Tag: Baylor Bears betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Oklahoma State at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-3) stops by McLane Stadium Saturday to play the Baylor Bears (2-6) at 4 p.m. ET in a Big XII showdown. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma State-Baylor college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Oklahoma State at Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:00 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Oklahoma State -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Baylor +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma State -5 (-110) | Baylor +5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Oklahoma State at Baylor: Three things to know

  1. Oklahoma State lost its second of three games, and failed to cover its fourth consecutive outing, against TCU last week. The key to the 29-22 loss was Oklahoma State getting beat in the trenches as TCU outgained the Cowboys by 88 rushing yards.
  2. Baylor was stifled by Oklahoma last week in a 27-14 loss but covered as 23-point road underdogs. The Bears had less than a yard per rush attempt and threw 2 interceptions.
  3. The Cowboys have struggled in recent years in this head-to-head, losing outright and ATS four of the last five, but the favorite is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 Oklahoma State-Baylor meetings.

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Oklahoma State at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Oklahoma State 24, Baylor 14

Money line (ML)

Oklahoma State is the right side, but I avoid betting regular-season money lines in college football of -170 or pricier. You could throw in the Cowboys in a money line parlay, but I’d STICK WITH THE SPREAD.

Against the spread (ATS)

I don’t see how Baylor’s offense has success in this matchup. The Bears are ranked 122nd in yards per rush, and their top four running backs are on the injury report.

Either way, Baylor QB Charlie Brewer leads the Bears in rushing attempts with 102 carries but has only 170 rushing yards. Their pass offense is better, but I wouldn’t call it good.

The Bears are 98th in yards per pass and 96th in QB sacked rate, while the Oklahoma State defense is 31st in opponent’s completion percentage and 17th in sack rate.

Also, Oklahoma State should be up for this game after getting owned by the Bears during the Matt Rhule years and kick Baylor while it’s down. I don’t usually like laying points on the road, but I’ll TAKE OKLAHOMA STATE -5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 49.5 (-110) for 1 unit is my favorite play. Baylor holding Oklahoma to under 30 points last week despite getting nothing from the offense in the first half was pretty impressive.

Furthermore, the Bears are good at getting offenses off the field (ranked 28th in opponent’s 3rd down conversion percentage) and picking off opposing quarterbacks (12th in opponent’s interception rate).

Oklahoma State’s ground game has been inconsistent this season (ranked 82nd in yards per rush), which contributes to its struggles on 3rd down (ranked 70th in 3rd down conversion percentage).

I’d bet the Under harder if there weren’t concerns about defensive touchdowns or turnovers leading to short fields for the offenses.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Stephen F. Austin at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Baylor Bears sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Baylor Bears (3-0) host the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (3-0) at the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas, Wednesday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Stephen F. Austin-Baylor college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Bears are No. 2 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Poll.

Stephen F. Austin at Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: No money line was listed at the time of publishing.
  • Against the spread/ATS: Stephen F. Austin +23.5 (-110) | Baylor -23.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 147 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Stephen F. Austin at Baylor: Three things to know

  1. SFA ripped right through NAIA division LSU–Alexandria 97-79 on Dec. 6. There was no line for the Lumberjacks to cover, and they sit at 1-0 ATS this season, as it was the second Stephen F. Austin game this season not to have a spread.
  2. Baylor administered a double-digit beatdown of Illinois in last week’s Jimmy V Class in Indianapolis and covered as 4.5-point favorites. The Bears’ 82-69 win over the Fighting Illini pushed their ATS record to 3-0 on the season.
  3. The Lumberjacks are replacing Baylor’s previously scheduled opponent—Nicholls—because the game was canceled due to a positive COVID-19 test in the Colonels’ program.

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Stephen F. Austin at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 87, Stephen F. Austin 55

Money line (ML)

No money line was available at the time of publishing. It wouldn’t be worth pursuing, anyway, due to the large spread.

Against the spread (ATS)

It’s a real struggle to make a pro-Stephen F. Austin case. The Lumberjacks have the 300th-toughest schedule out of 300 charted teams according to Sportsreference.com, so, there’s nothing to glean from their results.

Naturally, my instincts tell me to take plus-23.5 points but Stephen F. Austin’s defense has been atrocious against literally the easiest competition in the nation. The Lumberjacks are ranked 291st in opponents’ effective field-goal percentage and 293rd in opponents’ free-throw attempts per field-goal attempt.

Also, Stephen F. Austin thrives on points inside the arc and Baylor has one of the highest defensive efficiencies in the country. If the Lumberjacks can’t stretch the defense, I don’t see how they have success on offense.

