Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (75-72) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (83-64) to Comerica Park Friday for the 1st of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 6 of 7 in 2023

The Orioles lost to the Boston Red Sox 5-3 Wednesday, closing as a +117 underdog. They have dropped 4 of their last 5 games, but still sit 2nd in the AL East. Baltimore is 3-3 in its last 6 away games and 41-31 on the road for the season.

The Tigers lost to the Colorado Rockies 4-2 Thursday, closing as a massive -287 favorite. They won the 2 prior games in the series and have won 4 of their last 5 games. Detroit outscored Colorado in its last series 20-8. It is 37-35 at home this season and 79-68 ATS. The Tigers are 4th in the AL Central.

Orioles at Tigers projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. Undecided

Eflin (10-8, 3.65 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 148 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-1 home loss to the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
  • 2024 away stats: 5-5, 4.38 ERA (86 1/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 1 start

With odds up and no starting pitcher for Detroit, when and who the Tigers place on the mound to start the game isn’t expected to heavily impact the odds of the game.

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Orioles at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+110) | Tigers +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Tigers 2

Moneyline

PASS.

While there is value on the moneyline, for both sides, the Orioles haven’t played a game that ended within 1 run since Aug. 27, so they typically separate either way.

Take the better odds on the spread here.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+110).

The Orioles are 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games but are 5-1 ATS in Eflin’s last 6 starts. Baltimore is 33-30 ATS following a loss as well, which it is here. Baltimore is 4-2 ATS with a rest advantage.

Meanwhile, the Tigers have won 4 of their last 5, but lost 2 of 3 to the San Diego Padres in their last series against a playoff contender, which Baltimore also is.

Given Baltimore’s success with Eflin on the mound, back ORIOLES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Orioles have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games and have scored a total of 15 runs over their last 7 games. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 6 games as well. Baltimore is 1-3 O/U in Eflin’s last 4 starts.

The Tigers have gone Under in 6 of their last 11 games. They have allowed a total of 10 runs over their last 5 games. Detroit is 2-3 O/U in its last 5 home games. Back UNDER 8 (-115).

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Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (17-8) and Detroit Tigers (9-15) meet Friday in the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch at Comerica Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-0

The off-to-a-hot-start Orioles are going to miss the Tigers when this set — and the season series — is wrapped up on Sunday. Baltimore defeated Detroit 7-4 Thursday and has outscored the Tigers 16-7 in the 4 games.

Detroit is 2-6 over its last 8 games. The Bengals have slashed a mere .210/.295/.308 (.604 OPS) over their last 9.

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Orioles at Tigers projected starters

RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Rodriguez (0-0, 5.12 ERA) is lined up for his 5th start. He’s posted a 1.60 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.

  • The 23-year-old rookie is considered Baltimore’s best pitching prospect
  • Has not been terribly economical with his pitches, failing to get  past 5 IP in his 4 starts
  • April 23 vs. Tigers in 2-1 win: 5 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 6 K

Rodriguez (1-2, 2.32 ERA) is tabbed for his 6th start. He has logged a 0.84 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 31 IP.

  • Owns a tidy 1.21 ERA across his last 5 starts against the Orioles (2021-22)
  • April 23 vs. Orioles in 2-1 loss: 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 6 K and n-decision
  • Has allowed just 1 R in his last 21 IP

Orioles at Tigers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:18 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Tigers +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+134) | Tigers +1.5 (-162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Orioles at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline

The Orioles have scored 125 runs while allowing 104. That’s not exactly .667-winning-percentage territory. And Baltimore has hoisted those early numbers not just against scuffling Detroit, but against a slate that is weak in terms of opponent quality, opponent batting and opponent pitching. The Os are certainly on the end-of-April fade list.

But that does not mean we should indiscriminately log bets the other way every day. The starting pitcher, bullpen, lefty-righty, and other matchups still provide leverage. In this game, that leverage lifts Baltimore off the fade just enough to slip in a Run Line play. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

BACK DETROIT +1.5 (-162). Consider a partial-unit play unless the price gets down to -155.

This play respects the starters, mostly, for both clubs. The bullpens are a fade for the Os and a play for the Tigers. And Detroit’s bullpen does a better job getting ground balls, which could be key.

Both the Orioles and Tigers have played a lot of 1-run games. There is some holding of the nose in taking Detroit, but the cushion and the price makes for enough value.

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Over/Under

The starters and bullpens have criss-crossing production-vs.-expected figures — resulting in green check marks for Rodriguez and the Detroit bullpen, red Xs for Rodriguez and the Baltimore ‘pen … a fade on the overcooked Orioles offense and a 20 mph breeze blowing outward at Comerica Park.

The more threads are pulled, the more they support both sides. So, let’s do the sensible thing and support the middle: PASS.

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Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (16-8) start a 4-game series with the Detroit Tigers (9-14) on Thursday. First pitch from Comerica Park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 3-0

The Orioles beat the Boston Red Sox 6-2 in Maryland on Wednesday to take the series 2-1. Three of Baltimore’s 6 runs were scored by 3B Ramon Urias, who went 4-for-4. As an early hot take, the Orioles look like playoff contenders.

The Tigers lost 6-3 to the Milwaukee Brewers on the road, where Detroit has a 5-10 record. It is April and the Detroit has 139 games to play, but the Tigers of 2023 are looking a lot like the 2022 squad. Detroit did win the series versus the Brewers 2-1.

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Orioles at Tigers projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Joey Wentz

Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 6th start. He’s pitched 30 innings this season, allowing 26 hits and walking 9 with 24 K’s and a 1.16 WHIP.

