Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (28-16) and Toronto Blue Jays (25-19) will square off Friday in the opener of a 3-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is at 7:07 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting

The Orioles come into this game after splitting a 4-game series with the Los Angeles Angels from Monday-Thursday. Baltimore has won 6 of its last 9 games and has maintained its spot in 2nd in the AL East, 3.5 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays. The Orioles have scored the 9th-most runs in baseball (220).

The Jays are sitting in 3rd in the AL East, 6.5 games back, but after dropping 3 of 4 to the New York Yankees to start the week are in danger of falling into 4th. Their lineup has been disappointing, scoring 204 runs in 44 games (13th) but the pitching staff is holding steady with a 3.93 ERA (10th).

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Gibson (4-3, 4.67 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 52 IP.

  • Has lost 3 straight starts after going 4-0 over his first 6 outings
  • Has allowed 12 runs in his last 17 2/3 innings, bringing his ERA up from 3.93 to 4.67.

Kikuchi (5-0, 3.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 41 2/3 IP.

  • Was roughed up for 4 earned runs on 9 hits — 3 home runs — over 4 innings against the Atlanta Braves Sunday
  • Has given up 1 or 0 earned runs in 5 of his 8 starts but has allowed 4-plus runs in his other 3 turns

Orioles at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Blue Jays -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

Kikuchi struggled in his last outing, but he hasn’t had back-to-back poor starts this season and I expect him to rebound nicely against the Orioles. Baltimore is just 2-3 in its last 5 games.

The Blue Jays are 7-1 in Kikuchi’s 8 starts this season, with their only loss being a 7-6 defeat to the Boston Red Sox. BET BLUE JAYS (-150).

Run line/Against the spread

The Blue Jays have won 5 games by at least 2 runs when Kikuchi has been on the mound, covering the run line in each of those contests. The Orioles have given Gibson absolutely no run support in his recent starts, getting shut out in each of his last 3 outings.

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+125) to cover and win by at least 2 runs.

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Over/Under

Between the Orioles’ poor run support for Gibson and Kikuchi’s 5 starts of 1 or fewer runs allowed this season, I don’t expect this to be a terribly high-scoring game at Rogers Centre. The total has gone Under in each of Gibson’s last 3 starts, and it’s also gone Under in each of the Blue Jays’ last 2 games.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (75-67) and Toronto Blue Jays (81-63) open a 3-game set Friday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 7-6

The Orioles completed a 2-game sweep at the Washington Nationals Wednesday as Baltimore 3B Gunnar Henderson drove in 4 runs in a 6-2 win. SS Jorge Mateo homered in the top of the 7th to help put Baltimore 4 games back of the AL’s final wild-card spot. Baltimore had lost 6 of its last 8 games before sweeping Washington.

The Blue Jays were blown out 11-0 by the Tampa Bay Rays Thursday. Toronto starter RHP Kevin Gausman allowed 5 ER on 6 H with 7 K through 7 IP in the loss. The Blue Jays are just a half-game ahead of the Rays in the AL wild-card chase after the loss.

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Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. TBD

Lyles (10-10, 4.62 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 156 IP.

  • Last start: 3 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 1 K in loss to the Boston Red Sox Saturday
  • Won 6 of his last 9 decisions
  • In 2 starts vs. Toronto this season: 2-0 with 4.91 ERA in 11 IP

Orioles at Blue Jays odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Blue Jays -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-150) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Orioles 4

Money line

PASS.

Blue Jays (-165) money line should hit, but there is better value on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto was shut out Thursday in an embarrassing 11-0 loss vs. the Rays. Expect Toronto’s offense to come out extra focused and to bounce back vs. an inconsistent starting pitcher in Lyles.

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

Toronto’s bats were quiet Thursday vs. the Rays, but that likely won’t be the case for a 2nd straight game. Lyles will have a hard time containing an extra motivated Toronto lineup Friday.

BET OVER 8.5 (-130).

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (59-55) and the Toronto Blue Jays (61-52) meet in the opener of a 3-game set Monday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-2

The surprising Orioles picked up a 2-game sweep of the Blue Jays last week at Camden Yards and now try to carry over the momentum north of the border. This is the first of 3 meetings this week, and these clubs face each other 13 more times down the stretch.

