Benfica welcomes Inter to Estádio da Luz Tuesday. Kickoff in the 1st leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Benfica vs. Inter odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Benfica has been dominant at home this season (12-1-1) and they sit No. 1 in the Primeira, the top league in Portugal. Benfica has scored 68 goals while allowing 16 in league play. They finished atop Group H going 4-0-2 with 16 goals for and 7 goals against. They sent home Club Brugge in the Round of 16, beating them 7-1 throughout the 2 legs.
Inter, which sits 5th in Serie A, the top Italian league, finished 2nd in Group C behind Bayern Munich. They were 3-2-1 in the 6 group stage games, scoring 10 and allowing 7. They sent home Porto in the Round of 16 with a 0-0 draw and 1-0 win. Argentinian F Lautaro Martinez, who has 14 goals in 24 starts, is a name to keep an eye on.
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Benfica vs. Inter odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:41 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Benfica +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Inter +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Draw +230
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)
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Benfica vs. Inter picks and predictions
Prediction
Benfica 2, Inter 1
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN BENFICA (+115).
Simply put, Benfica has thrashed opponents at home. They’ve torn through league play and destroyed Club Brugge 5-1 at home. They beat Juventus 4-3 and drew PSG at home in the group stage round. They are coming off a 2-1 loss at home to Porto, but that was with this game and then another game Saturday in mind.
For Inter, they haven’t played overly well on the road. They drew Porto 0-0 on the road in the Round of 16 and were just 1-1-1 in the group stage on the road. Inter is 5-6-3 in Serie A play away from home.
Given those shortcomings and Benfica’s strengths at home, take BENFICA (+115).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (+115).
Benfica plays at a fast pace and has gone Over this total in 4 of their last 5 matches. They have scored in every Champions League game so far this season and have scored 2 or more in 10 of their 12 matches (4 qualifyings and/or play-off rounds). They went Over this total in 3 of 6 group stage games and in 1 of 2 quarterfinal matches.
Inter has scored in 5 of 8 Champions League games and has gone Over this total in 3 of their last 5 Champions League games.
The Benfica pace should allow for ample chances. Considering that and the value here, play the OVER 2.5 (+115).
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