The Philadelphia Flyers (27-17-7) host the Colorado Avalanche (28-15-6) Saturday at Wells Fargo Center for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop. We analyze the Avalanche-Flyers sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.
Avalanche at Flyers: Projected starting goalies
Philipp Grubauer vs. Alex Lyon
Grubauer won each of his last two starts prior to the All-Star break and returns to action with a 14-10-4 record on the season. He has a .910 save percentage and 2.82 goals against average.
Lyon will make his second start of the season while backing up Brian Elliott with Carter Hart sidelined by injury. He gave up four goals on 40 shots in a loss to the Montreal Canadiens his last time out.
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Avalanche at Flyers: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Saturday at 10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Avalanche 5, Flyers 3
Moneyline (ML)
Back the AVALANCHE (-162) as sizable favorites on the road. Colorado is coming off a 6-3 win over the Detroit Red Wings Monday, while the Flyers lost 4-3 in overtime to the Pittsburgh Penguins Friday. The Avs are 5-3-2 over their last 10 games, on a three-game winning streak and 14-8-2 on the road for the season.
The Flyers are 5-3-2 across their last 10 games and 17-4-4 at home, but they went to extra time Friday and are completing a back-to-back, and they’ll have their third-string goaltender between the pipes. Back the visitors.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Avalanche to win in regulation, overtime or a shootout returns a profit of $6.17.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Increase your profit margin and back the AVALANCHE (-1.5, +170) to win by at least 2 goals. The Avs are 29-20 against the spread overall and 16-8 on the road, while the Flyers are 29-22 ATS overall and 17-8 at home. This comes down to the goaltending matchup, and it’s a safe bet to bet against Lyon.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the alternate line and back the OVER 6.5 (+135). It’s more profitable than the base line of 5.5 which pays just -150 for the Over. The Avs have topped the goals projection in seven of their last 10 games, while the Flyers are 5-5 against the O/U across their last 10 games.
Esten’s NHL betting record: 195-181
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