The Blue Jays are reeling after dropping 2 of 3 against the Cleveland Guardians at home. Toronto has won just 2 of its last 8 outings, slipping to just 2 1/2 games ahead of the O’s in the AL East standings.

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Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Bradish (1-4, 6.42 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with a 6.26 ERA in 5 road starts with 28 K and a .297 opponent batting average in 23 IP
  • In 2 starts vs. Toronto this season he has an 0-1 record with a 7.45 ERA with a .359 opponent BA in just 9 2/3 IP

Kikuchi (4-6, 5.13 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 79 IP.

  • Has a 4.22 ERA in 9 home starts (42 2/3 IP) vs. a 6.19 ERA in 10 road outings (36 1/3 IP)
  • In 2 starts vs. Batlimore this  season he is 0-2 with a dismal 9.00 ERA, 5 HR and 7 BB with a .314 opponent BA in just 9 IP

Orioles at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Blue Jays -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Orioles 4

Money line

The BLUE JAYS (-165) are a risky play based upon their lack of success against the Orioles (+133) this season, and their play lately as a whole.

However, while Kikuchi has really struggled lately, he has been fairly productive at home. The O’s have seen the ball well against him, so go lightly here, but Bradish has been very erratic and giving as well.

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Run line/Against the spread

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+120) is a better play against the run line. They’re due, as Toronto’s past 2 wins have been 1-run games. Their last time covering the run line was Aug. 4 in Minnesota. However, 10 of the past 12 victories dating back to July 17 have been by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

The OVER 9.5 (+100) is the best play on the board, and a tremendous value at even-money.

The Over has cashed 7 times in the past 8 starts by Bradish, including his most recent 2 showings against the Jays Aug. 9 in Baltimore and June 13 in Toronto.

While the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 starts by Kikuchi, he has allowed 9 ER in 9 IP in 2 starts vs. Baltimore this season, both Over results.

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (27-36) and Toronto Blue Jays (36-25) meet Wednesday in the third contest of a 4-game AL East series at Rogers Centre. First pitch will be at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

Baltimore won Tuesday’s game 6-5 and has scored 5 runs or more in 6 of its last 9 games. The Orioles are 3-1 over their last 4 games.

Toronto inexplicably struggled on offense for much of the first third of the season, but the Jays have tallied a .925 OPS across their last 19 games

Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Bruce Zimmermann vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Zimmermann (2-5, 5.52 ERA) makes his 13th start of the season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 62 IP.

  • Toted a 2.72 ERA into late May but owns a 9.47 mark in 5 starts since May 19.
  • Owns a 6.37 ERA through 65 career IP on the road through 3 seasons.

Berrios (5-2, 4.73 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 64 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed just 3 runs on 8 hits across his last 15 IP.
  • Owns a 3.00 ERA across 5 starts at home.

Orioles at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Blue Jays -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Orioles +2.5 (-125) | Blue Jays -2.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 8, Orioles 3

Money line

A 70-cent line drowns out any interest in either side: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles pitching-and-defense numbers are a bit overcooked, and this starting pitching matchup favors Toronto more than what shows in surface numbers. Look for Berrios and a rested back end of the Blue Jay bullpen to make this 2-and-a-hook work in a high-scoring run environment.

TAKE TORONTO -2.5 (+102).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-0-1 in the Orioles’ last 6 games as road underdogs. The Over is 8-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 8 games as home favorites. The whole series likely figures to have an Over lean, and that Over is so far 2-0.

Toronto’s recent exploits with the bat and a Baltimore bullpen in overestimated/fade territory make for a high-scoring game.

BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (26-36) and Toronto Blue Jays (36-24) meet Tuesday in the continuation of a 4-game AL East series at Rogers Centre. First pitch will be at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0 after Monday’s 11-1 victory. In 20 games since the start of the 2021 season, the Jays have outscored the Orioles by 164-85.

Baltimore is just 11-21 in 32 road games this season.

The Blue Jays are a robust 19-10 at home. Toronto inexplicably struggled on offense for much of the first third of the season. But in their last 18 games, the Jays have tallied a .935 OPS.

Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Lyles (3-5, 4.97 ERA) has notched a 1.54 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 67 IP in 12 starts.

