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Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (24-33) hit the road to face the Kansas City Royals (18-37) Thursday in the opener of a 4-game set at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 2-1 and outscored Kansas City 14-9 in a 3-game home series May 8-9.

The Orioles rolled over the Chicago Cubs Tuesday in a 9-3 rout before rain gave them an extra off-day Wednesday.

K.C. awakened from 2 straight shutouts to throttle the Toronto Blue Jays 8-4 Wednesday. The Royals had won just 2 of their previous 10 outings and are 2-7 against the AL East this season. It’s expected to be 81 degrees with the wind traveling out to left field at 7.4 mph with no rain in sight.

Orioles at Royals projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. LHP Kris Bubic

Lyles (3-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 62 IP.

  • Is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in his last 3 starts against the Royals over the last 2 years.
  • Has an extreme home-road split with a 6.03 road ERA this year. He’s 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA at home.
  • Current Royals hitters have a .281 batting average and a weak .294 expected weighted on-base average in 67 plate appearances.

Bubic (0-3, 9.33 ERA) makes his 7th start (8th appearance) this year. He has a 2.07 WHIP, 6.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 2 runs on 6 hits, 1 walk and 4 K in 5 1/3 innings against the Orioles last year.
  • Coming off his best start with 5 scoreless innings, 5 hits and 3 walks allowed while fanning 3 against the Houston Astros Saturday.
  • Current Orioles hitters have a .241 batting average and a .326 weighted on-base average in 33 plate appearances.
  • His .322 BABIP this season suggests he’s a bit unlucky.

Orioles at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Royals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+145) | Royals +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Royals 3

Money line

This is the epitome of a pick ’em between two perennial dumpster fires. The Orioles struggle against lefties, with a .222 batting clip, as opposed to .232 against righties, but they have an edge on the bump.

Baltimore also has a massive advantage in the bullpen with a 4th-best 3.11 ERA, as opposed to KC’s 3rd-worst 4.86 ERA. Baltimore has had 2 of the last 3 days off and has won 5 of its last 10. KC has been shut out in 3 of its last 7. We’re going to LEAN ORIOLES (-110).

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Run line/Against the spread

There’s no way I’m betting -180 on the Royals to stay within 1 run, and I don’t like taking sub-.500 teams to win by 2 runs unless it’s beefier than +145. If you’re tailing with me on the O’s to win this one, let’s double up and run with the value play ORIOLES FIRST 9 INNINGS (+107).

It’s worth mentioning that Orioles OF Cedric Mullins is 3-for-5 with 1 homer and 2 doubles against Bubic in his career. He also homered in their last game. It is a lefty-on-lefty matchup, though, and a small sample size. His prop line is OVER 1.5 total bases (+102). There’s not enough value for me to take it as he’s hitting just .236 this year, but it’s worth consideration.

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in the last 5 games for the Orioles against teams with a sub-.400 winning percentage. The Under hit in 2 of the first 3 games between these teams in 2022, and it has hit in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these sides over the last couple of seasons. LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-33) try to rebound against the Baltimore Orioles (24-33) Wednesday in the final of a 2-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 1-0 with 2 games scheduled at Wrigley Field in July.

The Orioles rolled over the Cubbies Tueaday in a 9-3 rout. They touched Cubs RHP Keegan Thompson for 7 runs in 3 innings for his 1st loss of the season. The O’s hit 5 home runs in the game.

Rain is in the forecast Wednesday so that’ll be something to watch as the evening progresses.

Cubs at Orioles projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Stroman (2-5, 5.32 ERA) makes his 10th start in what has been a rough year. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

  • He’s 3-2 with a 4.73 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, 5 BB and 26 K in 32 1/3 IP over 6 career starts at Camden Yards.
  • His ERA is bloated after allowing 9 ER in his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He also allowed 7 ER in an April start against the Tampa Rays.
  • Current Orioles hitters have hit .306 in 51 plate appearances against him.

Lyles (3-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 62 IP.

