UFC on ESPN+ 41: Eryk Anders vs. Antonio Arroyo odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 41 fight between Eryk Anders and Antonio Arroyo, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on the main card, Eryk Anders and Antonio Arroyo meet at UFC on ESPN+ 41 – also called UFC Fight Night 182 – Saturday at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Anders (13-5) heads into the octagon, taking the place of Andreas Michailidis on short notice. The latter was forced to withdraw due to an undisclosed issue. Anders has a two-inch reach advantage over Arroyo but is two inches shorter. The southpaw isn’t terribly accurate, however, as his opponents hold a 69.77 to 45.05 significant strike-accuracy percentage advantage. Anders is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision setback to Krzysztof Jotko on May 16 in Jacksonville, Fla., and he has dropped four of his previous six fights overall. Four of his past five have ended up going the distance, too. “Ya Boi” has had half of his 18 career professional fights end via KO/TKO, winning eight of those nine bouts.

Arroyo (9-3) is also looking to bounce back, as he dropped a unanimous decision against Andre Muniz in his UFC debut on Nov. 16, 2019 on the Blachowicz-Jacare Fight Night card. He has finished inside the distance in 10 of his 12 career professional fights, winning four times with no losses via knockout, with six fights ending by way of submission (4-2). He owns a 1.95 takedown average, 41.67 takedown-accuracy percentage and 0.39 submission average over the course of his career.

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Eryk Anders vs. Antonio Arroyo: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:36 a.m. ET.

ARROYO (+100) is worth a look on the 2-way line at even money, as Anders (-121) is a risky pick taking this fight on short notice. I’ve never like backing guys on short notice, as like all athletes, fighters are creatures of habit.

In addition, ARROYO BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+270) on the 5-way line as method of victory can help you nearly triple your initial bet, so that’s a nice play. I am also not expecting this fight to go the distance, so look to NO (+115): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? for a small profit, and UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+125) if you want a little more return. If you’re not feeling either of the fighters, but want some action on the fight, take KO/TKO/DQ (+175) for the fight finish, regardless of winner, as long as the fight doesn’t go the distance or end via submission.

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