Baylor vs West Virginia College Basketball Game Preview

Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction and college basketball game preview.

Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction and college basketball game preview.


Baylor vs West Virginia Broadcast

Date: Tuesday, March 2
Game Time: 5:00 ET
Venue: WVU Coliseum, Morgantown, WV
Network: ESPN

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All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Baylor (18-1) vs West Virginia (17-6) Game Preview

For latest lines and to bet on college basketball, go to BetMGM


Why Baylor Will Win

What happened to you, Baylor? You used to be beautiful.

The Bears haven’t been all that great over the last two games after being off for 21 days, and they finally got hit with their first loss of the season in a 71-58 outing at Kansas.

The shooting wasn’t there and the three-point shooting was disastrous. However, the Bear D stopped the Kansas outside shooters cold – the problem was the Jayhawk shooting in the interior and on the move.

West Virginia does a whole lot of things right, but it’s not a big-shooting team and it’s struggling form the outside – it hasn’t pushed past 30% in three of the last four games.

Why West Virginia Will Win

Again, Baylor just isn’t right.

It’s only a two game sample size, but it’s not getting on the boards like it did back in January, and not shooting well yet. That’s where West Virginia comes in.

The Mountaineer defense isn’t bad at forcing mistakes and it’s decent on the glass. That all triggers and offense that’s great at getting to the rim and better at making it to the free throw line.

In the disaster at Kansas, Baylor couldn’t hit free throws, or anything else. West Virginia is among the best in the nation on the line.

What’s Going To Happen

West Virginia is playing well with the firepower and offensive push to keep up the pace. It’s as consistent a shooting team as any in the country, and it’s amazing on the offensive glass averaging a whopping 13.5 rebounds per game.

How did Kansas roll the Bears? The defense was a big factor, but it also came up with 12 offensive rebounds and won the rebounding margin by 18. West Virginia will ramp up the production down the stretch to pull off the home upset against a Baylor team that’s not quite all back full (but will be soon).

Baylor vs West Virginia Prediction, Line

West Virginia 77, Baylor 74
Bet on college basketball with BetMGM
Line: Baylor -4, o/u: 149.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 4.5

5: March 2021
1: March 2020

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Baylor vs West Virginia Prediction, Game Preview

Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction and game preview.

Baylor Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction and game preview.


Baylor vs West Virginia Broadcast

Date: Saturday, October 3rd
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV
Network: ABC

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All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Baylor (1-0) vs West Virginia (1-1) Game Preview

For latest lines and to bet on college football, go to BetMGM


Why Baylor Will Win

With the “it was against Kansas” caveat, Baylor was terrific in the opener of the Dave Aranda era after getting into a groove in the second half.

Yes, the passing game could’ve been a little crisper, and yes, the running game wasn’t amazing, but the defense lived in the Jayhawk backfield and clamped down on everything after getting down 7-0 in the 47-14 win.

It’s still going to be a process with all of the new parts, but as last week’s West Virginia loss to Oklahoma State showed, the other side isn’t exactly rolling, either.

There’s little to no Mountaineer running game to worry about. Leddie Brown ran for 104 yards against the Cowboys, but that was offset by a whole slew of sacks and other issues. As long as Baylor can keep QB Jarret Doege from getting into a comfortable groove, the D will be just fine.

CFN Experts Picks: NFL

Why West Virginia Will Win

West Virginia has to come out slinging.

Kansas was able to get a wee bit of a passing game going, but not enough of one. The Mountaineers have the receivers and Doege is a decent veteran passer, and at home they all have to click from the start.

Winston Wright and TJ Simmons are a strong receiving tandem, and for all the problems the O line had against Oklahoma State, Leddie Brown really was strong.

This is a better West Virginia team than the one that showed up in Stillwater last week.

CFN Experts Picks: College Football

What’s Going To Happen

Can the West Virginia offensive line hold up? It was swarmed over by Oklahoma State last week, there were way too many penalties, and the defensive front had too many problems against the run.

It’ll be a fun, tight game with West Virginia coming up with just enough explosive plays to offset all the problems against the Bear defensive front.

Baylor vs West Virginia Prediction, Line

West Virginia 27, Baylor 24
Bet on Baylor vs West Virginia with BetMGM
Baylor -3, o/u: 53.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3

5: ANYTHING else
1: THAT debate

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West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears college basketball odds, picks and best bets

Analyzing West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks and tips.

The West Virginia Mountaineers (18-6, 6-5 Big 12) visit the rival Baylor Bears (22-1, 11-0) Saturday in the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas, for a 4 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the West Virginia-Baylor odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

West Virginia at Baylor: Three things you need to know

  1. Baylor is on pace for its best season and its first 1-seed in the NCAA Tournament in the Scott Drew era. In 17 seasons under Drew, Baylor’s highest seed for the tournament was No. 3 in 2010, ’12 & ’15, but the Bears have never won the Big 12 title.
  2. Bob Huggins is looking to get West Virginia back into the NCAA Tournament after missing out last season. 2018-19 snapped a four-year streak of the Mountaineers playing in March Madness.  
  3. Baylor has beaten West Virginia in their last two meetings but the Mountaineers have covered three out of the last four games. 

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West Virginia at Baylor: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Baylor 65, West Virginia 62

Moneyline (ML)

This game will be close because of both team’s defenses (more on that in a second) but what causes me to lean toward West Virginia is its frontcourt mismatch. The two RSCI top-100 ranked recruits in West Virginia’s starting lineup—Oscar Tshiebwe and Derek Culver—lead the Mountaineers in points and rebounds per game. Tshiebwe stands at 6-foot-9 and Culver 6-10; and no one in Baylor’s starting lineup is listed taller than 6-8. West Virginia can use its size to dominate the glass and Baylor out of the paint.

But, I will PASS ON THE MONEYLINE (West Virginia +195/Baylor -239) here because of West Virginia’s 3-5 road record playing a Baylor team that is undefeated (11-0) at home.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The Bears are favored at -5.5 (-110) in what will likely be a defensive match. Per updated stats on NCAA.com, West Virginia is 14th in the nation in opponents scoring, fifth in opponent’s field-goal percentage and third in opponent’s 3-point FG%. But don’t sleep on a Bears defense that ranks fifth in opponent’s PPG, 16th in opponents’ FG% and 61st in opponent’s 3-point FG%. They are going against a West Virginia offense ranked 159th in PPG, 239th in FG% and 319th in 3-point shooting. Plus neither team will be able to ice the game away with their poor free-throw shooting. The Mountaineers are 328th in the nation from the charity stripe, while the Bears are ranked 205th.

BET WEST VIRGINIA +5.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

If the handicap for the line is a defensive battle keeping the game close, then UNDER 130.5 (-121) is the only thing that makes sense here. The extra vig on the Under makes me a feel a little better because it means the market is seeing a similar game as I am. Furthermore, West Virginia’s Over/Under record is 2-6 on the road and Baylor has a 4-7 O/U record at home.

Want some action on this matchup? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

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