN+ 41 – also called UFC Fight Night 182 – Saturday at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Felder (17-5) was originally set to join the broadcast for Islam Makhachev vs. Rafael Dos Anjos as a color commentator. When Makhachev pulled out due to an undisclosed injury, Felder texted his manager, reportedly partly in jest, to get him into the vacated spot. Less than 48 hours after Makhachev pulled out, Felder was in and getting ready to face RDA in Vegas. Felder hasn’t fought since Feb. 22, a split-decision setback in the main event against Dan Hooker in Auckland, New Zealand. Felder was reportedly considering retirement after that loss. However, he has been keeping busy, and was training for a triathlon during some downtime due to COVID-19. So he is in tremendous shape and ready to go, and he’ll get a nice little payday for his efforts, too.

Dos Anjos (29-13) tested positive for COVID-19 on Oct. 24, postponing a previously scheduled fight with Makhachev. This will be Dos Anjos’ first fight since bumping down from welterweight to lightweight. He is 1-4 across his past five bouts, including a title fight loss to Colby Covington on June 9, 2018. He also has losses to Kamaru Usman and Michael Chiesa during the span, but there’s no shame in losses to those studs. He was a bit overmatched as a welterweight, which is likely why he decided to drop down and try another path.

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Paul Felder vs. Rafael Dos Anjos: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:19 a.m. ET.

Dos Anjos (-200) will cost you two times your potential return, and that’s a bit risky, even with Felder (+165) stepping in on short notice. He is a wild card, and you just never know.

Still, Felder was just considering retirement after his latest loss, and his mindset is a bit of a question. He wasn’t even thinking about fighting until a week ago, so can he be trusted, especially against a former champ? That’s what makes DOS ANJOS BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+245) such a tremendous play. You can pick up almost two and a half times your investment if he can finish with a stoppage. As such, NO (+135): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is also a sharp play and a good value. However, I’d only be willing to go UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (+150), and no earlier. This one isn’t going to be a quick one- or two-round bout, even if Felder has only known he is fighting for five days. He is still a top fighter at this division, and it is the first fight for Dos Anjos as a lightweight.

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UFC on ESPN+ 41: Kay Hansen vs. Cory McKenna odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 41 fight between Kay Hansen and Cory McKenna, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Kay Hansen and Cory McKenna meet at UFC on ESPN+ 41 – also called UFC Fight Night 182 –  Saturday at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Hansen (7-3) hops into the octagon just one inch shorter than her opponent, but with a tremendous five-inch reach advantage. She also owns a 56.36 to 49.47 significant strikes-accuracy percentage, and 2.41 to 1.00 takedown average. Hansen posted a third-round submission victory over Jinh Yu Frey on June 27 in her UFC debut on the Poirier-Hooker Fight Night undercard. She has won three fights in a row overall since a split-decision loss to Magdalena Sormova at Invite FC on May 3, 2019. Hansen would be best served getting McKenna to the mat quickly, as she has four submission wins in 10 career professional fights, with the armbar as her specialty.

McKenna (5-1) will be making her UFC debut after topping Vanessa Demopoulos in Dana White’s Contender Series, Season 4, Week 2. She has only one setback during her career, a split-decision loss to Micol DiSegni at CWFC 97: Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 97 on Sept. 29, 2018. Three of McKenna’s past five fights have ended up going the distance, but the Welsh fighter has shown an ability to win by way of KO/TKO (2-0) and submission (1-0).

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Kay Hansen vs. Cory McKenna: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:03 a.m. ET.

Hansen (-213) is a moderate favorite on the 2-way line, and you will need to risk more than two times your potential return. That’s a little too risky, however. AVOID.

Instead, look to round betting, and you can either choose two rounds like HANSEN IN ROUND 1 (+1300) and HANSEN IN ROUND 2 (+1800), or play the third round (+3100), too. If Hansen wins inside the distance, you’ll be quite a bit ahead. While the books feel this one is going the distance, I don’t see it. As such, I like NO (+175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? and UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+205) is an even better value. On the 5-way line, HANSEN BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+290) is also a good way to bump up your bankroll, too.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC on ESPN+ 41 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 41: Eryk Anders vs. Antonio Arroyo odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 41 fight between Eryk Anders and Antonio Arroyo, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on the main card, Eryk Anders and Antonio Arroyo meet at UFC on ESPN+ 41 – also called UFC Fight Night 182 – Saturday at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Anders (13-5) heads into the octagon, taking the place of Andreas Michailidis on short notice. The latter was forced to withdraw due to an undisclosed issue. Anders has a two-inch reach advantage over Arroyo but is two inches shorter. The southpaw isn’t terribly accurate, however, as his opponents hold a 69.77 to 45.05 significant strike-accuracy percentage advantage. Anders is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision setback to Krzysztof Jotko on May 16 in Jacksonville, Fla., and he has dropped four of his previous six fights overall. Four of his past five have ended up going the distance, too. “Ya Boi” has had half of his 18 career professional fights end via KO/TKO, winning eight of those nine bouts.

Arroyo (9-3) is also looking to bounce back, as he dropped a unanimous decision against Andre Muniz in his UFC debut on Nov. 16, 2019 on the Blachowicz-Jacare Fight Night card. He has finished inside the distance in 10 of his 12 career professional fights, winning four times with no losses via knockout, with six fights ending by way of submission (4-2). He owns a 1.95 takedown average, 41.67 takedown-accuracy percentage and 0.39 submission average over the course of his career.

