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Baylor at Kansas odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor at Kansas odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 8 Baylor Bears (19-3, 7-2 Big 12) travel to meet the No. 10 Kansas Jayhawks (18-3, 7-1) Saturday at Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence, Kan. Tip-off is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Baylor vs. Kansas odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Bears picked up an 81-77 win over West Virginia Monday but failed to cover for a second consecutive game. Baylor is just 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS across the past seven games overall.

The Jayhawks rebounded from a loss to Kentucky in the Big 12/SEC Challenge Jan. 29 when they posted a 70-61 victory at Iowa State Tuesday. Kansas covered as a 1.5-point favorite as the Under cashed. That cover snapped an 0-4 ATS slide for Kansas.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Baylor at Kansas odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Kansas -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +2.5 (-110) | Kansas -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Baylor at Kansas odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 74, Baylor 71

Money line

KANSAS (-155) is a good play on the money line and the preferred play in what should be a close and hotly contested game. It’s better to forget about the points and take a straight-up win, and Kansas is a much better play at home.

Against the spread

Play KANSAS -2.5 (-110) on a small-unit wager only. This game might be a one-possession game, and laying the points is a risky proposition in this battle of Top 10 teams. You’ll be bucking some serious trends too, as the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these squads and the road team is 24-9-1 ATS across the last 34 meetings.

Over/Under

The UNDER 146.5 (-108) is the lean here. Both teams are tremendous defensive squads, with Baylor allowing just 61.4 PPG to rank 24th in the nation. Kansas allows just 68.2 PPG too.

The Under is 12-4-1 in the past 17 games for Kansas against winning teams, and the trend will continue Saturday.

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Baylor at Kansas odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 2 Baylor Bears (18-0 overall, 10-0 Big 12) visit the 19th-ranked Kansas Jayhawks (17-8, 11-6) Saturday night. Tip-off for the conference showdown is set for 8 p.m. ET at Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence, Kan.

Below, we analyze the Baylor-Kansas odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Seven Big 12 teams are ranked in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Two – Baylor and No. 8 Oklahoma – are in the top 10.

The Bears sit atop the Big 12 standings, while the Jayhawks are third, just percentage points behind West Virginia (16-6, 9-4).

Baylor at Kansas: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Kansas +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Baylor -4.5 (-115) | Kansas +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Baylor at Kansas: Three things to know

  1. Baylor showed a bit of rust and escaped what would have been one of the biggest upsets of the season with a 77-72 home victory against last-place Iowa State Tuesday. The Bears, 24-point favorites, hadn’t played since Feb. 2 due to a COVID-19 pause. Against the Cyclones, they trailed by as many as 17 in the first half (32-15) and were tied at 68-all with 2:51 to go. Junior G Jared Butler’s 17.1 points per game lead four Bears in double figures.
  2. Kanas had a 5-game win streak snapped with a 75-72 overtime loss at No. 16 Texas Tuesday. The Jayhawks, who led 43-32 at the half, let this one slip away. Kansas, which pushed as a 3-point underdog, opened OT with a 3 by sophomore G Christian Braun and led 72-70 with 1:41 left before Texas scored the final five points. Junior G Ochai Agbaji’s 13.8 PPG leads five Jayhawks in double figures.
  3. Baylor beat Kansas 77-69 in mid-January but came up a “hook” short of covering as an 8.5-point home favorite. The Bears, who received a season-high 30 points from Butler, jumped out to a 41-28 halftime advantage and led by 5 or more points the rest of the way.

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Baylor at Kansas: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kansas 79, Baylor 75

Money line (ML)

Back KANSAS (+180) with a HALF-UNIT wager.

The Bears are the better team and will go deeper in the NCAA tourney, but this is a tough spot for head coach Scott Drew’s crew.

The Jayhawks, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games, are coming off a tough loss, while the Bears still might have some of the “rust” that appeared in Tuesday’s ugly victory vs. Iowa State.

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Against the spread (ATS)

KANSAS +4.5 (-105) is worth a FULL-UNIT play. Along with the reasons mentioned above, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 of this series.

Baylor, which has never swept Kansas in the regular season, has won 2 of the past 3 in the series, but only covered the spread once.

ATS: Baylor 13-5 | Kansas 12-11-1

Over/Under (O/U)

Bet the OVER with a HALF-UNIT. 142.5 (-110) is just too low a number for these two. Baylor averages 86.4 PPG to rank second in the country (behind Gonzaga’s 93.2 PPG). Kansas averages 73.6 PPG.

O/U records: Baylor 10-8 | Kansas 13-11

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
College hoops since Jan. 1 60-45-1 28-25 +11.95
2020-21 College hoops 75-62-1 33-35 +5.225
2021 record (all sports) 75-54-1 38-27 +23.25
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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