  • Making his 4th road start in his last 5 games. Owns a 6.86 ERA in  his last 4 starts.
  • Owns a 6.15 road ERA since 2020.

Kikuchi (2-2, 4.44 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 46 2/3 IP.

  • Lasted just two-thirds of an inning in his June 8 start at Kansas City and has allowed 7 ER over his last 5 1/3 IP in 2 starts.
  • Has a 3.00 ERA in his last 21 IP at Rogers Centre.
  • Orioles at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Blue Jays -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Orioles +1.5 (-117) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4

Money line

Lyles has been hurt by a .344 batting average on balls in play. And while the Orioles aren’t prolific on offense, they do lean heavily to the right and that could spell trouble for the lefty Kikuchi who has allowed an .845 OPS to righty bats over his career.

BALTIMORE (+175) is worth a partial-unit play.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. Baltimore is the lean in principle, but the pricing here is not attractive.

Over/Under

Toronto’s recent exploits with the bat and a Baltimore bullpen in overestimated/fade territory make for a high-scoring game.

BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-108).

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (26-35) and Toronto Blue Jays (35-24) meet Monday in the lid-lifter of a 4-game AL East series. The opener at Rogers Centre is slated for a 7:07 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. Toronto took 14 of 19 games from Baltimore in 2021 and outscored the Orioles 153-84.

The Orioles opened their current road trip by going 2-2 in a 4-game series at Kansas City. Baltimore is just 11-20 in 31 road games this season.

The Blue Jays are a robust 18-10 at home. Toronto inexplicably struggled on offense for much of the first third of the season. But in their last 17 games, the Jays have averaged 6.65 runs per game on the strength of a .920 OPS.

Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Bradish (1-3, 6.45 ERA) has made 8 starts this season. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP.

  • The rookie is averaging barely 4 innings per start in his last 5 outings with a 8.27 ERA over that stretch.

Manoah (7-1, 1.81 ERA) owns a 0.96 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 69 2/3 IP in 11 starts.

  • Coming off 6 shutout innings in his June 7 start  at Kansas City.
  • Benefiting from a .258 batting average on balls in play.

Orioles at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Blue Jays -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Orioles +1.5 (+105) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Orioles 5

Money line

Baltimore has been solid enough in road openers, and Toronto’s won-loss record is perhaps a bit too inflated by a 15-7 mark in 1-run games.

The Orioles are a lean making the tag here worth a watch. PASS on the current pricing, but be ready to pounce on a Baltimore play at +240 or better.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. Better value is found elsewhere.

Over/Under

The Over is 8-0 in Baltimore’s last 8 series openers. It is 6-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 6 games as a home favorite.

Bradish exposes a Baltimore bullpen that has been good on the surface (3.19 ERA). But the O’s pen has some support numbers that don’t line up with that production.

Both lineups are right-heavy; that cuts into platoon problem areas for both sides. Toronto has his 15 HR in its last 6 home games.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (40-90) and Toronto Blue Jays (69-61) play the second game of a three-game set Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Orioles LHP Keegan Akin (1-8, 7.26 ERA) makes his 13th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 through 70 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just one earned run, three hits and two walks across a career-high seven innings in a victory against the Los Angeles Angels Thursday.
  • Pounded for six runs, seven hits and one walk with three strikeouts across 4 1/3 IP in a loss in Buffalo, N.Y., against the Blue Jays June 26.

Blue Jays LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu (12-7, 3.88 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 through 143 2/3 IP.

  • Rocked for seven runs and seven hits, including three homers, in just 3 2/3 IP in a loss against the Chicago White Sox Thursday.
  • Has allowed four or more runs in three of his past four starts, and he has a dismal 6.51 ERA in five August outings.

Orioles at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Blue Jays -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Orioles 5

Money line (ML)

The Blue Jays (-350) will cost you three-and-a-half times your potential return, and that’s just a nonsense wager. You can’t bet like that on the regular and expect to be ahead over the long term.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The ORIOLES +2.5 (-115) lost 7-3 in the series opener, but they actually held a 2-1 lead heading to the bottom of the sixth before the bullpen fell apart.

