5. Oklahoma State at TCU
LINE: Oklahoma State -2.5
ATS PICK: Oklahoma State
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Something just isn’t right here, and that’s the scary part.
It seems too good to be true.
Yeah, Oklahoma State is all but out of the Big 12 title chase in a weird tie-breaker sort of way.
Yeah, it crushed a whole lot of people’s hearts last week by allowing too many late points to Texas Tech. Yeah, it’s a banged up team that hasn’t played all that well over the last month.
And yeah, if you’re a patterns player, this week is supposed to be the loss after going win-loss-win-loss-win.
I know, I know, we make too much out of Senior Day and a team’s last home game – fat lot of good that did Texas last week against Iowa State – but there’s a flip side to that. TCU still gets a layup next week against Louisiana Tech at home, so that extra juice of emotion isn’t there this week.
Don’t get caught up in the Horned Frogs winning three of their last four. Baylor isn’t good at college football, and neither is Texas Tech, and Kansas really isn’t good at its craft.
Also don’t get caught up in the home aspect – the win over Texas Tech was TCU’s first win all year in Fort Worth.
After last week’s shoddy performance against the Red Raiders, and following the 41-13 obliteration against Oklahoma the week before, Oklahoma State’s D is due to rebound big and revert to form.
Expect it to take a minor miracle for the Horned Frogs have even the slightest flirtation with 400 yards of total offense – they’ll be happy to get to 350.