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Eryk Anders vs. Antonio Arroyo: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:36 a.m. ET.

ARROYO (+100) is worth a look on the 2-way line at even money, as Anders (-121) is a risky pick taking this fight on short notice. I’ve never like backing guys on short notice, as like all athletes, fighters are creatures of habit.

In addition, ARROYO BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+270) on the 5-way line as method of victory can help you nearly triple your initial bet, so that’s a nice play. I am also not expecting this fight to go the distance, so look to NO (+115): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? for a small profit, and UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+125) if you want a little more return. If you’re not feeling either of the fighters, but want some action on the fight, take KO/TKO/DQ (+175) for the fight finish, regardless of winner, as long as the fight doesn’t go the distance or end via submission.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC on ESPN+ 41 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 41: Brendan Allen vs. Sean Strickland odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 41 fight between Brendan Allen vs. Sean Strickland, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a catch weight bout on the main card, Brendan Allen and Sean Strickland meet at UFC on ESPN+ 41 – also called UFC Fight Night 182 –  Saturday at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Allen (15-3) heads into the octagon with tremendous accuracy with his punches, posting a 60.71 significant strikes-accuracy percentage to 36.86 for his opponent. However, he manages just 2.67 significant strikes landed per minute to 4.64 for Strickland (21-3). He likely won’t be interested in a toe-to-toe battle but will rather look to get the fight to the canvas quickly. Allen owns a 1.42 to 1.22 takedown-average advantage, and, more importantly, a 2.36 to 0.44 submission-average lead. Since arriving at the UFC level, Allen has won each of his three fights, showing off great versatility. His last fight over Kyle Daukaus was a unanimous-decision win on June 27. Prior to that he had a KO/TKO win in Round 1 over Tom Breese, and a submission victory over Kevin Holland in his company debut Oct. 18, 2019.

Strickland (21-3) is coming off a unanimous-decision victory over Jack Marshman on Halloween, his first fight following a two-year hiatus after gruesome injuries suffered in a motorcycle accident. So even though he is back after a short break, he is rather well rested. He is well motivated, too, as he was on vacation in Tennessee in early November when he received the call to fight. While two of Strickland’s past three fights have finished by stoppage, seven of his past 10 have gone the distance.

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Brendan Allen vs. Sean Strickland: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:01 a.m. ET.

ALLEN (-125) is the way to go on the 2-way line, as he can win it in a brawl, on the mat or by wowing the judges with his technical ability, if need be. Strickland (+105) won an emotional return two weeks ago, but he admittedly was stuffing himself with barbeque and enjoying vacation before he was called back for the quick return. Confidence isn’t high that he’ll return with tremendous intensity.

As such, betting ALLEN IN ROUND 2 (+830) and ALLEN IN ROUND 3 (+1400) is a good, and potentially lucrative, way to go. Sure, you will lose one end, but if the fight ends in Allen’s favor in either of the final two rounds, you’ll be well in the black. You could technically bet ALLEN IN ROUND 1 (+550), too, and still be ahead as long as he doesn’t lose, or win on points. I also like NO (+125): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC on ESPN+ 41 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 41: Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Khaos Williams odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 41 fight between Abdul Razak Alhassan and Khaos Williams, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a welterweight bout on the main card, Abdul Razak Alhassan and Khaos Williams meet at UFC on ESPN+ 41 – also called UFC Fight Night 182 –  Saturday at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Alhassan (10-2) – a.k.a. “Judo Thunder” – is a Ghanaian fighter looking to bounce back after a disappointing unanimous-decision setback against Mounir Lazzez last time out on July 15 at Fight Island on the Kattar-Ige Fight Night card. That loss slapped the brakes on an impressive three-bout KO/TKO win streak, including back-to-back first-round knockouts of Sabah Homasi, and a 43-second spanking of Niko Price on the UFC 228 card. All 10 of Alhassan’s professional victories in 12 career fights have come via KO/TKO, so there isn’t much mystery in what he’ll be looking to do.

Williams (10-1) stands two inches taller than his counterpart and has a four-inch reach advantage. He’ll try to use the latter to keep Alhassan at a distance. It’s not a misprint, as Williams has a 22.22 significant strikes landed per minute mark, but it’s a bit deceiving. His company debut at UFC 247 lasted just 27 seconds before knocking out Alex Morono on Feb. 8, so it’s obviously a bit skewed. In fact, five of Williams’ past nine fights have ended up going the distance, with three KO/TKO wins and a submission victory.

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Khaos Williams: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:24 a.m. ET.

Alhassan (-223) will be looking to tire out Williams (+185) early in this brawl. He owns a 4.54 significant strikes landed per minute mark, and that mark is larger sample size than his counterpart. Still, with the way Williams can end a fight with one-punch, Alhassan is a bit risky on the 2-way line.

Look to ALHASSAN BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (-162) for a little less risk. In addition, you will want to jump on ALHASSAN IN ROUND 1 (+110), and avoid playing multiple options in the round betting. This one isn’t going to go very far. In fact, the books are expecting a very early ending, too, with No (-556): Will the fight go the distance? way too expensive. Even Under 2.5 Rounds (-417) is too much risk. Perhaps play UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (-209), but go very lightly on that one, too.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC on ESPN+ 41 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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