  • He’s 3-4 with a 5.68 ERA in 15 career appearances (9 starts) against the Cubs.
  • Has an extreme home-road split with a 6.03 road ERA this year. He’s 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA at home.
  • Current Cubs hitters have tattooed him for a .409 batting average and a .511 weighted on-base average in 23 plate appearances.

Cubs at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Orioles 3

Money line

Stroman’s career numbers against a predominately bad Orioles team in Camden are a little concerning, but he’s coming off one of the worst starts of his career. He’ll be dialed in to miss bats. Despite being a sub-.500 team, the Cubs have the 13th-ranked offense in baseball. I like the CUBS (-130) here.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs are 12-13 on the road, which is pretty good for a 23-33 team. They’re also 16-9 on the run line on the road, which is deceiving because most of the time, they’re the underdogs. I’m picking the run line to cash, but I need more than +125 for a sub-.500 road team to win by 2 or more. Instead, let’s go with the CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-108) because I don’t think we’ll need extras to settle this.

Over/Under

This total is pretty dicey, and I don’t want anything to do with it — especially with rain in the forecast, which could end it prematurely. Instead, I’ll present a prop bet option. Cubs C Willson Contreras is 4-for-7 with 2 HR and 1 double lifetime against Lyles. You could take him for OVER 1.5 total bases (-104) on its own. You could also parlay the CUBS’ ML, the CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS with Contreras OVER 1.5 total bases — and a $10 wager could cash a $56.58 payout.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-32) stop by Oriole Park at Camden Yards Tuesday for the opener of a 2-game interleague set with the Baltimore Orioles (23-33). First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago is 4-6 straight up (SU) in its last 10 games and lost 3 games of a 4-game home series with the St. Louis Cardinals Friday-Sunday.

Baltimore is also 4-6 SU in the last 10, losing two straight home series 2-1 to the Cleveland Guardians and Seattle Mariners after splitting the final 4-games of a 5-game series win at the Boston Red Sox May 27-30.

Cubs at Orioles projected starters

RHP Keegan Thompson vs. RHP Kyle Bradish  

Thompson is 6-0 with a 1.99 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 45 1/3 IP over 4 starts and 8 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Win, 7-5, Thursday at home vs. the St. Louis Cardinals with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 3 K.

Bradish is 1-3 with a 6.82 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 33 IP over 7 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 9-2 home win vs. the Seattle Mariners Wednesday with 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.

Cubs at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 7, Orioles 3

Money line

BET the CUBS (-115).

Thompson has better advanced pitching numbers than Bradish, Chicago’s lineup is more productive against righties than Baltimore’s and there’s been some sharp line movement towards the Cubs.

Bradish grades in the 15th percentile or worse in expected ERA (xERA), exit velocity (EV), hard-hit rate barrel rate and expected batting (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, per Statcast. Also, none of Bradish’s 4 pitches have a minus-run value (RV).

On the other hand, most of Thompson’s pitching peripherals have improved year over year and Thompson grades in the 72nd percentile or better in xERA, EV, hard-hit rate and xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line. Also, 3 of Thompson’s 5 pitches have a minus-RV and none have a plus-RV.

Chicago’s lineup is better than Baltimore’s vs. right-handed pitching by wRC+ (100-92), wOBA (.316-.296), BB/K rate (0.43-0.32) and hard-hit rate (30.4-29.2%), according to FanGraphs.

The Cubs opened at -105 (according to Pregame.com) but are getting pricier. This line movement is noteworthy because who’s moving the line for a Cubs-Orioles game Tuesday during the NBA and NHL playoffs? Answer: Sharps.

BET the CUBS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN CUBS -1.5 (+135).

It’s only a “lean” because both teams have played in a bunch of 1-run games, each bullpen is solid, Chicago is just 1-3 RL as a road favorite and Baltimore is 18-8 RL as a home underdog.

However, Chicago does have a 3-phase edge over the Orioles in starting and relief pitching and hitting so there’s a smidge of value in the CUBS -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

PASS.

The situational trends don’t provide much of a clue and this is a sharp total.