GIMME BAYLOR -23.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

My read is Baylor truck-sticks Stephen F. Austin early and then naturally take its foot off the gas in the second half. Stephen F. Austin’s offense ranks really well but, again, who have they played?

Furthermore, this is a Pros vs. Joes matchup on the total: 85% of the cash bet is on the Under and 57% of the bets placed are on the Over, according to Pregame.com. The heavy action on the Over has moved the total down from the 153.5-point opener.

The sharp money is on the Under so let’s TAKE UNDER 147 (-110) for 1 unit and hope we are not arriving too late to the party.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Baylor at Oklahoma odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks and predictions.

The Baylor Bears (2-5) visit the Oklahoma Sooners (6-2) Saturday for an 8 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Baylor-Oklahoma college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Oklahoma is No. 13 in the Amway Coaches Poll.

Baylor at Oklahoma: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor +710 (bet $100 to win $710) | Oklahoma -1250 (bet $1,250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Baylor +21.5 (-110) | Oklahoma -21.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor at Oklahoma: Three things to know

  1. Oklahoma QB Spencer Rattler has been fantastic over the last four games, throwing for 9 touchdowns and only 1 interception. On the season, Rattler has thrown for 22 touchdowns with 6 interceptions.
  2. Baylor has really struggled against Oklahoma of late, losing six-straight games. The Bears have lost 10 of their last 11 games when playing the Sooners on the road.
  3. Oklahoma has been a great home team under head coach Lincoln Riley as it has won 19 of its last 20 games at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium.

Baylor at Oklahoma: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Oklahoma 42, Baylor 20

Money line (ML)

Oklahoma is a huge money line favorite. The Sooners have won five straight games and their record at home under Riley has been phenomenal. Unfortunately, there just isn’t enough value. PASS on this money line in favor of the point spread.

Against the spread (ATS)

OKLAHOMA -21.5 (-110) is the right play in this Big 12 matchup as its offense has caught fire of late. The Sooners scored a combined 251 points in their last five games and are averaging 45.5 points on the season.

They should score into the 40s in this game and if they can hold Baylor to only a few scores, the Sooners should have no problem covering this spread. Oklahoma is 6-2 against the spread this season, covering in five straight games.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 60.5 (-110) is the correct play in this game given how explosive Oklahoma’s offense has been this season. Baylor has had its fair share of struggles on that side of the ball, but the Bears have scored at least 23 points in four straight games.

If they can come close to that number, the Over should hit with ease.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Baylor vs. Gonzaga odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Baylor Bears vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The second-ranked Baylor Bears (3-0) face the top-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs (3-0) Saturday at 1 p.m. ET in the Jimmy V Classic at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Below, we analyze the Baylor-Gonzaga college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Bears were ranked No. 1 and the Bulldogs No. 2 in the preseason USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Poll.

Baylor vs. Gonzaga: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Gonzaga -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Baylor +2 (+105) | Gonzaga -2 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Baylor vs. Gonzaga: Three things to know

  1. Baylor (-4.5) defeated No. 5 Illinois 82-69 Wednesday in its first game of the Jimmy V Classic in Indianapolis, pulling away in the final seven minutes after being tied at 43-all. G Adam Flagler led the Bears with 18 points off the bench. Baylor, which is 3-0 ATS, also owns wins against Washington (86-52) and Louisiana (112-82). G Jared Butler is the Bears’ top scorer at 16.3 points per game.
  2. Two of Gonzaga’s three victories are against top-11 teams. The Bulldogs beat then-No. 6 Kansas 102-90 (as 4-point favorites) in the Fort Myers Classic Nov. 26, and recently knocked off No. 11 West Virginia 87-82 Wednesday – failing to cover as 8.5-point favorites – in their first Jimmy V Classic tilt. The Mountaineers game was a dogfight as the Zags trailed 39-34 at the half and, after being tied 67-all, produced a 20-5 run in the final 6:31 to pick up the victory. F Drew Timme (23.3 PPG) and F Corey Kispert (22.3 PPG) lead the Zags in scoring so far.
  3. Both teams likely were going to be No. 1 seeds in the 2020 NCAA Tournament, which was canceled due to COVID-19. Gonzaga was No. 2 and Baylor No. 4 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll when the season was halted. The Zags are 5-0 in the all-time series, most recently claiming an 83-71 second-round victory in the 2019 NCAA tourney.

