Bayern Munich vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Bayern Munich vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Bayern Munich welcomes Manchester City to Allianz Arena Wednesday. Kickoff in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bayern Munich vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Bayern Munich visited Etihad stadium on April 11 and were embarrassed, losing 3-0 and being put in quite the uphill battle. City had 9 shots on target and 17 in total. Bayern had 4 and 12 respectively despite having 56% of the possession.

Manchester City has been on an absolute tear as of late, winning 10 games in a row throughout all competitions. They have won all but one of those by more than a goal as well. They haven’t lost a game since Feb. 5. City sits 2nd in the English Premier League.

Bayern sits atop the Bundesliga, the top German league. They have struggled the last few weeks, posting just a 2-3-1 record throughout all competitions. They are just 0-1-1 in their last 2 home games as well. Bayern beat PSG a combined 3-0 in the Round of 16 to get to the Champions League quarters.

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Bayern Munich vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Bayern Munich +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Manchester City +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Draw +270
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)

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Bayern Munich vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Bayern Munich 2, Manchester City 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN BAYERN MUNICH (+165).

Bayern isn’t going to be a consensus play here, but City is up a large amount and will likely be in more of a park-the-bus mode. Also, the 3-0 scoreline City put on Bayern is a bit overstated as Bayern did control possession and had just 5 fewer shots.

They did compete well on the road and haven’t lost a league match at home. They have outscored Champions League opponents 11-0 at home and took down PSG, a top French side, 2-0.

City has been on a tear, but this will be their 4th game in 11 days. They could have some tired legs as they look to advance. Although I fully expect City to advance, take BAYERN MUNICH (+165) given how well they played in the 1st leg and at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-165).

City has an ultra-efficient offense and has scored 3 or more in 6 straight games. While Bayern didn’t score against City in the 1st leg, they did have ample opportunities and should find the back of the net at least once.

The Over 2.5 line (-210) isn’t worth the risk. Bayern has an efficient and competent attack, but it has gone Under the 3.5 total in 5 of their last 7 matches. Considering the pace they will need to play at, it could open the home side up to ample counterattacks as well.

But ultimately, even considering the tempo of this game and both teams’ strength, hitting 4 goals seems a bit much, so LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-165).

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