The No. 1 seed Baylor Bears (22-2) are 8-point favorites to earn a spot in the Final Four when they enter an NCAA Tournament Elite 8 contest against the No. 3 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (22-6) to determine the winner of the South Region bracket on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium, beginning at a time to be announced.
On Saturday, the Bears faced Villanova and emerged victorious, 62-51. The Bears were favored by 8.5 points and covered the spread while the teams combined to go under the 142 point total.
Jalen Tate led the way for the Razorbacks with a team-high 22 points last time out as they picked up a 72-70 win over Oral Roberts and failed to cover the 11.5-point spread as favorites. The teams combined to go under the 157 point total set for the matchup.
Arkansas at Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated 7:15 p.m. ET Monday.
- Money line: Arkansas +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Baylor -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Arkansas +8 (-110) | Baylor -8 (-110)
- Over/Under: 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Baylor: Three things to know
- Jared Butler leads the Bears scoring 16.6 points per game. Butler leads the squad with a team-high 2.5 made three-pointers per game.
- The Bears record 12.6 more points per game (83) than the Razorbacks give up (70.4).
- Baylor has a 22-1 record overall and a 12-0-1 record against the spread when putting up more than 70.4 points.
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Arkansas: Three things to know
- Moses Moody leads the Razorbacks scoring 17.0 points per game. Moody leads the squad with a team-high 1.9 made three-pointers per game.
- The Razorbacks’ 81.7 points per game are 16.4 more points than the 65.3 the Bears give up.
- In games when it puts up more than 65.3 points, Arkansas is 19-0 against the spread and 24-5 overall.
Arkansas at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Baylor 77, Arkansas 73
Money line
The Baylor Bears are favored to win this matchup according to both BetMGM’s money line and the model.
Against the spread (ATS)
The model favors the Bears by 4.2 points, fewer than the 8-point spread set by MGM.
Over/Under (O/U)
MGM and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, with the model predicting the Over by a slight margin.
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