If anything, I “lean” towards the Under since Camden Yards has been more pitcher-friendly this year, the Cubs are 1-5 O/U after a day off and the weather forecast is predicting double-digit mph winds blowing in from left-center field.

PASS.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (22-32) host the Cleveland Guardians (23-24) Saturday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the 2nd game of a 3-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland beat Baltimore in the series opener 6-3 Friday as the Guardians 3-through 5-batters (3B Jose Ramirez, 2B Owen Miller and 1B Josh Naylor) combined to hit 7-for-14 with 3 doubles and 6 RBIs. Friday’s Guardians-Orioles meeting was their 1st meeting of the year.

Guardians at Orioles projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Tyler Wells

McKenzie is 3-4 with a 2.65 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 51 IP over 8 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last start: Loss, 2-1, Sunday at the Detroit Tigers with 7 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 8 K.

Wells is 2-4 with a 3.71 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 43 2/3 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 10-0, Monday at the Boston Red Sox with 6-scoreless IP, 2 H, 1 BB and 3 K.
  • 2022 home splits: 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 14 H, 1 HR, 4 BB and 14 K across 4 starts.

Guardians at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Guardians 3

Money line

BET ORIOLES (+100) because there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market with the presumed sharp money backing Baltimore, Wells has been more effective at home and McKenzie struggles on 5 days of rest.

A slight majority of the money is on the Orioles whereas nearly 70% of the bets placed are on the Guardians according to pregame.com at the time of writing. It’s typically wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors put up more cash than your average Joe.

Five days off is by far McKenzie’s worst rest-based pitching split. McKenzie is 3-8 when pitching on five days’ rest with a 5.73 ERA (4.10 career ERA) and 1.27 WHIP (1.06 career WHIP) over 16 starts.

Wells pitches well at home (stats written above) and grades higher than McKenzie in several advanced pitching metrics including hard-hit rate, exit velocity, barrel rate, chase rate, expected ERA and BB%, per Statcast.

BET ORIOLES (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because I’m not confident enough in Baltimore to lay it with the Orioles +1.5 (-170) since the Guardians are 6-3 RL as road favorites, which includes their 6-3 win in the series opener Friday.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+100) because we also have a “Pros vs. Joe’s” situation in the betting market for the total of Guardians-Orioles.

Around 85% of the cash is on the Under while roughly the same percentage of bets are on the Over but the oddsmakers have lowered the total from an 8.5-run opener, which suggests the Under is the sharp play.

Each bullpen is also top-10 in both ERA and FIP (per FanGraphs) and these teams have a combined 5-12 O/U record when these starters take the mound.

However, it’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (+100) because we are getting the worst of the number and the Over has cashed in 4 consecutive Guardians-Orioles meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (22-24) head to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Friday to start a 3-game set with the Baltimore Orioles (22-31). First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland completed a 3-game sweep at home vs. the Kansas City Royals Monday-Wednesday but the Guardians are just 5-5 straight up (SU) over their last 10 games.

Baltimore lost the rubber match of a 3-game set at the Seattle Mariners Thursday 7-6 in extra innings and the Orioles are 4-6 SU in their last 10 contests.

The Guardians beat the Orioles in last year’s season series 5-2 and Cleveland had a plus-5 run differential in those meetings.

Guardians at Orioles projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Bruce Zimmermann

Bieber is 2-3 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 8-1, Saturday at the Detroit Tigers with 8 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 0 BB and 5 K.
  • 2022 road splits: 1-1 with a 2.17 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.13 WHIP and 3.8 K/BB rate in 6 starts.

Zimmermann is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 51 2/3 IP across 10 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 12-2, Sunday at the Boston Red Sox with 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 5 HR, 1 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 home splits: 1-0 with a 3.24 ERA (25 IP, 9 ER), 1.20 WHIP and 3.0 K/BB rate in 5 starts.

Guardians at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+110) | Orioles +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Guardians 2

Money line

LEAN ORIOLES (+125) because the Guardians are going for a suspiciously low price with Bieber on the bump who’s the 2022 American League Cy Young winner vs. a Baltimore team sitting at the bottom of the AL East.