  • Last start: 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 5-1 home victory Saturday against the Tigers
  • .964 OPS against left handed batters

Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA) makes his 5th start. Has pitched just 16 2/3 innings, allowing 17 hits and walking 8 with 14 K’s and a 1.50 WHIP.

  • Last start: Lost 5-1 to Orioles, 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K
  • Has not allowed a run against a left-handed batter.

Orioles at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+100) | Tigers +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Orioles at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

The Tigers have the fewest runs scored (70) this season, but at home they average 3.63 runs a game, which is on par with the Minnesota Twins, New York Yankees, New York Mets and San Diego Padres. On top of that, the Tigers are 4-4 at home. I’m not saying these splits are great, but they are good enough to see the value of plus-money at home.

LEAN TIGERS +135.

Run line/Against the spread

In the same vein as above, Detroit is a tougher team at home than on the road. And as a home team, Detroit has the 3rd best cover rate in baseball (62.5%). If you want some run support before betting on this Tigers team, I would BET TIGERS +1.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

It definitely is a plus for the Over that these pitchers face the same team in back-to-back starts. Pair that with Baltimore’s 6-4-1 trend to the Over and I see this as a high-scoring game.

LEAN OVER 8 (-105).

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Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (36-66) and Detroit Tigers (50-56) continue a four-game series Saturday at 6:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP John Means is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 4-3 with a 2.94 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9 through 82 2/3 IP spanning 14 starts.

Means missed time in June-July due to a shoulder injury. He has struggled in two turns since returning July 20 with 9 ER over 11 2/3 IP.

RHP Matt Manning is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 2-3 with a 6.00 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 4.6 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 over 33 IP spanning 7 starts.

Manning is a rookie with pitch-to-contact stuff. He has been undone by a 58.0% left-on-base rate. Manning owns 4.34 ERA over four outings in July.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Orioles at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles -1.5 (+150) | Tigers +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Orioles 6, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

The Orioles and Tigers split the first two games of this series.

The Orioles are the lean in a vacuum Saturday, but it’d be wise to let this one PASS without a play due to the uncertainty around Means.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The best side in this matchup — due to the analysis that these teams are more equal than what shows in their records and because of a solid price — is BALTIMORE -1.5 (+150).

The conviction behind this play is thin, so consider a partial-unit wager.

Over/Under (O/U)

Consider the OVER 9.5 (+100). The Baltimore offense looks to have more potential for scoring. The starters are question marks, and the bullpens — both fatigued — are worse.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (35-66) and Detroit Tigers (50-55) continue a four-game series Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Matt Harvey is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 5-10 with a 6.65 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 through 88 IP spanning 20 starts.

Harvey has pitched 12 scoreless innings in the second half. The veteran hurler reaches the end of July with a .334 batting average on balls in play and 56.7% left-on-base rate. He’s a candidate to finish strong over the final two months.

LHP Tarik Skubal is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 6-9 with a 4.42 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 across 99 2/3 IP through 19 starts and two relief appearances.

Skubal coughed up 5 runs on 3 home runs in his last start, and he’s been barreled up frequently this season. He struggles against right-handed bats with an .832 OPS allowed for his career and will see a lot in a Baltimore lineup that excels against left-handers with a high-contact .758 OPS.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Orioles at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Tigers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-150) | Tigers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Orioles 6, Tigers 5

Money line (ML)

Peg these clubs as being more similar than what shows in their records. Detroit benefits from playing in the easier AL Central, and the Tigers are 16-13 in 1-run games. Baltimore toils in the shark-infested waters of the AL East, and the Orioles are 7-15 in 1-run contests.

Give the Orioles an edge in a bullpen comparison. Plus, the Detroit ‘pen struggles mightily against righty bats and will see a slew of them aligned for Skubal. Skubal is a fly-ball pitcher who has been hit hard of late pitching on what is expected to be a breeze-out night in the Motor City.

Take the ORIOLES (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line unless you can get an Orioles’ tag closer to -140.

Over/Under (O/U)

Consider the OVER 9 (-120). The Baltimore offense has some play to it and is significantly better against lefty pitching. Detroit’s bullpen struggles against the righty bats expected to pepper the Baltimore lineup.

Mix in two fatigued relief corps and a batters’ breeze out to right-center field.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (35-65) and Detroit Tigers (49-55) play the opener of a four-game set Thursday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Alexander Wells is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 1-0 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 5.2 BB/9 over 10 1/3 innings across one start and two relief appearances.

Wells allowed 3 earned runs on 5 hits and 2 walks with 7 strikeouts across 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision at the Tampa Bay Rays in his first major-league start July 21.

RHP Casey Mize is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 5-5 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 over 104 innings across 19 starts.

Mize allowed 4 earned runs on 6 hits and a walk with 6 ix strikeouts across 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision at the Kansas City Royals Saturday. He hasn’t won in four July outings, going 0-1 with a 4.60 ERA across 15 2/3 innings since. His last win came against the Houston Astros June 26.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Orioles at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Tigers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Tigers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Tigers 7, Orioles 4

Money line (ML)

The TIGERS (-160) are worth a look in this series opener, although bettors will hope they didn’t leave their bats in Minneapolis. Detroit outscored the host Minnesota Twins 17-14 Wednesday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The TIGERS -1.5 (+115) have won two straight, cashing on the run line as underdogs in each outing. They cashed as dogs on the run line in each of the past three, too.

Detroit is the favorite Thursday, and six of its last seven victories have been by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 10 (-110) is the slight lean, mainly due to Detroit’s offensive explosion Wednesday, as well as just not trusting Alexander in his second-career MLB start.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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