Tag: Best College Football Bets

What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 15?

---

Week 15 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
– Week 15 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 15 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
– Week 14 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL

[jwplayer 4Rjhx5SQ]

Results So Far ATS: 75-57

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

Week 15 Game Previews, Predictions 
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
AAC | C-USA | MAC | M-West | Sun Belt

10. Oklahoma State at Baylor

LINE: Oklahoma State -5
ATS PICK: Oklahoma State
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

At some point this slot machine is going to pay off.

Of course you never, ever, ever, ever, ever pick a game on spite, but after Oklahoma State failed to get the job done for us against Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas Tech and TCU, no way we’re going to miss out once this actually does work.

The real reason is the running game – Baylor doesn’t have one.

Oklahoma State’s biggest issue – or one of them – over this four-game run of ATS yuck has been its inability to stop the run, most inexcusably against the Red Raiders. That’s not going to be a problem this week against a Baylor team that hasn’t pushed past 75 yards in seven of its last eight games.

Five of Baylor’s last seven games were losses by six or more, with the outliers this year a win over Kansas, a close loss to Texas Tech, and a home victory over a dead Kansas State.

It’s time, Oklahoma State.

9. Houston at Memphis

LINE: Houston -5
ATS PICK: Memphis
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Houston should be better than it is.

It’s missing some key parts, but there’s more than enough talent to have been better than 3-3 this year. To be fair, it’s been a disjointed campaign – the team couldn’t get the season going – but blowing out Tulane, Navy and USF just isn’t that big a deal.

Memphis is struggling. It couldn’t score against Navy in a 10-7 win, it’s coming off a two touchdown loss to Tulane, and …

That’s why you’re getting five points for a team that’s 4-0 at home.

Houston is 0-3 when allowing more than 360 yards of total offense, and despite the struggles of the last two games, the firepower is there for Memphis – who averages 467 yards per game – to find it again and start bombing away on a secondary that’s been hit hard by anyone who tested it.

8. Auburn at Mississippi State

LINE: Auburn -7
ATS PICK: Mississippi State
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

In the I Gotta Guy category, I’ve got a guy who knows everything about Auburn – no, this isn’t anything nefarious – who absolutely swears that Mississippi State is winning this outright.

The Bulldogs might not be all that good, but very, very quietly, Will Rogers is turning into a nice quarterback for Mike Leach. There still isn’t any downfield passing game, and the rushing attack doesn’t get off the bus, but the team was competitive on the road in seven-point losses to Georgia and Ole Miss over the last two weeks.

Auburn has been just okay all season long, and now it’s coming off the Iron Bowl blowout to Alabama and getting steamrolled over by Texas A&M in the home finale.

This might be a dead team, and now it has to go against a Mississippi State defense that’s been decent enough against the average offenses to keep this from getting crazy.

It would be nice if it was more than seven, but, my guy …

7. Georgia at Missouri

LINE: Georgia -13.5
ATS PICK: Missouri
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Missouri’s defense is a little bit of alright.

Try to blowoff the 50-48 win over Arkansas last week that got out of hand. The Tigers couldn’t handle the Hog attack, got ripped up by Florida, and it’s been able to stuff everyone else over the second half of the season.

Okay, so you and a few socially distant friends could holt Kentucky, South Carolina and Vanderbilt to nothing offensively, but the Mizzou D is great on third downs, the team is good at controlling the clock, and it should do a decent job at home at keeping this from getting ugly.

Georgia is the better team and it’s going to win, but the 13.5 is a bit too generous here.

6. Fresno State at New Mexico

LINE: Fresno State -12
ATS PICK: Fresno State
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

New Mexico is about to have a Jake Haener problem.

The Lobos were able to beat Wyoming last week, but that’s partly because there wasn’t any passing game to worry about stopping.

New Mexico has no pass rush whatsoever, it’s been rocked through the air by everyone else but the Cowboys, and Fresno State QB Jake Haener is coming off of back-to-back 400-yard games – hitting Nevada for 485 – for a team whose three wins were all by 13 or more.

NEXT: Top 5 Picks Against The Spread, Week 15

What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Big Teams, Big Spreads, Big Wins Week 14?