Baltimore is an attractive play with two-and-a-half runs in this one as Akin pitched pretty well last time out, and Ryu has been awful in the month of August.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9.5 (-120) is the way to go here. Overall, Akin and Ryu have been very giving, and the bats should get going early and often.

The Over narrowly cashed with a run in the top of the ninth, and the Over is now 6-2-1 across the past nine meetings in this series. The Over is now 5-0-1 in Baltimore’s past six as a road ‘dog, and 40-19-3 in the previous 62 against winning teams.

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (40-89) and Toronto Blue Jays (68-61) play the opener of a three-game set Monday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Orioles RHP Chris Ellis (1-0, 3.86 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 3rd appearance. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 through 7 IP.

  • Allowed three earned runs, five hits and no walks with three strikeouts in his team debut Aug. 25 against the Los Angeles Angels, a 38-pitch no-decision.
  • Was previously with the Rays, and his win this season actually came in relief against Baltimore Aug. 17.

Blue Jays LHP Robbie Ray (9-5, 2.72 ERA) makes his 17th start and 35th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 109 2/3 IP.

  • Ray hasn’t had a decision in five August appearances, but he has allowed just six earned runs, 23 hits and seven walks with 42 strikeouts across 34 IP while turning in a 1.59 ERA.
  • Allowed two runs, six hits and two walks with five strikeouts in 4 1/3 IP June 18 in Baltimore, his only previous appearance against the O’s this season.

Orioles at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Blue Jays -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Orioles 1

Money line (ML)

The Blue Jays (-320) will cost you more than three times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for a single-game bet.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -2.5 (+105) are a much better play on the run line laying the two-and-a-half runs. They’re 7-2 in their past nine meetings against the Orioles +2.5 (-125), and all seven of those victories have been by three or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9.5 (-122) is the lean here despite the fact the Over is 5-2-1 across the past eight meetings.

The Under cashed in each of the past three outings for the Blue Jays and nine of the past 10 overall. The Under is also 9-0 in the past nine for Toronto as a favorite and 7-0 in the past seven tries against a right-handed starting pitcher.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (38-35) play the second game of their four-game set against the Baltimore Orioles (23-52) Friday at their temporary home of Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Blue Jays RHP Alek Manoah (1-0, 4.18 ERA) makes the sixth start of his rookie season. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 with 7 home runs surrendered over 23 2/3 innings.

  • Has been roughed up and failed to make it out of the fourth inning in two of his five outings, including Saturday against the Orioles
  • Manoah was suspended five games for hitting Orioles 3B Maikel Franco in that last outing but is appealing the ruling

Orioles RHP Matt Harvey (3-9, 7.80 ERA) makes his 16th start. He enters Friday with a 1.78 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 through 62 1/3 innings.

  • Has given up just 10 home runs through 15 starts, but his rates of hard contact and fly balls are both above league average, and he has allowed an AL-high 54 earned runs
  • Faced the Blue Jays Sunday and allowed 4 ER over 4 1/3 IP; it was his longest outing in his last five games

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Orioles at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Blue Jays -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (+105) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 8, Orioles 4

Money line (ML)

The Blue Jays picked up a fifth straight victory Thursday with a 9-0 domination of the O’s. They chased Orioles RHP Dean Kremer with 6 runs in the first inning and got 7 2/3 innings against the Baltimore bullpen.

Manoah struggled against the Orioles last weekend but still has a sizable advantage in the starting pitching matchup against Harvey. The Toronto bullpen is better rested and has been much improved of late with a 10th-ranked 4.13 xFIP over the last 14 days.

Still, we need to PASS at the steep -250 price point for the outright win. There’s better value to be had on the spread.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-130) should be backed to win by at least 2 runs. They’re second in MLB with a .776 team OPS against right-handed pitching, while the Orioles are 29th in the split with a rate of .654.

The Baltimore bullpen has also been worked for a total of 55 1/3 innings over the last 14 days and has a 4.35 xFIP over that time. Unless Harvey can turn back the clock, Toronto should win its fourth straight game against Baltimore by a multi-run margin.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 10.5 (-115) is a strong play while leaning into the vig for the most likely result as viewed by BetMGM.

The Jays will provide the bulk of the run support, but the O’s hit Manoah well a week ago and should get on the board after being held to a single run over their last three games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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