Tag: Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Baltimore Orioles (55-31) take on the Seattle Mariners (47-41) Thursday in the finale of a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-1

The O’s have opened this series with 2-0 and 4-1 victories the last 2 nights. 1B Ryan O’Hearn went 2-for-3 with his 11th HR and 3 RBIs to lead the charge Wednesday. Baltimore has won 2 in a row and 6 of its last 7 games.

The M’s have dropped 4 in a row and scored just 5 total runs in the process. OF Julio Rodriguez has been dropped to 7th in the order due to a lackluster .244-7-29 line on the season. Seattle is just 27th with 3.8 runs per game and last with a .216 batting average.

Orioles at Mariners projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Burnes (9-3, 2.28 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 106 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K last Thursday against the Texas Rangers
• May 19 vs. Seattle: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 11 K

Miller (6-7, 3.88 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 97 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K Saturday against Minnesota Twins
• 3 career starts vs. Orioles: 0-1, 4.70 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7 K in 15 1/3 IP

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Orioles at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Mariners +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+115) | Mariners +1.5 (-140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Mariners 2

Moneyline

It’s rare that I personally drop -155 on a ML in baseball because the variance is so large. However, I’m fully on board with this one. Burnes is 5-1 a 2.11 ERA in his last 7 starts, and he owned the Mariners in his May outing. The M’s are a sinking ship that will need to add a couple of bats at the trade deadline.

Take the ORIOLES -155.

Run line/Against the spread

I know Burnes fanned 11 the last time he faced the M’s, but I’m going Under here. His 8.4 K/9 is the lowest since his 38-inning rookie season in 2018. He has struck out 11 twice this season, but he has been Under this number in each of his other 15 starts. Go with that trend and take CORBIN BURNES UNDER 7.5 K’S (-120).

Over/Under

The O’s are 5-5 O/U in their last 10, and the M’s are 4-4-2. The Over is 4-5-1 in the last 10 matchups. The Under has cashed on totals of 7 and 7.5 in the 1st 2 games of the series. The wind is blowing in at 10 mph from left-center. Go easy here, but LEAN UNDER 7 (-110).

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The Baltimore Orioles (54-31) and Seattle Mariners (47-40) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-1

The Orioles got back in the win column with a 2-0 victory against the Mariners Tuesday as -101 road underdogs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez gave up just 2 hits in 6 1/3 scoreless innings to pick up the win. RF Anthony Santander singled in the go-ahead run in the 4th, and CF Cedric Mullins extended the lead with a 7th-inning RBI single.

Seattle has lost 3 games in a row after Tuesday’s setback as a -107 home favorite. Mariners 3B Josh Rojas had Seattle’s only 2 hits of the game, while RHP George Kirby allowed 2 ER in 6 1/3 innings and picked up the loss.

Orioles at Mariners projected starters

RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Kremer (3-4, 4.32 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 50 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 6-3 loss at St. Louis Cardinals May 20
• Career vs. Mariners: 0-0, 3.13 ERA (23 IP, 8 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 4 starts, including 0-0 with 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last year

Gilbert (5-4, 2.72 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home win in 10 innings against Minnesota Twins Friday
• Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER), 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 13-1 road win June 23, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+170) | Mariners +1.5 (-210)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-115).

Baltimore has lost 5 of its last 10 games, including 2 of its last 3 on the road. Kremer will be making his first start in more than a month for the Orioles and has struggled previously with a 4.32 ERA. While Seattle has dropped 3 of its last 5 games, Gilbert has been a strong starter for the team. He has a 0.88 WHIP and 2.72 ERA, which will provide the Mariners with the tools they need for the win.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7 (-110).

With 2 pitchers who are returning from injury Wednesday, 7 is too low of a line to be comfortable taking the Under. Baltimore has scored 4 or more runs in 4 of its last 7 games while allowing 11 total in its last 2 combined. Seattle has allowed 5 runs in 2 of its last 3 games and scored 3 or more in 7 of its last 9.

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The Baltimore Orioles (53-31) and Seattle Mariners (47-39) open a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-1

The Orioles won 3 of 4 home games against the Texas Rangers Thursday through Sunday. They wrapped up the series with an 11-2 loss as -169 favorites as the Over (9) hit. Baltimore has won 4 of its last 5 games, after losing 5 straight June 21-25.

The Mariners have lost 4 straight series. They dropped 2 of 3 against the Minnesota Twins in Seattle over the weekend, losing 5-3 as -101 underdogs in Sunday’s finale as the Over (6.5) cashed.

Orioles at Mariners projected starters

RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. RHP George Kirby

Rodriguez (9-3, 3.72 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 82 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home victory vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
• 2024 road stats: 4-2, 5.35 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 7 starts
• Career vs. Mariners: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP), 1 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 4-3 home loss May 18

Kirby (7-5, 3.35 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 99 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 5-2 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
• 2024 home stats: 5-1, 2.34 ERA (42 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 7 starts
• 2024 vs. Orioles: 0-1, 7.50 ERA (6 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 6-3 road loss May 19
• Career vs. Orioles: 1-3, 4.02 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:21 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-105) have won Kirby’s last 5 home starts, and he has allowed a total of just 1 ER over his last 4 at T-Mobile Park. Rodriguez, on the other hand, has given up an average of 4 runs per game in his last 5 road starts.