---

Week 14 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
– Week 14 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 14 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
– Week 13 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL

[jwplayer QS9R7jzb]

Results So Far ATS: 69-53

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

Week 14 Game Previews, Predictions 
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
AAC | C-USA | MAC | M-West | Sun Belt

10. Kansas at Texas Tech

LINE: Texas Tech -25.5
ATS PICK: Texas Tech
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

We begin with a pick that I actually believe is probably wrong.

When the line first came out and was adjusted for Texas Tech -27.5, that seemed like a bit too much. The Red Raiders don’t really score enough on a regular basis, Kansas is way overdue to do something against a team with an awful defense, and …

It’s Kansas. In a ride-the-train-until-it-stops way, throw out most of the logic and reason, and blow off that this is a game we all should probably stay away from. The world is so up on picking against Kansas this year that we can all afford one misfire if this doesn’t work.

This might be Texas Tech’s last game of the season – Kansas is supposed to close out with Texas – and it’s at home where it won all three of its games.

9. Memphis at Tulane

LINE: Tulane -3
ATS PICK: Memphis
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

What’s weird is how fast this flipped.

It opened at Memphis -1 – which seemed like a bit of a good deal then – and all of a sudden, the world fell in love with Tulane and this moved all way up to Green Wave -3, and -3.5 in some spots.

No, this isn’t the Memphis of last year, but 1) Tulane has beaten NO ONE. The best victory of the season was against a mediocre Army team. 2) There’s a little bit of a Green Wave passing game, but not enough of one to get into a twist over, and 3) Memphis is actually good against the run.

The Tigers have won five of their last six, they’ve only had real issues with the Navy and Cincinnati ground attacks, and while they’ve struggled against some bad teams, they’ve won.

Sticking with strange American Athletic Conference calls …

8. Tulsa at Navy

LINE: Tulsa -12.5
ATS PICK: Navy
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

That is one big number for a Tulsa team that has a way of playing up or down to its competition, and then pulls out the win with something miraculous.

The big concern is that in a that’s-what-you-do sort of way, this Navy team is like an Arby’s that runs out of roast beef. The run-only team can’t really run the ball.

It’s fine, but is struggling to get to four yards per carry and it’s not controlling games like it needs to. Tulsa has been solid all season long against the run, and it needs this win to lock up a trip to the American Athletic Conference title game, but …

That number. Tulsa has one double-digit win this season and it’s against a bad USF team. This is the final home game of the season for Navy, and last week, Tulsa faced a Tulane team that needed to run to win, was held to 302 yards of total offense, and it was a 30-24 Golden Hurricane win.

7. Georgia Tech at NC State

LINE: NC State -6
ATS PICK: NC State
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

It seems like everyone got freaked out over the last few weeks.

NC State has quietly gone 7-3 by beating all the teams it was supposed to, and losing to the teams – at Virginia Tech, at North Carolina, Miami – that it should’ve. However, needing a blocked field goal to beat Liberty didn’t help in the public perception department, and needing a fourth down spike by Syracuse to get out 36-29 last week wasn’t a plus.

Combine that with a Georgia Tech 56-33 win over Duke last week, and the public has pulled the line down from NC State -7.

However, in an It’s Senior Day way, the Pack should take this by a touchdown. More importantly, NC State has a run defense – Syracuse came up with three rushing yards on 25 carries. The team is 7-0 when allowing fewer than 189 yards, and 0-3 when it doesn’t.

Georgia Tech hasn’t hit 189 yards in there of its last four games.

6. Oregon at Cal

LINE: Oregon -9
ATS PICK: Oregon
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

In one of the weirder disappointments of the season, Cal is awful.

It’s 0-3, it couldn’t get by Oregon State on the road a few weeks ago even though the passing game worked, and it saw its shot against Stanford go bye-bye last week on a blocked extra point.

There’s no downfield passing game whatsoever, there’s no pressure in the backfield, and being last in the Pac-12 in total offense isn’t a positive against this Oregon team.

The Ducks haven’t been as strong as their preseason hype – at least if everything was normal, and HELLO, where’s the pass rush? – but the offense should be able to do enough to push for close to 40 points. Cal just doesn’t have that type of pop against a team that’s going to be a tad salty after last week’s foggy loss to Oregon State.

