Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (73-53) and New York Mets (65-60) meet Tuesday for the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

New York won Monday’s series opener 4-3 while covering as a -134 home favorite. C Francisco Alvarez hit the game-winning solo HR in the bottom of the 9th after Baltimore rallied from a 3-0 deficit.

The loss was the 2nd straight for the Orioles on the road and it ended Baltimore’s 3-game winning streak vs. the Mets.

Orioles at Mets projected starters

RHP Dean Kremer vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Kremer (5-9, 4.48 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 90 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 4-1 win over Washington Nationals Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 1.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 2 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start

Quintana (6-8, 4.26 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 129 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 1 K in a 7-6 loss vs. Oakland A’s Thursday
  • Career vs. Baltimore: 2-5, 3.66 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 10 appearances (8 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-200) | Mets -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 3, Orioles 2

Moneyline

LEAN METS (-125).

New York has won the last 4 matchups vs. the Orioles in New York and enters as the slightly hotter team, being 3-1 in its last 4 at home while Baltimore has dropped back-to-back on the road.

This is an extremely slight lean as the Mets have dropped 3 of their last 4 vs. the Orioles and as Baltimore is better on the road (36-25) than New York is at home (34-32).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Orioles to cover here as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but this line is set too heavily in their favor to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Under has hit in both New York and Baltimore’s last 3 game. For Baltimore, the Under is also 7-3 in its last 10 games and 3-1 in its last 4 on the road.

The Under has also hit in each of the last 2 Baltimore-NY matchups while it is 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in New York.

This is a lean because the Over is 7-3 in the last 10 matchups between these 2 squads and because the Over is 5-5 in New York’s last 10 overall.

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (64-60) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (73-52) to Citi Field Monday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Baltimore won 3-0 last year

The Mets, who are 33-32 at home this season, lost to the visiting Miami Marlins 3-2 Sunday to wrap up a 3-game set. They won the series 2-1; however, the Mets are 3-6 over their last 9 and have dropped to 3rd in the NL East. New York still has playoff aspirations and is 61-63 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Orioles have been the 2nd-best road team in MLB with a 36-24 away record. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Boston Red Sox Sunday to split the 4-game series. Baltimore is tied with the New York Yankees for the best record in the AL East, but has won just 5 of its last 9. It is 68-57 ATS on the season.

Orioles at Mets projected starters

LHP Trevor Rogers vs. LHP David Peterson

Rogers (2-11, 4.89 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 119 2/3 innings with the Orioles and Miami Marlins.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 9-3 home defeat to Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • Is 0-2 with 7.53 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 12 ER) since being acquired from Miami July 30
  • 2024 away stats: 2-5, 4.65 ERA (62 IP, 32 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-3, 3.35 ERA (43 IP, 16 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 9 starts

Peterson (7-1, 3.04 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 71 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER (1 R), 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 9-1 home victory over Oakland A’s Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-1, 3.13 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-1, 3.72 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.76 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Orioles +1.5 (-176) | Mets -1.5 (+146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-142).

The Mets are 10-3 with Peterson on the mound this season and 4-1 in his last 5 home starts. That advantage should bode well for them. New York has also won 3 of its last 5 games and 2 of its last 3, scoring at least 6 runs in 3 of its last 5. The bats have been hot for the Mets.

The Orioles have scored a total of 5 runs over their last 2 games and are just 1-2 over their last 3. With those trends in mind, back METS (-142).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Orioles as run-line underdogs are just too expensive here to play. Similarly, the Mets are too risky as run-line favorites, especially considering 2 of their last 4 games have ended within 1 run.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Mets have gone Under in 2 straight games and are 5-9 O/U in their last 14. New York has allowed a total of 6 runs over its last 3 games, and in Peterson’s last 2 starts, it has allowed a total of 2 runs.

The Orioles are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games and 3-6 O/U in their last 9. Considering those trends, take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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