Seattle has struggled since mid-June (4-8 since June 18), but 3 of those 4 series were on the road and the Mariners are 28-14 at home this season. Look for the AL West leaders to get back on track as the 2nd-place Houston Astros trail by just 3 games in the division.

BET MARINERS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

Seattle +1.5 (-190) will likely hit, but it’s hard to beat MLB long term laying -190 on 35-cent lines.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Mariners have scored 4 runs or fewer in 6 of their last 7 games, while the Orioles have put up 2 or fewer in 5 of their last 9.

While Kirby has allowed just 1 ER over his last 26 IP at home, 7 is a key number in MLB totals, so don’t bet this unless you can find a 7.5 at -115 or better.

LEAN UNDER 7 (+100).

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The Baltimore Orioles (71-45) and the Seattle Mariners (63-52) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Orioles were trucked 9-2 in the series opener, losing for the 3rd time in the past 4 games, all against American League West opponents. Baltimore’s pitching has been for the birds lately, coughing up 28 runs across the past 4 outings, or 7.0 runs per game (RPG). The Over is 3-1 in the 4-game span, while cashing in 5 of the past 7 games overall.

The Mariners have racked up 8 straight victories to move to within a half-game of a Wild Card spot in the AL. Pitching has been a major reason for the recent success, allowing 2 or fewer runs in each of the past 5 outings. As a result, it’s no surprise the Under is 4-1 across the 5-game stretch.

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Orioles at Mariners projected starters

LHP Cole Irvin vs. RHP George Kirby

Irvin (1-3, 5.44 ERA) makes his 9th start and 17th overall appearance. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 48 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 3-1 road win in 10 innings vs. the Minnesota Twins July 7
• 2023 road splits: 0-2, 5.30 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 11 ER – 4 HR), .273 opponent batting average (OBA) in 3 starts and 4 relief appearances

Kirby (10-8, 3.32 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 135 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 road win vs. the Los Angeles Angels last Saturday
• 2023 home splits: 6-3, 3.26 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 24 ER – 8 HR), .227 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts
• 2023 vs. BAL: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 road loss June 25

Orioles at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Mariners -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Orioles at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Orioles 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-160) are moderate favorites at home, but they’re worth the risk.

Seattle has been red-hot, and the pitching advantage is squarely in its favor with the All-Star Kirby against “Swervin” Cole Irvin. The M’s have registered 8 straight wins, and 10 victories in the past 11 outings overall. The Mariners have also won 4 consecutive wins with Kirby on the bump.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (+125) are a solid play on the run line, but be careful. Seattle cashed on the run line in rather easy fashion in the series opener, and it has covered the run line as a favorite at a 6-1 clip across the past 7 outings.

On the flip side, the Orioles +1.5 (-155) failed to cover the run line as an underdog Friday, although Baltimore is 6-2 in the past 8 on the run line when not favored.

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Over/Under

OVER 8 (-105) is the lean, but go lightly.

While the O’s pitching has gone south, coughing up 7.0 runs per game across the past 4 outings, the M’s pitching has conceded just 7 total runs across the past 5 outings. The trends are all over the board in this one. The Over is 3-1 in 4 meetings this season between these 2 contenders.

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The Baltimore Orioles (71-44) and Seattle Mariners (62-52) will open a 3-game series on Friday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-1

The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 games but they avoided being swept in a 3-game series vs. the Houston Astros with a 5-4 win Thursday. Baltimore still leads the AL East by 3 games and has scored the 6th-most runs in the league (567).

The Mariners enter on a 7-game win streak and have won 9 of their last 10 to pull within 5 1/2 games of the Texas Rangers for the lead in the AL West. Seattle owns the 2nd-lowest team ERA in the majors (3.74).

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Orioles at Mariners projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Gibson (11-6, 4.50 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 140 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 7-3 home victory vs. New York Mets Saturday
• 2023 road stats: 6-3, 3.95 ERA (84 1/3 IP, 37 ER) across 14 starts
• Career vs. Mariners: 4-5, 4.21 ERA (77 IP, 36 ER) in 14 starts
• 2023 vs. Mariners: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 13-1 home loss on June 23

Castillo (7-7, 3.21 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 137 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-7 road victory vs. Los Angeles Angeles last Friday
• 2023 home stats: 5-3, 2.79 ERA (77 1/3 IP, 24 ER) over 13 starts
• First career start vs. Orioles

Orioles at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:07 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mariners -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Orioles at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

The Mariners have been red hot lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games by sweeping the San Diego Padres (2 games) and Los Angeles Angels (4 games) and taking 2 of 3 from the Boston Red Sox. The Orioles are playing some quality baseball right now, too, but it’s the Mariners who have been more impressive.

With Castillo on the mound boasting a 2.79 ERA at home, I like the Mariners’ chances Friday. BET MARINERS (-145) despite the juice.

Run line/Against the spread

Even though the Mariners have won 5 of their last 7 games by at least 2 runs, this is likely to be a close game against a strong opponent. You could SPRINKLE a bit on the MARINERS -1.5 (+145) but it’s risky to do so if you’re already betting on the moneyline.

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Over/Under

There’s been no clear trend with the Over/Under for either team lately. The Over is 5-5 in the Orioles’ last 10 games and it’s 4-5-1 in the Mariners’ last 10. The total has only gone Over once in Gibson’s last 4 starts and once in Castillo’s last 3.

BET UNDER 8 (-120).

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