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Baylor vs. Gonzaga: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Gonzaga 89, Baylor 85

Money line (ML)

PASS. I’m calling for a Gonzaga win, but I prefer to lay the 2 points at a -125 ATS price (below) compared to backing the -155 money line.

Against the spread (ATS)

GONZAGA -2 (-125) is worth a small play – half your usual wager – as this is no “gimme.” Expect a battle down to the wire. Gonzaga will have to do a better job on the boards than it did vs. West Virginia as it was outrebounded 41-36. What gives the Bulldogs the nod vs. Baylor is freshman G Jalen Suggs. In his college debut, the five-star recruit scored 24 points in the Kansas win. Against West Virginia, he exited the first half with a left ankle injury but returned in the second half. He only finished with 4 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 steals and 1 block. However, his presence played a key role in Gonzaga’s final surge.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 159.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The two teams already have played a game in Bankers Life Fieldhouse, so an unknown neutral court won’t be an issue. Through their first three games, Baylor is averaging 93.3 PPG, while Gonzaga is scoring at a 93.0 PPG clip.

This should be a fun one!

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Johnny’s 2020 CBK record / Strongest plays 0-0 / 0-0
2019-20 CBK record / Strongest plays 5-3 / 5-0
2020 overall record (all sports) 154-113-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 76-43-1

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Illinois vs. Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Baylor Bears sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini (3-0) play the Baylor Bears (2-0) Wednesday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Ind., in the Jimmy V Classic. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Illinois-Baylor college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

USA TODAY Sports ranked the Bears No. 1 and the Fighting Illini No. 10 in the preseason Men’s Basketball Poll.

Illinois vs. Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Illinois +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Baylor -209 (bet $209 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Illinois +4.5 (-110) | Baylor -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Illinois vs. Baylor: Three things to know

  1. Fourth-year head coach Brad Underwood has Illinois trending up even after its 21-10 truncated 2019-20 campaign. This is Illinois’ highest ranking since 2012-13 and this is the biggest game in the Underwood-era at Illinois. The Fighting Illini easily won and covered the spread in their first two games this season but eked past Ohio 77-75 as 15.5-point favorites.
  2. The 2020-21 season has started out business as usual in Baylor’s 18th season under coach Scott Drew. The Bears demolished and covered against their first two opponents this year. Baylor has been ranked in several seasons since Drew has taken over and the Bears have made eight NCAA tournaments (would’ve been nine last season) during his tenure.
  3. USA TODAY Sports and the Associated Press may be higher on Illinois than college hoops bettors. Advanced college basketball guru Ken Pomeroy ranks Baylor No. 2 but Illinois just No. 22 in his college basketball ratings.

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Illinois vs. Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 78, Illinois 69

Money line (ML)

One of my tenets of sports gambling (right or wrong) is that I will not lay -170 in regular-season NBA or anything college hoops. Forget about Baylor -209 and I am not crazy about money line parlays for college hoops, either.

Baylor is the right side but PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (ATS)

It might be a good time to buy stock in the Illinois basketball program moving forward but not for this game. Baylor is more used to these intense games between ranked competition than the neophyte Fighting Illini.

Since Underwood took over Illinois, the Illini are 4-8 ATS in neutral-site games, 10-12 ATS vs. ranked opponents and 14-18-1 ATS in non-conference games with a plus-12.8-point average margin. Over that same time span, Baylor is 11-4 ATS in neutral-site games, 14-11-2 ATS vs. ranked opponents and 22-15 ATS in non-conference games.

The lopsided margin in Illinois’ non-conference games is due to the Fighting Illini playing weaker out of conference opponents. Look at their first three games: All home games against non-Power 5 opponents, two of which were double-digit blowout wins.

GIMME BAYLOR -4.5 (-110) for 2 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

Unofficially, I lean Over 142.5 (-110) because Baylor’s offense has been balling this season and we have a pretty low total; however, I am not as dialed into totals as sides, so officially I PASS ON THE TOTAL.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Kansas State at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Kansas State Wildcats at Baylor Bears sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Kansas State Wildcats (4-4) visit the Baylor Bears (1-5) Saturday at McLane Stadium for a 7 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Kansas State-Baylor college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Kansas State at Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kansas State +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Baylor -213 (bet $223 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kansas State +5.5 (-110) | Baylor -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 45.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Kansas State at Baylor: Three things to know

  1. Kansas State took a 45-0 drubbing from Iowa State last week and was down 35-0 at halftime. Everyone who took the Wildcats getting 13.5 points was able to get on with their day a little earlier.
  2. Baylor had last week off but lost to Texas Tech 21-20 the week prior by a game-winning field goal as time expired. The Bears blew an 11-point lead heading into the fourth quarter and lost as 1-point favorites.
  3. Both programs have entered a new chapter recently as Baylor replaced former head coach Matt Rhule this season with Dave Aranda, and Kansas State is in its second season with coach Chris Klieman at the helm following a 27-season run by Bill Snyder. For what it’s worth, Baylor has won back-to-back meetings.