However, Cleveland has lost 5 consecutive Bieber starts vs. AL East teams and he’s struggled to regain his 2020 Cy Young form after spending most of 2021 on the IL. Bieber ranks in the 41st percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, barrel rate and fastball velocity, according to Statcast.

It’s only a LEAN to the ORIOLES (+125) because the Guardians are 6-2 SU as road favorites and the Under is my favorite bet in this game.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Orioles +1.5 (-135) is a no-go even though Baltimore is 16-7 RL as a home underdog because the Guardians are 5-3 RL as road favorites and, again, the Under feels like a sharp play.

Over/Under

BET 0.75 units on the UNDER 7.5 (+105) only because we are getting to the party a little late on the total, which has been lowered from an 8.5-run opener, according to Pregame.com.

Baltimore’s lineup ranks 24th in WAR (3.6), 22nd in wRC+ (93), 25th in wOBA (.297) and 26th in BB/K rate (0.32), per FanGraphs. Cleveland’s lineup struggles vs. left-handed pitching: 27th in both wRC+ (87) and wOBA (.286) and 25th in home runs (9).

Zimmermann’s advanced pitching numbers are nothing to write home about but he’s been very solid at home. He has allowed 11 fewer home runs (12-1) at home and Zimmermann’s ERA is 2.50 lower than his road mark (5.74). Also, Cleveland’s bullpen is 4th (3.15) in ERA and Baltimore’s ‘pen is 5th (3.19).

BET UNDER 7.5 (+105).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (21-29) and Baltimore Orioles (22-30) clash Thursday to conclude a 3-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

After logging a 6.27 ERA from May 15-25, Seattle had rebounded to allow just 4 runs over 4 games from Friday to Tuesday. But Seattle pitching was roughed up Wednesday in a 9-2 loss to Baltimore in the 2nd game of this series. Mariners pitchers allowed 4 home runs and walked 6.

The Orioles had 4 HR Wednesday and have hit 3-or-more dingers 3 times in the last week. Over its last 7 games, Baltimore has cranked out a ,341 on-base percentage and .498 slugging mark.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Flexen (2-6, 4.47 ERA) has made 9 starts this season. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.

  • Clocked a 3.10 ERA in his first 5 outings, but has been alternating hot and cold in 4 starts since. Went 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6K in winning his Friday start vs. the Houston Astros.

Lyles (3-4, 4.26 ERA) owns a 1.42 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 57 IP over 10 starts.

  • Only went 4 1/3 IP in Saturday start vs. Boston Red Sox, which came after throwing a season-high 117 pitches at Yankee Stadium May 23.
  • Has faced Seattle 11 times in his career and has a 6.91 ERA in his 5 starts vs. the Mariners.

Mariners at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Mariners -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Orioles 3

Money line

The bullpens make for a Seattle lean, and the Mariners have played some clean, sharp games of late, save for Wednesday’s clunker.

Flexen was solid in his last start, and some tilt toward the 3.61 ERA he logged last year seems likely. Seattle bats own an aggregate .941 OPS against Lyles.

TAKE THE MARINERS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread

SEATTLE -1.5 (+135) is worth a watch. The Mariners went through an April spell of winning games by 3-plus runs, so the recent stretch of easy wins — 3 by margins of margins of 5-plus in the last week — is not an outlier.

Would want a tag closer to +140 to pull the trigger.

Over/Under

Every pitching match-up and the series as a whole has spelled STEER CLEAR. Too many crisscrossing signals.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (21-28) and Baltimore Orioles (21-30) meet Wednesday to continue a 3-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Seattle leads 1-0.

The Mariners won Tuesday’s series opener 10-0. After logging a 6.27 ERA from May 15-25, Seattle has rebounded to allow just 4 runs over its last 4 games.

