Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds and lines, with Bundesliga expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Bayern Munich (3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) welcomes Bayer Leverkusen (3-0-0) to Allianz Arena Friday. Kickoff is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Both sides sit atop the Bundesliga table and are the only teams that have yet to lose or draw a match in the German top league. Bayer technically has the lead now with 11 goals for and 3 against, a goal differential of 8. Bayern has a goal differential of 7, having tallied 9 for and 2 against.

Munich has won 4-0, 3-1 and 2-1 in respective order, ending with 2.4 expected goals or more in each match and having yet to allow 1 expected goal in a game. Offensively, F Harry Kane and F Leroy Sane both have 3 goals.

Leverkusen’s attack is led by F Victor Boniface, who has scored 4 goals and 2 assists. Bayer’s most notable performance so far this season is a 3-2 home win over RB Leipzig to commence the season. It has won 3-0 and 5-1 as well.

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Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Bayern Munich -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Bayer Leverkusen +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Draw +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -120 | U: -110)

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Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen picks and predictions

Prediction

Bayern Munich 2, Bayer Leverkusen 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN BAYERN MUNICH (-175).

While Leverkusen is a better side than it gets credit for, Munich dominated at home against it last season, winning 4-0 and ending with about 2.5 times more expected goals. Munich got their big-name goal scorer to replace F Robert Lewandowski, and Kane has been a star so far for Bayern.

At (-175), the price is a bit steep which is why this is a lean and not a full-unit suggestion. Bayern was 11-5-1 last season and presents good value on the moneyline, which isn’t often true for a team this dominant.

Bayern has also crushed its opponents while Bayer’s 3-2 win over Leipzig ended with the home side (Bayer) having fewer expected goals. Bayern is the better side and should come out on top. Back BAYERN MUNICH (-175).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-110).

Both teams have scored double-digit goals through 3 matches. The offensive prowess is clearly there, but the defensive strength is as well. Bayer has given up 3 goals while Bayern has allowed just 2. This should be a competitive match, and I expect fewer opportunities than usual.

In 5 of the 6 games played by the teams combined, they have held their opponent to under 1 expected goal. With competent defenses, goals should be scarce. Take UNDER 3.5 (-110).

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