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Kansas State at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 21, Kansas State 19

Money line (ML)

Kansas State’s offense has gone into the witness protection program the past three weeks and Baylor is getting closer to winning—a single-point loss at Texas Tech last week and an ATS win in a straight up loss at Iowa State on Nov. 7.

Based on these prices, I’d rather bet against Baylor than on Kansas State. But, I am not in the market for either team’s money line in this spot. PASS.

Against the spread (ATS)

It’s weird Baylor is laying 5.5 points. I don’t see it. Kansas State has been a solid ATS team this year (5-3 ATS) and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 Kansas State-Baylor games. Admittedly, BetMGM is more dialed into Big XII football and/or probably saw something I didn’t.

Since I’m on the Under (see below), I’ll default to the simple logic of taking an underdog with a low total and lean Kansas State +5.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 45.5 (-106) is the only play on the total. I’d like it a little more if we bet the Under before it was steamed up; the total opened at 47.5.

However, this is a quintessential pros versus joes in the total betting market: 86% of the money is on the Under, but 58% of the bets placed are on the Over.

You could make a case that both defenses are pretty good, but it’s a certainty that both offenses are terrible. Neither team can run the ball—Kansas State is 94th in yards per rush and Baylor is ranked 11th—and the weather forecast is saying rainy and windy conditions Saturday. That doesn’t bode well for the passing games, which are almost as bad as each team’s rushing attack.

My main concern is that maybe this seems too easy? The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 Kansas State-Baylor meetings. But, I’ll take my chances betting against these crappy offenses in bad weather.

GIMME UNDER 45.5 (-106) for 1 unit.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Baylor at Iowa State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Baylor Bears at Iowa State Cyclones sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Baylor Bears (1-3 overall, 1-3 Big 12) travel to Ames, Iowa for a Saturday night Big 12 affair against the Iowa State Cyclones (4-2, 4-1). Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Baylor-Iowa State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Baylor at Iowa State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Iowa State -625 (bet $625 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Baylor +13.5 (-110) | Iowa State -13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Baylor at Iowa State: Three things to know

  1. Iowa State RB Breece Hall ranks No. 2 in FBS with 901 rushing yards (150.2 per game). Hall has bolted for 11 rushing touchdowns, and he leads an ISU ground game that has outgained all six opponents on the ground this fall.
  2. Baylor took a 20-0 lead in last year’s home game against ISU. The Bears hung on to defeat the Cyclones 23-21 in a game that was nearly even on the yardage front (BU 411, ISU 405). That victory was part of a season-opening nine-game winning streak.
  3. Under new head coach Dave Aranda, Baylor has thus far flipped the script on committing turnovers. A year ago, the Bears ranked 68th in the nation with 19 giveaways. This season, BU has committed just three turnovers in four games. That possession protection is all the more impressive with two of Baylor’s foes (Texas, West Virginia) ranked 10th and 28th, respectively, in takeaways.

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Baylor at Iowa State: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Iowa State 31, Baylor 20

Money line (ML)

STEER CLEAR of the juice-filled straight-up prices. As with the analysis below, there’s a lot of gray area in laying this one out.

Against the spread (ATS)

Baylor is 1-3-1 ATS since last year’s bowl game, and the one push came on a garbage-time, short-field score against Texas. This year’s games against Texas (Oct. 24) and West Virginia (Oct. 3) seem to bode well for a play on the Bears in this one, but BU was a combined plus-5 in turnovers over those two games. Neither one of those foes is a top-50 team running the ball; Iowa State’s 5.8 yards per carry average ranks eighth in the nation.

Still, there are analytics pointing to a margin closer to one score than two. Then there is ISU’s recent performance log when playing as a home favorite: The Cyclones are 5-9 ATS over their last 14 such games. The cross signals are enough to make for a PASS. Better value can be found on the high side of a low total.

Over/Under (O/U)

Saturday’s weather in Ames might get a bit breezy, but it’s an otherwise solid forecast favoring the offenses. Don’t expect a textbook Big-12 shootout, but this game draws a total a few points too low. TAKE THE OVER 47.5 (-110).

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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