NEXT: Top 5 Picks Against The Spread, Week 14

What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 13? Here you go. Enjoy.

---

Week 13 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
– Week 13 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 13 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
– Week 12 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL

[jwplayer 4NQn8ZH6]

Results So Far ATS: 63-50

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

Week 13 Game Previews, Predictions 
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
AAC | C-USA | MAC | M-West | Sun Belt

10. TCU at Kansas

LINE: TCU -24
ATS PICK: TCU
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Sometimes you don’t ask questions, and you keep going with something good until it stops.

Every time this year you think Kansas is overdue for one of its out-of-the-blue big performances, it gets rocked yet again. The 15-point loss to Coastal Carolina was a relative squeaker, and the closest KU has come in Big 12 play was a 38-17 loss at West Virginia.

It’s a home game, the Jayhawks haven’t played in weeks, and TCU isn’t exactly the most explosive of teams. In many ways the -24 doesn’t make sense, but Kansas can’t get the offense going at all, the lines are a disaster, and TCU has a good enough pass rush and is great on third downs. …

Again, sometimes, you don’t ask questions.

9. Miami University at Akron

LINE: Miami University -14
ATS PICK: Miami University
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

The line is way, way, way too low because Miami hasn’t played for a while, and when it did, it was blasted 42-10 by Buffalo, and because Akron is at home.

Even when the Zips played as well as they can, they still lost to Ohio 24-10, and those 14 points are what you’re giving away.

Akron has a bit of a running game, but Miami is a solid team that controls the tempo and should be able to rip through a D that gave up 58 to Western Michigan and 69 to Kent State. MU doesn’t have the same firepower, but a two touchdown win won’t be an issue.

8. Auburn at Alabama

LINE: Alabama -24.5
ATS PICK: Auburn
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

WARNING … I keep picking against Alabama, and I keep getting embarrassed.

I gave you the exact same warning last week before Bama whacked around Kentucky 63-3, and I also send up a flare before I picked Mississippi State to cover – it lost 41-0.

I don’t want to talk about the win over Tennessee.

So why do I keep picking against Bama? Because it’s one of those teams that gets out early, coasts, and then has the defense to give up points late. However, Tennessee, Mississippi State and Kentucky are bad. Auburn isn’t.

If you have visions of the 52-21 Crimson Tide win over the Tigers in 2018, then go for it – you’re probably right. However, Bo Nix and the passing game are finally starting to find something that seems to be working – even if they’re not that consistent – the O doesn’t turn the ball over, and pass defense is the second-best in the SEC, for whatever that’s worth this year.

It’s +24.5 in a rivalry game that’s seen its share of bizarre twists and turns. At some point, this picking against the Alabama slot machine is going to pay out.

7. Kent State at Buffalo

LINE: Buffalo -7.5
ATS PICK: Buffalo
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Three factors here. 1) Revenge. Kent State came up with a miraculous win last year to screw up Buffalo’s season. 2) Buffalo has more talent and it’s dominating everyone, and 3) it’s a schedule play.

UB rocking on the road against Northern Illinois and Bowling Green wasn’t that big a deal, but the 42-10 home win over Miami University was a thing. Kent State put up 62 on Bowling Green and 69 on Akron. That’s Bowling Green and Akron – Buffalo is the best team in the MAC.

See if you can get this at -7, but it’s fine with the hook.

6. San Diego State at Colorado

LINE: Colorado -3
ATS PICK: Colorado
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

It’s been a tough ask so far for a team to pivot from a scheduled game, pick up the stuff, and go on the road to play a game with no prep time. It’s tough for the other side, too, but Arizona struggled in a 44-27 loss at Washington last week – that’s probably what it would’ve been, anyway – in a last-second arrangement, and Cal got blasted at UCLA when it had to change around its opening game.

It’s a good San Diego State team, but it lost two of its last three games without enough offense. It has to make the trip to Boulder – the weather won’t be that bad in the 40s – and Colorado has played well enough offensively over the first two games to get the win. The -3 is a guess by the investing public – that’s going to shoot up.

NEXT: Top 5 Picks Against The Spread, Week 13