The Orioles get swung around to the lesser side of their platoon splits when facing left-handers. Baltimore’s .629 OPS vs. lefties ranks 28th in MLB.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

LHP Robbie Ray vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Ray (4-5, 4.75 ERA) has made 10 starts in 2022. He has a 1.2 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed an .840 OPS and 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts.
  • Current Baltimore batters own an aggregate .769 OPS against him.
  • Has been beaten up by an .808 OPS over 5 road starts.

Bradish (1-3, 7.31 ERA) owns a 1.52 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP across 6 starts.

  • Allowed 6 R in 1 2/3 IP in his May 27 start vs. Boston Red Sox.
  • Has allowed a 1.118 OPS over his last 3 starts.

Mariners at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:14 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL): Mariners -1.5 (+115) | Orioles +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Orioles 3

Money line

The bullpens make for a Seattle lean, and of late Robbie Ray has been done in by some unkind rates around the margins.

The last 4-5 days for each club give more optimism to the visitors here, and Baltimore’s offense scuffles against southpaws.

Take the Mariners if you can get a tag at -140 or better. Otherwise, PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

SEATTLE -1.5 (+115) is the best side as listed. The Mariners went through an April spell of winning games by 3-plus runs, so the recent stretch of dominance does not stand alone.

Over/Under

STEER CLEAR. There are several reasons to like this game getting to 10, several for liking it around 7, and a slew more pegging 8.5 as the right number.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (20-28) and Baltimore Orioles (21-29) meet Tuesday to open a 3-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Mariners won 4-3 last season.

The Mariners took 2 of 3 at home from the Houston Astros over the weekend but are still just 9-22 since April 27. Still, the series against Houston was a good one for a beleaguered-of-late Seattle pitching staff. The Mariners allowed just 3 runs against the Astros in the 3 games; they had been clipped for a 6.27 ERA in 11 games from May 15-25.

The Orioles took 3 of 5 at the Boston Red Sox over the holiday weekend. Baltimore logged double-digit run totals on Friday (12) and Monday (10), and it owns an above-average .718 OPS since May 19.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Bryan Baker

Kirby (0-1, 4.50 ERA) is tabbed for the 5th start of his rookie season. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 20 IP.

  • Filed a season-high 9K in 5 IP in his last start (Wednesday vs. Oakland A’s).
  • Has allowed more frequent hard contact than average early on but has also been hurt by a .333 batting average on balls in play.

Baker (1-2, 4.66 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start of the season. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 19 1/3 IP.

  • Expected to serve as a 1-2-inning opener here, with LHP Keegan Akin following. Akin has pitched more than 2 innings in each of his last 5 outings.

Mariners at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL): Mariners -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Orioles 4

Money line

Seattle’s offense has struggled away from home (.646 road OPS), but that figure has been earned alongside a subpar batting average on balls in play. The Mariners have played a tough schedule and have been hemmed in by above average hitting and pitching in the opponents they’ve faced.

The visiting nine heads into this series after a Monday off day. The Mariners bullpen is rested and in good shape to support Kirby. The Orioles aren’t quite in the same boat and will be trying to bullpen this game.

BACK SEATTLE (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Seattle bullpen is rested, and overall, the Mariners have pitched better recently. PEG SEATTLE -1.5 (+120) as being the better side in this matchup. If you’re a bettor who likes to mesh money- and run-line plays, consider this option as being worthy of two-thirds or maybe 75% of the total (with the money line action on the undercard).

Over/Under

There are some underlying indicators that swing both ways here: PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (20-29) are at Fenway Park Monday for the rubber match of their 5-game series with the Boston Red Sox (23-25). First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 4-3, but Boston has a plus-3 run differential in those meetings. This series is tied 2-2.

Boston blasted Baltimore 12-2 Sunday and the Red Sox had 10 extra-base hits — 5 home runs and 5 doubles.

Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP Rich Hill

Wells is 1-4 with a 4.30 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 2-0 Wednesday at the New York Yankees with 5 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB and 2 K.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-4 with a 6.50 ERA (18 IP, 13 ER), 24 H, 4 HR, 2 BB and 11 K in 5 starts.

