Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Ravens (1-1) look to bounce back from a Week 2 collapse when they face the underwhelming New England Patriots (1-1) Sunday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Ravens vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Ravens come into this one after losing 42-38 to the Miami Dolphins last weekend. Baltimore led Miami 35-14 early in the 4th quarter but it allowed 21 unanswered points to tie the game and eventually lost on a 7-yard touchdown with 14 seconds left. The Ravens are now a half-game back of the Cleveland Browns in the AFC North following a Browns’ victory on Thursday Night Football.

The Patriots barely got by the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, beating them 17-14 on the road. New England had 376 yards compared to only 243 for Pittsburgh, but the Patriots struggled to put points on the board. QB Mac Jones has 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions through 2 weeks, totaling 465 yards through the air.

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Ravens at Patriots odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Ravens -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Patriots +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ravens -2.5 (-120) | Patriots +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Ravens at Patriots key injuries

Ravens

  • RB J.K. Dobbins (knee) questionable
  • WR Devin Duvernay (concussion) questionable
  • CB Marlon Humphrey (groin) questionable
  • OL Ronnie Stanley (ankle) questionable

Patriots

  • S Kyle Dugger (knee) questionable
  • DL Davon Godchaux (back) questionable
  • WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
  • CB Jalen Mills (hamstring) questionable

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Ravens at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Ravens 24, Patriots 17

Money line

This line almost feels too good to be true. The Patriots have looked shaky, particularly on offense, scoring just 24 points in 2 games against the Dolphins and Steelers. They barely beat Pittsburgh last week and got beat by 13 points by the Dolphins in their opener.

The Ravens easily beat the New York Jets in Week 1 and should’ve crushed the Dolphins but they blew a 21-point 4th-quarter lead.

I like the RAVENS (-145) a lot in this matchup.

Against the spread

The Ravens are only favored by 2.5 points, which feels like a low number and a reaction to Week 2’s results: a blown lead by Baltimore and a sloppy win by New England.

These teams have alternated ATS wins in each of their last 8 meetings, with the Patriots covering in their last matchup in 2020. Naturally, it’s the Ravens’ turn to cover.

Give me the RAVENS -2.5 (-120) to win by at least a field goal.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 4 of the last 5 games between these teams, but it went under in a 23-17 win by the Patriots in 2020. Bill Belichick typically knows how to limit an opponent’s best player, so QB Lamar Jackson could be held in check a bit.

I see a lower-scoring game. LEAN toward the UNDER 43.5 (-105).

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Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots Week 10 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Baltimore Ravens (6-2) visit the New England Patriots (3-5) for the Week 10 Sunday Night Football game at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Ravens-Patriots betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Ravens at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Ravens -334 (bet $334 to win $100) | Patriots +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Ravens -7 (-110) | Patriots +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 43.5 (Over -110 | U: -110)

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Ravens at Patriots: Game notes

  • The Ravens rebounded from a 28-24 home loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8 with a 24-10 road win at the Indianapolis Colts in Week 9. Baltimore has scored at least 20 points in an NFL-record 31 consecutive games. QB Lamar Jackson has completed 62.9% of his passes for 1,513 yards with 12 TDs vs. 4 INTs, while rushing for a team-high 469 yards with 3 scores. RB Gus Edwards is the Ravens’ top back with 328 rushing yards and 3 TDs, while WR Marquise Brown has a team-high 417 receiving yards with 2 TDs.
  • The Patriots snapped a four-game skid with a 30-27 come-from-behind victory at the New York Jets on Monday Night Football last week. QB Cam Newton has completed 68.1% of his passes for 1,417 yards with just 2 TDs vs. 7 picks, while running for 314 yards with a team-best 8 rushing TDs. RB Damien Harris has 350 rushing yards with 1 score, while WR Damiere Byrd leads the team with 337 receiving yards, but has been kept out of the end zone.
  • Baltimore’s defense leads the league with the least points allowed at 17.8 PPG.
  • The Ravens – behind Jackson and Edwards – also lead the NFL in rushing yards per game (170.1). This could spell trouble for the Pats, who yield 131.0 rushing YPG to rank 25th.
  • The Ravens are 4-4 ATS; the Patriots are 3-5.
  • The Ravens are 3-5 vs. the O/U, averaging 28.4 PPG.
  • The Patriots are 4-4 O/U, averaging 20.8 PPG.
  • Baltimore beat New England 37-20 last season to snap a 3-game skid in the series.

Ravens at Patriots: Key injuries

Ravens

  • DE Calais Campbell (calf) out
  • LB L.J. Fort (finger) questionable
  • RB Mark Ingram (ankle) questionable
  • LB Matthew Judon (calf) questionable
  • CB Jimmy Smith (ankle) doubtful

Patriots

  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (groin) questionable
  • S Cody Davis (calf) questionable
  • DB Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
  • PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
  • CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) questionable
  • DT Lawrence Guy (shoulder, elbow, knee) questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (ankle, chest) questionable
  • WR N’Keal Harry (concussion) questionable
  • TE Ryan Izzo (hamstring) questionable
  • CB Jonathan Jones (illness) questionable
  • OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • DE John Simon (elbow) questionable
  • OL Joe Thuney (ankle) questionable
  • DL Deatrich Wise Jr. (knee, hand) questionable
  • OL Isaiah Wynn (ankle) questionable

Ravens at Patriots: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Ravens 27, Patriots 13

Money line (?)

The Ravens (-334) are definitely going to win, but no respectable tout would suggest playing such a money line. I’ll PASS.

Against the spread (?)

The RAVENS7 (-110) are the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Jackson and the Baltimore offense will have a field day running against the Patriots defense. Plus, the Pats are banged up with too many injuries.

Over/Under (?)

The UNDER 43.5 (-110) is worth a small play – half your usual wager. The Ravens’ running game will eat chunks of time off the clock. Plus, their defense should shut down the Patriots’ offense. If the number drops below 41, AVOID.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays 9-8-1 / 3-3-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports) 140-104-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 69-39-1

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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