In a flyweight championship bout in Saturday’s main event, Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno meet at UFC 256 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, followed by the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.
Figueiredo (20-1) is back in action just a few weeks after defending his strap at UFC 255 on Nov. 21. He picked up a Round 1 submission win over Alex Perez in just 1:57 in that one, and he has finished inside the distance (all wins) in four straight since his last decision win over Alexandre Pantoja July 27, 2019. This will be Figueiredo’s fourth fight of 2020, so he definitely hasn’t been milking the strap. Three of his past four have ended in Round 1, so he has barely had to break a sweat during the impressive run.
Moreno (18-5-1) gets a crack at the title. He’ll look to use his two-inch height and two-inch reach advantages to get it done. He also has a slight 3.01 to 2.79 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although Figueiredo is way more pinpoint with a 55.80 to 35.18 significant strikes-accuracy percentage. Figueiredo is more superb in the ground game, too, so it would behoove the Mexican fighter to try and go toe-to-toe for the win.
Moreno, who is coming off an impressive Round 1 knockout of up-and-comer Brandon Royval, he has won three straight since a split-decision draw against Askar Askarov Sept. 21, 2019. Moreno has gone the distance in five of his past seven pro fights, whereas Figueiredo has stoppages in four straight, and six of the past eight.
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Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno: Betting odds, predictions and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:49 a.m. ET.
The strap isn’t going anywhere, folks, although betting Figueiredo (-350) and risking three and a half times your potential return is a little much. There are much better values to be had. Skip the 2-way line and back FIGUEIREDO BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (-145), which is a much better option with a lot less risk.
This one won’t end early as Moreno will be able to take it at least into the second round. So, playing OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-190) is a good bet. Even OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+100) at even money isn’t a bad small-unit play.
This fight isn’t going to go the distance despite Moreno’s recent past, as Figueiredo gets stoppages. As such, NO (-250): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little expensive but worth a shot. If you want slightly less risk, UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-225) might be more up your alley.
In addition, predicting Over 2.5 Rounds, and Under 4.5 Rounds means a fight finish in ROUND 3 (+650) makes sense. It’s a nice payday if it comes into fruition.
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