Hill is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 35 IP over 8 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 3-1 Wednesday at the Chicago White Sox with 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 1 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Orioles: One start, a no-decision in Boston’s 3-1 win in Baltimore April 29  with 4 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 0 BB and 4 K.

Orioles at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Red Sox -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-135) | Red Sox -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 7, Red Sox 6

Money line

Slight LEAN to the ORIOLES (+140) because everyone is betting the Red Sox (-175) and they shouldn’t be this big of a favorite with Hill on the mound.

Historically, lefty pitchers struggle at Fenway Park more than the righties. In 3 starts at home this season, Hill is 0-1 with a 6.17 ERA (2.70 road ERA), 1.46 WHIP (1.03 road WHIP) and 3 HR allowed (1 HR on the road).

Also, Baltimore’s bullpen is much more reliable than Boston’s. Baltimore relievers have a better ERA, xFIP, HR allowed per 9 innings, hard-hit rate, barrel rate, exit velocity and chase rate than Boston’s (per FanGraphs).

But, Baltimore is in the basement of the AL East and has lost 5 straight as road underdogs with Wells on the mound, hence the LEAN ORIOLES (+140).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Orioles +1.5 (-135) is too expensive considering they are 12-14 RL as road underdogs and that 6 of the 7 Orioles-Red Sox meetings this season have been decided by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 10.5 (+100) only because Orioles-Red Sox is 3-7 O/U in their last 10 meetings and Baltimore is 2-7 O/U in Wells’ 9 starts despite his plus-4.00 ERA.

However, it’s going to be a warm day in Boston so the ball could be jumping off the bat at Fenway Park, Hill’s numbers are atrocious at home and Wells has a 6.50 ERA in 18 innings pitched over 4 road starts.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (18-27) and Boston Red Sox (21-23) will open a 5-game series Friday night in a battle of AL East bottom feeders. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET from Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-1.

The Red Sox have caught fire, winning 7 of their last 8 games and 11 of their last 15. The run has been powered by 2B Trevor Story, who has 4 home runs and 14 RBI in his last 6 games. Boston beat the Chicago White Sox 16-7 Thursday, their 2nd game in 3 days with 16 runs scored.

The Orioles lost 2 of 3 to the New York Yankees in their last series, but have won 4 of their last 7 after losing 6 straight. They were blanked Wednesday by New York 2-0 and rank tied for 26th in runs scored this season.

Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Garrett Whitlock

Bradish (1-3, 5.74 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 26 2/3 IP.

  • Orioles are 2-3 in his 5 starts. In his first start this season, he allowed 2 R in a 3-1 loss to the Red Sox.
  • The rookie has allowed 5 ER and 4 ER in his last 2 starts and has given up at least 1 HR run in each start.

Whitlock (1-1, 3.58 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 32 2/3 IP.

  • Has not gone more than 5 IP in any game this season.
  • Allowed 5 R on 10 H in 3 IP in May 21 start vs. Seattle.
  • Red Sox have won the last 3 games he started.

Orioles at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Red Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-130) | Red Sox -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Orioles 4

Money line

The Red Sox money line is juiced thanks to their recent hot streak, and while I definitely like them to win this game, I don’t know if it’s worth taking them to win straight-up. They would be a good inclusion in a parlay, however, because they’re clearly the better team in this matchup. Otherwise, PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Boston has been knocking the cover off the ball, and consequently, blowing its opponents out lately. Of their last 11 wins, 10 of them have come by at least 3 runs, so they’ve been covering the spread fairly easily.

Now they get the rookie in Bradish, who has struggled against righties (.357 BAA, 6 HR allowed). I like the RED SOX -1.5 (+105) to cover the spread and win by at least a couple of runs.

Over/Under

There have been at least 10 runs scored in 6 of the Red Sox’s last 7 games. In 2 of the 3 games between these teams, the total went Under, but Boston was really struggling at the plate during that series.

Neither starter is expected to go deep into the game and it should be a higher-scoring contest at Fenway. Bet the OVER 9.5 (-120).

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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